The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Saratoga
Sunday - July 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (1/2/6/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $8.00 $8.00 -2.00
    Exacta (1/2/6/7/8)-(1/2/6/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 2-7 2 1 $23.50 $23.50 3.50
    Trifecta (1/2/6/7/8)-(1/2/6/7/8)-(1/2/6/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 2-7-9 3 0 $140.75 -30.00
SAR-2   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -1.00
    Exacta (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-4 2 0 $8.40 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 2-4-3 3 0 $9.55 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/2/6/7/8)-(1/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 2-2 2 1 $11.40 $11.40 -3.60
SAR-3   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $18.40 $18.40 12.40
    Exacta (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-2 2 0 $27.50 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 1-2-4 3 0 $65.75 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/2/3)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 2-1 2 1 $20.90 $20.90 11.90
    Daily Double (1/2/3)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 2-7 2 0 $2.10 -9.00
    Pick Three (1/2/6/7/8)-(1/2/3)-(1/3/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 2-2-1 3 1 $102.50 $102.50 57.50
    Pick Three (1/2/6/7/8)-(1/2/3)-(1/3/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 2-2-7 3 0 $10.30 -45.00
SAR-4   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $3.70 $3.70 -0.30
    Exacta (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 2-4 2 1 $1.70 $1.70 -0.30
    Daily Double (1/3/6)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-2 2 1 $14.30 $14.30 8.30
    Pick Three (1/2/3)-(1/3/6)-(2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 2-1-2 3 1 $34.25 $34.25 16.25
    Pick Three (1/2/3)-(1/3/6)-(2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 2-7-2 3 0 $3.45 -18.00
SAR-5   Win (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -1.20
    Exacta (6/7/8)-(6/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-5 2 0 $18.30 -6.00
    Trifecta (6/7/8)-(6/7/8)-(6/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 6-5-2 3 0 $12.45 -3.00
    Daily Double (2/4)-(6/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-6 2 1 $4.90 $4.90 -1.10
    Pick Three (1/3/6)-(2/4)-(6/7/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 1-2-6 3 1 $44.00 $44.00 26.00
SAR-6   Win (1/2/3/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $14.80 -10.00
    Exacta (1/2/3/6/10)-(1/2/3/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 9-4 2 0 $116.00 -20.00
    Trifecta (1/2/3/6/10)-(1/2/3/6/10)-(1/2/3/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 9-4-7 3 0 $404.00 -30.00
    Daily Double (6/7/8)-(1/2/3/6/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 6-9 2 0 $26.50 -15.00
    Pick Three (2/4)-(6/7/8)-(1/2/3/6/10) 30 $1.00 $30.00 2-6-9 3 0 $28.25 -30.00
SAR-7   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.90 $3.90 -2.10
    Exacta (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-6 2 1 $6.80 $6.80 0.80
    Trifecta (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 2-6-5 3 1 $4.75 $4.75 1.75
    Daily Double (1/2/3/6/10)-(2/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 9-2 2 0 $19.40 -15.00
    Pick Three (6/7/8)-(1/2/3/6/10)-(2/5/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 6-9-2 3 0 $37.75 -45.00
SAR-8   Win (2/4/5/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $7.70 $7.70 -2.30
    Exacta (2/4/5/7/10)-(2/4/5/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 7-10 2 1 $12.00 $12.00 -8.00
    Trifecta (2/4/5/7/10)-(2/4/5/7/10)-(2/4/5/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 7-10-4 3 1 $17.25 $17.25 -12.75
    Daily Double (2/5/6)-(2/4/5/7/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 2-7 2 1 $9.10 $9.10 -5.90
    Pick Three (1/2/3/6/10)-(2/5/6)-(2/4/5/7/10) 75 $1.00 $75.00 9-2-7 3 0 $56.50 -75.00
SAR-9   Win (2/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $8.10 $8.10 0.10
    Exacta (2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-6 2 0 $90.50 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 7-6-5 3 0 $181.75 -12.00
    Daily Double (2/4/5/7/10)-(2/4/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 7-7 2 1 $25.75 $25.75 5.75
    Pick Three (2/5/6)-(2/4/5/7/10)-(2/4/5/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 2-7-7 3 1 $38.25 $38.25 -21.75
SAR-10   Win (1/2/4/8/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $8.50 $8.50 -1.50
    Exacta (1/2/4/8/12)-(1/2/4/8/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 4-11 2 0 $78.75 -20.00
    Trifecta (1/2/4/8/12)-(1/2/4/8/12)-(1/2/4/8/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 4-11-7 3 0 $185.00 -30.00
    Daily Double (2/4/5/7)-(1/2/4/8/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 7-4 2 1 $22.80 $22.80 2.80
    Pick Three (2/4/5/7/10)-(2/4/5/7)-(1/2/4/8/12) 100 $1.00 $100.00 7-7-4 3 1 $79.75 $79.75 -20.25

