Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Hawthorne
Thursday - May 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-4   WIN (8/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $12.80 $6.80 113%
    DD (6/2/3/5)-(8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-7 $28.40 $16.40 137%
HAW-5   EXA (2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-7 $17.10 $1.10 7%
    TRI (2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3/7)-(2/1/6/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00  6-7-2 $38.10 $14.10 59%
    SFT (2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3/7)-(2/1/6/3/7)-(2/1/6/3/7) 96 $0.20 $19.20  6-7-2-3 $113.56 $94.36 491%
    DD (8/7/2)-(2/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-6 $24.40 $12.40 103%
    PK3 (6/2/3/5)-(8/7/2)-(2/1/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00  2-7-6 $33.05 $9.05 38%
Simulator Race results
 
HAW-1   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:223 :454       1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  D'ARCHER 2 1 12 11   11½ 12½ (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.00 32% 2.20 1.60 W
1  EASTER MUSIC 1 3 32½ 21   21½ 22½ (hernandez arma)LEZCANO ABEL 122 2.50 28% 2.60 2.80 P
5  RISKY BOY 5 2 22 31   34 36¾ (shephard john)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 1.40 3.70  
3  FORT RIDGE 3 5 47½ 48   48 410¼ (bahena ferna)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00 6.60  
4  BORN AGAIN GEORGE 4 4 5100 5100   5100 5100 (clay pat)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00 15% 5.60 5.20  
SCR  APPLICANT               (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 122 12.00    
 
HAW-2   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:221 :454 :582     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SHACKLEFORD STRONG 3 4 46½ 44   32 13¼ (meraz ant)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 4.00 4.30  
1  SOUPER FORTUNE 1 2 21½ 2½   21 23¼ (reid r)COLON H 122 6.00 6% 15.60 4.10 P
6  THE LAST FACT 5 3 11½ 1½   11 34½ (kirby frank)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 1.80 51% 0.90 0.90 S
2  CHRISTMAS PRESENT 2 5 57½ 57½   46 48 (cook brian)WADE LYNDIE 122 12.00 12.40  
4  IDEA MAN 4 1 32 33   57 510 (reid r)GILES EMMANUEL 117 3.50 5.00  
SCR  PUBLIC SAFETY               (rosin w)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 14% 6.10    
 
HAW-3   05/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:131 1:394   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  AWESOME WILLY 2 2 2nk 1½ 1½ 13½ 1½ (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50 18% 4.60 2.00 W
6  IMPULSIVENESS 6 6 612½ 711 45 23½ 2½ (winebaugh chery)REYES ANGEL 122 1.60 27% 2.70 1.60 P
1  STOLICH 1 4 44½ 33½ 31½ 53¾ 33¾ (clay pat)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 117 6.00 7.90  
5  KEEN RESPONSE 5 5 712¾ 611 67 43¾ 44¾ (mosier haro)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 8.00 12% 7.10 11.60  
8  WHERE'S LUCKY 8 8 813¼ 811½ 88 66¼ 55¾ (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 122 12.00 26.90  
3  OPTION 3 1 1nk 2½ 2½ 33½ 610¼ (meraz antonio)COLON H 122 4.00 16% 5.20 5.50  
4  MASQUERADE BALL 4 3 33 45½ 77 89¾ 716¾ (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 117 20.00 32.40  
7  MADELYNS HEAT 7 7 510½ 510½ 56 77¾ 823¾ (cook brian)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00 58.20  
 
HAW-4   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
See original race card.
:223 :46 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  YO DAWG 7 2 1nk 2nk   11½ 14 (berndt jo)ULLOA JOAN 124 6.00 24% 3.20 5.40 W
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of NOBODY'S FAULT by BLAME)
1  WOLF HUNTER 1 5 56 57½   44½ 24 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 118 5.00 5.40  
  (by THE FACTOR out of QUEEN DIDO by THUNDER GULCH)
8  EASY FAST 8 1 2nk 1nk   21½ 34¼ (divito james)GILES EMMANUEL 113 3.00 40% 1.50 2.40 S
  (by VIOLENCE out of RIDE TO HOUSTON by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
5  MINING CAMP 5 3 31½ 33   34 45½ (slager leonar)HERNANDEZ K 124 4.50 ★ 4.70  
  (by GIO PONTI out of KALUGA by UNCLE MO)
2  REJECTION HURTS 2 7 44½ 46½   56½ 57 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 4.00 13% 6.90 3.30  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of LOVE THE BREEDING by HENNY HUGHES)
6  J J'S SOLUTION 6 4 89¾ 613½   611½ 611¼ (rednour j)COLON H 124 8.00 35.70  
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of LITTLE RED WITCH by KITALPHA)
3  RUSSIAN STANDARD 3 8 66½ 714½   718½ 725 (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 6.00 10.20  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SILVER FERN by BERNARDINI)
4  JAKES CHANNEL 4 6 76¾ 818   826½ 846½ (rednour jr)REYES ANGEL 118 20.00 65.70  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SETTLING IN by GREEN DESERT)
 
