Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Lone Star Park
Saturday - April 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LS-3   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $9.00 $3.00 50%
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-5 $58.80 $40.80 227%
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1/5)-(2/4/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00  1-5-4 $75.55 $66.55 739%
    SFT (2/4/1)-(2/4/1/5)-(2/4/1/5)-(2/4/1/5) 18 $0.10 $1.80  1-5-4-2 $43.34 $41.54 2308%
LS-5   WIN (6/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $9.80 $1.80 23%
LS-7   EXA (6/2/3/4)-(6/2/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-3 $36.00 $12.00 50%
    DD (10/6/3/8/7)-(6/2/3/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00  3-6 $48.60 $8.60 22%

Simulator Race results

 
LS-1   04/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:15     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRANK THE MAYOR 5 2 5 4¼   1½ 1 (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.50 2.50  
HOT STOVE LEAGUE 1 4 3 3.2   2½ 2 (ashford)GONCALVES R 124 3.00 12% 7.30 4.90 P
LAB RAT 2 3 1nk 2nk   3 312¼ (scholl kevi)WETHEY JR 124 1.80 1.00  
DAAHERS BULLY 3 1 2nk 1nk   46 413 (b)DE CRUZ 124 12.00 10% 8.70 7.90  
CAYMANS COBRA 4 5 42 5   513 531¾ (duhon pau)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 4.00 50% 1.00 4.90  
SCR  DRUM AND BASS               (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 124 20.00    
 
LS-2   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:233 :484 1:021     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAIN TAP WATER 5 3 3½ 1½   1 1 (capp)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 3.50 1.00  
  (by TAPITURE out of SHE'S PLAIN JANE by INTO MISCHIEF)
MR. VALENTINO 2 4 42 31   2 2 (keen da)GONCALVEZ F 122 10.00 3.00 P
  (by REVOLVING out of FLAIR FOR FASHION by OLD FASHIONED)
HYPERION NORTH 1 5 5 53   44 310 (t)DE CRUZ 122 12.00 3.80  
  (by HYPERION TAP out of LEGACY'S HOPE by ALDEBARAN)
RIP RULES 4 2 2nk 2½   33 417¾ (echeverri)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 20.00 6.00  
  (by BRADESTER out of GIRL'S RULE by ROMAN RULER)
XANDER S 3 1 1nk 4   59 534½ (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 122 20.00 6.00  
  (by ROMAN GLADIATOR out of DIXIE DUCES by CARSON CITY)
SCR  HARD GOLD               (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 1.00 54% 0.90    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of MAQUITA ELAINE by HARD SPUN)
SCR  TIZ BODHI BOY               (pish danny)WETHEY JR 122 2.50 19% 4.40    
  (by HALF OURS out of CADEBRIE by TIZNOW)
 
LS-3   04/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:23 :471 :594     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXAS ASCOT QUEEN 1 3 1nk 1   12 1nk (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 6.00 14% 6.20 3.50 W
MARIAH'S CANDY 5 6 5 43   22 2nk (gelner j)MORA GERARDO 124 5.00 7.60 P
TOTAL MALICE 4 5 6 6   35 3 (g)DE CRUZ 122 4.00 20% 4.00 7.30 S
DOWNTOWN ABBY 2 2 2nk 2   4 4 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 120 2.50 37% 1.70 2.50  
DEL MAR DRAMA 6 7 7 7   5 57 (diodoro robertino)ELLIOTT S 120 2.00 3.10  
SUMMER CAT 7 1 4 5   6 6 (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 15.00 11.10  
BABY BLUE EYES 3 4 3.2 3   712½ 717 (ashf)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 15.00 5.50  
 
LS-4   04/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
See original race card.
:234 :473       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHUNK 7 8 2nk 12   16 1 (davis sha)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 118 5.00 1.90  
LUMBERJACK LESLIE 3 4 6 54   5 2 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 12.00 10.30  
MAMA'S NIGHT OUT 4 5 54 6   69 39 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 118 10.00 5% 19.00 5.50 S
QUEENS HOLIDAY 6 2 42 22   26 410 (padilla car)WETHEY JR 118 6.00 5.90  
IN THE FAST LANE 1 3 3 43   48 510 (caldwell r)DIEGO V 118 15.00 12.10  
SHEZA HUNK 8 1 1nk 3   3 611 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 3.00 13% 6.40 5.00  
ABIGAIL ALDEN 2 6 75 7   710½ 715½ (k)DE CRUZ 124 4.00 51% 1.00 10.80  
STARTECA 5 7 8 86   813 816½ (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 118 2.50 5% 19.00 4.90  
 
LS-5   04/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 ALL PT- 4:27
See original race card.
:243 :503 1:164 1:294   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUITAR BOY 5 2 21 21 2nk 1½ 15 (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 3.00 29% 2.40 3.90 W
MY BOY BLING 4 5 4 43 32 3 25 (baldi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 3.50 4.00  
NOISE COMPLAINT 6 3 11 11 1nk 2½ 3 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 2.50 28% 2.60 1.50 S
NIGHTWIND 3 4 64 6 4 56 412½ (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 6.00 10.30  
POSEIDONS WAVE 1 1 3 3 5 4 514½ (clary jayla)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 4.50 7% 13.00 5.10  
SLIM JIMMY 2 6 53 5 6 69 614½ (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 15.00 4.70  
SCR  DOUGH BOY               (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 8.00 9% 9.70    
 
