Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Sam Houston Park
Friday - February 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HOU-2   EXA (6/4)-(6/4/5/2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00  4-5 $10.45 $2.45 31%
HOU-3   WIN (7/4/9/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $15.00 $5.00 50%
    EXA (7/4/9/8/1)-(7/4/9/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-4 $23.35 $3.35 17%
    DD (6/4)-(7/4/9/8/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00  4-1 $35.65 $25.65 257%
HOU-5   WIN (8/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $14.00 $10.00 250%
    EXA (8/3)-(8/3/7/5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00  3-7 $27.55 $19.55 244%
HOU-6   WIN (6/8/4/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  8 $20.70 $10.70 107%
    EXA (6/8/4/3/2)-(6/8/4/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  8-4 $74.65 $54.65 273%
    DD (8/3)-(6/8/4/3/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00  3-8 $92.80 $82.80 828%
HOU-7   DD (6/8/4/3/2)-(2/5/8/4/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00  8-2 $47.60 $22.60 90%
    PK3 (8/3)-(6/8/4/3/2)-(2/5/8/4/3) 50 $1.00 $50.00  3-8-2 $94.80 $44.80 90%
HOU-9   WIN (10/6/11/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $34.80 $24.80 248%
    EXA (10/6/11/9/4)-(10/6/11/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-10 $82.20 $62.20 311%
    TRI (10/6/11/9/4)-(10/6/11/9/4)-(10/6/11/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-10-9 $372.65 $342.65 1142%

Simulator Race results

 
HOU-2   02/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:242 :494 1:16 1:284   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TACHA GOLD 4 3 21 2½ 13 110 110½ (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 123 1.20 15% 5.60 1.20 W
BLUEGRASS DIXIE 5 4 5 5 23 210 210½ (ortiz jav)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 3.50 7.50 P
AUNT JANA 1 6 6 6 6 513½ 320¼ (mallery vonn)SANCHEZ M 123 20.00 8.50  
C J 'S CAT FIVE 6 2 32 32 5 412½ 421¼ (montano wil)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 2.00 53% 0.90 1.85  
QUEEN OF MAGNOLIA 3 5 4 42 4 312½ 524¾ (h)DE CRUZ 123 8.00 16.50  
EUROROSE 2 1 11 1½ 33 617½ 635½ (echeverria hect)BENAVIDES D 123 15.00 5.70  
 
HOU-3   02/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:25 :512 1:171 1:414   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OH DOO DAH DAY 1 8 85 7 3 1 1½ (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 15.00 5% 17.30 6.50 W
  (by PALACE out of HEAVEN'S RING by PARADING)
FAME STREET 4 4 5 52 7 42 2½ (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 2.00 21% 3.80 1.20 P
  (by STREET SENSE out of NEWSREEL (IRE) by A.P. INDY)
TIZ A KNOCKOUT 5 6 62 42 4 5 3 (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 10.00 7.20  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TIZ CHAMP by TIZNOW)
VIVACIOUSLY 7 3 2nk 3 21 32 44 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.50 28% 2.50 3.50  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TERRA PROMESSA by CURLIN)
CHARMING LEAH 6 5 3.2 1½ 11 2 5 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 15.00 26.50  
  (by LEA out of SPECIAL CHARM by DANSILI)
SPLITSECONDECISION 3 7 73 8 8 6 611¼ (davis ste)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 20.00 17.90  
  (by TAMARKUZ out of MUSADAQA by BERNARDINI)
HOLIDAY DREAMER 2 1 1nk 2½ 5 7 714¾ (asmussen steve)MORA GERARDO 122 6.00 8.60  
  (by CURLIN out of CALAMITY KATE by YES IT'S TRUE)
MENDI'S GIRL 8 2 4¼ 6 6 810¼ 826¼ (young bob)LUZZI J 122 4.00 9% 10.80 7.60  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MISS DEREK by BROTHER DEREK)
SCR  WITSEC               (young scott)MELANCON JANSEN 122 3.00 12% 7.50    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of RUN CARRIE RUN by ORIENTATE (GB))
 
HOU-4   02/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($14K) 45 ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:231 :48       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED BIRD'S STORM 5 3 4 3½   1 13 (c)DE CRUZ 123 2.50 0.60  
MORO'S BULL CREEK 2 7 6 6   2 23 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 1.80 20% 4.10 3.10 P
VINDICATO 1 2 3.2 4¾   33 3 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 4.50 8.45 S
SMARTY RIDGE 6 6 7 7   6 4 (kotara ronal)PIVARAL GERBER 123 15.00 30.20  
GOLD CAPO 7 4 5 5   44 58 (echeverria )OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 3.00 37% 1.70 6.50  
CIBOLO ERL 3 5 2nk 1nk   5 613¼ (jolley e)BENAVIDES D 123 12.00 8% 11.80 46.25  
STRAWMAN 4 1 1nk 2nk   7 726¼ (butler ke)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 20.00 13.00  
 
HOU-5   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($14K) 3 F PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:234 :491 1:022     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN THE FAST LANE 3 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 1nk (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 122 8.00 7% 13.70 6.00 W
MOONPIE IN THE SKY 7 3 32 31   1nk 2nk (dupuy allen)MELANCON JANSEN 122 6.00 7.10 P
HAILEY'S JEWEL 4 4 5 4   4 35 (garza joaquin )MORA GERARDO 122 20.00 16.00  
SKYSPEIGHT 1 2 1nk 1nk   31 410¼ (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 2.50 3.25  
SHEBOO 8 6 43 65   6 512¾ (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 2.00 68% 0.50 1.30  
CANDY DAY 5 5 6 54   5 616½ (davidson sa)HAMILTON WESTON 122 3.50 5.55  
TERRI N MARY 2 8 7 710   711¼ 725½ (roberts blair)DIEGO V 122 30.00 26.60  
RABBIT HOLE 6 7 814¼ 828   836¼ 866 (garza joaqu)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 20.00 24.85  
 
