Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Lone Star Park
Friday - April 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.60 $1.60 27%
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-3 $19.00 $7.00 58%
LS-4   WIN (6/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $14.80 $6.80 85%
LS-6   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $7.20 $1.20 20%
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3/8/7)-(1/5/3/8/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-1-5 $22.40 $4.40 24%
    SFT (1/5/3)-(1/5/3/8/7)-(1/5/3/8/7)-(1/5/3/8/7) 72 $0.10 $7.20  3-1-5-8 $32.15 $24.95 347%
LS-7   WIN (2/1/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $28.40 $20.40 255%
    DD (1/5/3)-(2/1/8/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-8 $85.60 $61.60 257%
LS-8   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $16.00 $10.00 167%
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6/5/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-1 $39.80 $15.80 66%
    SFT (1/4/6)-(1/4/6/5/3)-(1/4/6/5/3)-(1/4/6/5/3) 72 $0.10 $7.20  6-1-3-5 $47.75 $40.55 563%
    DD (2/1/8/5)-(1/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  8-6 $156.40 $132.40 552%
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(2/1/8/5)-(1/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-8-6 $97.30 $79.30 441%
    PK5 (6/2/5/1)-(1/6/3)-(1/5/3)-(2/1/8/5)-(1/4/6) 432 $0.50 $216  2-5-3-8-6 $334.05 $118.05 55%
Simulator Race results
 
LS-1   04/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3 F PT- 7:35
See original race card.
:231 :481 1:013     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WATCH OUT NOW 6 1 11½ 1½   1½ 13½ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.80 9% 10.20 2.80 W
3  TEQUILA EMPIRE 3 4 43½ 42   42½ 23½ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 2.50 13% 6.70 2.10 P
4  MAGICALSTORM 4 2 31½ 2½   2½ 37 (hjort donna)PIVARAL GERBER 122 10.00 4.90  
5  DR Z'S ELSA 5 3 66¼ 32   32½ 49 (silva migue)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 8.00 12.80  
1  GOLD MAKIN GIRL 1 5 56 52¼   54½ 59¼ (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 15.00 13.90  
2  LEPRECHAUN CHARM 2 6 21½ 62¼   68½ 617¾ (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 2.00 56% 0.80 1.90  
 
LS-2   04/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:03
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:143 1:274   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GET WITT GONE 4 1 12½ 12½ 12 16 17¼ (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 124 3.00 6.10  
3  LOVING LUCKY 3 5 45 64¼ 22 26 27¼ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 4.50 2.60  
5  GRAZEN IN THE PARK 5 3 66½ 44 44½ 48 311 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 8.00 7.10  
2  F J'S GEM 2 6 56 54 66 68¾ 411½ (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 3.50 ★ 2.70  
1  FEARLESS PRINCE 1 2 22½ 22½ 55 58¼ 513¼ (tuley rhonda)MORA GERARDO 124 2.50 65% 0.50 3.80  
6  DELIRIUM 6 4 33 33 32½ 38 614¾ (torr)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.00 8% 11.20 3.80  
 
LS-3   04/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:31
See original race card.
:231 :464 :594     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AZUNIA 1 5 11½ 11½   13½ 19¾ (padilla a)DIEGO V 118 2.00 29% 2.40 2.00 W
  (by EUROEARS out of DEELOCA by NAJRAN)
2  OLIVIA'S RACE DAY 2 1 32 43½   46½ 29¾ (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 118 3.50 23% 3.40 1.60 P
  (by RACE DAY out of EVERYTHING BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
4  MORE THAN SHAKIN 4 4 21½ 21½   23½ 310¼ (payne dan)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 118 10.00 ★ 6.00 S
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of MORE THAT LILY by MORE THAN READY)
6  LOCKSMITH LEAH 5 2 53 33   35½ 411¾ (castellanos ja)MORA GERARDO 118 6.00 3.60  
  (by LEA out of AYITA by ASSEMBLY DANCER)
3  BLINGONMERCURY 3 3 42 56½   513½ 524½ (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 118 12.00 5.20  
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of MERCURY MOON by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  BLOOD ORANGE               (h)DE CRUZ 124 4.50 18% 4.50    
  (by PAYNTER out of CITRUS PAD by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  RIVER'S END               (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 4.00    
  (by CONGAREE out of PACK YOUR P J'S by GOLD LEGEND)
 
LS-4   04/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:59
See original race card.
:244 :483 1:142 1:273   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DEANOS CAPE 2 4 1½ 1nk 1½ 12 13 (tuley rhonda)MORA GERARDO 124 4.50 20% 4.10 6.40 W
3  HAMAZING WISDOM 3 1 42 41¾ 2½ 22 23 (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 6.00 6.60  
1  TURN ON THE MAGIC 1 6 63½ 63¾ 62¼ 33½ 35½ (duhon paul)DIEGO V 124 6.00 6% 14.90 3.60 S
7  MISHKO 7 8 87 87¾ 77¼ 58 410½ (silva migue)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 4.00 2.80  
8  RESOLVE NOW 8 2 31 31½ 41½ 47½ 510¾ (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 12.00 6.40  
6  FOREVAMO 6 7 74 53¾ 51¾ 68½ 619¼ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 5.00 24% 3.20 9.20  
4  ONOMATOPOEIA 4 5 2½ 2nk 31½ 711 728¼ (willi)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 6.00 9.90  
5  G'S TURN 5 3 52½ 74¾ 87¾ 818 844½ (davidson )TRIANA JR 124 3.50 19% 4.30 5.50  
 
