Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Sunday - July 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (7/2/6/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $8.00 $8.00  
SAR-2   Win (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
SAR-3   Win (3/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $18.40 $18.40 10.40
SAR-4   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $3.70 $3.70  
SAR-5   Win (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
SAR-6   Win (10/6/2/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $14.80  
SAR-7   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.90 $3.90  
SAR-8   Win (7/10/4/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $7.70 $7.70  
SAR-9   Win (5/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $8.10 $8.10 0.10
SAR-10   Win (4/12/8/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $8.50 $8.50  
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   07/23/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:241 :494 1:144 1:39   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HARD TO JUSTIFY 2 1 65½ 64 85¾ 51¾ 1nk (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 24% 3.10 3.00 W
7  APPELLATE 7 7 55 53½ 52¾ 41¼ 2nk (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 25% 2.90 5.80 P
9  SNOW DANCE 9 4 22½ 21 21 1nk 3½ (rice kevin)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 13.90  
5  SASSY PRINCESS 5 3 33½ 32 31 2nk 42¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 13.00  
4  KATHERINE THOMAS 4 5 76½ 74 75¼ 85¼ 55½ (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 6.30  
3  LOOKS FIRST 3 2 12½ 11 11 31 66 (donk david)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 8.30  
10  SINTRA 10 8 43½ 42½ 42½ 75¼ 79 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 14.60  
6  MAKIA 6 10 1010 85 64¾ 64¾ 89½ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 8% 11.50 2.80  
1  UNDERTHEMISTLETOE 1 6 98½ 107½ 98¾ 95¾ 911¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 19.40  
8  UNDER THE PALMS 8 9 87½ 95½ 109¾ 1010¾ 1013½ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 5% 19.00 24.75  
SCR  BUCHU               (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
SCR  CAUSEWAY'S JEWEL               (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00    
SCR  JUSTDENY               (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
 
SAR-2   07/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:244 :482 1:121 1:251   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SLIP MAHONEY 2 1 2½ 2½ 11 11 13½ (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 43% 1.30 1.50 W
4  MOUNT UP 4 4 42 41 21 21 23½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 3.95  
3  SET SAIL 3 6 62½ 52½ 43½ 33½ 39 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 2.50 29% 2.40 3.20 S
6  WESTERN GHENT 6 3 31 31 53½ 44½ 410¾ (lukas wayne)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 29.50  
1  LEDDY 1 5 52 63 65½ 64¾ 510¾ (goberdhan chan)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00 5% 19.00 13.60  
5  TOP SECRET 5 2 1½ 1½ 32½ 54½ 611¾ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.50 2.90  
 
SAR-3   07/23/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:221 :564       1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOWDYOUMAKEURMONEY 1 4 52¼ 42   51¾ 1nk (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 8% 11.20 8.20 W
2  FONTANAFREDDA 2 6 63¼ 53   4¾ 2nk (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00 3.55  
4  ITSAKEYPER 4 5 42 32   3½ 3¾ (albertrani th)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00 4.60  
5  SOCIAL WHIRL (IRE) 5 3 21 1½   2½ 43 (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00 12.30  
3  PALACE GOSSIP 3 2 31 2½   1½ 53¼ (dutrow w)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 35% 1.90 2.75  
6  BLAME IT ON MARY 6 1 11 6100   6100 6100 (barker r)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 7% 12.50 1.85  
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 1.40    
SCR  DIVA BANKER               (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00    
SCR  GET THE CANDY               (maker j)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 20% 3.90    
 
SAR-4   07/23/2023 5940ft DIRT RC13 FAST Shuvee Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:244 :494 1:142 1:383   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NEST 2 1 22½ 21½ 2½ 11½ 12¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 0.80 38% 1.60 0.85 W
4  CLAIRIERE 4 4 34 42½ 41½ 21½ 22¼ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 124 0.60 42% 1.40 0.75 P
1  SKRATCH KAT 1 3 44½ 32½ 31½ 34 312¼ (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 17.50  
3  PISTOL LIZ ABLAZEN 3 2 12½ 11½ 1½ 46½ 422 (reid e)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 20.60  
 
SAR-5   07/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:221 :453 1:103     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SPANKHURST 3 3 31 3½   12 14 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 33% 2.00 1.40 W
5  POPPY'S PRIDE 2 2 2nk 2nk   22 24 (rodriguez gustav)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 7.20  
2  CASH NOW 1 5 42 42   34½ 36¾ (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 2.10  
7  THREE TWO ZONE 4 4 54 55½   57 48¼ (trites )HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 12.00 24% 3.20 4.30  
8  PRINTRACK 5 1 1nk 1nk   45½ 58¼ (quick patrick )TORRES A 115 12.00 14% 6.10 5.60  
SCR  ALCOOLS               (levine bruce)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00    
SCR  DURKIN'S CALL               (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
SCR  WINNING DRIVE               (kantarmaci mertkan)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
 
SAR-6   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:221 :452 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SAM'S TREASURE 9 5 2½ 1½   12½ 15¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 6.40  
4  COLONIAL ROSE 4 1 42½ 32½   22½ 25¾ (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 15.70  
7  ALPINE PRINCESS 7 10 85½ 66½   46 39½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 13.40  
8  LIFE'S JOY 8 2 1½ 2½   33½ 411¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 24.25  
1  CANDY LOVER 1 6 53 56   69 516½ (devaux che)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 19.50  
6  LOVE TO EAT 6 3 31½ 43½   58 619¼ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 26% 2.90 10.40  
2  MYSTICAL CHANT 2 4 74½ 1011   812½ 719¼ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 25% 3.00 9.40  
3  ILIKEITLIKETHAT 3 8 95½ 911   913 821¼ (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 32.25  
10  CAMERA 10 9 105¾ 88½   711½ 922¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 26% 2.90 0.70  
5  CREDITOR 5 7 64 78   1013½ 1036¼ (lukas wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 20.00 20.30  
SCR  RINGY DINGY               (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
 
