Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Friday - April 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(1/6)-(1/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LS-2   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/6)-(1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(1/2)-(6/2/5/1) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
LS-3   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/2)-(6/2/5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(6/2/5/1)-(1/6) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
LS-4   WIN (6/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/5/1)-(1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/1)-(1/6)-(1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-5   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/6)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(1/5/3)-(2/1/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-6   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3/8/7)-(1/5/3/8/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(2/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(2/1/8/5)-(1/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-7   WIN (2/1/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/5)-(2/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/5)-(2/1/8/5)-(2/1/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/8/5)-(1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LS-8   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6/5/3)-(1/4/6/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   04/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3 F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD MAKIN GIRL Mar03 Nov11 Sep23 Sep03   (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 15.00    
2  LEPRECHAUN CHARM Feb22         (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 2.00 56% 0.80    
3  TEQUILA EMPIRE Mar03 Feb10 Dec30 Nov17 Sep29 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 2.50 13% 6.70    
4  MAGICALSTORM Apr01 Mar11 Feb11     (hjort donna)HAMILTON WESTON 122 10.00    
5  DR Z'S ELSA Mar10 Feb11 Sep15     (silva migue)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 8.00    
6  WATCH OUT NOW Mar10 Feb05 Dec14 Oct28 Aug19 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.80 9% 10.20    
 
LS-2   04/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEARLESS PRINCE Mar18 Mar10 Feb19 Feb03 Jan21 (tuley rhonda)MORA GERARDO 124 2.50 65% 0.50    
2  F J'S GEM Mar05 Feb16 Jan27 Dec30 Dec01 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 3.50 ★    
3  LOVING LUCKY Mar31 Mar05 Oct05 Sep19 Sep03 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 4.50    
4  GET WITT GONE Mar31 Mar11 Feb25 Feb03 Jan20 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 124 3.00    
5  GRAZEN IN THE PARK Mar24 Feb25 Feb03 Jan07 Dec02 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 8.00    
6  DELIRIUM Mar31 Mar24 Feb25 Feb03 May08 (torr)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.00 8% 11.20    
 
LS-3   04/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AZUNIA Mar26 Mar04 Feb11 Jan15   (padilla a)DIEGO V 118 2.00 29% 2.40    
  (by EUROEARS out of DEELOCA by NAJRAN)
2  OLIVIA'S RACE DAY Mar26 Mar04 Feb11 Jan27 Jul21 (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 118 3.50 23% 3.40    
  (by RACE DAY out of EVERYTHING BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
3  BLINGONMERCURY Mar04 Feb18 Jan27 Jan07 Jul21 (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 118 12.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of MERCURY MOON by MALIBU MOON)
4  MORE THAN SHAKIN Mar26 Mar04 Feb14 Jan28 Jan06 (payne dan)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 118 10.00 ★    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of MORE THAT LILY by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  BLOOD ORANGE Mar10 Feb10 Jan08     (h)DE CRUZ 124 4.50 18% 4.50    
  (by PAYNTER out of CITRUS PAD by LEMON DROP KID)
6  LOCKSMITH LEAH Apr07         (castellanos ja)MORA GERARDO 118 6.00    
  (by LEA out of AYITA by ASSEMBLY DANCER)
SCR  RIVER'S END         (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 4.00    
  (by CONGAREE out of PACK YOUR P J'S by GOLD LEGEND)
 
LS-4   04/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TURN ON THE MAGIC Mar24 Mar11 Mar03 Feb17 Jan21 (duhon paul)HAMILTON WESTON 124 6.00 6% 14.90    
2  DEANOS CAPE Apr01 Mar10 Feb26 Feb10 Jan08 (tuley rhonda)MORA GERARDO 124 4.50 20% 4.10    
3  HAMAZING WISDOM Mar23 Feb26 Jan20 Nov18 Nov02 (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 6.00    
4  ONOMATOPOEIA Apr05 Mar07 Jan22 Dec12 Dec01 (willi)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 6.00    
5  G'S TURN Apr01 Mar10 Feb10 Sep25 Sep13 (davidson )TRIANA JR 124 3.50 19% 4.30    
6  FOREVAMO Mar24 Feb19 Jan08 Dec10 Nov09 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 5.00 24% 3.20    
7  MISHKO Jan26 Jan05 Nov24 Nov07 Aug31 (silva migue)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 4.00    
8  RESOLVE NOW Feb03 Jan08 Dec14 Nov18 Nov03 (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 12.00    
 
