Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - April 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(1/6/5)-(1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-2   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(1/2)-(6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
HAW-3   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/2)-(6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
HAW-4   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (6)-(3/4/6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (6)-(3/4/6)-(6/1/2/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
HAW-5   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6/5)-(3/4/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(6/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(6/1/2/4)-(5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
HAW-6   WIN (6/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/2/4)-(5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2/4)-(5)-(7/6) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
HAW-7   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/3) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5)-(7/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (5)-(7/6)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
HAW-8   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6/1/2/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/6/1/2/9)-(7/6/1/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
HAW-9   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   04/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STOLICH Apr01 Mar07 Feb10 Jan27 Dec09 (clay pat)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 117 6.00    
2  KING ZION Apr02 Mar23 Dec04 Nov18 Nov04 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 117 5.00    
3  LOCOMOTE Mar19         (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 117 3.50 33% 2.00    
4  WICKED SUPRISE Apr09 Mar23 Mar09 Dec31 Dec16 (cook brian)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 4.00 16% 5.40    
5  C F V NOBODYCARES Apr16 Mar23 Mar09 Mar09 Feb25 (gonzalez lilia)LEZCANO ABEL 124 6.00    
6  I'M YOUR VALENTINE Feb08 Jan28 Jan12 Dec31 Nov27 (kirby frank)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 1.80 16% 5.10    
 
HAW-2   04/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUNARCHY Apr20 Mar16       (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 2.50 38% 1.70    
2  STRONGENOUGHSTORM Apr06 Mar05 Aug15 Aug02 Jul12 (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 124 10.00 ★    
3  HOLD HER HOSTAGE Apr02 Mar12       (hernandez arm)HERNANDEZ K 118 8.00    
4  GYURZA Apr20 Sep17 Aug21     (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 5.00    
5  JEMEZ FALLS Apr09 Mar23 Mar12 Dec31 Dec02 (kirby frank)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 3.00 12% 7.60    
6  SHORT STRAW Apr06         (vanden br)COLON H 118 3.50 30% 2.30    
7  YOU'RE A DANDY Apr06 Jan01 Dec07 Nov06 May27 (ramos francisco)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 15.00    
 
HAW-3   04/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUM KINDA PRETTY Mar30 Aug30 Aug19 Jul19 Jul05 (ramos francisco)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 3.50 54% 0.90    
2  PROTOMAGIC Apr12 Mar24 Mar09 Feb15 Feb01 (sullivan ell)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 1.80 22% 3.50    
3  MAYSTART Mar30 Mar19 Nov25 Nov11 Oct30 (ramirez carlos)LOPEZ A 122 4.00 ★    
4  ZENCHUA SKY Mar26 Mar09 Oct30 Oct16 Sep19 (reavis michael)COLON H 122 6.00    
5  CELESTIAL SPIN Jan20 Dec31 Dec21 Nov25 Sep01 (cristel mark)GILES EMMANUEL 115 5.00    
6  RUNNERS HEAT Mar30 Dec30 Dec18 Dec04 Nov18 (wilson sharon )LEZCANO ABEL 122 8.00    
 
HAW-4   04/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STORM'S REFLECTION Apr06 Mar19 Dec18 Dec09 Nov20 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 115 5.00 27% 2.80    
2  STRIKE PRICE Apr06 Mar17 Feb04 Jan21 Jan06 (shephard john)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 4.50 ★    
3  TIZWOW Apr13 Mar23 Mar05 Sep30 Sep06 (retana gabe)ORTIZ ALVIN 115 8.00    
4  FAITHFUL KING Apr09 Mar26 Nov25     (vanden berg)SANTIAGO VICTOR 115 3.00 ★    
5  KEEP ATTACKING Apr06 Mar12 Dec16 Nov20 Nov04 (childers )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00    
6  GUN RUSH Apr01 Mar04 Feb11 Jan28 Dec31 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.00 44% 1.30    
7  PERFUMER Apr13 Mar23 Mar09 Dec31 Dec16 (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 122 12.00    
 
HAW-5   04/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAVENDER EARL Apr16 Mar23 Dec04 Nov26 Nov19 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 122 8.00    
2  GLOBAL EMPIRE Apr06 Mar16 Mar05 Dec10 Nov20 (spagnola ida)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00    
3  MOMENT Apr06 Mar16 Feb25 Feb11 Jan11 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 124 1.40 47% 1.10    
4  BIG BLUE Apr02 Mar19 Dec09 Nov04 Oct11 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 124 5.00 15% 5.60    
5  COWBOYS DREAM Mar19 Dec04 Oct28 Oct14 Sep23 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 115 6.00 ★    
6  CHRISTMAS PRESENT Apr09 Mar05 Dec31 Dec17 Dec02 (cook brian)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 12.00 10% 8.90    
7  BEEALEA Apr06 Dec04 Nov13 Oct23 Oct01 (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 4.00    
 
