Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Saturday - March 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/1/2)-(6/5/1/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/5)-(4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(4/3)-(6/7/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HOU-2   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/3)-(6/7/4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(6/7/4/5)-(10/7/6/4/5) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
HOU-3   WIN (6/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/5)-(6/7/4/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/5)-(6/7/4/5/2)-(6/7/4/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/7/4/5)-(10/7/6/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4/5)-(10/7/6/4/5)-(7/8/5/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-4   WIN (10/7/6/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/7/6/4/5)-(10/7/6/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/7/6/4/5)-(10/7/6/4/5)-(10/7/6/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/7/6/4/5)-(7/8/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/7/6/4/5)-(7/8/5/1)-(3/6) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
HOU-5   WIN (7/8/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/5/1)-(7/8/5/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/8/5/1)-(7/8/5/1/6)-(7/8/5/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/8/5/1)-(3/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/8/5/1)-(3/6)-(3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HOU-6   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/7/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/7/9)-(3/6/7/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/6)-(3/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(3/8)-(4/5/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HOU-7   WIN (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/8)-(3/8/6/4/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/8)-(3/8/6/4/9)-(3/8/6/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8)-(4/5/7/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/8)-(4/5/7/3)-(4/10/2/5/1) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
HOU-8   WIN (4/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3/6)-(4/5/7/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/7/3)-(4/10/2/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HOU-9   WIN (4/10/2/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/10/2/5/1)-(4/10/2/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/10/2/5/1)-(4/10/2/5/1)-(4/10/2/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   03/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNDAY BLING Feb18 Jan14 Nov21 Nov04 Oct15 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 3.00 ★    
2  CADDO FOX Feb18 Jan20 Apr09 Mar03   (payne dan)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 20.00 ★    
3  SR. BI BI Feb12 Jan07 Dec14 Dec03 Nov04 (c)DE CRUZ 123 10.00    
SCR  K C TIZ MORO Feb05 Jan14 Jun19 May08 Mar26 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 123 6.00 ★    
5  SHIFTY HENRY Jan22 Oct22 Oct05 Aug13 Jun18 (roub)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 2.50 24% 3.10    
6  PICKNNGRINN Feb25 Mar26 Feb26 Feb05 Jan22 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 1.60 42% 1.40    
 
HOU-2   03/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEVER OVER ME Sep08 Jul31 Jun26 Jun11 May15 (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 20.00    
SCR  HARD CANDY Jan18 Dec17 Nov11 Jul23 Jun18 (hernandez l)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
3  SONG SPECTACULAR Jan20 Dec27 Oct19 Jun22   (gonzalez ja)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  FAR FROM FINAL Feb10 Jan15 Nov23 Oct22 Sep14 (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 1.20 35% 1.80    
SCR  ELKHORN WARRIOR Nov26         (young scott)MELANCON JANSEN 115 6.00 16% 5.40    
6  BRAHMS BOY Feb10 Apr28 Mar25 Mar12 Feb10 (lloyd an)MORA GERARDO 123 3.00 ★    
 
HOU-3   03/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREW CREW Feb17 Feb03 Nov22 Nov07 Oct07 (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 12.00    
2  PRIME CODE Feb17 Jan13 Dec08 Nov30 Oct22 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 123 6.00 ★    
3  BEHIND THE CURTAIN Feb05 Jan22 Jan13 Jul21 Jun24 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 123 4.50    
4  SHARP CHARLIE Feb16 Dec27 Nov30 Aug09 Jul16 (thomas lee)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 3.50 16% 5.20    
5  JAMES'S MOONSHINE Sep03 Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jun09 (young scott)MELANCON JANSEN 123 15.00 13% 6.50    
6  SEIZE THE TREASURE Jan14 Dec01 Nov05 Oct07 Aug26 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.80 25% 3.00    
7  BOLD N WILD Feb17 Jan22 Jun16 May21 Apr08 (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 4.00 21% 3.70    
 
HOU-4   03/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAMS ROCKETMAN Feb05 Jan07       (bustamante )HAMILTON WESTON 122 30.00    
  (by EAGLE out of DREAM DREAM by TOO MUCH BLING)
2  IN BOND WE TRUST         (davidson )RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 20.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of ANOTHER BOND GIRL by DON'T GET MAD)
3  YOU EFF OH         (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 122 30.00    
  (by STARSHIP out of ALBRIGHTNSHINY by CONFEDERATE HERO)
4  PROPERLY CONNECTED Feb04 Jan20 Dec20 Dec01 Oct14 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 122 8.00 5% 17.30    
  (by CONNECT out of UPANDTOTHERIGHT by CREATIVE CAUSE)
5  GONE COUNTRY         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by MASTERY out of GONE BLUES by CURLIN)
6  RODEO CHAMP Feb05 Dec07       (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 3.50 13% 6.50    
  (by LORD NELSON out of LADY LAPUMA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
7  KISSES PER DIEM Feb05 Jul17 Jun25     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 20% 3.90    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of NEVERTOOMANYKISSES by CHECKLIST)
8  OLCZYK         (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 6.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of ELUSIVE COLLECTION by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
9  SUPER PROSPECTOR Feb03 Jan14 Dec15     (a)DE CRUZ 122 15.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of BODIE'S VALENTINE by BODEMEISTER)
10  GWYNETH'S MALIBU         (willis mind)WETHEY JR 122 4.00 34% 2.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MYSTIC MIRACLE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
HOU-5   03/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3 F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MENDI'S GIRL Feb17 Jan13 Dec14 Nov02 Sep23 (young bob)ALVAREZ L 122 4.50 9% 10.30    
2  MAGICALSTORM Feb11         (hjort donna)MELANCON JANSEN 122 12.00    
3  TALE OF ATREIDES Feb19 Jun09       (davidson )RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 20.00    
4  YOUNEEDTOCALMDOWN Feb10 Jan22 Dec15 Sep30   (williams st)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 30.00    
5  EMMYLOU SQUALL Mar03         (jacks karen)HAMILTON WESTON 122 6.00 20% 4.10    
6  PURRFECT MOON Feb19 Jan13 Dec14     (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 122 2.50 ★    
7  SIMPERING SMILE Jan25 Dec11 Nov24 Oct21 Sep09 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.60 25% 3.10    
8  TENDER LOVE         (ashford ray)DIEGO V 122 8.00 23% 3.30    
 
