Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Sunday - April 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (5/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/4)-(2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LS-2   WIN (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/3)-(2/7/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/3)-(2/7/4/3)-(2/7/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3)-(1/6/2)-(6/5/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-3   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(6/5/4/3)-(4/6/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-4   WIN (6/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/3)-(6/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/3)-(6/5/4/3)-(6/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-5   WIN (4/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5/2)-(4/6/7/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-6   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(2/1)-(1/10/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LS-7   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/8/7)-(2/1/8/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/1)-(1/10/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LS-8   WIN (1/10/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/10/5)-(1/10/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/10/5)-(1/10/5)-(1/10/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   04/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($34.5K) 3 F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET SLEW Mar03 Jan14 Dec19 Dec03 Nov11 (g)DE CRUZ 122 15.00    
2  APPROPRIATED FUNDS Mar18 Feb18 Jan27 Dec17 Oct28 (clary rena)DIEGO V 122 2.50    
3  MOR PEANUTS Apr02 Mar04       (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 122 5.00 17% 4.90    
4  IT TAKES HEART Mar25 Jan28 Dec29 Dec04 Nov03 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 4.00 12% 7.60    
5  FOOLISH DELIGHT Mar26 Mar12 Feb18 Jan29 Dec19 (green greg)FUENTES A 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
6  JENNY'S PENNY Mar03         (clary jay)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 3.00 18% 4.40    
7  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF Apr01 Mar23 Feb25 Feb10 Jan28 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 12.00    
 
LS-2   04/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BENDELENE Apr02 Mar14 Feb11 Jan22 Oct14 (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 6.00    
2  OUTLINING Mar18 Feb11 Jan20 Oct02 Jul23 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 1.60 31% 2.20    
3  STACI'S RED DRESS Apr02 Dec20 Sep30 Aug24 Jul24 (green greg)FUENTES A 120 20.00 6% 14.60    
4  FASHION RAGE Mar09 May08 Feb26 Jan22   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 120 3.00 ★    
5  REDEFINITION Apr02 Feb24 Feb04 Oct28 Oct08 (asmussen steve)MORA GERARDO 120 3.50    
6  RECLUSIVE Apr08 Mar19 Feb12 Jan27 Jan08 (h)DE CRUZ 124 8.00    
7  WENDY'S SONG Feb19 Jan15 Jan03 Dec13   (voorhees i)JUDE JOHN 122 8.00 29% 2.50    
 
LS-3   04/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOST GOLD Mar13 Feb19 Jan13 Mar26 Mar03 (gelner ja)TRIANA JR 124 4.50 48% 1.10    
2  RED DRAW Apr07 Mar11 Feb20 Jan21 Nov03 (young scott )PIVARAL GERBER 118 5.00 8% 11.50    
3  JOHN LOUIS' BEVO Apr08 Mar24 Mar12 Mar03 Nov03 (butler ke)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 3.00 ★    
4  ASTA LAVISTA HONEY Mar24 Mar12 Feb25 Feb19 Feb03 (pish danny)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 4.00    
5  LITTLE JOHN HENRY Apr07 Mar11 Feb26 Feb11 Jan16 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 118 6.00    
6  EAGLEFORD Apr07 Mar11 Feb20 Jan27   (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 118 3.50 13% 6.60    
7  WITT SWEET SIXTEEN Apr13 Mar31       (davidson sa)HAMILTON WESTON 118 8.00    
 
LS-4   04/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPITURE JONES Apr14 Mar25 Mar04 Jan20 Nov07 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.00    
2  I'M A COWBOY Mar25 Feb18 Feb10 Jan28 Jan07 (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 3.00    
3  POSEIDONS WAVE Apr15 Mar04 Feb11 Jan28   (clary jayla)HAMILTON WESTON 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  RED SUMMERBIRD Apr07 Mar05       (willis mi)TRIANA JR 122 8.00 5% 18.60    
5  MY LITTLE PRINCE Apr07 Mar04 Feb10 Jan21 Jun05 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
6  ZAVALA Mar31 Mar05       (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 6.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  LET'S TIE ONE ON Apr08 Mar11 Feb10 Jan20 Jul17 (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 20.00    
 
