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Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Sunday - July 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

SAR-1			EXA	(7/2/6/1/8)-(7/2/6/1/8)						20	$1.00	$20.00	2-7		$23.50			$3.50				18%
SAR-3			WIN	(3/7/1/6)						4	$2.00	$8.00	1		$18.40			$10.40				130%
			DD	(2/3/1)-(3/7/1/6)						12	$1.00	$12.00	2-1		$20.90			$8.90				74%
			PK3	(7/2/6/1/8)-(2/3/1)-(3/7/1/6)						60	$1.00	$60.00	2-2-1		$102.50			$42.50				71%
SAR-4			DD	(3/7/1/6)-(4/2)						8	$1.00	$8.00	1-2		$14.30			$6.30				79%
			PK3	(2/3/1)-(3/7/1/6)-(4/2)						24	$1.00	$24.00	2-1-2		$34.25			$10.25				43%
SAR-5			PK3	(3/7/1/6)-(4/2)-(6/7/8)						24	$1.00	$24.00	1-2-6		$44.00			$20.00				83%
			PK4	(2/3/1)-(3/7/1/6)-(4/2)-(6/7/8)						72	$0.50	$36.00	2-1-2-1/3/4/6		$65.12			$29.12				81%
			PK5	(7/2/6/1/8)-(2/3/1)-(3/7/1/6)-(4/2)-(6/7/8)						360	$0.50	$180	2-2-1-2-1/3/4/6		$467.50			$287.50				160%
SAR-7			EXA	(2/5/6)-(2/5/6)						6	$1.00	$6.00	2-6		$6.80			$0.80				13%
			TRI	(2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6)						6	$0.50	$3.00	2-6-5		$4.75			$1.75				58%
SAR-8			SFT	(7/10/4/2/5)-(7/10/4/2/5)-(7/10/4/2/5)-(7/10/4/2/5)						120	$0.10	$12.00	7-10-4-5		$20.52			$8.52				71%
SAR-9			DD	(7/10/4/2/5)-(5/4/2/7)						20	$1.00	$20.00	7-7		$25.75			$5.75				29%
SAR-10			DD	(5/4/2/7)-(4/12/8/2/1)						20	$1.00	$20.00	7-4		$22.80			$2.80				14%

Simulator Race results


SAR-1			07/23/2023		5610ft	TURF	RC5	FIRM	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($136.5K)			2		F		PT- 1:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	HARD TO JUSTIFY									(brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119						3.50		24%		3.10		3.00	W
		(by JUSTIFY out of INSTANT REFLEX by QUALITY ROAD)
7	APPELLATE									(pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119						4.00		25%		2.90		5.80	P
		(by CONSTITUTION out of LEIGH COURT by GRAND SLAM)
9	SNOW DANCE									(rice kevin)LEZCANO JOSE 119						10.00						13.90
		(by COMMISSIONER out of LOVE COVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
5	SASSY PRINCESS									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						12.00						13.00
		(by CAIRO PRINCE out of RACHEL WALL by BLAME)
4	KATHERINE THOMAS									(tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 119						6.00						6.30
		(by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of CAROLINE THOMAS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3	LOOKS FIRST									(donk david)GEROUX FLORENT 119						10.00						8.30
		(by MOR SPIRIT out of SPINNING LOOKS by HARD SPUN)
10	SINTRA									(casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119						6.00						14.60
		(by CONSTITUTION out of TROPHY GIRL by TALC)
6	MAKIA									(clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119						4.50		8%		11.50		2.80
		(by STREET SENSE out of BEACH DIVA by MALIBU MOON)
1	UNDERTHEMISTLETOE									(mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119						12.00		5%		19.00		19.40
		(by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MISTLETOE by PAYNTER)
8	UNDER THE PALMS									(mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119						20.00		5%		19.00		24.75
		(by ENTICED out of DESERT RECON by OUTFLANKER)
SCR	BUCHU									(bauer phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						6.00
		(by JUSTIFY out of FLOWERING PEACH by GALILEO (ARG))
SCR	CAUSEWAY'S JEWEL									(dutrow anthon)VELAZQUEZ R 119						10.00
		(by MORE THAN READY out of HARD CLOTH by HARD SPUN)
SCR	JUSTDENY									(gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119						8.00
		(by JUSTIFY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)