HAW-5   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  UNCLE HEADLEY 6 8 55½ 53½   2½ 12¼ (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 116 3.00 12% 7.50 1.70 W
7  MONGOLIAN BEE 7 1 43 32½   42 22¼ (scherer gary)WADE LYNDIE 116 10.00 ★ 11.50 P
2  PRIZE FIGHTER 2 3 12 11½   1½ 33¼ (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 3.50 38% 1.60 4.80 S
3  BUREAU 3 7 87½ 68   55 43¼ (watkins jame)TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00 6% 15.30 34.80  
8  GALLANT BUCK 8 2 22 21½   31½ 54¾ (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 116 8.00 10.20  
1  VERRAZANOINTHESKY 1 6 76½ 89½   66 66 (banks chris)EMIGH A 122 5.00 18% 4.40 9.30  
9  MODIFIER 9 4 65½ 78½   87½ 77¼ (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 117 20.00 33.40  
4  BRUCE BANNER 4 9 98 910   98 88¼ (campbell micha)LEZCANO ABEL 122 12.00 4.70  
5  I'M YOUR CAPTAIN 5 5 32½ 42½   76½ 915¾ (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 6.00 8.50  
 
HAW-6   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:222 :461 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BEG BORROW N STEAL 3 3 54 53¼   21 12¾ (goldfine micke)COLON H 122 2.50 1.50  
3  SLEEPY CAT 2 2 11 1nk   11 22¾ (robertson hugh)EMIGH A 116 6.00 23% 3.30 9.40 P
6  GHAALEB'S RANGER 5 5 65 63¾   43 34 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.00 3.30  
5  TIME BREAK 4 1 31 41¼   33 45 (jansen ke)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00 23% 3.30 6.10  
7  CAT ROYALE 6 4 43 31   53¼ 55¾ (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 116 6.00 17% 4.80 6.10  
1  FROSTED ECLAIR 1 6 21 2nk   63¾ 610¾ (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 12.00 6.60  
SCR  CANTOO               (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 113 4.50    
 
HAW-7   05/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:121 1:363   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  EMPIRE BUILDER 5 1 11 1½ 12 15 18 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 124 6.00 ★ 1.70  
2  SILVER QUARTERS 2 7 78¾ 78¼ 77¾ 66¾ 28 (manley steve)TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00 5.80  
4  GITA'S LAD 4 2 32½ 32½ 22 25 39¾ (young r)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.50 61% 0.60 5.50 S
1  BABA'S BOY 1 4 64¾ 65¼ 66¾ 46 410 (bahena fe)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 15.00 ★ 18.80  
6  WISE VERDICT 6 5 42½ 52¾ 53¾ 35 510½ (scherer gary)WADE LYNDIE 122 6.00 8.80  
3  SOUL COAXING 3 3 54½ 42½ 32 56¼ 611 (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.50 4.10  
8  KHOZAN'S VALENTINE 7 6 21 2½ 43½ 78¾ 713¾ (mosier haro)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 10.00 16% 5.20 6.70  
SCR  BLAZEN ROAD               (manley steve)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00    
SCR  PROTONIC POWER               (hernandez ar)GILES EMMANUEL 117 3.00    
 
HAW-8   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
See original race card.
:23 :472 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SALLY'S SUPRISE 6 1 2½ 1nk   1nk 1¼ (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 118 3.00 10.50  
2  PACIFIC VIEW 2 3 52½ 53¼   52¼ 2¼ (clay pat)GILES EMMANUEL 113 10.00 2.90  
4  TWICK OR TWEAT 4 2 1½ 3.2   2nk 33¼ (villa franc)ORTEGA O 118 20.00 72.60  
8  LADA KALINA 8 4 31½ 2nk   41¾ 43¾ (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 118 5.00 ★ 7.30  
7  SONG OF AMERICA 7 5 41½ 41¼   31½ 53¾ (campbell micha)LEZCANO ABEL 118 4.00 17% 4.80 2.10  
3  MISS MIA 3 7 66 63¼   64¼ 64¾ (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 6.00 6.80  
1  THE SCORE IS EVEN 1 6 76¼ 75¼   78¼ 713 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 3.50 37% 1.70 4.00  
5  DILLYDILLY DIAMOND 5 8 88¼ 812¼   823¼ 845¾ (ryan a)LOPEZ A 124 15.00 15% 5.60 37.30  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.