LS-5   04/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALIBU MIDNIGHT Apr01 Mar17 Feb12 Jan13 Oct22 (dupuy allen)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 6.00    
2  MY GOLDEN BLING Apr08 Mar18 Mar12 Feb20 Feb04 (chacaltana )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00 ★    
3  LIL ASHLEY B. Apr01 Mar17 Feb12 Jan07 Sep19 (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 120 6.00    
4  FOR FUN Mar28 Mar19 Feb05 Jan24 Jan10 (green greg)ALVAREZ L 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
5  PAINTBRUSH Apr01 Mar17 Feb24 Feb11 May06 (garza e)DIAZ RENE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  SKYKAT Mar17 Feb20 Feb12 Jan07 Oct22 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 1.80 24% 3.20    
7  SIMPLE PLEASURE Apr14 Feb15 Jan28 Nov15 Sep19 (broberg karl)FUENTES A 120 15.00 5% 18.60    
8  CATO'S LADY Apr01 Feb26 Feb04 Jan13 Nov19 (w)DE CRUZ 124 15.00    
SCR  LEGENDARYS FIRST Feb12 Oct23 Oct05 Sep20 Sep13 (montano wilfri)MORA GERARDO 120 12.00    
10  MRS. KRINKLES Apr01 Mar05 Feb18 Feb03 Jan08 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 15.00    
 
LS-6   04/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORO TRENDSETTER Apr08 Mar19 Mar11 Feb20 Jul23 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 6.00    
  (by MORO TAP out of BONITA BELLE by MAGIC CAT)
2  MODOC         (dodson cl)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 20.00 12% 7.00    
  (by ETESAAL out of FATED LOVE by KAREN'S CAT)
3  DEVITO Apr16 Mar19 Mar11 Feb26 Jan14 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 122 15.00    
  (by EAGLE out of LIFE IS SHORT by OLD FASHIONED)
SCR  KEEPMOVINGFORWARD         (whitton mar)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 20.00 9% 10.10    
  (by BRADESTER out of I'M JULIETTE by FIRST DEFENCE)
5  HARD GOLD Mar31 Mar17 Mar05 Feb18 Jan28 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 0.80 41% 1.40    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of MAQUITA ELAINE by HARD SPUN)
6  OH SEAN Apr07 Mar05 Jan14 Dec19   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 2.50 12% 7.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of RHONIN VICTORIA by LANGFUHR)
7  GHURAIR'S WARRIOR Apr08         (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 10.00    
  (by GHURAIR out of WAR LASS by WAR CHANT)
 
LS-7   04/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED SONG Mar10 Feb10 Jul09 Jun19   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 124 3.50 13% 6.70    
2  MAMA'S NIGHT OUT Apr15 Feb25 Feb11     (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 118 4.50 57% 0.70    
3  HIGH DEF RIDGE Apr08 Feb24 Feb12 Jan21 Jan08 (kotara ronald)SANCHEZ M 124 10.00    
4  KAYLEE'S SHADOW Apr15 Mar19 Feb25 Jan27 Jan06 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 8.00    
5  BLUEGRASS DIXIE Mar26 Feb17 Jan21 Nov12 Sep27 (ortiz jav)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 10.00    
6  TWITTER TRAFFIC Apr01 Mar04 Jan27     (calhoun b)ELLIOTT S 118 3.00    
7  L L COOL GREY Mar26 Mar17 Feb26 Feb11 Jan27 (crumley jevo)FUENTES A 124 8.00 ★    
8  LUMBERJACK LESLIE Apr15 Mar10 Feb24 Jan27 Jul04 (j)DE CRUZ 124 6.00 ★    
 
LS-8   04/23/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REBEL POSSE Feb19 Jan13 Dec03 Jul16 Jun09 (hebert )GONCALVES R 120 2.50 38% 1.70    
2  MY PAL MATTIE Mar05 Oct14 Sep21 Aug05 Jun17 (thomas lee)MORA GERARDO 120 3.00    
3  LET'S GO ALAMO Apr01 Jan22 Oct14 Sep21 Jun17 (will)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00    
4  ELUSIVE WAR Feb28 Jan12 Dec01 Nov04 Oct06 (larrosa ju)ERAMIA E 122 30.00    
5  SHANNON C Mar28 Mar07 Oct21 Sep23 Jun10 (young scott)WETHEY JR 120 20.00 7% 14.30    
6  SIMPLY WICKED Mar16 Jan07 Dec17 Nov24 Oct07 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 20.00    
7  CHATTALOT Apr15 Mar11 Jan29 Jan06 Dec10 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 10.00    
8  BROCK ON BY Feb10 Nov08 Oct06 Sep15 Aug20 (davidson )TRIANA JR 120 8.00    
9  PIKNITUPLAYNITDOWN Mar24 Feb20 Jul03 Jun09 May14 (hjort donna)HAMILTON WESTON 120 20.00    
10  EXCESS MAGIC Mar18 Jul16 May30 May07 Mar19 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 120 2.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  IMPRESSED Mar24 Mar03 Feb25 Feb10 Jan14 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 3.00 7% 13.80    
SCR  HE'S A BOMB Apr16 Mar22 Mar09 Feb26 Nov12 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 30.00    
SCR  JACKMAN Apr07 Mar12 Feb11 Jan28 Jan01 (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.00 7% 14.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.