SAR-2			07/23/2023		5280ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($149.5K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:46
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	SLIP MAHONEY									(cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120						2.00		43%		1.30		1.50	W
4	MOUNT UP									(pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118						3.00						3.95
3	SET SAIL									(mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125						2.50		29%		2.40		3.20	S
6	WESTERN GHENT									(lukas wayne)CARMOUCHE K 118						15.00						29.50
1	LEDDY									(goberdhan ch)CASTELLANO J 123						8.00		5%		19.00		13.60
5	TOP SECRET									(asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 123						3.50						2.90

SAR-3			07/23/2023		3630ft	TURF	RC3	FIRM	Alw Opt Clm ($45K)					Purse ($100K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 2:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	HOWDYOUMAKEURMONEY									(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122						6.00		8%		11.20		8.20	W
2	FONTANAFREDDA									(bond harold )CASTELLANO J 122						5.00						3.55
4	ITSAKEYPER									(albertrani )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122						6.00						4.60
5	SOCIAL WHIRL (IRE)									(morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 122						10.00						12.30
3	PALACE GOSSIP									(dutrow anthony)PRAT FLAVIEN 122						3.50		35%		1.90		2.75
6	BLAME IT ON MARY									(barker r)SAEZ LUIS 122						5.00		7%		12.50		1.85
SCR	AMANDA'S FOLLY									(rice linda)ORTIZ L 120						1.40
SCR	DIVA BANKER									(d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 122						2.00
SCR	GET THE CANDY									(maker michael)ORTIZ JR 124						2.00		20%		3.90

SAR-4			07/23/2023		5940ft	DIRT	RC13	FAST	Shuvee					Purse ($200K)			4UP		M/F		PT- 3:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	NEST									(pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122						0.80		38%		1.60		0.85	W
		(by CURLIN out of MARION RAVENWOOD by A.P. INDY)
4	CLAIRIERE									(asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 124						0.60		42%		1.40		0.75	P
		(by CURLIN out of CAVORTING by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
1	SKRATCH KAT									(bauer phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						20.00						17.50
		(by ARROGATE out of WAVE THEORY by SMART STRIKE)
3	PISTOL LIZ ABLAZEN									(reid e)CARMOUCHE K 118						15.00						20.60
		(by DAREDEVIL out of VISION OF LIZ by POLLARD'S VISION)

SAR-5			07/23/2023		4290ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($12.5K)					Purse ($36K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 3:33
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	SPANKHURST									(casse no)SANTANA JR 118						2.50		33%		2.00		1.40	W
5	POPPY'S PRIDE									(rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 118						8.00						7.20
2	CASH NOW									(atras rob)ORTIZ JR 118						3.50						2.10
7	THREE TWO ZONE									(trite)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111						12.00		24%		3.20		4.30
8	PRINTRACK									(quick patric)TORRES A 115						12.00		14%		6.10		5.60
SCR	ALCOOLS									(levine bruce)PRAT FLAVIEN 118						3.00
SCR	DURKIN'S CALL									(baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118						5.00
SCR	WINNING DRIVE									(kantarmaci mertka)SAEZ LUIS 118						12.00

SAR-6			07/23/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($136.5K)			2		F		PT- 4:06
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
9	SAM'S TREASURE									(ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119						6.00						6.40
		(by MUNNINGS out of MALIBU TREASURE by MALIBU MOON)
4	COLONIAL ROSE									(stall alb)LEPAROUX R 119						8.00						15.70
		(by CONSTITUTION out of COLBY CAKES by SCAT DADDY)
7	ALPINE PRINCESS									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						8.00						13.40
		(by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of LE MOINE by CURLIN)
8	LIFE'S JOY									(mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119						10.00						24.25
		(by MITOLE out of BEHOLDEN by CAT THIEF)
1	CANDY LOVER									(devaux c)SANTANA JR 119						10.00		5%		19.00		19.50
		(by TWIRLING CANDY out of TAURASI by MINESHAFT)
6	LOVE TO EAT									(maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						5.00		26%		2.90		10.40
		(by MITOLE out of AWESOME FIGURE by PAYNTER)
2	MYSTICAL CHANT									(asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 119						5.00		25%		3.00		9.40
		(by LIAM'S MAP out of MUSICAL MYSTERY by CONCERTO)
3	ILIKEITLIKETHAT									(reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 119						15.00		5%		19.00		32.25
		(by TAPIT out of NOBLE FREUD by FREUD)
10	CAMERA									(pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119						2.50		26%		2.90		0.70
		(by CURLIN out of CASSIES DREAMER by FLATTER)
5	CREDITOR									(lukas wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 119						20.00						20.30
		(by COLLECTED out of DEBIT by TAPIT)
SCR	RINGY DINGY									(gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119						10.00
		(by DIALED IN out of WIND CAPER by TOUCH GOLD)

