Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Sunday - July 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-1   EXA (7/2/6/1/8)-(7/2/6/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00  2-7 $23.50 $3.50 18%
SAR-3   WIN (3/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $18.40 $10.40 130%
    DD (2/3/1)-(3/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-1 $20.90 $8.90 74%
    PK3 (7/2/6/1/8)-(2/3/1)-(3/7/1/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00  2-2-1 $102.50 $42.50 71%
SAR-4   DD (3/7/1/6)-(4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00  1-2 $14.30 $6.30 79%
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(3/7/1/6)-(4/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00  2-1-2 $34.25 $10.25 43%
SAR-5   PK3 (3/7/1/6)-(4/2)-(6/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00  1-2-6 $44.00 $20.00 83%
    PK4 (2/3/1)-(3/7/1/6)-(4/2)-(6/7/8) 72 $0.50 $36.00  2-1-2-1/3/4/6 $65.12 $29.12 81%
    PK5 (7/2/6/1/8)-(2/3/1)-(3/7/1/6)-(4/2)-(6/7/8) 360 $0.50 $180  2-2-1-2-1/3/4/6 $467.50 $287.50 160%
SAR-7   EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-6 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00  2-6-5 $4.75 $1.75 58%
SAR-8   SFT (7/10/4/2/5)-(7/10/4/2/5)-(7/10/4/2/5)-(7/10/4/2/5) 120 $0.10 $12.00  7-10-4-5 $20.52 $8.52 71%
SAR-9   DD (7/10/4/2/5)-(5/4/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-7 $25.75 $5.75 29%
SAR-10   DD (5/4/2/7)-(4/12/8/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-4 $22.80 $2.80 14%
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   07/23/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:241 :494 1:144 1:39   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HARD TO JUSTIFY 2 1 65½ 64 85¾ 51¾ 1nk (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 24% 3.10 3.00 W
  (by JUSTIFY out of INSTANT REFLEX by QUALITY ROAD)
7  APPELLATE 7 7 55 53½ 52¾ 41¼ 2nk (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 25% 2.90 5.80 P
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LEIGH COURT by GRAND SLAM)
9  SNOW DANCE 9 4 22½ 21 21 1nk 3½ (rice kevin)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 13.90  
  (by COMMISSIONER out of LOVE COVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
5  SASSY PRINCESS 5 3 33½ 32 31 2nk 42¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 13.00  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of RACHEL WALL by BLAME)
4  KATHERINE THOMAS 4 5 76½ 74 75¼ 85¼ 55½ (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 6.30  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of CAROLINE THOMAS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  LOOKS FIRST 3 2 12½ 11 11 31 66 (donk david)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 8.30  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of SPINNING LOOKS by HARD SPUN)
10  SINTRA 10 8 43½ 42½ 42½ 75¼ 79 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 14.60  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of TROPHY GIRL by TALC)
6  MAKIA 6 10 1010 85 64¾ 64¾ 89½ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 8% 11.50 2.80  
  (by STREET SENSE out of BEACH DIVA by MALIBU MOON)
1  UNDERTHEMISTLETOE 1 6 98½ 107½ 98¾ 95¾ 911¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 19.40  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MISTLETOE by PAYNTER)
8  UNDER THE PALMS 8 9 87½ 95½ 109¾ 1010¾ 1013½ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 5% 19.00 24.75  
  (by ENTICED out of DESERT RECON by OUTFLANKER)
SCR  BUCHU               (bauer phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of FLOWERING PEACH by GALILEO (ARG))
SCR  CAUSEWAY'S JEWEL               (dutrow anthon)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HARD CLOTH by HARD SPUN)
SCR  JUSTDENY               (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
SAR-2   07/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:244 :482 1:121 1:251   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SLIP MAHONEY 2 1 2½ 2½ 11 11 13½ (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 43% 1.30 1.50 W
4  MOUNT UP 4 4 42 41 21 21 23½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 3.95  
3  SET SAIL 3 6 62½ 52½ 43½ 33½ 39 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 2.50 29% 2.40 3.20 S
6  WESTERN GHENT 6 3 31 31 53½ 44½ 410¾ (lukas wayne)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 29.50  
1  LEDDY 1 5 52 63 65½ 64¾ 510¾ (goberdhan ch)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00 5% 19.00 13.60  
5  TOP SECRET 5 2 1½ 1½ 32½ 54½ 611¾ (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.50 2.90  
 
