Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Friday - August 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (1/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-2   Win (12/7/11/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-3   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (1/13/16/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-5   Win (7/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-6   Win (4/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (3/7/9/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-8   Win (1/6/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (7/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (12/14/11/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-11   Win (14/13/7/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPPORTUNITY SET Mar03 Dec15 Nov11     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.20 39% 1.60    
1A  INDEX FUND Nov19         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 1.20    
2  MACHO VILLA Jun25 Jun04 May06 Apr08 Mar18 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
3  LUDWIG May21 Apr29 May07 Apr02 Feb26 (bauer philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.00 7% 12.80    
4  WICKED AGAIN Apr08 Mar02       (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.40 34% 2.00    
5  PARTY WITH SMARTY Jul15         (gutierr)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 20.00    
6  METALLURGIC Jul15         (maker mich)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-2   08/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HAPPY BAYTOWN Apr12         (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 116 10.00    
SCR  JOE'S DREAM         (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 119 10.00    
2B  YAQUI VALLEY Jul29 Jul03 Jun04     (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
SCR  BETTER LUCK         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
SCR  GLACIAL POWER Jul08         (camejo m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.00    
4  STUCK ON YOU May12         (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 116 8.00    
5  PICCATA PRINCE         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
SCR  MUCHO DE LA MANCHA         (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
7  CPTBOBSBTWENTYNINE         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
8  UNCLE EDDIE Jul20 Jun28       (contessa gary )CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 8% 11.20    
9  HONEST AL Jul20         (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
SCR  REAL SENSATION Jul16         (sacco d)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
11  RUDY RUDY RUDY         (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 14% 5.90    
12  CROWN THAT SAINT Jul20         (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 33% 2.00    
 
SAR-3   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISK PROFILE Jun24 May19 Apr20 Mar12 Feb09 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 45% 1.20    
2  MONEY MIKE May19 Mar24 Jan15 Dec01 Nov24 (summers chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
3  ZERTZ Jul08 May07 Apr15 Mar25 Mar03 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
4  BOURBON'S HOPE May28 Apr02 Mar05 Feb19 Feb12 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 ★    
5  PRINTRACK Jul23 Jun24 Jun04 May07 Mar25 (quick patrick )TORRES A 115 10.00 12% 7.60    
6  CHARLIE FIVE O Jul15 Jun03 Apr27 Apr20 Apr06 (rodriguez rud)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 16% 5.30    
7  TURNSANDCONDITIONS Jun11 May28 Apr14 Mar19 Mar11 (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
8  STRIKING SPEED Jul14 May26 Apr20 Mar03 Feb12 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00    
 
SAR-4   08/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KARA PARA Jun23 May28 May06 Apr20 Feb12 (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 43% 1.30    
2  OUTTA THE CLOUD Jun26 Jun05 Nov23 Nov08   (tebbutt jo)DAVIS A 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LEM ME DRINK Jun23 May28 Apr14 Feb10 Jan19 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00    
SCR  SO ARE YOU Jul13 Nov01 Aug31 Jul06 Jun15 (meadow e)USKE S 124 50.00    
5  JESSICA'S RIDE Jun25 May21 Apr29     (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 118 6.00    
6  SPERSS Jun01 Apr14 Jan14     (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 6% 15.10    
SCR  PINSTRIPEPIZZO Jul03 Jun01 Apr15 Feb24 Jan14 (de hor)SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
SCR  JAYLA Mar09 Feb16 Jan20 Sep05 Aug15 (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00    
9  STRIKING MELODY Jun15 Dec18 Nov26 Oct23 Sep26 (chichakly amir)TORRES A 113 30.00    
SCR  BERNING HONOR Jun17 May05 Feb26 Jan19 Oct08 (schettino domini)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50    
11  JANNIE MAE Jul13 Jun23 Apr14 Oct22 Sep24 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00    
12  FOLLOW THE FED Jul13 Jun15 May13 Mar03 Feb17 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 113 15.00    
13  STONE OF DESTINY Jul13 Jun17       (donk david)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  BELLA SONADORA Jul16 Mar18       (figueroa carl)MARTINEZ R 118 50.00    
SCR  LAKESIDE GETAWAY Jul23 May27 Apr08 Mar16 Feb11 (trombetta mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
16  EMBRACEABLE GAL Jul15         (hennig mark)RIDER TBA 118 8.00 9% 10.80    
 
