The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Lonestar Park
Thursday - April 13, 2023

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LS-1   04/13/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Bluebonnet Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
:234 :47       1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMA DISCREET LADY 5 2 2 3.2   11 18 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 1.80 52% 0.90 1.30 W
UPTOWNBLINGITHOME 2 4 32 1nk   21 28 (padilla car)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 118 10.00 7.40  
UNIQUE BABE 1 5 5 5   33(ashford h)GONCALVES R 118 15.00 8.50  
LADY AVE 3 3 43 4¾   44(asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 1.60 1.30  
BOERNE 4 1 1 2nk   515½ 556 (diodoro rober)WETHEY JR 118 6.00 24% 3.20 5.50  
SCR  HEAVENLY RHYTHM               (hur)DE CRUZ 118 8.00    
SCR  IZATIZ               (gomez c)MELANCON JANSEN 118 20.00    
SCR  TAKE CHARGE WOMAN               (duhon paul)DIEGO V 118 12.00    
 
LS-2   04/13/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:03
:231 :473 1:003     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YVONNE'S MISS 2 4 4 31   1½ 1(morey e)ELLIOTT S 118 2.00 28% 2.60 0.30 W
MISCHIEF ANGEL 4 1 21 21   2½ 2(eoff terry)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 118 15.00 5.00  
PIECE OF ME 1 3 11 11   3½ 3(govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 12.00 6.90  
BELL PEPPER 3 2 3 4   44(winslow jan)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 8.00 3.90  
SCR  BODEFIDE               (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 3.00    
SCR  LIL MISS SUNSHINE               (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 1.60 48% 1.10    
SCR  RUN FOR MRS RIGGS               (padilla carlo)HAMILTON WESTON 124 15.00    
 
LS-3   04/13/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:31
:232 :472 1:00     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN FOREST 6 1 3 32   12 1(pish danny)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 1.80 14% 6.10 0.90 W
IBERIAN RUNNER 5 2 1 2nk   22 2(gov)DE CRUZ 124 2.50 47% 1.10 3.80 P
VALDINA DREAMS 4 4 2 1nk   339 (payne )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.00 10% 8.60 3.70 S
GOLD CAPO 1 3 4 5   4415½ (echeverria he)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 10.00 14.60  
TITO 3 6 65 46   69 518 (chaparro gayla)JUDE JOHN 124 20.00 7.30  
MUD ON MY BOOTS 2 5 5 6   5618¼ (echeverria )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 118 20.00 8.60  
SCR  BEYOND INFINITY               (gustafs)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 3.50 9% 10.80    
 
LS-4   04/13/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 8:59
:234 :472 1:13     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAMPTON 7 1 43 32   21¾ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.60 39% 1.50 1.50 W
LOOK SHARP 1 6 1½ 1½   12¾ (davis )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00 8.10  
PUNCTUALITY 4 4 32 4   33¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 4.50 6.40  
JOHNNY APPLESEED 6 2 6 54   54(willis mindy)WETHEY JR 122 8.00 9% 10.80 10.70  
I AM GRODD 3 3 53 6   45(williams steve )CABRERA DAVID 122 8.00 7.40  
IT'LL DO 5 7 7 716½   712¾ 612 (davis sha)GONCALVES R 122 6.00 4.90  
GONE COUNTRY 2 5 2½ 2½   6720½ (calhoun willia)ALVAREZ L 122 3.00 29% 2.40 3.60  
 
LS-5   04/13/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:27
:243 :492 1:143 1:27   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUARTERBACK DAK 4 6 36 3 2 1nk 1½ (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 124 4.50 15% 5.50 2.50 W
WARRIOR'S MAP 1 4 22 2 1 2nk 2½ (davidson sa)TRIANA JR 124 6.00 6.90  
MOOJAB JR 5 5 611 4 32 32 3(butler ken )RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 3.50 34% 2.00 6.80 S
CELERITY 2 2 59 610½ 64 446 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 124 1.80 17% 4.80 1.50  
TIO BLAS 6 3 4 5 43 55 59 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 5.00 6% 15.40 5.30  
CADDO FOX 3 1 12 1 5 613 639 (payne w)DIEGO V 124 20.00 6.40  
SCR  CARPE EROS               (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 8.00    
SCR  GOLD ACCOUNT               (eoff te)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 20.00    
 