LS-5   04/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMPLE PLEASURE Feb15 Jan28 Nov15 Sep19 Aug21 (b)DE CRUZ 124 1.60 35% 1.80    
2  ITS MY MONEY TOO Apr02 Jan16 Nov05 Sep03 Jul17 (baldillez alejand)DIEGO V 124 2.50 ★    
SCR  MAYAPRETTY Feb24 Feb04 Jan16 Dec28 Dec15 (ascencio )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 20.00 18% 4.40    
4  SHESMYBROKER Mar17 Feb24 Feb04 Jan07 Dec15 (crumley jevo)ALVAREZ L 124 10.00    
5  VEILAZIG Apr01 Mar10 Feb04 Jan16 Dec07 (hebert matt)HAMILTON WESTON 124 8.00    
6  NORA'S LEGACY Apr01 Mar17 Feb19 Sep15 Aug28 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 5.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  PAINTBRUSH Apr01 Mar17 Feb24 Feb11 May06 (garza e)DIAZ RENE 124 8.00    
8  GREY HALO Apr02         (echeverria hect)BENAVIDES D 124 15.00    
 
LS-6   04/14/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILL THE THRILL Mar17 Feb25 Feb03 Jan22 Sep08 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 1.60 35% 1.90    
2  WITT AMERICA Mar31 Mar11 Feb25 Feb17 Sep27 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 124 12.00    
3  UPTOWNEAGLESLANDED Mar11 Sep16 Jul17 Jun16 May29 (padilla c)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 3.00 16% 5.10    
4  GREYSTOKE Mar11 Feb10 Jul22 Jul02 Jun10 (whitton mar)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 30.00    
5  TAPITURE JONES Mar25 Mar04 Jan20 Nov07 Oct14 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 5.00 20% 3.90    
6  SUPREME CAPO Mar11 Mar03 Jan22 May29 May08 (echeverria hect)BENAVIDES D 120 20.00    
7  LUCKY PROMISE Mar17 Jan21 Dec07 Nov05 Oct14 (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 8.00 ★    
8  BLING MOUNTAIN Mar11 Jan15 Nov05 Oct15 Sep28 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  SHANGHAI GOLD Apr08 Mar24 Feb25 Feb03 Aug27 (echev)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 115 30.00    
 
LS-7   04/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KENTUCKY PEERLESS Mar28 Mar21 Jan10 Nov14 Oct25 (cappellucci dick)DIAZ RENE 124 4.00 14% 6.00    
2  FRA MAURO Mar24 Mar10 Feb26 Feb10 Jan14 (gustafson au)ALVAREZ L 124 1.60 47% 1.10    
3  EYES ON RED Feb26 Feb10 Jan14 Dec15 Nov14 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 124 5.00    
4  HECOULDGOALLTHEWAY Apr02 Mar24 Feb26 Feb10 Jan14 (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 12.00    
5  LOUIS LE GRANDE Mar18 Mar04 Jan20 Jan06 Dec21 (b)DE CRUZ 124 4.50 6% 15.50    
6  MAX PANDOWDY Mar26 Mar05 Feb12 Jan22 Jan01 (hirdes john)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 10.00    
7  TEXAS TITAN Feb10 Jan14 Aug29 Aug14 Aug02 (payne w)DIEGO V 124 12.00    
8  BIG POWER RED Mar24 Dec02 Nov14 Nov02 Oct14 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00 11% 8.40    
 
LS-8   04/14/2023 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 F PT-10:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OIL N CANDY Mar17 Jan27       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.00 64% 0.60    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ECHO WARRIOR by TIZNOW)
2  PERFECT MESA Mar21         (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 10.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of PERFECTA by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
3  TIZ A KNOCKOUT Mar31 Feb17 Jan27     (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 3.00 ★    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TIZ CHAMP by TIZNOW)
4  LO PROFILE Mar17 Mar03       (rossi j)HAMILTON WESTON 122 3.50 10% 8.90    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of GO GO LOLO by AWESOME AGAIN)
5  OCCURRENCE Mar21 Oct24 Oct11     (cappellucci )ALVAREZ L 122 12.00 ★    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of BETH'S AURORA by TRAPPE SHOT)
6  WILD EXPRESS Mar25 Mar10 Feb10 Jan13 Dec14 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BAYERN out of HARD GRACE by HARD SPUN)
7  MAREBELL Mar20 Mar03 Jan15 Dec14 Nov11 (young sco)TRIANA JR 122 20.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of JAYCEE'S HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
8  NUBILITY Mar17 Feb09       (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 10.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of WIDE RANGE by MINESHAFT)
9  MYRTLE BEACH         (hurle)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 30.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of STROLLIN SOUTH by STROLL)
SCR  CANDY DAY Mar26 Feb17 Feb05 Jan27   (crumley jev)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 30.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of TRIFOLIUM by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.