LS-5   04/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:27
See original race card.
:25 :492 1:153 1:284   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  VEILAZIG 4 1 11 1½ 2nk 11 1½ (hebert matt)MORA GERARDO 124 8.00 4.10  
1  SIMPLE PLEASURE 1 2 41½ 31½ 41 21 2½ (b)DE CRUZ 124 1.60 35% 1.80 1.30 P
6  NORA'S LEGACY 5 5 31 2½ 1nk 31 32¼ (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 5.00 23% 3.30 4.10 S
2  ITS MY MONEY TOO 2 3 52 52½ 3½ 41½ 45¼ (baldillez alejand)DIEGO V 124 2.50 ★ 3.20  
4  SHESMYBROKER 3 4 64½ 63½ 56 57½ 58½ (crumley jevo)ALVAREZ L 124 10.00 10.10  
8  GREY HALO 6 6 21 41½ 621 632½ 660½ (echeverria hect)BENAVIDES D 124 15.00 11.50  
SCR  MAYAPRETTY               (ascencio )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 20.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  PAINTBRUSH               (garza e)DIAZ RENE 124 8.00    
 
LS-6   04/14/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:221 :451       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  UPTOWNEAGLESLANDED 3 5 31 1nk   12½ 11½ (padilla c)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 3.00 16% 5.10 2.60 W
1  WILL THE THRILL 1 8 86 89¾   64¼ 21½ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 1.60 35% 1.90 2.20 P
5  TAPITURE JONES 5 6 53 52¼   33½ 32½ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 5.00 20% 3.90 2.40 S
8  BLING MOUNTAIN 8 3 41½ 31½   22½ 44¼ (willis mind)WETHEY JR 120 4.00 ★ 8.00  
7  LUCKY PROMISE 7 7 74½ 64¼   54 54¾ (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 8.00 ★ 8.20  
2  WITT AMERICA 2 4 64 77¼   86¼ 66 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 124 12.00 23.90  
6  SUPREME CAPO 6 1 21 42   76¼ 77¼ (echeverria hect)BENAVIDES D 120 20.00 24.50  
4  GREYSTOKE 4 2 11 2nk   44 810½ (whitton mar)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 30.00 21.00  
SCR  SHANGHAI GOLD               (echev)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 115 30.00    
 
LS-7   04/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:23
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:141 1:281   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BIG POWER RED 8 7 42 41 3.2 2½ 12 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00 11% 8.40 13.20 W
4  HECOULDGOALLTHEWAY 4 2 21 2½ 2nk 1½ 22 (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 12.00 12.40  
5  LOUIS LE GRANDE 5 3 32 31 51¼ 42 32 (b)DE CRUZ 124 4.50 6% 15.50 3.70 S
1  KENTUCKY PEERLESS 1 4 52¼ 74 71½ 52½ 42¼ (cappellucci dick)DIAZ RENE 124 4.00 14% 6.00 6.70  
3  EYES ON RED 3 1 11 1½ 1nk 32 54¼ (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 124 5.00 6.90  
6  MAX PANDOWDY 6 8 84¾ 87 86½ 74 65¾ (hirdes john)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 10.00 9.30  
2  FRA MAURO 2 6 62¾ 52 41¼ 63½ 76¾ (gustafson au)ALVAREZ L 124 1.60 47% 1.10 1.30  
7  TEXAS TITAN 7 5 73¼ 63 61½ 89 815¾ (payne w)DIEGO V 124 12.00 9.90  
 
LS-8   04/14/2023 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 F PT-10:51
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:122 1:242   1:304   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WILD EXPRESS 6 1 31½ 2½   1nk 11 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.00 W
  (by BAYERN out of HARD GRACE by HARD SPUN)
1  OIL N CANDY 1 4 11 1½   2nk 21 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.00 64% 0.60 1.40 P
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ECHO WARRIOR by TIZNOW)
3  TIZ A KNOCKOUT 3 8 86¼ 74¾   44½ 34½ (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 3.00 ★ 3.60 S
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TIZ CHAMP by TIZNOW)
5  OCCURRENCE 5 2 52½ 32½   33 44½ (cappellucci )ALVAREZ L 122 12.00 ★ 13.50  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of BETH'S AURORA by TRAPPE SHOT)
8  NUBILITY 8 7 64 42½   54¾ 510¼ (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 10.00 10.70  
  (by VIOLENCE out of WIDE RANGE by MINESHAFT)
4  LO PROFILE 4 6 76 86¾   710¾ 610¾ (rossi j)MORA GERARDO 122 3.50 10% 8.90 8.50  
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of GO GO LOLO by AWESOME AGAIN)
7  MAREBELL 7 3 42½ 52¾   66¾ 711¼ (young sco)TRIANA JR 122 20.00 15.00  
  (by COLLECTED out of JAYCEE'S HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  PERFECT MESA 2 5 21 63¼   812¼ 817¾ (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 10.00 15.80  
  (by SKY MESA out of PERFECTA by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
9  MYRTLE BEACH 9 9 911¼ 99¾   914¼ 918 (hurle)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 30.00 10.00  
  (by UNKNOWN out of STROLLIN SOUTH by STROLL)
SCR  CANDY DAY               (crumley jev)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 30.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of TRIFOLIUM by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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