SAR-7			07/23/2023		4620ft	DIRT	RC9	FAST	Starter Allowance ($20K)					Purse ($50K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 4:39
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	COLONEL BOWMAN									(jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 123						1.20		46%		1.20		0.95	W
6	LORD CAPTAIN									(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118						6.00		8%		11.30		3.35	P
5	CARAMEL CHIP									(d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 118						3.00		20%		4.00		2.30	S
1	LITTLE DEMON									(toscano t)PRAT FLAVIEN 118						10.00						7.10
8	ROYAL TRYST									(arenas marcelo)CARMOUCHE K 118						20.00						26.25
SCR	AMANI'S EAGLE									(barkley )SANTANA JR 118						15.00
SCR	FLOAT ON									(jacobson dav)GEROUX FLORENT 118						15.00
SCR	GLORY ROAD									(rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 118						6.00
SCR	LORD GATLING									(pringle edmu)BRIDGMOHAN X 118						50.00

SAR-8			07/23/2023		5610ft	TURF	RC7	FIRM	Claiming ($32K)					Purse ($64K)			4UP		M/F		PT- 5:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	R CALLI KIM									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						6.00		38%		1.60		2.85	W
10	CAFE FLEUR (FR)									(brown c)ORTIZ JR 118						3.50		22%		3.50		3.05	P
4	TASS (GB)									(antonacci philip)SAEZ LUIS 118						4.50		9%		9.80		2.75	S
5	STRONG ODOR									(maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 118						12.00		5%		19.00		24.50
3	LINNY KATE									(noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 123						20.00						14.90
11	PEACE SEEKER									(abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 118						6.00						5.40
2	SISTER ANNIE									(donk david)CARMOUCHE K 118						20.00		7%		14.30		10.00
9	JACKIE THE JOKER									(quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118						30.00						49.50
8	LUCKY PERIDOT									(walder r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118						10.00						16.70
SCR	BLUE TIMES									(gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 120						4.00
SCR	WITH THIS VOW									(dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 118						10.00

SAR-9			07/23/2023		4620ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($45K)					Purse ($100K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 5:47
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	OCEAN'S RESERVE									(gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 124						6.00		8%		11.20		3.05	W
6	SCILLY CAY									(reynolds patri)PRAT FLAVIEN 122						12.00						22.90
5	MAJORITY PARTNER									(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126						1.80		33%		2.00		2.05	S
2	BIG ENGINE									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124						3.00		10%		8.80		3.45
8	THRILL OF IT									(terranova jo)TORRES A 119						8.00						11.40
3	MARKET ALERT									(baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 124						6.00						10.40
1	WRITER'S REGRET									(d'alessandro)HARKIE K 126						30.00						49.00
4	ANDIAMO A FIRENZE									(david carlos )ORTIZ JR 118						5.00		11%		8.30		4.90

SAR-10			07/23/2023		3630ft	TURF	RC4	FIRM	Maiden Claimer ($40K)					Purse ($50K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 6:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	THREE GIRLS									(weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 119						4.00		47%		1.10		3.25	W
11	LADY BANKER									(weaver geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						12.00						28.75
7	DANCE WITH ME BABE									(nevin michell)ORTIZ JR 119						3.50						2.80
5	RED BUTTERFLY									(de horacio)SAEZ LUIS 119						6.00						5.30
8	LAKESIDE GETAWAY									(trombett)SANTANA JR 119						5.00		5%		19.00		7.60
1	MY CARA MIA MINE									(friedman mi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124						15.00		5%		19.00		36.00
6	MO DAMORNINGGROUCH									(reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 124						10.00						19.50
3	GIGGLING GHOST									(quick pa)DAVIS A 124						30.00						61.50
9	NEVER PERSONAL									(levine bruce)DAVIS KATIE 119						30.00						15.90
2	DADDYSLILBOSSLADY									(brown r)CARMOUCHE K 119						12.00		5%		19.00		11.40
12	GOTHAM GRAY									(clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 119						6.00		24%		3.20		5.90
10	ROXEN									(barker edwar)TORRES A 119						30.00						68.50
SCR	DREAM ON CARA									(friedman mitchell)RIDER TBA 119						15.00
SCR	DREAMING OF CARLI									(barker edward )ORTIZ L 119						20.00
SCR	GALATRONA									(bond harold )TORRES A 114						20.00
SCR	TRUE MARTINI									(d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 124						12.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.