SAR-7   07/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:39
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:094     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  COLONEL BOWMAN 2 2 32 31½   2½ 1½ (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 123 1.20 46% 1.20 0.95 W
6  LORD CAPTAIN 4 1 42 42   32 2½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 8% 11.30 3.35 P
5  CARAMEL CHIP 3 4 21 2½   1½ 3¾ (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 20% 4.00 2.30 S
1  LITTLE DEMON 1 5 11 1½   44½ 47 (toscano t)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 7.10  
8  ROYAL TRYST 5 3 58½ 510   514½ 514¾ (arenas marcelo)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 26.25  
SCR  AMANI'S EAGLE               (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
SCR  FLOAT ON               (jacobson david)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00    
SCR  GLORY ROAD               (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
SCR  LORD GATLING               (pringle edmund)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 50.00    
 
SAR-8   07/23/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:14
See original race card.
:242 :50 1:134 1:373   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  R CALLI KIM 5 7 64 73¾ 63½ 42 11¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 38% 1.60 2.85 W
10  CAFE FLEUR (FR) 8 9 96¼ 95¾ 95¼ 62¾ 21¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 22% 3.50 3.05 P
4  TASS (GB) 3 5 32½ 21 2½ 11 31½ (antonacci philip)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 9% 9.80 2.75 S
5  STRONG ODOR 4 3 42½ 52½ 52 21 41½ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 24.50  
3  LINNY KATE 2 6 53½ 42 41½ 52¼ 54¼ (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 123 20.00 14.90  
11  PEACE SEEKER 9 8 85¾ 84¼ 85¼ 85¾ 65¾ (abreu fernando)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 5.40  
2  SISTER ANNIE 1 4 11½ 11 1½ 32 78¼ (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 7% 14.30 10.00  
9  JACKIE THE JOKER 7 1 21½ 31 31½ 95¾ 811¾ (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 30.00 49.50  
8  LUCKY PERIDOT 6 2 74¼ 62¾ 73¾ 75¼ 912¼ (walder r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 16.70  
SCR  BLUE TIMES               (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00    
SCR  WITH THIS VOW               (dutrow e)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
 
SAR-9   07/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:104     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  OCEAN'S RESERVE 7 2 63½ 62¾   21 11¼ (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00 8% 11.20 3.05 W
6  SCILLY CAY 6 4 810 86¾   63¼ 21¼ (reynolds patrick)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 22.90  
5  MAJORITY PARTNER 5 5 21 2nk   11 31½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 1.80 33% 2.00 2.05 S
2  BIG ENGINE 2 8 53 41¼   42 43½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 10% 8.80 3.45  
8  THRILL OF IT 8 1 42½ 31   32 53½ (terranova john)TORRES A 119 8.00 11.40  
3  MARKET ALERT 3 6 74 74¾   84¼ 64½ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 10.40  
1  WRITER'S REGRET 1 7 11 1nk   53 77 (d'alessandro r)HARKIE K 126 30.00 49.00  
4  ANDIAMO A FIRENZE 4 3 32 51¾   73¾ 812¾ (david a)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 11% 8.30 4.90  
 
SAR-10   07/23/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:213 :443 :562     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  THREE GIRLS 3 2 32 21½   1½ 12¾ (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.00 47% 1.10 3.25 W
11  LADY BANKER 11 1 12 11½   2½ 22¾ (weaver georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 28.75  
7  DANCE WITH ME BABE 6 3 44 43½   32½ 33 (nevin michelle)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 2.80  
5  RED BUTTERFLY 4 6 64¾ 65½   44 44½ (de horacio)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 5.30  
8  LAKESIDE GETAWAY 7 8 119¼ 129½   86¼ 54¾ (trombetta )SANTANA JR 119 5.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
1  MY CARA MIA MINE 9 12 1210¼ 119¼   106½ 65¼ (friedman mitc)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00 5% 19.00 36.00  
6  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH 5 9 97¼ 87½   96¼ 75¼ (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 124 10.00 19.50  
3  GIGGLING GHOST 2 4 75¾ 75½   54 85¾ (quick patr)DAVIS A 124 30.00 61.50  
9  NEVER PERSONAL 8 10 54½ 54   75¼ 96¼ (levine bruce)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00 15.90  
2  DADDYSLILBOSSLADY 1 7 86¾ 97¾   116½ 107½ (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 5% 19.00 11.40  
12  GOTHAM GRAY 12 5 22 32½   64¼ 117¾ (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 24% 3.20 5.90  
10  ROXEN 10 11 107¼ 107¾   129½ 1214¼ (barker edward )TORRES A 119 30.00 68.50  
SCR  DREAM ON CARA               (friedman mitchell)RIDER TBA 119 15.00    
SCR  DREAMING OF CARLI               (barker r)ORTIZ L 119 20.00    
SCR  GALATRONA               (bond ja)TORRES A 114 20.00    
SCR  TRUE MARTINI               (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.