Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Sam Houston Park
Saturday - March 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HOU-4   WIN (10/7/6/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $16.40 $6.40 64%
    TRI (10/7/6/4/5)-(10/7/6/4/5)-(10/7/6/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00  6-7-4 $107.85 $77.85 260%
    SFT (10/7/6/4/5)-(10/7/6/4/5)-(10/7/6/4/5)-(10/7/6/4/5) 120 $0.10 $12.00  6-7-4-5 $83.08 $71.08 592%
HOU-5   EXA (7/8/5/1)-(7/8/5/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-8 $17.10 $1.10 7%
HOU-6   WIN (3/6/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $8.40 $2.40 40%
    EXA (3/6/11)-(3/6/11/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-6 $16.80 $4.80 40%
    DD (7/8/5/1)-(3/6/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-3 $20.50 $8.50 71%
HOU-7   WIN (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $6.20 $2.20 55%
    DD (3/6/11)-(3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-3 $9.30 $3.30 55%
    PK3 (7/8/5/1)-(3/6/11)-(3/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00  7-3-3 $29.10 $5.10 21%
HOU-8   PK3 (3/6/11)-(3/8)-(4/5/7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00  3-3-ALL $189.00 $165.00 688%

Simulator Race results

 
HOU-1   03/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:222 :46       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNDAY BLING 1 1 11 11   12 1 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 3.00 2.00  
SHIFTY HENRY 4 2 21 21   22 2 (roub)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 2.50 24% 3.10 2.40 P
SR. BI BI 3 4 32 42   3 3 (c)DE CRUZ 123 10.00 7.30  
PICKNNGRINN 5 3 43 32   4 46 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 1.60 42% 1.40 1.80  
CADDO FOX 2 5 58 59   512½ 522¾ (payne dan)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 20.00 6.90  
SCR  K C TIZ MORO               (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 123 6.00    
 
HOU-2   03/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:221 :462       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAHMS BOY 4 1 1nk 1½   11 1 (lloyd an)MORA GERARDO 123 3.00 2.40  
FAR FROM FINAL 3 2 2nk 2½   21 2 (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 1.20 35% 1.80 0.40 P
NEVER OVER ME 1 3 33 32   3 3 (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 20.00 7.80  
SONG SPECTACULAR 2 4 49 411   4 4 (gonzalez ja)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 20.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
SCR  ELKHORN WARRIOR               (young scott)MELANCON JANSEN 115 6.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  HARD CANDY               (hernandez l)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
HOU-3   03/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:222 :462       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEIZE THE TREASURE 6 4 31 31   12 1 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.80 25% 3.00 0.80 W
BOLD N WILD 7 5 5 52   32 2 (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 4.00 21% 3.70 5.90 P
PRIME CODE 2 6 6 64   6 3 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 123 6.00 6.70 S
BEHIND THE CURTAIN 3 3 4 4   5 4 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 123 4.50 11.00  
JAMES'S MOONSHINE 5 2 2nk 2nk   22 5 (young scott)MELANCON JANSEN 123 15.00 13% 6.50 12.70  
BREW CREW 1 7 7 78   7 6 (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 12.00 14.50  
SHARP CHARLIE 4 1 1nk 1nk   4 713 (thomas lee)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 3.50 16% 5.20 4.20  
 
HOU-4   03/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:212 :452       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RODEO CHAMP 6 1 3 1nk   1nk 1¾ (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 3.50 13% 6.50 7.20 W
  (by LORD NELSON out of LADY LAPUMA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
KISSES PER DIEM 7 4 4 6   42 2¾ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 20% 3.90 1.70 P
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of NEVERTOOMANYKISSES by CHECKLIST)
PROPERLY CONNECTED 4 3 2 2nk   2nk 3 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 122 8.00 5% 17.30 17.30 S
  (by CONNECT out of UPANDTOTHERIGHT by CREATIVE CAUSE)
GONE COUNTRY 5 9 7 7   53 4 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 4.50 5% 19.00 4.30  
  (by MASTERY out of GONE BLUES by CURLIN)
OLCZYK 8 5 5 42   6 55 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 6.00 7.30  
  (by NYQUIST out of ELUSIVE COLLECTION by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
DREAMS ROCKETMAN 1 2 1 3½   3½ 67 (bustamante )HAMILTON WESTON 122 30.00 13.40  
  (by EAGLE out of DREAM DREAM by TOO MUCH BLING)
SUPER PROSPECTOR 9 6 6 5   77 710½ (a)DE CRUZ 122 15.00 24.60  
  (by SUPER SAVER out of BODIE'S VALENTINE by BODEMEISTER)
10  GWYNETH'S MALIBU 10 7 9 8   811 813¼ (willis mind)WETHEY JR 122 4.00 34% 2.00 5.40  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MYSTIC MIRACLE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
IN BOND WE TRUST 2 8 89 9   918 924¼ (davidson )RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 20.00 21.80  
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of ANOTHER BOND GIRL by DON'T GET MAD)
YOU EFF OH 3 10 1011¾ 10   1019 1026½ (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 122 30.00 13.90  
  (by STARSHIP out of ALBRIGHTNSHINY by CONFEDERATE HERO)
 