HOU-6   02/17/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($14K) 45 ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:231 :464       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEARING 8 3 21 2nk   2nk 1hd (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 123 8.00 25% 3.10 9.35 W
DRAG MALIBU 4 1 11 1nk   1nk 2hd (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 123 8.00 12% 7.10 13.05 P
WITT AMERICA 7 2 32 3   33 3 (davidson sa)HAMILTON WESTON 123 15.00 34.10  
FATHER RED 6 9 53 4   45 4 (stidham michael)ELLIOTT S 123 0.80 28% 2.60 2.35  
BIG WAVE JAMES 1 7 64 87   6 5 (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 4.50 1.45  
BOLD COURAGE 2 8 8 99   710¼ 69 (buehrer w)DIAZ RENE 123 15.00 5% 19.00 9.25  
MASTER RED 3 6 43 5   58 7 (roberts bl)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00 6% 16.70 22.90  
10  SOMERSETSLASTRIDE 10 5 7 7   810¼ 813½ (bravo franci)PIVARAL GERBER 123 15.00 25.85  
NORTHERN ORBIT 5 10 9 6   910½ 914¾ (pruitt m)LANDEROS C 123 15.00 8.00  
UNCLE CHAN 9 4 10 1010   1013½ 1020¾ (mallery vonn)SANCHEZ M 123 50.00 26.65  
 
HOU-7   02/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:14 1:272   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRIVEHAPPY 2 5 5 5 4 3 1nk (willis mind)WETHEY JR 123 1.60 39% 1.50 0.60 W
GREAT FACES 4 1 31 1nk 1nk 2½ 2nk (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 3.50 8% 12.00 4.20 P
WARRIOR'S MAP 5 2 11 2nk 2nk 1½ 3 (davidson sa)MELANCON JANSEN 123 6.00 11% 8.00 9.60 S
LEGIONARY 7 4 4 4 31 4 4 (youn)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.50 11% 8.10 7.40  
TURN ON THE MAGIC 1 6 6 6 65 5 5 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 8.00 14.20  
DRIFTING WEST 6 3 21 31 5 6 610¾ (offolter joe)ALVAREZ L 123 8.00 9.80  
MORHAWK 3 7 710¾ 712¾ 711 713½ 713¾ (williams f)DIAZ RENE 123 30.00 5% 19.00 26.80  
SCR  RESOLVE NOW               (eoff terry)LUZZI J 123 10.00    
 
HOU-8   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:09
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:001     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARPE EROS 5 5 3.2 2nk   1½ 11 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 6.00 5.50  
AQUIMINE 3 8 8 6   31 21 (ashford r)HAMILTON WESTON 123 4.00 34% 1.90 2.60 P
TALE TWISTER 7 2 5 5   4 3 (jacks karen )PIVARAL GERBER 123 10.00 10.60 S
DETECTIVE BERNARDO 4 3 1nk 1nk   2½ 4 (ortiz jav)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 2.50 25% 3.00 3.50  
POKER PLAY 8 7 7 8   76 5 (caster boyd)DIEGO V 123 15.00 13.00  
PRIME CODE 2 4 6 7   8 6 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 123 4.50 11.20  
BOLD N WILD 6 1 4¼ 4   6 710 (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 3.50 2.95  
BREW CREW 1 6 2nk 3   5 811½ (jacks karen)MELANCON JANSEN 123 10.00 11% 7.80 11.60  
 
HOU-9   02/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:36
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:122 1:384   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXETER 4 8 6 5 4 1nk 1¼ (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 16.40 W
10  HALF OURS TO KEEP 9 6 7 7 65 3½ 2¼ (dupuy allen)HAMILTON WESTON 119 4.00 36% 1.80 3.10 P
DOC IRWIN 8 10 910¾ 812¾ 8 5 3 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 119 6.00 6% 15.80 9.40 S
VIOLIN MAKER 5 9 8 912¾ 1010¾ 7 4 (broberg karl)ALVAREZ L 119 10.00 6.20  
PEPPER JACK 2 2 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 54 (govea ces)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 8.00 13.60  
WITCH'S VOW 3 3 1nk 1½ 1½ 4¾ 66 (alberto antonio)SANCHEZ M 119 50.00 23.00  
CONVICTION TRADE 6 11 1113¾ 1013¾ 9 8 7 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 2.50 20% 4.10 1.80  
EZMOSH 1 1 2nk 3½ 3 6 812 (j)DE CRUZ 119 12.00 16.80  
12  POP LIFE 11 4 1012¾ 1115¾ 1112¾ 10 913 (torrez jerenes)MORA GERARDO 119 30.00 33.30  
11  NEW YEAR 10 5 5 6 77 9 1014¼ (montano wilfrido)MONTALVO C 119 8.00 13% 7.00 11.30  
LAB RAT 7 7 4 4¾ 52 1114¾ 1124 (scholl kevi)WETHEY JR 119 12.00 15.00  
SCR  CHAOSMOS               (richard rus)MELANCON JANSEN 119 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.