Handicappers' Race Results
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Friday - August 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-3   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $11.20 $5.20 87%
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-5 $27.50 $18.50 206%
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5/4)-(1/6/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00  1-5-4 $78.37 $69.37 771%
SAR-4   DD (1/6/5)-(1/13/16/6/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00  1-1 $19.80 $4.80 32%
SAR-5   WIN (7/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $12.80 $4.80 60%
    DD (1/13/16/6/2)-(7/3/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-5 $26.50 $6.50 33%
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(1/13/16/6/2)-(7/3/4/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00  1-1-5 $110.50 $50.50 84%
SAR-6   EXA (4/2/5/8)-(4/2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-8 $14.10 $2.10 18%
    TRI (4/2/5/8)-(4/2/5/8)-(4/2/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-8-2 $13.12 $1.12 9%
    SFT (4/2/5/8)-(4/2/5/8)-(4/2/5/8)-(4/2/5/8) 24 $0.10 $2.40  4-8-2-5 $9.35 $6.95 290%
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:222 :451 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LUDWIG 3 4 12 12   12½ 12½ (bauer phili)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.00 7% 12.80 1.75 W
  (by MASTERY out of TEXAS GEM by TIZNOW)
4  WICKED AGAIN 5 1 33 22   22½ 22½ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.40 34% 2.00 2.35 P
  (by GUN RUNNER out of JUST WICKED by TAPIT)
1  OPPORTUNITY SET 2 3 55 56   46 37¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.20 39% 1.60 1.45 S
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of SUPER DIVINE by DIVINE PARK)
1A  INDEX FUND 4 7 44 32   33½ 47¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 1.20 1.45  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of FANTASY FOREST by FORESTRY)
2  MACHO VILLA 1 6 79 67   56 57¾ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 18.10  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MOONLIT PROMISE by MALIBU MOON)
6  METALLURGIC 7 2 22 42½   67 613 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 26.50  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of DIFFER by PULPIT)
5  PARTY WITH SMARTY 6 5 67 715   717 726 (gutie)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 20.00 25.00  
  (by SMARTY JONES out of GHOST MAGI by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
SAR-2   08/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  HONEST AL 5 3 31 3½   1nk 1¾ (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 5.60  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of BAJAN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  PICCATA PRINCE 2 5 69 54½   42½ 2¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 7.80  
  (by MUNNINGS out of GHOST JUMPER by GHOSTZAPPER)
2B  YAQUI VALLEY 8 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 32¾ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00 16.80  
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of OBREGON by FOREST WILDCAT)
7  CPTBOBSBTWENTYNINE 3 8 812¼ 87   54 44¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 22% 3.60 4.40  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of WELL MONIED by MARIA'S MON)
8  UNCLE EDDIE 4 7 712 76½   64¼ 55½ (contessa gar)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 8% 11.20 5.60  
  (by NYQUIST out of TOO MUCH DETAIL by OVERANALYZE)
4  STUCK ON YOU 1 4 2½ 2nk   32 67½ (ward wesle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 116 8.00 4.50  
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of ROSE PEDALS by STREET CRY (IRE))
12  CROWN THAT SAINT 7 2 44 44   77¼ 79¼ (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 33% 2.00 3.75  
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of RUBY CROWN by AWESOME AGAIN)
11  RUDY RUDY RUDY 6 6 54 65½   812¾ 826¼ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 14% 5.90 5.60  
  (by MITOLE out of RAVING ABOUT YOU by ARCH)
SCR  BETTER LUCK               (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  GLACIAL POWER               (camejo jose)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.00    
  (by ASTERN out of KODIAC GAL by KODIAC)
SCR  HAPPY BAYTOWN               (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 116 10.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of TIZASONG by TIZNOW)
SCR  JOE'S DREAM               (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 119 10.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DON'T TACHA ME by A.P. INDY)
SCR  MUCHO DE LA MANCHA               (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of MOLLIE MERISA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  REAL SENSATION               (sacco gregory )LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of WOODVILLE by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
SAR-3   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:221 :451 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISK PROFILE 1 3 41½ 41½   1½ 13½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 45% 1.20 4.60 W
5  PRINTRACK 5 4 2½ 2nk   2½ 23½ (quick patric)TORRES A 115 10.00 12% 7.60 7.50 P
4  BOURBON'S HOPE 4 1 1½ 1nk   3½ 35½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 ★ 2.70 S
2  MONEY MIKE 2 2 51¾ 52   44 49 (summers ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 7.00  
3  ZERTZ 3 6 74¾ 75½   75¾ 510 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 8.30  
7  TURNSANDCONDITIONS 7 5 87¼ 87   87¼ 610 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 3.50  
8  STRIKING SPEED 8 8 64¾ 64   65½ 714¼ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 8.20  
6  CHARLIE FIVE O 6 7 3½ 3½   54½ 818¼ (rodriguez r)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 16% 5.30 14.00  
 