SAR-5   08/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT DAY Jun21 Jun14 May10 Apr11 Feb19 (servis tyler)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00    
2  MAJOR BLUE Jul21 Jul08 Jun11 May29 May06 (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00    
3  BALTASAR Jul03 Aug27 Jul29 Jun05 May05 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00 9% 9.60    
4  CARMICHAEL Jun01 May11 Feb05 Nov23 Oct27 (diodoro robe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 7% 12.50    
5  SKY AND SAND Jun22 May05 Apr08 Mar16 Sep14 (sisterson jack)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 5% 18.40    
6  LAUGHING BOY Jul02 Jun04 Apr30 Apr09 Feb05 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
7  PATIENT CAPITAL May03 Apr13 Mar11 Feb11 Jan14 (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 122 1.80 57% 0.80    
SCR  JOKING WAY Jun15 Apr29 Mar05 Jan20 Nov26 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 5.00    
 
SAR-6   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ERIDROMOS Jul09 Jun04 Jul31 May28   (lugovich l)ALVARADO R 124 20.00    
2  FAST BOAT TO SKYE Jul28 Jul01 Jun17 May05 Apr13 (donk david)TORRES A 114 4.00 17% 4.70    
SCR  ASSERTIVE ATTITUDE Nov11         (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50    
4  HAPPY BOB Jul19 May27 Dec15 Nov11 Aug13 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 1.00 46% 1.20    
5  FIRE BARON Jul28 Jul09 Jun15 May27 Apr01 (paragallo jennif)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 10% 8.70    
6  RUN DIEM Z Jun15         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
7  HINENI Jul19 Jun25 Mar25 Oct21   (zito p)CASTILLO AMIN 119 20.00    
8  CREATION OF ADAM         (antonacci phili)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 6% 16.50    
 
SAR-7   08/04/2023 6270ft TURF RC12 SOFT Fasig-Tipton Saratoga Oaks Inv Purse ($400K) 3 F PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLO ALBUM Jul01 May12 Feb11 Jan22 Nov19 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 121 8.00    
2  CAROLINE STREET         (o'brien jose)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 10.00    
3  ELUSIVE PRINCESS (FR)         (dubois jean-phil)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
4  XIGERA Jul01 Jun02 Nov04 Oct07 Aug28 (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 121 6.00    
5  ALLAMERICANBEAUTY Jun11 Apr14 Mar11 Jan22 Dec04 (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  HONOR D LADY Jul01 Jun10 May06 Nov26 Oct07 (joseph a)FRANCO MANUEL 121 20.00 12% 7.10    
7  PAPILIO (IRE) Jul08 Jun03 May05 Apr08 Mar04 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 121 5.00 25% 3.00    
8  AMERICAN SONJA (GB)         (o'brien p)ROSARIO JOEL 121 12.00    
9  SELENAIA (IRE) Jun10 May10 Sep24 Sep04   (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 13% 6.40    
SCR  ASPEN GROVE (IRE) Jul08         (stack a)MURPHY OISIN 121 8.00    
11  STRIKINGLY SPUN Jul08 Jun11 May12 Apr14 Feb04 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
 
SAR-8   08/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC13 National Museum Purse ($500K) 3 ALL PT- 5:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORE THAN LOOKS Jul07 Jun17 Apr28 Mar31 Feb19 (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.00 36% 1.80    
2  BAT FLIP Nov26 Oct23 Sep24 Aug20 Jul24 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
3  APPRAISE (IRE) Jul08 Sep17 Aug19 Jul22   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 10% 9.40    
4  OCEAN VISION (IRE)         (donworth tim)MURPHY OISIN 120 15.00    
5  MISCHIEVOUS ANGEL Jun17         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00    
6  GENERAL JIM Jun10 May06 Feb04 Jan01 Nov26 (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  NAGIRROC Jul07 May20 Apr07 Dec30 Nov04 (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
SCR  MYSTERIOUS NIGHT (IRE) Sep17         (appleby charle)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00    
9  BEHIND ENEMY LINES (GB) Jun02 May06 Apr01     (sisterson jack)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
10  CARL SPACKLER (IRE) May06 Feb25 Jan21     (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 11% 8.20    
 