SAR-3   07/23/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:221 :564       1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOWDYOUMAKEURMONEY 1 4 52¼ 42   51¾ 1nk (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 8% 11.20 8.20 W
2  FONTANAFREDDA 2 6 63¼ 53   4¾ 2nk (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 122 5.00 3.55  
4  ITSAKEYPER 4 5 42 32   3½ 3¾ (albertrani )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00 4.60  
5  SOCIAL WHIRL (IRE) 5 3 21 1½   2½ 43 (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00 12.30  
3  PALACE GOSSIP 3 2 31 2½   1½ 53¼ (dutrow anthony)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 35% 1.90 2.75  
6  BLAME IT ON MARY 6 1 11 6100   6100 6100 (barker r)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 7% 12.50 1.85  
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 1.40    
SCR  DIVA BANKER               (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00    
SCR  GET THE CANDY               (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 20% 3.90    
 
SAR-4   07/23/2023 5940ft DIRT RC13 FAST Shuvee Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:244 :494 1:142 1:383   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NEST 2 1 22½ 21½ 2½ 11½ 12¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 0.80 38% 1.60 0.85 W
  (by CURLIN out of MARION RAVENWOOD by A.P. INDY)
4  CLAIRIERE 4 4 34 42½ 41½ 21½ 22¼ (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 124 0.60 42% 1.40 0.75 P
  (by CURLIN out of CAVORTING by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
1  SKRATCH KAT 1 3 44½ 32½ 31½ 34 312¼ (bauer phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 17.50  
  (by ARROGATE out of WAVE THEORY by SMART STRIKE)
3  PISTOL LIZ ABLAZEN 3 2 12½ 11½ 1½ 46½ 422 (reid e)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 20.60  
  (by DAREDEVIL out of VISION OF LIZ by POLLARD'S VISION)
 
SAR-5   07/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:221 :453 1:103     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SPANKHURST 3 3 31 3½   12 14 (casse no)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 33% 2.00 1.40 W
5  POPPY'S PRIDE 2 2 2nk 2nk   22 24 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 7.20  
2  CASH NOW 1 5 42 42   34½ 36¾ (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 2.10  
7  THREE TWO ZONE 4 4 54 55½   57 48¼ (trite)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 12.00 24% 3.20 4.30  
8  PRINTRACK 5 1 1nk 1nk   45½ 58¼ (quick patric)TORRES A 115 12.00 14% 6.10 5.60  
SCR  ALCOOLS               (levine bruce)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00    
SCR  DURKIN'S CALL               (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
SCR  WINNING DRIVE               (kantarmaci mertka)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
 
SAR-6   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:221 :452 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SAM'S TREASURE 9 5 2½ 1½   12½ 15¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 6.40  
  (by MUNNINGS out of MALIBU TREASURE by MALIBU MOON)
4  COLONIAL ROSE 4 1 42½ 32½   22½ 25¾ (stall alb)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 15.70  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of COLBY CAKES by SCAT DADDY)
7  ALPINE PRINCESS 7 10 85½ 66½   46 39½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 13.40  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of LE MOINE by CURLIN)
8  LIFE'S JOY 8 2 1½ 2½   33½ 411¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 24.25  
  (by MITOLE out of BEHOLDEN by CAT THIEF)
1  CANDY LOVER 1 6 53 56   69 516½ (devaux c)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 19.50  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TAURASI by MINESHAFT)
6  LOVE TO EAT 6 3 31½ 43½   58 619¼ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 26% 2.90 10.40  
  (by MITOLE out of AWESOME FIGURE by PAYNTER)
2  MYSTICAL CHANT 2 4 74½ 1011   812½ 719¼ (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 25% 3.00 9.40  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MUSICAL MYSTERY by CONCERTO)
3  ILIKEITLIKETHAT 3 8 95½ 911   913 821¼ (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 32.25  
  (by TAPIT out of NOBLE FREUD by FREUD)
10  CAMERA 10 9 105¾ 88½   711½ 922¾ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 26% 2.90 0.70  
  (by CURLIN out of CASSIES DREAMER by FLATTER)
5  CREDITOR 5 7 64 78   1013½ 1036¼ (lukas wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 20.00 20.30  
  (by COLLECTED out of DEBIT by TAPIT)
SCR  RINGY DINGY               (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of WIND CAPER by TOUCH GOLD)
 
