Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Thursday - April 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (8/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/7)-(8/7/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (8/7)-(8/7/3)-(8/7/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (8/7)-(3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (8/7)-(3)-(5/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LS-2   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3)-(5/7/4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (3)-(5/7/4)-(7/2/6) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
LS-3   WIN (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/4)-(5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/4)-(7/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4)-(7/2/6)-(7/4/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-4   WIN (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/6)-(7/2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/6)-(7/2/6/3)-(7/2/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/2/6)-(7/4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6)-(7/4/6/8)-(10/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-5   WIN (7/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/8)-(7/4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/8)-(7/4/6/8)-(7/4/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/6/8)-(10/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6/8)-(10/3/7)-(6/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-6   WIN (10/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/3/7)-(10/3/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (10/3/7)-(10/3/7/4)-(10/3/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (10/3/7)-(6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (10/3/7)-(6/1/4)-(6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LS-7   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4/2)-(6/1/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(6/5)-(5/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-8   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/5)-(5/3/1/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
LS-9   WIN (5/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/7/4)-(5/3/1/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   04/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bluebonnet Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNIQUE BABE Mar26 Mar05 Jan08 Mar27 Feb20 (ashford)GONCALVES R 118 15.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SLAMITAGAIN by GRAND SLAM)
2  UPTOWNBLINGITHOME Mar25 Jul16 Jun24 May08   (padilla c)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 118 10.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of ISLAND ARTIST by ARTIE SCHILLER)
3  LADY AVE Mar25 Jan27 Jan06 Nov22 Nov03 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 1.60 ★    
  (by BIND out of ASTORIA SONG by THUNDER GULCH)
SCR  TAKE CHARGE WOMAN Mar25 Feb04 Jan16 Nov30 Sep25 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 118 12.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of IMA THREE BLINGER by TOO MUCH BLING)
SCR  IZATIZ Mar25 Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 Dec08 (gomez david)MELANCON JANSEN 118 20.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of TIZ TIZ by TIZNOW)
SCR  HEAVENLY RHYTHM Mar25 Feb20 Jan16 Aug05 Jul17 (h)DE CRUZ 118 8.00 ★    
  (by CONGAREE out of ROCKINTOTHERHYTHM by BROAD BRUSH)
7  BOERNE Mar25 Jul17 Jun19 May21 Apr28 (diodoro rob)WETHEY JR 118 6.00 24% 3.20    
  (by FED BIZ out of SEEKING THE JEWEL by SEEKING THE GOLD)
8  IMA DISCREET LADY Mar25 Feb18 Jan16 Jan06 Dec17 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 1.80 52% 0.90    
  (by DISCREET CAT out of IMA THREE BLINGER by TOO MUCH BLING)
 
LS-2   04/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RUN FOR MRS RIGGS         (padilla car)HAMILTON WESTON 124 15.00 ★    
2  PIECE OF ME Feb16 Feb02 Jan07 Dec10 Nov18 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 12.00    
3  YVONNE'S MISS May27         (morey e)ELLIOTT S 118 2.00 28% 2.60    
4  BELL PEPPER Feb12 Jan27 Dec19 Nov25 Oct22 (winslow j)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 8.00    
SCR  LIL MISS SUNSHINE Mar18 Feb02       (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 1.60 48% 1.10    
6  MISCHIEF ANGEL Mar03 Jan27 Nov11     (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 118 15.00    
SCR  BODEFIDE Apr07 Feb19 Jan21 Jan07 Nov18 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 3.00 ★    
 