HOU-6   03/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREYSTOKE Feb10 Jul22 Jul02 Jun10   (w)DE CRUZ 119 12.00    
2  TWELVE PACK Jun23 May22 Feb17 Feb05   (harrison rebec)MATA U 119 30.00    
3  STAN'S MIRACLE MAN Feb11 Jan15 Dec15 Nov18 Oct22 (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 4.00 63% 0.60    
4  SUPREME CAPO Mar03 Jan22 May29 May08 Mar25 (echeverria )OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 20.00    
5  COWBOY RIDGE Mar03 Jan27 Jan14 Oct22 Sep11 (kotara ronald)MORA GERARDO 119 10.00    
6  UPTOWNEAGLESLANDED Sep16 Jul17 Jun16 May29 May07 (padilla c)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 3.50 8% 12.00    
7  BLING MOUNTAIN Jan15 Nov05 Oct15 Sep28 Sep17 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 119 2.50 ★    
8  WITT AMERICA Feb25 Feb17 Sep27 Sep07 Aug09 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 123 6.00    
9  FANDO Jul22 May29 May08 Mar25 Mar09 (uriegas hen)HAMILTON WESTON 119 8.00 ★    
10  GET WITT GONE Feb25 Feb03 Jan20 Sep27 Sep13 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 119 15.00    
SCR  GRAMI'S BOY Feb12 Jan15 May08 Mar23 Mar11 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 2.00 7% 13.70    
 
HOU-7   03/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($14K) 3 ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORO TRENDSETTER Feb20 Jul23 Jun26     (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 20.00    
2  LITTLE JOHN HENRY Feb26 Feb11 Jan16     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 15.00    
3  LEGAL EAGLE Feb26 Jan16 Nov25 Sep02 Jul17 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.50 58% 0.70    
4  EAGLEFORD Feb20 Jan27       (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 8.00 ★    
5  FLYING G Feb12 Jan16 Dec07 Nov22   (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 122 8.00    
6  SAMSPLAYERSLOUNGE Feb20 Jan14 Nov25 Jul23 Jun05 (gelner j)DIAZ RENE 122 5.00 ★    
7  RED DRAW Feb20 Jan21 Nov03 Sep24 Sep02 (young scott )PIVARAL GERBER 122 15.00    
8  DEVITO Feb26 Jan14 Jan06 Nov07 Oct14 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 3.50 11% 8.40    
9  PUNTO RAFFA VOLO Feb11 Jan21 Jan07     (cravens ron)MELANCON JANSEN 122 4.00 ★    
 
HOU-8   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JESUIT Feb10 Jan01 Nov11 Sep28 Feb28 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00    
2  SCARYATCANTERBURY Feb16 Jan13 Dec02 Nov19 Nov07 (silva migue)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 20.00    
3  EUROEAST Mar04 Feb05 Jan22 Jan13 Dec17 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  KING OF JERSEY Jan20 Jan06       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 115 2.50 47% 1.10    
5  GUSTAVO Feb10 Jan27 Jan06 Aug29 Aug08 (gustafson)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 115 4.00 15% 5.70    
6  RYE RUNNER Feb10 Jan20 Dec16 Nov30 Nov12 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 6.00 ★    
7  ROMANCER Feb05 Jan22 Dec09 Nov19 Nov02 (asmussen steve)MORA GERARDO 123 10.00 14% 6.10    
8  JOAN'S JUNIOR Feb10 Jan13 Dec03 Nov05 Oct15 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 12.00    
9  LET'S TIE ONE ON Feb10 Jan20 Jul17 Jun19 May15 (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 115 15.00    
 
HOU-9   03/11/2023 5940ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT STOVE LEAGUE Jan27 Jan08 Dec17 Dec07 Nov24 (ashford)GONCALVES R 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  VIOLIN MAKER Feb17 Nov07 Oct07 Sep14 Sep01 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 119 4.00 8% 12.00    
3  TURN ON THE MAGIC Mar03 Feb17 Jan21 Jan14 Dec22 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 119 8.00    
4  EXETER Mar03 Feb17 Jan20 Nov07 Oct26 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.50 33% 2.00    
5  SWEET MEDICINE Feb10 Jan14 Dec03 Nov14 Nov07 (williams st)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  FLEXATI Nov14 Nov05 Sep17 Sep07 Jul16 (bravo franci)ALVAREZ L 119 30.00    
7  MIDAS CAT Mar03 Feb10 Nov07 Oct07 Sep21 (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 119 12.00    
8  D TOWN BABY Feb26 Feb10 Jan14 Dec02 Nov14 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 119 8.00    
9  BRICKBAT Feb10 Jan08 Dec13 Nov15 Nov08 (ashford r)HAMILTON WESTON 119 6.00    
10  CONVICTION TRADE Feb17 Oct27 Jun17 Jun09 May19 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 3.00 25% 2.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.