The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Hawthorne
Thursday - April 27, 2023

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HAW-1   04/27/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
:243 :491 1:142 1:384   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STOLICH 1 1 1½ 2½ 1nk 1½ 1(clay pat)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 117 6.00 8.60  
I'M YOUR VALENTINE 6 5 42 1½ 2nk 2½ 2(kirby j)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 1.80 16% 5.10 0.70 P
KING ZION 2 2 2½ 3 4 4316 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 117 5.00 4.50  
WICKED SUPRISE 4 3 5 53 33 3417 (cook brian)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 4.00 16% 5.40 12.50  
LOCOMOTE 3 4 32 4 55 515½ 534¼ (rivelli larry)CENTENO ALEXIS 117 3.50 33% 2.00 6.20  
C F V NOBODYCARES 5 6 6 64 612 625½ 651½ (gonzalez lilia)LEZCANO ABEL 124 6.00 14.10  
 
HAW-2   04/27/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
:223 :47 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEMEZ FALLS 5 7 6 55   41(kirby j)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 3.00 12% 7.60 2.60 W
LUNARCHY 1 2 3 42   11 2(rivelli larry)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 2.50 38% 1.70 1.10 P
YOU'RE A DANDY 7 5 22 2½   31 3(ramos francisco)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 15.00 74.40  
GYURZA 4 4 4 32   21 46 (perez manny)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 5.00 8.70  
STRONGENOUGHSTORM 2 1 57 66   65(reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 124 10.00 22.10  
HOLD HER HOSTAGE 3 6 7 78   76(hernandez armand)LEZCANO ABEL 118 8.00 36.00  
SHORT STRAW 6 3 12 1½   5713 (vanden brit)COLON H 118 3.50 30% 2.30 3.80  
 
HAW-3   04/27/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
:242 :484 1:133 1:39   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROTOMAGIC 2 4 32 2nk 3 11(sullivan ellio)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 1.80 22% 3.50 0.80 W
MAYSTART 3 2 21 31 21 22(ramirez carlos)LOPEZ A 122 4.00 5.40 P
SUM KINDA PRETTY 1 1 11 1nk 11 34 310¾ (ramos francisco)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 3.50 54% 0.90 5.20 S
RUNNERS HEAT 6 5 5 55 46 47 412¾ (wilson l)LEZCANO ABEL 122 8.00 26.80  
ZENCHUA SKY 4 3 4 43 56 510½ 517 (reavis l)COLON H 122 6.00 21.10  
CELESTIAL SPIN 5 6 6 6 69 613½ 624½ (cristel j)GILES EMMANUEL 115 5.00 3.80  
 
HAW-4   04/27/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
:244 :483 1:141 1:40   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUN RUSH 5 4 2½ 2nk 13 16 1(watkins james )CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.00 44% 1.30 0.60 W
PERFUMER 6 5 67 68 5 42(quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 122 12.00 15.30  
KEEP ATTACKING 4 6 55 5 46 26 3(childers va)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00 6.10  
TIZWOW 2 2 3 32 23 36 411¼ (retana gabe)ORTIZ ALVIN 115 8.00 22.10  
STRIKE PRICE 1 1 4 4 3 5512 (shephard john)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 4.50 9.00  
FAITHFUL KING 3 3 1½ 1nk 612½ 618½ 629¾ (vanden b)SANTIAGO VICTOR 115 3.00 3.90  
SCR  STORM'S REFLECTION               (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 115 5.00 27% 2.80    
 
HAW-5   04/27/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:18
:24 :474 1:124 1:384   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOMENT 3 2 21 2 2½ 11 1¼ (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 124 1.40 47% 1.10 0.50 W
BEEALEA 7 5 55 55 4 33 2¼ (boyce miche)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 4.00 10.20  
GLOBAL EMPIRE 2 7 7 66 67 45 3(spagnola ida)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00 11.50  
LAVENDER EARL 1 1 11 1 1½ 21 4(ramirez car)ULLOA JOAN 122 8.00 9.60  
COWBOYS DREAM 5 6 6 78 79 79 5(rodriguez jose)GILES EMMANUEL 115 6.00 25.30  
CHRISTMAS PRESENT 6 4 44 4 3 5610¼ (cook brian)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 12.00 10% 8.90 51.30  
BIG BLUE 4 3 32 3 55 69 712¼ (winebaugh cheryl)COLON H 124 5.00 15% 5.60 5.30  
 
