Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - May 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(5/6)-(7/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-2   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/6/7/3)-(5/6/7/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(7/1/6)-(1/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-3   WIN (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/6)-(7/1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/6)-(7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/6)-(1/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6)-(1/7/2)-(5/4/6/10/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
HAW-4   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(5/4/6/10/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(5/4/6/10/8)-(1/4/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
HAW-5   WIN (5/4/6/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/10/8)-(5/4/6/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/10/8)-(5/4/6/10/8)-(5/4/6/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/6/10/8)-(1/4/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/10/8)-(1/4/6)-(2/1/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-6   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(2/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(2/1/4/5)-(3/2/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-7   WIN (2/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/5)-(2/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/5)-(2/1/4/5)-(2/1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/4/5)-(3/2/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HAW-8   WIN (3/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4/8)-(3/2/6/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RANK AND FILE Apr16 Apr06 Mar30 Mar12 Dec31 (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 122 15.00 10% 9.20    
2  FANCY EMPRESS May07 Apr16 Mar16 Feb06 Jan19 (campbell joel)COLON H 122 4.50    
3  APOLLO U ANYWHERE Apr16 Mar26 Mar05 Nov26 Nov11 (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  SNOOTY Apr30 Apr16 Apr02 Dec17 Nov23 (sullivan ell)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 1.80    
5  COOKIN ROSES Mar26 Mar05 Dec17 Dec03 Nov13 (quinonez )ULLOA JOAN 122 5.00 14% 6.10    
6  PRANCIPANTS Apr27 Apr02 Mar23 Mar01 Feb14 (witthauer k)MOJICA O 124 4.00    
 
HAW-2   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINDALOUIMAGE May04 Mar16 Dec18 Dec04 Nov06 (quinonez max)TAVARES JAVIER 122 15.00    
2  WATCHIN THE WHEELS May04 Apr16 Mar16 Dec18 Dec04 (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00    
3  ALL AMERICAN JEWEL Apr30 Mar20 Feb22 Jan28 Jan03 (sullivan elliott)EMIGH A 122 3.00 ★    
4  KITTEN ROCKS Apr27 Apr09 Apr02 Mar19 Dec31 (cook brian)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 10.00    
5  PALACE MAGIC May02 Apr06 Mar19 Mar05 Dec17 (hernandez ar)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
6  SHE'S XTREMELY HOT Dec04 Nov20 Nov11 Sep15 Sep01 (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
7  GHAALEB'S MAGIC Apr22 Nov27 Nov12 Oct28 Sep03 (witthauer john)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.50 ★    
 
HAW-3   05/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EGOMANIAC Apr14 Mar18 Feb10 Jan01 Dec17 (mason ingrid)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.50 11% 8.30    
2  PIRATE BIRD Apr20 Mar26 Mar05 Nov11 Oct15 (dizeo dino)TAVARES JAVIER 122 10.00    
3  WILDWOOD'S WARRIOR Apr30 Apr23 Apr06 Jan27 Jan15 (hernandez a)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 3.00 ★    
4  CHOCOLATE BUNNY Apr13 Mar26 Mar05 Dec10 Nov11 (rodriguez j)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 15.00    
5  TEA AFTER BALLET Apr30 Apr06 Mar23 Mar05 Dec30 (zawitz joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 15.00    
6  BLOOMING GARDEN Apr30 Apr02 Dec30 Dec04 Nov20 (rodriguez g)MOJICA O 122 6.00 7% 13.10    
7  TRIPLE CHROME May04 Apr20 Mar26 Mar05 Feb22 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 1.60 54% 0.80    
 