LS-3   04/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD CAPO Apr07 Feb17 Jan13 Jul09 Jun18 (echeverria )BARANDELA SOFIA 119 10.00    
  (by BETA CAPO out of SATIN GOLD by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
2  MUD ON MY BOOTS Mar31         (echeverri)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 118 20.00    
  (by BETA CAPO out of EARLY M by EARLY FLYER)
3  TITO Feb19 Jan13 Jul22     (c)MENCHACA-CORONADO A 124 20.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of PETE'S FIVE by ARCH)
4  VALDINA DREAMS Mar24 Mar03 Feb19 Feb03 Jan13 (payn)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.00 10% 8.60    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of PATA FRESCA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  IBERIAN RUNNER Apr07 Mar24 Apr01 Mar23   (g)DE CRUZ 124 2.50 47% 1.10    
  (by EL KINGDOM out of LIL PRECIOUS by FORESTRY)
SCR  BEYOND INFINITY (FR)         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 3.50 9% 10.80    
  (by SEPTIEME CIEL out of ANCHORS AWAY (FR) by FABULOUS DANCER)
7  AMERICAN FOREST Mar31 Mar17 Mar05 Jun26 Jun10 (pish danny)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 1.80 14% 6.10    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of THE CAT WHO by MAGIC CAT)
 
LS-4   04/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 8:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOK SHARP Feb04         (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of EXTRA SHARP by CHEROKEE RUN)
2  GONE COUNTRY Mar11         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
  (by MASTERY out of GONE BLUES by CURLIN)
3  I AM GRODD Mar31 Mar18 Feb24 Feb03 Jan14 (williams stev)CABRERA DAVID 122 8.00 ★    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of BALTIC NATIONS by SEATTLE SLEW)
4  PUNCTUALITY         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 4.50    
  (by UNION RAGS out of ETIQUETTE by TAPIT)
5  IT'LL DO Feb11         (davis s)GONCALVES R 122 6.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of TIZNOW'S SMILE by TIZNOW)
6  JOHNNY APPLESEED Mar31         (willis mind)WETHEY JR 122 8.00 9% 10.80    
  (by GORMLEY out of APPEALING APPLE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
7  CAMPTON Feb24 Jan14       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.60 39% 1.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SAMIAM by DYNAFORMER)
 
LS-5   04/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CARPE EROS Feb17 Feb03 Dec14 Nov21 Nov03 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 8.00    
2  WARRIOR'S MAP Mar31 Feb17 Feb04 Jan16 Sep13 (davidson )TRIANA JR 124 6.00    
SCR  GOLD ACCOUNT Mar31 Feb25 Oct08 Sep22 Sep10 (eoff )MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 20.00    
4  CELERITY Mar31 Mar17 Mar03 Feb05 Dec11 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 1.80 17% 4.80    
5  CADDO FOX Mar11 Feb18 Jan20 Apr09 Mar03 (payne w)DIEGO V 124 20.00    
6  QUARTERBACK DAK Mar25 Feb18 Jan20 Nov12 Oct12 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 124 4.50 15% 5.50    
7  MOOJAB JR Mar25 Mar03 Feb18 Jan22 Oct27 (butler ke)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 3.50 34% 2.00    
8  TIO BLAS Mar01 Feb16 Jan05 Nov18 Oct15 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 5.00 6% 15.40    
 