SAR-7   07/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:39
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:094     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  COLONEL BOWMAN 2 2 32 31½   2½ 1½ (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 123 1.20 46% 1.20 0.95 W
6  LORD CAPTAIN 4 1 42 42   32 2½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 8% 11.30 3.35 P
5  CARAMEL CHIP 3 4 21 2½   1½ 3¾ (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 20% 4.00 2.30 S
1  LITTLE DEMON 1 5 11 1½   44½ 47 (toscano t)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 7.10  
8  ROYAL TRYST 5 3 58½ 510   514½ 514¾ (arenas marcelo)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 26.25  
SCR  AMANI'S EAGLE               (barkley )SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
SCR  FLOAT ON               (jacobson dav)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00    
SCR  GLORY ROAD               (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
SCR  LORD GATLING               (pringle edmu)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 50.00    
 
SAR-8   07/23/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:14
See original race card.
:242 :50 1:134 1:373   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  R CALLI KIM 5 7 64 73¾ 63½ 42 11¼ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 38% 1.60 2.85 W
10  CAFE FLEUR (FR) 8 9 96¼ 95¾ 95¼ 62¾ 21¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 22% 3.50 3.05 P
4  TASS (GB) 3 5 32½ 21 2½ 11 31½ (antonacci philip)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 9% 9.80 2.75 S
5  STRONG ODOR 4 3 42½ 52½ 52 21 41½ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 24.50  
3  LINNY KATE 2 6 53½ 42 41½ 52¼ 54¼ (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 123 20.00 14.90  
11  PEACE SEEKER 9 8 85¾ 84¼ 85¼ 85¾ 65¾ (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 5.40  
2  SISTER ANNIE 1 4 11½ 11 1½ 32 78¼ (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 7% 14.30 10.00  
9  JACKIE THE JOKER 7 1 21½ 31 31½ 95¾ 811¾ (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 30.00 49.50  
8  LUCKY PERIDOT 6 2 74¼ 62¾ 73¾ 75¼ 912¼ (walder r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 16.70  
SCR  BLUE TIMES               (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00    
SCR  WITH THIS VOW               (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
 
SAR-9   07/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:104     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  OCEAN'S RESERVE 7 2 63½ 62¾   21 11¼ (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00 8% 11.20 3.05 W
6  SCILLY CAY 6 4 810 86¾   63¼ 21¼ (reynolds patri)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 22.90  
5  MAJORITY PARTNER 5 5 21 2nk   11 31½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 1.80 33% 2.00 2.05 S
2  BIG ENGINE 2 8 53 41¼   42 43½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 10% 8.80 3.45  
8  THRILL OF IT 8 1 42½ 31   32 53½ (terranova jo)TORRES A 119 8.00 11.40  
3  MARKET ALERT 3 6 74 74¾   84¼ 64½ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 10.40  
1  WRITER'S REGRET 1 7 11 1nk   53 77 (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 126 30.00 49.00  
4  ANDIAMO A FIRENZE 4 3 32 51¾   73¾ 812¾ (david carlos )ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 11% 8.30 4.90  
 
SAR-10   07/23/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:213 :443 :562     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  THREE GIRLS 3 2 32 21½   1½ 12¾ (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.00 47% 1.10 3.25 W
11  LADY BANKER 11 1 12 11½   2½ 22¾ (weaver geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 28.75  
7  DANCE WITH ME BABE 6 3 44 43½   32½ 33 (nevin michell)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 2.80  
5  RED BUTTERFLY 4 6 64¾ 65½   44 44½ (de horacio)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 5.30  
8  LAKESIDE GETAWAY 7 8 119¼ 129½   86¼ 54¾ (trombett)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
1  MY CARA MIA MINE 9 12 1210¼ 119¼   106½ 65¼ (friedman mi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00 5% 19.00 36.00  
6  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH 5 9 97¼ 87½   96¼ 75¼ (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 124 10.00 19.50  
3  GIGGLING GHOST 2 4 75¾ 75½   54 85¾ (quick pa)DAVIS A 124 30.00 61.50  
9  NEVER PERSONAL 8 10 54½ 54   75¼ 96¼ (levine bruce)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00 15.90  
2  DADDYSLILBOSSLADY 1 7 86¾ 97¾   116½ 107½ (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 5% 19.00 11.40  
12  GOTHAM GRAY 12 5 22 32½   64¼ 117¾ (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 24% 3.20 5.90  
10  ROXEN 10 11 107¼ 107¾   129½ 1214¼ (barker edwar)TORRES A 119 30.00 68.50  
SCR  DREAM ON CARA               (friedman mitchell)RIDER TBA 119 15.00    
SCR  DREAMING OF CARLI               (barker edward )ORTIZ L 119 20.00    
SCR  GALATRONA               (bond harold )TORRES A 114 20.00    
SCR  TRUE MARTINI               (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.