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   07/23/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:10
:241 :494 1:144 1:39   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARD TO JUSTIFY 2 1 6 64 8 51nk (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 24% 3.10 3.00 W
APPELLATE 7 7 55 5 5 42nk (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 25% 2.90 5.80 P
SNOW DANCE 9 4 2 21 21 1nk 3½ (rice kevin)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 13.90  
SASSY PRINCESS 5 3 3 32 31 2nk 4(walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 13.00  
KATHERINE THOMAS 4 5 7 74 7 85(tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 6.30  
LOOKS FIRST 3 2 1 11 11 31 66 (donk david)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 8.30  
10  SINTRA 10 8 4 4 4 779 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 14.60  
MAKIA 6 10 1010 85 6 68(clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 8% 11.50 2.80  
UNDERTHEMISTLETOE 1 6 9 10 9 9911¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 19.40  
UNDER THE PALMS 8 9 8 9 10 1010¾ 1013½ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 5% 19.00 24.75  
SCR  BUCHU               (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
SCR  CAUSEWAY'S JEWEL               (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00    
SCR  JUSTDENY               (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
 
SAR-2   07/23/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
:244 :482 1:121 1:251   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLIP MAHONEY 2 1 2½ 2½ 11 11 1(cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 43% 1.30 1.50 W
MOUNT UP 4 4 42 41 21 21 2(pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 3.95  
SET SAIL 3 6 6 5 4 339 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 2.50 29% 2.40 3.20 S
WESTERN GHENT 6 3 31 31 5 4410¾ (lukas wayne)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 29.50  
LEDDY 1 5 52 63 6 6510¾ (goberdhan chan)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00 5% 19.00 13.60  
TOP SECRET 5 2 1½ 1½ 3 5611¾ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.50 2.90  
 
SAR-3   07/23/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
:221 :564       1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOWDYOUMAKEURMONEY 1 4 5 42   51nk (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 8% 11.20 8.20 W
FONTANAFREDDA 2 6 6 53   4¾ 2nk (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00 3.55  
ITSAKEYPER 4 5 42 32   3½ 3¾ (albertrani th)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00 4.60  
SOCIAL WHIRL 5 3 21 1½   2½ 43 (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00 12.30  
PALACE GOSSIP 3 2 31 2½   1½ 5(dutrow w)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 35% 1.90 2.75  
BLAME IT ON MARY 6 1 11 6100   6100 6100 (barker r)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 7% 12.50 1.85  
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 1.40    
SCR  DIVA BANKER               (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00    
SCR  GET THE CANDY               (maker j)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 20% 3.90    
 
SAR-4   07/23/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Shuvee Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:00
:244 :494 1:142 1:383   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEST 2 1 2 2 2½ 11(pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 0.80 38% 1.60 0.85 W
CLAIRIERE 4 4 34 4 4 22(asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 124 0.60 42% 1.40 0.75 P
SKRATCH KAT 1 3 4 3 3 34 312¼ (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 17.50  
PISTOL LIZ ABLAZEN 3 2 1 1 1½ 4422 (reid e)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 20.60  
 
SAR-5   07/23/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:33
:221 :453 1:103     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPANKHURST 3 3 31 3½   12 14 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 33% 2.00 1.40 W
POPPY'S PRIDE 2 2 2nk 2nk   22 24 (rodriguez gustav)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 7.20  
CASH NOW 1 5 42 42   33(atras rob)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 2.10  
THREE TWO ZONE 4 4 54 5   57 4(trites )HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 12.00 24% 3.20 4.30  
PRINTRACK 5 1 1nk 1nk   45(quick patrick )TORRES A 115 12.00 14% 6.10 5.60  
SCR  ALCOOLS               (levine bruce)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00    
SCR  DURKIN'S CALL               (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
SCR  WINNING DRIVE               (kantarmaci mertkan)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
 
SAR-6   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 4:06
:221 :452 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAM'S TREASURE 9 5 2½ 1½   11(ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 6.40  
COLONIAL ROSE 4 1 4 3   22(stall alber)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 15.70  
ALPINE PRINCESS 7 10 8 6   46 3(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 13.40  
LIFE'S JOY 8 2 1½ 2½   3411¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 24.25  
CANDY LOVER 1 6 53 56   69 516½ (devaux che)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 19.50  
LOVE TO EAT 6 3 3 4   58 619¼ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 26% 2.90 10.40  
MYSTICAL CHANT 2 4 7 1011   812½ 719¼ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 25% 3.00 9.40  
ILIKEITLIKETHAT 3 8 9 911   913 821¼ (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 32.25  
10  CAMERA 10 9 10 8   711½ 922¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 26% 2.90 0.70  
CREDITOR 5 7 64 78   1013½ 1036¼ (lukas wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 20.00 20.30  
SCR  RINGY DINGY               (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
 