HAW-6   04/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KITTEN ROCKS Apr09 Apr02 Mar19 Dec31 Dec16 (cook brian)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
2  TWELVE RED ROSES Apr09 Mar12 Feb12 Jan28 Jun25 (banks chris)GILES EMMANUEL 115 3.50 18% 4.60    
3  WEEKEND PASS Apr09 Mar16 Dec31 Dec11 Dec04 (hughes w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 6.00    
4  CAIRO SUMMER Apr13 Mar26 Feb23 Jan30 Dec31 (witthauer)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00 12% 7.60    
5  SILVERA Apr09 Mar26 Mar16 Dec31 Dec16 (candelas blanc)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.50    
6  PRANCIPANTS Apr02 Mar23 Mar01 Feb14 Jan30 (witthauer jo)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
7  ROARINGLIKETHUNDER Apr16 Mar30 Mar16 Sep03 Aug27 (castro is)ULLOA JOAN 115 15.00    
 
HAW-7   04/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POSITIONDUMONI Apr06 Mar16 Oct23 Oct01 Sep08 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of WINDUMONI by DUMAANI)
2  SALLY'S SUPRISE         (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 118 12.00    
  (by YOUNG BRIAN out of SUNNY SUPRISE by SUN KING)
3  CANTOO Apr02 Mar12 Dec30 Dec03 Nov12 (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 111 4.50 ★    
  (by CAN THE MAN out of CAUSEGOOD by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
SCR  CREME DE CASSIS Mar16         (tracy tanner)LEZCANO ABEL 118 5.00 29% 2.40    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of CREME DE CACOA by EASYFROMTHEGITGO)
5  GETTIN DOWN         (rivelli larry)COLON H 118 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of NEVRMESSWITHRICHIE by BRING THE HEAT)
6  VISIONISTA Mar25 Mar09 Feb05 Jan21 Jan05 (rodriguez eduar)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 8.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of MISS PITTY PAT by DATA LINK)
SCR  GLADYS ALICE         (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 4.00 16% 5.30    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of DELUCIE by PIONEERING)
8  ALLOTROPE         (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 6.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of ADIOS VICKY by ADIOS CHARLIE)
 
HAW-8   04/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AHEADOFTHEGAME Mar16 Dec30 Dec02 Nov12 Oct07 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00 ★    
2  MEMPHIS PRAYER Apr13 Mar17 Jan21 Dec31 Dec07 (rodriguez hu)GILES EMMANUEL 117 6.00 ★    
3  MILLARD'S SMILE Feb26 Feb03 Jan26 Nov12 Oct22 (rodriguez edua)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.50    
4  JUSTICE ONCE Apr06 Oct07 Sep12 Aug27 Aug08 (tracy tanner)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 12.00    
5  COMING UP ACES Mar19 Dec30 Dec17 Dec02 Nov20 (miller pa)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 15.00    
6  AVIANO Mar31 Mar17 Feb18 Jan19 Oct09 (meraz antonio)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 8.00 37% 1.70    
7  JEALOUS EYES Mar16 Feb17 Jan28 Dec31 Nov22 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
8  T J MUNNINGS Apr16 Mar31 Mar15 Feb25 Jan19 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
9  ROCKET HOTSHOT Apr16 Mar16 Dec30 Dec17 Dec10 (spagnola ida)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00 ★    
 
HAW-9   04/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOVIET STANDARD Apr13 Mar23 Mar09 Dec17 Dec09 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 109 4.50 8% 12.20    
2  CHIEF MYSTIQUE Apr16 Mar23 Mar09 Feb14 Jan20 (hernandez ja)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DASTARDLY DEEDS Apr06 Mar23 Dec29 Nov26 Nov06 (candelas )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 30.00    
SCR  MADELYNS HEAT Dec30 Dec04 Nov13 Oct16 Oct01 (cook brian)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUNDAY MISCHIEF Apr13 Mar23 Mar05 Feb10 Dec29 (campbell joel)COLON H 122 8.00    
6  BIRDIE MACHINE Nov04 Sep14 Aug18     (berndt jo)ULLOA JOAN 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
7  GOTTA B KITTEN ME         (gonzalez lilia)REYES ANGEL 117 10.00    
SCR  KANITHAPPEN Dec16 Nov27 Nov13 Nov04 Oct14 (randazzo fran)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 8.00 26% 2.90    
9  TIMEHASCOME Apr02 Mar15 Feb22 Jan12 Nov19 (vanden berg)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.