HAW-6   04/27/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
:25 :492 1:15 1:402   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRANCIPANTS 6 2 21 1 1½ 11(witthauer john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 26% 2.90 3.30 W
CAIRO SUMMER 4 3 11 2 2½ 22(witthauer j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00 12% 7.60 24.70 P
WEEKEND PASS 3 7 7 69 6 68 38 (hughes w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 6.00 16.40  
TWELVE RED ROSES 2 5 44 43 3 34(banks chris)GILES EMMANUEL 115 3.50 18% 4.60 1.30  
KITTEN ROCKS 1 1 33 3 4 4510¾ (cook brian)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 4.00 20% 4.00 3.00  
SILVERA 5 6 55 54 55 57 611 (candelas blanca)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.50 7.60  
ROARINGLIKETHUNDER 7 4 6 712 712½ 716 723¼ (castro isid)ULLOA JOAN 115 15.00 33.80  
 
HAW-7   04/27/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
:223 :47 :591     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANTOO 3 1 3 3   11(wainwright joh)GILES EMMANUEL 111 4.50 3.20  
POSITIONDUMONI 1 3 43 42   32 2(pompell rob)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 10.00 5.90  
ALLOTROPE 6 6 21 21   42 3(berndt joel)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 6.00 6.00  
GETTIN DOWN 4 2 11 11   24(rivelli larry)COLON H 118 2.50 30% 2.40 0.90  
VISIONISTA 5 4 5 56   55(rodriguez eduardo)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 8.00 12.20  
SALLY'S SUPRISE 2 5 66 67   67 6(rodriguez eduar)HERNANDEZ K 118 12.00 35.00  
SCR  CREME DE CASSIS               (tracy tanner)LEZCANO ABEL 118 5.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  GLADYS ALICE               (rivelli larry)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 4.00 16% 5.30    
 
HAW-8   04/27/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
:234 :472 1:122 1:382   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AHEADOFTHEGAME 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 111 (becker scott)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00 3.50  
MILLARD'S SMILE 3 4 5 5 44 321 (rodriguez eduard)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.50 8.50  
JEALOUS EYES 7 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 23(winebaugh cheryl)COLON H 122 2.50 37% 1.70 1.20 S
AVIANO 6 8 912¾ 610 55 54(meraz antonio)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 8.00 37% 1.70 14.90  
COMING UP ACES 5 5 34 3 33 45(miller patt)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 15.00 25.20  
ROCKET HOTSHOT 9 9 811¼ 912 711¼ 76(spagnola ida)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00 13.10  
MEMPHIS PRAYER 2 6 710¾ 710½ 912¼ 67 7(rodriguez hugo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 6.00 5.70  
JUSTICE ONCE 4 3 610½ 811 811¼ 8810¾ (tracy tanner)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 12.00 53.30  
T J MUNNINGS 8 7 44 44 611 917¼ 928 (hernandez j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00 35.90  
 
HAW-9   04/27/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:06
:223 :462 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMEHASCOME 5 3 2nk 2½   2nk 11 (vanden b)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 1.80 1.00  
BIRDIE MACHINE 3 4 3 33   321 (berndt joel)ULLOA JOAN 122 3.00 36% 1.80 2.20 P
SOVIET STANDARD 1 1 1nk 1½   1nk 3(perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 109 4.50 8% 12.20 3.80 S
CHIEF MYSTIQUE 2 2 46 48   44 44 (hernandez javi)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 20.00 5% 19.00 14.10  
GOTTA B KITTEN ME 4 5 513 516   524 534 (gonzalez lilia)REYES ANGEL 117 10.00 14.50  
SCR  DASTARDLY DEEDS               (candelas bl)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 30.00    
SCR  KANITHAPPEN               (randazzo frank )SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 8.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  MADELYNS HEAT               (cook brian)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUNDAY MISCHIEF               (campbell joel)COLON H 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.