SAR-4   08/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:243 :48 1:132 1:263   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KARA PARA 1 2 21½ 31½ 41¼ 11½ 11½ (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 43% 1.30 3.65 W
5  JESSICA'S RIDE 3 9 97¼ 79 63¼ 21½ 21½ (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 118 6.00 2.05  
11  JANNIE MAE 6 3 11½ 11 11 34½ 39¾ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 4.20  
12  FOLLOW THE FED 7 4 42 44 52¾ 46 411 (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 113 15.00 26.25  
16  EMBRACEABLE GAL 9 7 31½ 21 21 56 513¼ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 9% 10.80 10.00  
2  OUTTA THE CLOUD 2 1 63½ 911½ 76¼ 610 621¼ (tebbutt )DAVIS A 118 30.00 5% 19.00 33.50  
13  STONE OF DESTINY 8 5 52½ 54½ 31 710½ 724½ (donk david)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 18% 4.50 4.70  
9  STRIKING MELODY 5 8 85¼ 811½ 921¼ 830½ 846¾ (chich)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 30.00 48.25  
6  SPERSS 4 6 73¾ 68½ 811¼ 934½ 9100 (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 6% 15.10 8.30  
SCR  BELLA SONADORA               (figueroa ca)MARTINEZ R 118 50.00    
SCR  BERNING HONOR               (schettino domi)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50    
SCR  JAYLA               (antonucci je)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00    
SCR  LAKESIDE GETAWAY               (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
SCR  LEM ME DRINK               (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00    
SCR  PINSTRIPEPIZZO               (de h)SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
SCR  SO ARE YOU               (meadow e)USKE S 124 50.00    
 
SAR-5   08/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:094     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SKY AND SAND 5 1 1nk 1½   14 15¾ (sisterson jack)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 5% 18.40 5.40 W
2  MAJOR BLUE 2 5 2nk 2½   24 25¾ (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00 8.10  
7  PATIENT CAPITAL 7 3 41½ 3½   36 312½ (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 122 1.80 57% 0.80 1.55 S
6  LAUGHING BOY 6 2 62¼ 52¼   48 414¼ (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 5.10  
1  PERFECT DAY 1 4 3½ 62¾   510½ 519 (servis tyler)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 11.90  
3  BALTASAR 3 7 52 42   611 623¼ (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00 9% 9.60 4.00  
4  CARMICHAEL 4 6 75¾ 78¾   716 729¼ (diodoro ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 7% 12.50 9.30  
SCR  JOKING WAY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 5.00    
 
SAR-6   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:222 :461 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HAPPY BOB 3 7 53 41   31½ 1hd (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 1.00 46% 1.20 0.85 W
8  CREATION OF ADAM 7 3 31½ 3½   2½ 2hd (antonacci phi)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 6% 16.50 8.20 P
2  FAST BOAT TO SKYE 2 1 2½ 1nk   1½ 32 (donk david)TORRES A 114 4.00 17% 4.70 2.60 S
5  FIRE BARON 4 6 75½ 53   44 48¾ (paragallo jenn)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 10% 8.70 17.90  
1  ERIDROMOS 1 5 43 64½   66 512 (lugovich lisa )ALVARADO R 124 20.00 56.25  
6  RUN DIEM Z 5 4 1½ 2nk   56 612½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 4.30  
7  HINENI 6 2 64 79½   711 721 (zito nicholas)CASTILLO AMIN 119 20.00 46.25  
SCR  ASSERTIVE ATTITUDE               (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50    
 
SAR-7   08/04/2023 6270ft TURF RC12 SOFT Fasig-Tipton Saratoga Oaks Invitational Purse ($400K) 3 F PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:233 :483 1:133 1:383   1:57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ELUSIVE PRINCESS (FR) 3 8 74¼ 64 63½ 1½ 13¼ (dubois jean-ph)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.50 27% 2.70 1.35 W
  (by MARTINBOROUGH out of ELUSIVE ACTION by ELUSIVE CITY)
8  AMERICAN SONJA (GB) 8 5 32½ 43 21 3½ 23¼ (o'brien joseph)MURPHY OISIN 121 12.00 9.50  
  (by TASLEET out of GUMHREAR by KODIAC (GB))
7  PAPILIO (IRE) 7 9 84¼ 85 53 2½ 33¾ (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 121 5.00 25% 3.00 3.95 S
  (by UNKNOWN out of GLAFYRA by HIGH CHAPARRAL (IRE))
2  CAROLINE STREET 2 6 43 32½ 31½ 44 410½ (o'brien jo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 10.00 12.60  
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of HARVESTFORTHEWORLD by SO YOU THINK (NZ))
11  STRIKINGLY SPUN 10 7 95¾ 97 85½ 68¾ 516¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 33.75  
  (by HARD SPUN out of SMART ASHLEY by SMART STRIKE)
4  XIGERA 4 2 21½ 22 41½ 710¾ 619¾ (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 121 6.00 7.90  
  (by NYQUIST out of ARGENT AFFAIR by BLACK TIE AFFAIR (IRE))
5  ALLAMERICANBEAUTY 5 4 53 53½ 75 812¾ 722½ (mcgaughey cla)VELAZQUEZ R 121 20.00 5% 19.00 21.30  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of APOLOGIZE by JUMRON (GB))
9  SELENAIA (IRE) 9 1 11½ 12 11 58½ 822¾ (thomas jonath)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 13% 6.40 5.70  
  (by UNKNOWN out of DETTORIA by DECLARATION OF WAR)
1  SOLO ALBUM 1 10 1010¾ 1012 1011½ 1029¾ 941½ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 121 8.00 18.50  
  (by CURLIN out of SUMMER SOLO by ARCH)
6  HONOR D LADY 6 3 64 74½ 97½ 929¾ 1043 (joseph saffie)FRANCO MANUEL 121 20.00 12% 7.10 52.25  
  (by HONOR CODE out of COMPLICATED by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  ASPEN GROVE (IRE)               (stack a)MURPHY OISIN 121 8.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of DATA DEPENDENT by MORE THAN READY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.