LS-6   04/15/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:113 1:233   1:30   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROBO 3 1 12 1½   1 1¾ (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 2.50 15% 5.50 3.10 W
PARROT HEAD 9 5 54 4¾   3 2¾ (govea cesar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 15.00 17.60  
OPTIMAL TRIP 2 3 65 5   2 3 (rossi j)DIEGO V 120 12.00 27.00  
BUBBA BLING 7 6 86 7   7 43 (dupuy allen)ALVAREZ L 120 15.00 8% 11.70 12.80  
FRED'STWIRLINCANDY 6 7 33 2½   4 53 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 3.50 20% 4.00 3.50  
10  WHISKEY NOT WINE 10 10 9 6   6 6 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 4.50 22% 3.50 2.90  
CLIFF DIVER 1 4 22 3½   54 74 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 8.00 12.70  
MALIBU S S 8 9 76 8   819¾ 824¼ (b)DE CRUZ 122 5.00 9% 10.10 5.40  
HOOVES YOUR DADDY 4 8 1016½ 913¾   924¾ 927 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 12.00 10.80  
KISS ME D ORO 5 2 4 10100   10100 10100 (loma humberto )MORA GERARDO 120 30.00 26.80  
SCR  KOKOKOMO               (pish danny)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 2.00    
 
LS-7   04/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:234 :483       1:013   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAYLEE'S SHADOW 6 1 2 2½   1nk 1 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 118 1.40 41% 1.40 2.50 W
DOC'S BUD 3 4 4 31   4¾ 2 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 5.00 10% 9.00 6.20 P
HAILEY'S JEWEL 1 2 3 41   3½ 3 (g)DE CRUZ 118 20.00 21.10  
SKYSPEIGHT 5 3 1 1½   2nk 4 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 15.00 16.90  
PIEL MORENA 4 7 7 8   5 510¼ (chacaltana )OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 15.00 6% 14.70 9.90  
GRANTASTIC MARIA 2 5 54 7   6 610¼ (scholl kevi)WETHEY JR 118 2.00 16% 5.10 1.70  
WITT'S GRIS 7 6 6 53   7 712¾ (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 118 20.00 15.70  
CRANKY SHEILA 8 8 8 6   8 814 (whitelaw michael )DIEGO V 118 4.50 4.20  
 
LS-8   04/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:51
See original race card.
:224 :474       1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SATIN HEART 4 2 33 2   24 1 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 118 3.50 2.20  
GLITZ AND GLAMOUR 3 1 1 1   14 2 (b)DE CRUZ 118 5.00 11.10 P
JUSTCAUSEICAN 1 8 8 7   4 3 (cappellucci )ALVAREZ L 118 10.00 14.30  
ANNA B 8 6 4 4   37 4 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 3.00 35% 1.80 3.70  
PHARME'S PHINALE 6 4 66 6   611½ 59 (jacks karen)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00 13.70  
MEMORABLE FLIGHT 2 5 5 57   59 69 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 124 4.50 2.50  
FREE DROP GYPSY 5 7 7 8   713½ 710 (scholl kevi)WETHEY JR 118 4.00 36% 1.80 7.10  
J M SKY CLASSIC 7 3 2 3   815½ 821 (mejia jacobo)MORA GERARDO 124 10.00 12.40  
 
LS-9   04/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:122 1:251   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG WAVE JAMES 7 7 21 2½ 11 14 1 (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 6.00 10.00  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of SUZY MALIBU by MALIBU MOON)
WHITEROSE JEWEL 3 5 6 77 77 4 2 (cravens ii)DIAZ RENE 124 3.00 38% 1.60 3.20 P
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of FINN'S JEWEL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
GOLDEN FLASH 2 6 32 4 43 24 3 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 12.00 12% 7.40 13.50 S
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FRUHL'S GOLD by CRAFTY PROSPECTOR)
MAN IN THE MIDDLE 1 2 1017½ 1010¼ 98 3 43 (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 30.00 17.90  
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of DAME FORTUNE by INTO MISCHIEF)
GOLD BARON 8 4 8 67 6 6 5 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 2.50 22% 3.50 2.20  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of FIFTYSHADESOFGOLD by MY GOLDEN SONG)
HUMOR ME PLEASE 4 1 57 5 56 7 6 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 113 20.00 14.40 DH
  (by LEA out of UNDISTORTED by DISTORTED HUMOR)
TOP COP 9 9 7 88 8 8 6 (willis )GONCALVES R 124 10.00 9.90 DH
  (by UNIFIED out of TOP SPIN by STREET CRY (IRE))
10  BENISSIMO 10 8 43 31 3 5 8 (keithan ra)ERAMIA E 124 5.00 6.10  
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of ROMANTICISM by GONE WEST)
RAIL TOWN 5 3 11 1½ 21 910¼ 9 (ashf)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 6.00 7.40  
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of CHARMING BECKY by DIXIE UNION)
UPTOWN BIGBADJON 6 10 913½ 910 10 1015¼ 1015¾ (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 12.00 17.90  
  (by STREET MAGICIAN out of MERRIWEATHER by OPENING VERSE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.