Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Lone Star Park
Sunday - April 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-2   WIN (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $20.80 $14.80 247%
    EXA (2/7/3)-(2/7/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-4 $97.20 $79.20 440%
LS-3   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $28.60 $22.60 377%
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00  2-3 $140.40 $122.40 680%
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00  2-3-1 $121.05 $112.05 1245%
    SFT (1/6/2)-(1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3) 18 $0.10 $1.80  2-3-1-6 $84.29 $82.49 4583%
LS-4   WIN (6/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $21.00 $13.00 163%
    PK3 (2/7/3)-(1/6/2)-(6/5/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-2-4 $28.85 $10.85 60%
LS-5   PK3 (1/6/2)-(6/5/4/3)-(4/6/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00  2-4-6 $151.75 $127.75 532%
LS-7   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $13.60 $9.60 240%
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/8/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-7 $104.60 $92.60 772%
LS-8   DD (2/1)-(1/10/11/13/5) 10 $2.00 $20.00  1-1 $69.20 $49.20 246%
    PK3 (5/6/2/4)-(2/1)-(1/10/11/13/5) 40 $0.50 $20.00  5-1-1 $22.95 $2.95 15%
    PK5 (6/5/4/3)-(4/6/7/5)-(5/6/2/4)-(2/1)-(1/10/11/13/5) 640 $0.50 $320  4-6-5-1-1 $427.35 $107.35 34%
Simulator Race results
 
LS-1   04/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($34.5K) 3 F PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:112     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  APPROPRIATED FUNDS 2 5 52¼ 42   1½ 12¼ (clary rena)DIEGO V 122 2.50 2.50  
4  IT TAKES HEART 4 1 2½ 2nk   2½ 22¼ (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 4.00 12% 7.60 6.10 P
5  FOOLISH DELIGHT 5 7 72¾ 65   45 32¾ (green greg)FUENTES A 122 3.50 27% 2.70 4.70 S
6  JENNY'S PENNY 6 2 3½ 31   55 46½ (clary jay)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 3.00 18% 4.40 2.10  
7  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF 7 4 4¾ 53   611 512¾ (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 12.00 13.00  
3  MOR PEANUTS 3 3 1½ 1nk   33½ 614 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 122 5.00 17% 4.90 4.20  
1  SWEET SLEW 1 6 62¾ 712   721 732¾ (g)DE CRUZ 122 15.00 22.00  
 
LS-2   04/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:231 :463 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  STACI'S RED DRESS 3 7 75½ 72   51¼ 11 (green greg)FUENTES A 120 20.00 6% 14.60 9.40 W
4  FASHION RAGE 4 4 41½ 3.2   1nk 21 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 120 3.00 ★ 2.20 P
1  BENDELENE 1 2 31½ 4¾   41¼ 32½ (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 6.00 7.90  
6  RECLUSIVE 6 6 63½ 61¾   62¾ 43¼ (h)DE CRUZ 124 8.00 6.00  
5  REDEFINITION 5 1 11 1nk   2nk 56½ (asmussen steve)MORA GERARDO 120 3.50 4.20  
7  WENDY'S SONG 7 3 21 2nk   3.2 66½ (voorhees i)JUDE JOHN 122 8.00 29% 2.50 9.40  
2  OUTLINING 2 5 53 51¾   74¾ 77¾ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 1.60 31% 2.20 2.60  
 
LS-3   04/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:41
See original race card.
:253 :52 1:172 1:301   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RED DRAW 2 2 11½ 11 1nk 11 1½ (young scott )PIVARAL GERBER 118 5.00 8% 11.50 13.30 W
3  JOHN LOUIS' BEVO 3 4 42½ 41½ 3.2 21 2½ (butler ke)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 3.00 ★ 2.50 P
1  LOST GOLD 1 3 31½ 31 42¾ 32½ 31¼ (gelner ja)TRIANA JR 124 4.50 48% 1.10 7.10 S
6  EAGLEFORD 6 5 53½ 64 53¼ 42½ 42¼ (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 118 3.50 13% 6.60 9.60  
4  ASTA LAVISTA HONEY 4 1 21½ 21 2nk 52¾ 52¾ (pish danny)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 4.00 3.50  
5  LITTLE JOHN HENRY 5 6 64½ 53 63¾ 66¾ 68 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 118 6.00 2.10  
7  WITT SWEET SIXTEEN 7 7 76½ 77 75¼ 78¾ 710½ (d)DE CRUZ 118 8.00 7.70  
 
LS-4   04/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:122     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RED SUMMERBIRD 4 5 52½ 51¾   31 1¼ (willis mi)TRIANA JR 122 8.00 5% 18.60 9.50 W
1  TAPITURE JONES 1 3 1½ 1nk   1½ 2¼ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.00 2.80  
2  I'M A COWBOY 2 6 42 41¼   2½ 33 (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 3.00 2.40  
5  MY LITTLE PRINCE 5 1 2½ 2nk   42½ 48½ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 3.50 22% 3.50 2.20  
6  ZAVALA 6 2 31 31   56 517¼ (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 6.00 39% 1.60 5.80  
3  POSEIDONS WAVE 3 4 65½ 65¼   67½ 618¼ (clary r)MORA GERARDO 122 5.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
SCR  LET'S TIE ONE ON               (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 20.00    
 