HAW-4   05/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAME SHIFTER May04 Mar19       (vanden britt)EMIGH A 117 2.50 55% 0.80    
  (by BLAME out of BLING ON THE MUSIC by TOO MUCH BLING)
2  GOLD SMOKE May04 Apr09 Mar26 Dec31 Dec11 (essenpreis )ARRIETA REYNIER 124 4.50 6% 15.50    
  (by MINESHAFT out of ALLUVIAL GOLD by DANEHILL DANCER)
3  ICE AXE Mar15 Mar01 Jan13 Jan01 Dec19 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 124 15.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of YOU GO WEST GIRL by MR. GREELEY)
4  GOING AT IT         (berndt jo)ULLOA JOAN 117 5.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of CLARE VIEW by HARD SPUN)
5  BORDER SPIN Nov27         (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 117 4.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MAUDE S by JUMP START)
6  ARMAVIR         (perez manny)TAVARES JAVIER 117 10.00 ★    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SECRETS SHARED by STREET CRY (IRE))
7  MINNESOTA MOON May04 Apr13 Feb25 Jan19 Sep30 (goldfine mic)CENTENO ALEXIS 117 3.50 13% 6.60    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of CHORAGUS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
HAW-5   05/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVER CALENDARED May11 Apr29 Apr13 Apr06 Feb04 (hernandez javie)WADE LYNDIE 122 12.00    
2  MODIFIER May11 Apr09 Mar19 Dec31 Nov27 (perez manny)HERNANDEZ K 122 20.00    
3  STRIKE PRICE Apr27 Apr06 Mar17 Feb04 Jan21 (shephard )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
4  STORM'S REFLECTION Apr06 Mar19 Dec18 Dec09 Nov20 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 122 6.00 19% 4.30    
5  RIGHT ON RICHIE Feb23 Jan12 Dec10 Nov19 Oct21 (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 116 3.00 37% 1.70    
6  MODAZZLE Apr16 Mar10 Feb22 Feb05 Jan15 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 4.00 14% 6.00    
7  IZEONDEC Apr13 Feb24 Jan28 Jan13 Dec18 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 122 5.00    
8  KINGSBURRY ATTACK Apr29 Oct07 Sep25 Aug30 Aug16 (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  MEATLOAF'S CHANCE May08 Mar30 Feb17 Feb04 Jan20 (gonzalez lilia)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 15.00    
10  STORM BORN Dec17 Dec09 Nov19 Oct22 Sep25 (cook brian)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-6   05/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOMENT Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 Feb25 Feb11 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 124 1.80 45% 1.20    
2  ASTI SKY Apr23 Apr06 Mar19 Dec30 Dec17 (cristel mark)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE Apr16 Mar15 Feb03 Dec14 Nov20 (rodriguez hugo)EMIGH A 122 4.50    
4  DANVILLE Apr20 Mar25 Feb25 Jan21 Dec30 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
5  LAVENDER EARL Apr27 Apr16 Mar23 Dec04 Nov26 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 122 8.00    
6  JEFF THE LION Apr20 Mar30 Nov27     (boyce miche)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  WILD FOX Apr19 Mar30 Dec02 Nov18 Oct28 (watkins m)LOPEZ A 122 12.00    
 
HAW-7   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOLLOW THE SIGNS Apr23 Apr02 Mar23 Mar12 Feb02 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 21% 3.70    
2  PAPA ROCKET Apr15 Mar17 Feb18 Feb05 Jan14 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
3  TWIRLING ROSES Apr30 Mar22 Mar05 Feb21 Jan26 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 122 8.00    
4  TEE BURNS May09 Apr16 Mar19 Jan26 Dec10 (watkins jame)TAVARES JAVIER 122 5.00 8% 12.10    
5  SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY Apr30 Apr15 Mar28 Feb20 Dec10 (reavis michael)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.50 7% 13.10    
6  WINGING WAYS Apr09 Mar16 Oct30 Oct02 Sep23 (quinonez max)COLON H 122 15.00    
7  WEST WARPATH Apr30 Mar16 Feb02 Jan07 Dec14 (clay pat)MOJICA O 122 4.00    
 
HAW-8   05/18/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TWELVE RED ROSES Apr27 Apr09 Mar12 Feb12 Jan28 (banks chris)LEZCANO ABEL 122 10.00    
2  GHAALEB'S DREAMS         (becker scott)EMIGH A 122 4.50 19% 4.10    
3  COMMAND POINT Mar08 Feb01 Jan07 Sep01 Aug05 (goldfine micke)COLON H 122 0.80 34% 1.90    
4  CELESTIAL SPIN Apr27 Jan20 Dec31 Dec21 Nov25 (cristel mark)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00 8% 12.10    
5  CAIRO SUMMER Apr27 Apr13 Mar26 Feb23 Jan30 (witthauer)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 30.00    
6  WANDA STRONG Dec09 Nov25 Nov04 Jul30 Jul10 (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00 18% 4.70    
7  SEQUAYA Apr16 Mar16 Dec18 Dec04 Nov11 (cook brian)TAVARES JAVIER 122 30.00    
8  MY LADY SLEW May07 Apr13 Mar19 Dec18 Dec02 (rodriguez g)MOJICA O 122 15.00 ★    
9  RUNNERS HEAT Apr27 Mar30 Dec30 Dec18 Dec04 (wilson sharon)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00    
10  MORNING LINE NEWS May07 Apr28 Mar18 Feb08 Jan13 (hernandez javie)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.