HOU-5   03/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3 F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:14     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMPERING SMILE 7 2 2½ 2nk   12 1 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.60 25% 3.10 1.90 W
TENDER LOVE 8 7 5 31   22 2 (ashford ray)DIEGO V 122 8.00 23% 3.30 4.30 P
MAGICALSTORM 2 3 3 54   32 3 (hjort donna)MELANCON JANSEN 122 12.00 14.00  
PURRFECT MOON 6 1 1½ 1nk   4 4 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 122 2.50 5.20  
MENDI'S GIRL 1 5 6 78   710¼ 5 (young bob)ALVAREZ L 122 4.50 9% 10.30 4.70  
YOUNEEDTOCALMDOWN 4 4 4 6   6 610½ (williams st)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 30.00 9.80  
EMMYLOU SQUALL 5 8 7 4   5 710¾ (jacks karen)HAMILTON WESTON 122 6.00 20% 4.10 5.60  
TALE OF ATREIDES 3 6 8 8   815¼ 818¾ (davidson )RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 20.00 20.40  
 
HOU-6   03/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:213 :452       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAN'S MIRACLE MAN 3 3 1nk 1nk   1 1½ (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 4.00 63% 0.60 3.20 W
UPTOWNEAGLESLANDED 6 5 2nk 2nk   2 2½ (padilla c)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 3.50 8% 12.00 3.00 P
WITT AMERICA 8 7 6 5   5 31 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 123 6.00 4.40  
BLING MOUNTAIN 7 6 3½ 31   32 4 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 119 2.50 3.70  
SUPREME CAPO 4 1 4 42   4 52 (echeverria )OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 20.00 22.20  
FANDO 9 10 9 9   7 6 (uriegas hen)HAMILTON WESTON 119 8.00 12.80  
COWBOY RIDGE 5 2 7 7   65 7 (kotara ronald)MORA GERARDO 119 10.00 9.10  
10  GET WITT GONE 10 9 8 8   8 84 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 119 15.00 29.20  
GREYSTOKE 1 4 5 6   910¾ 914 (w)DE CRUZ 119 12.00 21.20  
TWELVE PACK 2 8 10 1011½   1028¾ 1031 (harrison rebecc)BENAVIDES D 119 30.00 20.00  
SCR  GRAMI'S BOY               (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 2.00 7% 13.70    
 
HOU-7   03/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($14K) 3 ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:143     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEGAL EAGLE 3 8 7 3   1 1 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.50 58% 0.70 2.10 W
RED DRAW 7 1 3 7   54 2 (young scott )PIVARAL GERBER 122 15.00 25.70  
LITTLE JOHN HENRY 2 6 54 6   6 3 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 15.00 9.60  
EAGLEFORD 4 5 4 4   3 4 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 8.00 6.10 DH
SAMSPLAYERSLOUNGE 6 7 6 5   4 4 (gelner j)DIAZ RENE 122 5.00 4.40 DH
MORO TRENDSETTER 1 9 912¼ 9   8 66 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 20.00 26.30  
PUNTO RAFFA VOLO 9 2 1nk 1nk   2 7 (cravens ron)MELANCON JANSEN 122 4.00 15.90  
DEVITO 8 3 2nk 2nk   7 813¼ (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 3.50 11% 8.40 2.70  
FLYING G 5 4 8 8   911¾ 917½ (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 122 8.00 10.70  
 
HOU-8   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:224 :463 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RYE RUNNER 6 7 6 4   31 1 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 6.00 16.50  
GUSTAVO 5 3 56 64   4 2 (gustafson)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 115 4.00 15% 5.70 7.00 P
KING OF JERSEY 4 6 11 1½   11 3 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 115 2.50 47% 1.10 0.70 S
ROMANCER 7 1 42 54   6 4 (asmussen steve)MORA GERARDO 123 10.00 14% 6.10 9.70  
LET'S TIE ONE ON 9 5 31 2½   21 5 (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 115 15.00 7.00  
EUROEAST 3 4 77 7   76 612¼ (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 15.00 5% 19.00 34.40  
JOAN'S JUNIOR 8 2 21 32   5 712¾ (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 12.00 29.80  
SCARYATCANTERBURY 2 8 88 99   8 813 (silva migue)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 20.00 36.10  
JESUIT 1 9 910 8   9 914 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00 5.20  
 
HOU-9   03/11/2023 5940ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
See original race card.
:25 :50 1:14 1:39   1:514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIOLIN MAKER 2 3 2nk 22 2½ 2nk 1 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 119 4.00 8% 12.00 3.50 W
EXETER 4 1 3 3 3½ 1nk 2 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.50 33% 2.00 2.30 P
MIDAS CAT 7 10 64 69 6 4 3 (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 119 12.00 19.30  
10  CONVICTION TRADE 10 7 1nk 12 1½ 35 4 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 3.00 25% 2.90 5.10  
TURN ON THE MAGIC 3 5 53 55 4 5 5 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 119 8.00 22.90  
SWEET MEDICINE 5 9 8 813 916¼ 816¼ 611¾ (williams st)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 20.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
D TOWN BABY 8 8 10 913½ 816¼ 918¼ 712 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 119 8.00 17.20  
HOT STOVE LEAGUE 1 6 4 4 5 6 812¼ (ashford)GONCALVES R 119 20.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
FLEXATI 6 2 9 1015½ 1018¼ 1021¼ 917 (bravo franci)ALVAREZ L 119 30.00 14.90  
BRICKBAT 9 4 75 710½ 711¼ 714¾ 1022¼ (ashford r)HAMILTON WESTON 119 6.00 5.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.