Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Friday - August 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (1/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $5.50 $5.50  
SAR-2   Win (12/7/11/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $13.20  
SAR-3   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 5.20
SAR-4   Win (1/13/16/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $9.30 $9.30  
SAR-5   Win (7/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $12.80 $12.80 4.80
SAR-6   Win (4/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $3.70 $3.70  
SAR-7   Win (3/7/9/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $4.70 $4.70  
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:222 :451 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LUDWIG 3 4 12 12   12½ 12½ (bauer philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.00 7% 12.80 1.75 W
4  WICKED AGAIN 5 1 33 22   22½ 22½ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.40 34% 2.00 2.35 P
1  OPPORTUNITY SET 2 3 55 56   46 37¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.20 39% 1.60 1.45 S
1A  INDEX FUND 4 7 44 32   33½ 47¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 1.20 1.45  
2  MACHO VILLA 1 6 79 67   56 57¾ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 18.10  
6  METALLURGIC 7 2 22 42½   67 613 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 26.50  
5  PARTY WITH SMARTY 6 5 67 715   717 726 (gutierr)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 20.00 25.00  
 
SAR-2   08/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  HONEST AL 5 3 31 3½   1nk 1¾ (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 5.60  
5  PICCATA PRINCE 2 5 69 54½   42½ 2¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 7.80  
2B  YAQUI VALLEY 8 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 32¾ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00 16.80  
7  CPTBOBSBTWENTYNINE 3 8 812¼ 87   54 44¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 22% 3.60 4.40  
8  UNCLE EDDIE 4 7 712 76½   64¼ 55½ (contessa gary )CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 8% 11.20 5.60  
4  STUCK ON YOU 1 4 2½ 2nk   32 67½ (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 116 8.00 4.50  
12  CROWN THAT SAINT 7 2 44 44   77¼ 79¼ (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 33% 2.00 3.75  
11  RUDY RUDY RUDY 6 6 54 65½   812¾ 826¼ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 14% 5.90 5.60  
SCR  BETTER LUCK               (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
SCR  GLACIAL POWER               (camejo m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.00    
SCR  HAPPY BAYTOWN               (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 116 10.00    
SCR  JOE'S DREAM               (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 119 10.00    
SCR  MUCHO DE LA MANCHA               (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
SCR  REAL SENSATION               (sacco d)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
 
SAR-3   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:221 :451 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISK PROFILE 1 3 41½ 41½   1½ 13½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 45% 1.20 4.60 W
5  PRINTRACK 5 4 2½ 2nk   2½ 23½ (quick patrick )TORRES A 115 10.00 12% 7.60 7.50 P
4  BOURBON'S HOPE 4 1 1½ 1nk   3½ 35½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 ★ 2.70 S
2  MONEY MIKE 2 2 51¾ 52   44 49 (summers chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 7.00  
3  ZERTZ 3 6 74¾ 75½   75¾ 510 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 8.30  
7  TURNSANDCONDITIONS 7 5 87¼ 87   87¼ 610 (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 3.50  
8  STRIKING SPEED 8 8 64¾ 64   65½ 714¼ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 8.20  
6  CHARLIE FIVE O 6 7 3½ 3½   54½ 818¼ (rodriguez rud)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 16% 5.30 14.00  
 
SAR-4   08/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:243 :48 1:132 1:263   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KARA PARA 1 2 21½ 31½ 41¼ 11½ 11½ (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 43% 1.30 3.65 W
5  JESSICA'S RIDE 3 9 97¼ 79 63¼ 21½ 21½ (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 118 6.00 2.05  
11  JANNIE MAE 6 3 11½ 11 11 34½ 39¾ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 4.20  
12  FOLLOW THE FED 7 4 42 44 52¾ 46 411 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 113 15.00 26.25  
16  EMBRACEABLE GAL 9 7 31½ 21 21 56 513¼ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 9% 10.80 10.00  
2  OUTTA THE CLOUD 2 1 63½ 911½ 76¼ 610 621¼ (tebbutt jo)DAVIS A 118 30.00 5% 19.00 33.50  
13  STONE OF DESTINY 8 5 52½ 54½ 31 710½ 724½ (donk david)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 18% 4.50 4.70  
9  STRIKING MELODY 5 8 85¼ 811½ 921¼ 830½ 846¾ (chichak)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 30.00 48.25  
6  SPERSS 4 6 73¾ 68½ 811¼ 934½ 9100 (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 6% 15.10 8.30  
SCR  BELLA SONADORA               (figueroa carl)MARTINEZ R 118 50.00    
SCR  BERNING HONOR               (schettino domini)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50    
SCR  JAYLA               (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00    
SCR  LAKESIDE GETAWAY               (trombetta mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
SCR  LEM ME DRINK               (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00    
SCR  PINSTRIPEPIZZO               (de hor)SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
SCR  SO ARE YOU               (meadow e)USKE S 124 50.00    
 