LS-6   04/13/2023 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WELLWRIT Apr02 Mar09 Feb18     (glover trac)HAMILTON WESTON 122 20.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of ANNA ELIZABETH by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
2  PRINCE CURLIN Mar31 Feb03 Jan13     (eoff )MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 30.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of MIZ STRAWBERRY DEE by ATTICUS)
3  DAWSON CITY Mar18 Feb05       (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 4.50 14% 5.90    
  (by LAOBAN out of SWEET SARANNA by FOREST DANGER)
4  BAY BE GONE Mar19 Feb26 Feb12 Feb03 Jan13 (garz)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 6.00 ★    
  (by KLIMT out of O'HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
5  DREAMS ROCKETMAN Mar11 Feb05 Jan07     (bustamante ray)MORA GERARDO 122 20.00    
  (by EAGLE out of DREAM DREAM by TOO MUCH BLING)
6  NERKY ROSE Mar18 Feb12 Dec07 Oct06   (c)DE CRUZ 122 6.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CORDELHIA by AUSTRALIA (GB))
7  WILD WING Mar24         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 9% 10.00    
  (by TAPIT out of TAIL FEATHER by WAR FRONT)
8  WITT SWEET SIXTEEN Mar31         (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 122 30.00    
  (by DRUMS OF THUNDER out of SHE'S LETHAL by MASS MEDIA)
9  MR. MUNNINGS         (young sco)TRIANA JR 122 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of INDISCRET RANSOM by REGAL RANSOM)
10  SIR LIAM Feb25         (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 2.00 52% 0.90    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of ZOOEY by ZAFARRANCHO (ARG))
SCR  BOUGIE JOE Mar18 Feb12 Jan14 Dec10 Nov15 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 3.00 ★    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of APPEALING CAT by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
LS-7   04/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-10:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOTSIE'S GALAXY Mar19 Mar03 Feb09 Jan05 Dec23 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 1.80 19% 4.20    
2  PALATIAL TIMES Apr01 Mar22 Jan28 Jan19 Dec29 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 5.00 ★    
3  RED N WILD Mar03 Feb20 Jan16 Dec03 Oct12 (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 8.00    
4  CUCINA Mar18 Jan28 Jan12 Dec10 Nov17 (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 4.50 9% 10.20    
5  CHARLIECANDO Mar24 Mar03 Feb10 Jan28 Jan06 (davidson )TRIANA JR 122 15.00    
6  CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH Mar18 Feb04 Jan16 Dec16 Nov12 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
7  DRIVEHAPPY Mar03 Feb17 Feb04 Jan21 Sep25 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 124 6.00    
 
LS-8   04/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-10:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ACCRUAL Jan20 Oct21 Sep03 Aug16   (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 118 20.00 13% 7.00    
2  GORDON ANTHONY Mar17 Jan20 Nov08 Oct26 Oct08 (butler ke)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 6.00    
SCR  WEST TEXAS BOB Mar24 Mar04 Feb09 Jan18 Jan04 (butler ken )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 30.00    
4  RANDELLO Apr01 Mar03 Jan28 Jan06 Dec02 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 4.00    
5  MAU MAU (BRZ) Feb11 Dec17 Nov18 Sep27 Sep04 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
6  DEVAMANI (FR) Feb24 Jan28 Jan20 Oct27 Oct07 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
7  UNION STATION Mar18 Feb17 Jan12 Dec27 Dec10 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 5.00 ★    
SCR  STRICTLY CONFIDENT Mar17 Feb18 Jan21 Nov25 Oct28 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 118 12.00    
 
LS-9   04/13/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAN'S TURN TO WIN Mar26 Feb19 Jan29 Jan20   (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 3.50 9% 9.70    
2  LET FREEDOM BLING Mar05 Feb11 Jan22 Jan07 Jul04 (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 10.00    
3  MISSISZIPPY BLING Mar19 Mar10 Feb20 Jan21 Jan08 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
4  SHACKED STATESIDE Mar19 Mar05 Feb11 Jul08   (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 118 6.00 ★    
5  EAGLE EXPRESS Mar10 Feb12 Jan08 Sep02 Jul22 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 5.00 37% 1.70    
6  HEAD OVER BOOTS Mar10 Feb26 Feb04 Aug27 Jul24 (echeverri)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 20.00    
7  XTRA SPICY Mar26 Mar10 Feb26 Jan27 Jan08 (jacks karen )ALVAREZ L 122 4.00 7% 12.70    
8  LEXINGTON DIVA Mar19 Feb26 Feb10 Jan20 Jan07 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 12.00    
9  MISS CARMEN Mar11 Feb11 Jan22 Jan07   (willis mind)WETHEY JR 120 20.00    
10  SWIFT RED BIRD Jul22 Jul03       (bustamante ray)MORA GERARDO 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.