LS-6   04/13/2023 4950ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 9:55
:234 :473 1:113     1:302   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SIR LIAM 10 6 22 2½   15 1(gelner jayde )WETHEY JR 122 2.00 52% 0.90 1.00 W
DAWSON CITY 3 8 6 3   25 2(ashford h)GONCALVES R 122 4.50 14% 5.90 4.10 P
NERKY ROSE 6 10 1011½ 910½   47 3(cal)DE CRUZ 122 6.00 13.90  
BAY BE GONE 4 5 78 6   57 4(garza )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 6.00 15.30  
WILD WING 7 3 4 77   711 510 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 9% 10.00 4.00  
DREAMS ROCKETMAN 5 1 12 1½   3612 (bustamante ray)MORA GERARDO 122 20.00 21.90  
MR. MUNNINGS 9 2 3 4   69 713½ (young scott)TRIANA JR 122 8.00 23.20  
WITT SWEET SIXTEEN 8 7 56 55   812½ 815¼ (davidson sarah)PIVARAL GERBER 122 30.00 28.50  
PRINCE CURLIN 2 9 8 89   914½ 916½ (eoff te)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 30.00 26.60  
WELLWRIT 1 4 9 1015½   1026½ 1030½ (glover tracey)HAMILTON WESTON 122 20.00 17.40  
SCR  BOUGIE JOE               (craddock )GONCALVES R 122 3.00    
 
LS-7   04/13/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-10:23
:234 :464 1:114     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALATIAL TIMES 2 2 1½ 1nk   11 1½ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 5.00 9.60  
BOOTSIE'S GALAXY 1 6 2½ 5   42½ (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 1.80 19% 4.20 1.30 P
DRIVEHAPPY 7 5 6 4   53¾ (willis mindy)WETHEY JR 124 6.00 14.50  
RED N WILD 3 3 4¾ 2nk   21 4(eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 8.00 8.00  
CHARLIECANDO 5 4 5 6   65(davidson sa)TRIANA JR 122 15.00 19.30  
CUCINA 4 1 3½ 3.2   31 6(ashford h)GONCALVES R 122 4.50 9% 10.20 9.90  
CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH 6 7 7 7   77(davidson nico)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 42% 1.40 1.60  
 
LS-8   04/13/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-10:51
:25 :492 1:142 1:272   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RANDELLO 2 3 1 1½ 11 12 13 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 4.00 2.80  
GORDON ANTHONY 1 1 32 31 42 22 23 (butler ken )RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 6.00 9.20  
MAU MAU 3 2 2 2½ 21 33(asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 124 2.00 27% 2.70 1.10 S
UNION STATION 5 5 54 5 57 548 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 5.00 8.10  
DEVAMANI (FR) 4 4 4 4 3 458 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 2.50 38% 1.60 2.40  
SCR  ACCRUAL               (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 118 20.00 13% 7.00    
SCR  STRICTLY CONFIDENT               (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 118 12.00    
SCR  WEST TEXAS BOB               (butler w)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 30.00    
 
LS-9   04/13/2023 3300ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:19
:214 :452       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAN'S TURN TO WIN 1 7 910¼ 9   512 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 3.50 9% 9.70 4.30 W
SHACKED STATESIDE 4 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 22 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 118 6.00 6.50 P
MISSISZIPPY BLING 3 2 5 6   633 (davidson sarah)PIVARAL GERBER 124 3.00 18% 4.60 2.60 S
10  SWIFT RED BIRD 10 3 2nk 2nk   2½ 44 (bustamante ray)MORA GERARDO 120 12.00 11.30  
EAGLE EXPRESS 5 5 43 4   354 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 5.00 37% 1.70 6.50  
LEXINGTON DIVA 8 10 1010¾ 10   96(govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 12.00 23.60  
XTRA SPICY 7 8 7 7   86 7(jacks e)ALVAREZ L 122 4.00 7% 12.70 2.90  
HEAD OVER BOOTS 6 6 8 8   78(echeverria )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 20.00 18.80  
LET FREEDOM BLING 2 4 3 31   42 96 (caldwe)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 10.00 21.20  
MISS CARMEN 9 9 6 5   101013¾ (willis mindy)WETHEY JR 120 20.00 35.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.