SAR-5   08/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:094     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SKY AND SAND 5 1 1nk 1½   14 15¾ (sisterson jack)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 5% 18.40 5.40 W
2  MAJOR BLUE 2 5 2nk 2½   24 25¾ (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00 8.10  
7  PATIENT CAPITAL 7 3 41½ 3½   36 312½ (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 122 1.80 57% 0.80 1.55 S
6  LAUGHING BOY 6 2 62¼ 52¼   48 414¼ (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 5.10  
1  PERFECT DAY 1 4 3½ 62¾   510½ 519 (servis tyler)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 11.90  
3  BALTASAR 3 7 52 42   611 623¼ (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00 9% 9.60 4.00  
4  CARMICHAEL 4 6 75¾ 78¾   716 729¼ (diodoro robe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 7% 12.50 9.30  
SCR  JOKING WAY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 5.00    
 
SAR-6   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:222 :461 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HAPPY BOB 3 7 53 41   31½ 1hd (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 1.00 46% 1.20 0.85 W
8  CREATION OF ADAM 7 3 31½ 3½   2½ 2hd (antonacci phili)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 6% 16.50 8.20 P
2  FAST BOAT TO SKYE 2 1 2½ 1nk   1½ 32 (donk david)TORRES A 114 4.00 17% 4.70 2.60 S
5  FIRE BARON 4 6 75½ 53   44 48¾ (paragallo jennif)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 10% 8.70 17.90  
1  ERIDROMOS 1 5 43 64½   66 512 (lugovich l)ALVARADO R 124 20.00 56.25  
6  RUN DIEM Z 5 4 1½ 2nk   56 612½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 4.30  
7  HINENI 6 2 64 79½   711 721 (zito p)CASTILLO AMIN 119 20.00 46.25  
SCR  ASSERTIVE ATTITUDE               (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50    
 
SAR-7   08/04/2023 6270ft TURF RC12 SOFT Fasig-Tipton Saratoga Oaks Inv Purse ($400K) 3 F PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:233 :483 1:133 1:383   1:57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ELUSIVE PRINCESS (FR) 3 8 74¼ 64 63½ 1½ 13¼ (dubois jean-phil)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.50 27% 2.70 1.35 W
8  AMERICAN SONJA (GB) 8 5 32½ 43 21 3½ 23¼ (o'brien p)MURPHY OISIN 121 12.00 9.50  
7  PAPILIO (IRE) 7 9 84¼ 85 53 2½ 33¾ (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 121 5.00 25% 3.00 3.95 S
2  CAROLINE STREET 2 6 43 32½ 31½ 44 410½ (o'brien jose)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 10.00 12.60  
11  STRIKINGLY SPUN 10 7 95¾ 97 85½ 68¾ 516¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 33.75  
4  XIGERA 4 2 21½ 22 41½ 710¾ 619¾ (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 121 6.00 7.90  
5  ALLAMERICANBEAUTY 5 4 53 53½ 75 812¾ 722½ (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 121 20.00 5% 19.00 21.30  
9  SELENAIA (IRE) 9 1 11½ 12 11 58½ 822¾ (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 13% 6.40 5.70  
1  SOLO ALBUM 1 10 1010¾ 1012 1011½ 1029¾ 941½ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 121 8.00 18.50  
6  HONOR D LADY 6 3 64 74½ 97½ 929¾ 1043 (joseph a)FRANCO MANUEL 121 20.00 12% 7.10 52.25  
SCR  ASPEN GROVE (IRE)               (stack a)MURPHY OISIN 121 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.