SAR-7   07/23/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:39
:224 :452 1:094     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLONEL BOWMAN 2 2 32 3   2½ 1½ (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 123 1.20 46% 1.20 0.95 W
LORD CAPTAIN 4 1 42 42   32 2½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 8% 11.30 3.35 P
CARAMEL CHIP 3 4 21 2½   1½ 3¾ (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 20% 4.00 2.30 S
LITTLE DEMON 1 5 11 1½   447 (toscano t)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 7.10  
ROYAL TRYST 5 3 5 510   514½ 514¾ (arenas marcelo)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 26.25  
SCR  AMANI'S EAGLE               (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
SCR  FLOAT ON               (jacobson david)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00    
SCR  GLORY ROAD               (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
SCR  LORD GATLING               (pringle edmund)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 50.00    
 
SAR-8   07/23/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:14
:242 :50 1:134 1:373   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R CALLI KIM 5 7 64 7 6 42 1(walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 38% 1.60 2.85 W
10  CAFE FLEUR (FR) 8 9 9 9 9 62(brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 22% 3.50 3.05 P
TASS 3 5 3 21 2½ 11 3(antonacci philip)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 9% 9.80 2.75 S
STRONG ODOR 4 3 4 5 52 21 4(maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 24.50  
LINNY KATE 2 6 5 42 4 55(noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 123 20.00 14.90  
11  PEACE SEEKER 9 8 8 8 8 86(abreu fernando)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 5.40  
SISTER ANNIE 1 4 1 11 1½ 32 7(donk david)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 7% 14.30 10.00  
JACKIE THE JOKER 7 1 2 31 3 9811¾ (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 30.00 49.50  
LUCKY PERIDOT 6 2 7 6 7 7912¼ (walder r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 16.70  
SCR  BLUE TIMES               (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00    
SCR  WITH THIS VOW               (dutrow e)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
 
SAR-9   07/23/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
:224 :454 1:104     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCEAN'S RESERVE 7 2 6 6   21 1(gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00 8% 11.20 3.05 W
SCILLY CAY 6 4 810 8   62(reynolds patrick)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 22.90  
MAJORITY PARTNER 5 5 21 2nk   11 3(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 1.80 33% 2.00 2.05 S
BIG ENGINE 2 8 53 4   42 4(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 10% 8.80 3.45  
THRILL OF IT 8 1 4 31   32 5(terranova john)TORRES A 119 8.00 11.40  
MARKET ALERT 3 6 74 7   86(baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 10.40  
WRITER'S REGRET 1 7 11 1nk   53 77 (d'alessandro r)HARKIE K 126 30.00 49.00  
ANDIAMO A FIRENZE 4 3 32 5   7812¾ (david a)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 11% 8.30 4.90  
 
SAR-10   07/23/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
:213 :443 :562     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE GIRLS 3 2 32 2   1½ 1(weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.00 47% 1.10 3.25 W
11  LADY BANKER 11 1 12 1   2½ 2(weaver georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 28.75  
DANCE WITH ME BABE 6 3 44 4   333 (nevin michelle)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 2.80  
RED BUTTERFLY 4 6 6 6   44 4(de horacio)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 5.30  
LAKESIDE GETAWAY 7 8 11 12   85(trombetta )SANTANA JR 119 5.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
MY CARA MIA MINE 9 12 1210¼ 11   106(friedman mitc)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00 5% 19.00 36.00  
MO DAMORNINGGROUCH 5 9 9 8   97(reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 124 10.00 19.50  
GIGGLING GHOST 2 4 7 7   54 8(quick patr)DAVIS A 124 30.00 61.50  
NEVER PERSONAL 8 10 5 54   79(levine bruce)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00 15.90  
DADDYSLILBOSSLADY 1 7 8 9   1110(brown r)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 5% 19.00 11.40  
12  GOTHAM GRAY 12 5 22 3   611(clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 24% 3.20 5.90  
10  ROXEN 10 11 10 10   121214¼ (barker edward )TORRES A 119 30.00 68.50  
SCR  DREAM ON CARA               (friedman mitchell)RIDER TBA 119 15.00    
SCR  DREAMING OF CARLI               (barker r)ORTIZ L 119 20.00    
SCR  GALATRONA               (bond ja)TORRES A 114 20.00    
SCR  TRUE MARTINI               (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.