LS-5   04/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:122 1:253   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SKYKAT 6 1 54¾ 511½ 48 21 1¼ (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 1.80 24% 3.20 1.10 W
4  FOR FUN 4 5 64¾ 713½ 69½ 32 2¼ (green greg)ALVAREZ L 124 3.50 44% 1.30 5.20 P
1  MALIBU MIDNIGHT 1 6 88¼ 915½ 810 53 31 (dupuy allen)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 6.00 8.90  
8  CATO'S LADY 8 3 33½ 210 26 42½ 42¾ (w)DE CRUZ 124 15.00 14.50  
3  LIL ASHLEY B. 3 9 98½ 814½ 710 65 53 (pish danny)ELLIOTT S 120 6.00 8.60  
7  SIMPLE PLEASURE 7 8 76¼ 612½ 58½ 87½ 64½ (broberg karl)FUENTES A 120 15.00 5% 18.60 9.50  
10  MRS. KRINKLES 9 7 44½ 410½ 36½ 76 74¾ (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 15.00 12.10  
2  MY GOLDEN BLING 2 2 13½ 110 16 11 85 (chacaltana )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00 ★ 12.40  
5  PAINTBRUSH 5 4 23½ 310 914 910½ 97¾ (garza e)DIAZ RENE 120 20.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
SCR  LEGENDARYS FIRST               (montano wilfri)MORA GERARDO 120 12.00    
 
LS-6   04/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:25 :51 1:171 1:301   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HARD GOLD 4 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 11½ 11 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 0.80 41% 1.40 0.40 W
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of MAQUITA ELAINE by HARD SPUN)
1  MORO TRENDSETTER 1 3 31½ 3½ 42 21½ 21 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 6.00 8.60  
  (by MORO TAP out of BONITA BELLE by MAGIC CAT)
6  OH SEAN 5 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 32 38¼ (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 2.50 12% 7.00 3.90 S
  (by FLAT OUT out of RHONIN VICTORIA by LANGFUHR)
3  DEVITO 3 4 42 42 31½ 44 49¼ (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 122 15.00 10.10  
  (by EAGLE out of LIFE IS SHORT by OLD FASHIONED)
7  GHURAIR'S WARRIOR 6 5 52½ 53½ 56 58 518¾ (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 10.00 12.70  
  (by GHURAIR out of WAR LASS by WAR CHANT)
2  MODOC 2 6 69½ 64 610½ 613½ 626¾ (dodson cl)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 20.00 12% 7.00 12.40  
  (by ETESAAL out of FATED LOVE by KAREN'S CAT)
SCR  KEEPMOVINGFORWARD               (whitton mar)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 20.00 9% 10.10    
  (by BRADESTER out of I'M JULIETTE by FIRST DEFENCE)
 
LS-7   04/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:03
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:16 1:292   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED SONG 1 6 11 1nk 1nk 1nk 12 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 124 3.50 13% 6.70 5.80 W
7  L L COOL GREY 7 2 74¼ 41½ 2nk 2nk 22 (crumley jevo)FUENTES A 124 8.00 ★ 5.80 P
6  TWITTER TRAFFIC 6 3 52¾ 31 31 33 32¾ (calhoun b)ELLIOTT S 118 3.00 2.60  
8  LUMBERJACK LESLIE 8 8 87¼ 85¾ 55 47 43 (j)DE CRUZ 124 6.00 ★ 6.20  
5  BLUEGRASS DIXIE 5 7 64¼ 75¼ 79½ 615 514¾ (ortiz jav)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 10.00 8.00  
4  KAYLEE'S SHADOW 4 1 42½ 51¾ 43 59 615¾ (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 8.00 9.00  
3  HIGH DEF RIDGE 3 4 21 2nk 65½ 718 726½ (kotara ronald)SANCHEZ M 124 10.00 14.50  
2  MAMA'S NIGHT OUT 2 5 31 64¾ 811½ 828 854½ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 118 4.50 57% 0.70 3.10  
 
LS-8   04/23/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:31
See original race card.
:214 :441       :56   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REBEL POSSE 1 5 52 44   31½ 1hd (hebert )GONCALVES R 120 2.50 38% 1.70 3.70 W
2  MY PAL MATTIE 2 2 1½ 1½   11½ 2hd (thomas lee)MORA GERARDO 120 3.00 3.80  
10  EXCESS MAGIC 10 8 87 67½   44½ 3¾ (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 120 2.00 16% 5.10 2.00 S
5  SHANNON C 5 1 2½ 2½   21½ 43 (young scott)WETHEY JR 120 20.00 7% 14.30 14.40  
6  SIMPLY WICKED 6 6 64½ 78½   88 55½ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 20.00 9.10  
7  CHATTALOT 7 7 76 89½   77½ 66½ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 10.00 18.80  
3  LET'S GO ALAMO 3 4 42 55½   67 78 (will)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00 8.60  
4  ELUSIVE WAR 4 3 31½ 33   56 88¼ (larrosa ju)ERAMIA E 122 30.00 24.00  
8  BROCK ON BY 8 9 912 914½   912 910¾ (davidson )TRIANA JR 120 8.00 14.20  
9  PIKNITUPLAYNITDOWN 9 10 10100 10100   10100 10100 (hjort donna)PIVARAL GERBER 120 20.00 18.20  
SCR  HE'S A BOMB               (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 30.00    
SCR  IMPRESSED               (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 3.00 7% 13.80    
SCR  JACKMAN               (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.00 7% 14.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.