SAR-9   08/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DISRUPTION Jul09 Dec04 Oct30 Sep22 Jul27 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00    
SCR  LAVON Jun15 Apr23 Mar17 Feb24 Jan19 (coffey mar)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
3  BIG BEAN CHRISTINE Mar11 Feb09 Jan06 Dec01 Nov12 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 19% 4.40    
4  TOSCONOVA BEAUTY Jul09 Jun15 May22 Apr25 Sep05 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 8.00 10% 9.20    
5  MISSING FORTUNE Jul12 Jun21 May31 Sep14 Aug23 (saul dana)COA J 124 6.00    
6  CHASING DAYLIGHT Jun23 May19 Apr13 Jun24   (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00    
7  TIMELY CONQUEST Jun16         (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.00 42% 1.40    
8  BIG HAZEL Jul26 Jun25 Jun16 May27 May05 (donk david)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00 6% 16.90    
9  RANTING Jul08 Aug20 Jul04 Jun05   (de hor)SANTANA JR 120 12.00    
 
SAR-10   08/04/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DETROIT CITY Apr21 Mar11 Feb19 Jan21 Dec22 (sisterson jack)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00    
SCR  SCIENCE (IRE) Jul14 Jun02 Oct13 Sep25 Sep11 (gorham michae)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 10.00    
SCR  HEREBY Jul16 May29 May15 Apr22 Apr02 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 124 30.00    
4  FOLIAGE (NZ) Jul13 Jun23 May26 Apr21 Mar30 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00    
SCR  TRUEBELIEVE Jun02 Oct13 Aug18 Jul17 Jun30 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
SCR  DEEP COVER Jun02 Nov18 Oct22 Aug21 Jun26 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 122 4.00    
7  AMANI'S EAGLE Jun29 May26 May12 Apr13 Nov12 (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 122 10.00    
8  HE'S GOT IT Jun02 Jan04 Nov28 Nov11 Oct20 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 20.00    
SCR  ATHENRY Jun09 May13 Nov26 Oct30 Sep04 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00    
10  THE COBBLER Mar18 Mar10 Feb19 Jan15 Feb26 (henry neville)TORRES A 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
11  IGNITED Jun25 Jun10 May15 Jun11 May14 (trombetta micha)VELAZQUEZ R 124 6.00 9% 9.60    
12  ONE GIANT LEAP Apr26 Mar15 Oct28     (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.80 55% 0.80    
13  GABE Jul16 Apr29 Mar19 Jan22 Jan11 (arriaga antonio)RIDER TBA 120 8.00    
14  COURTHOUSE COVE Jun17 Apr15 Mar09 Feb26 Feb12 (meyers shane)ORTIZ JR 124 4.50 11% 8.10    
 
SAR-11   08/04/2023 7260ft TURF RC9 Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YONO Jul22 May12 Apr20 Mar04 Feb11 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 123 30.00    
SCR  LORD FLINTSHIRE Jun10 May14 Sep04 Jul23 Jun24 (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00    
3  SUERTE May24 Apr21 Mar22 Feb11 Jan21 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
SCR  FORWARDLY Jul01 Dec24 Oct26 Sep05 Jul27 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 5.00    
5  SKYLANDER Jul03 Jun09 May11 Apr13 Jan28 (trites lands)ROSARIO JOEL 123 15.00    
6  SHINSUN Jul01 May11 Oct29 Aug17 Jul23 (tagg barclay)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50    
7  MIRACLE MIKE Jul01 May13 Mar26 Feb09 Jul17 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MAYTHISBETHEONE Jul03 May19 Apr22 Dec01 Nov13 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 125 20.00    
SCR  UNLEASH THE POWER Jul13 Jun01 Apr29 Mar02 Feb04 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00    
SCR  JARREAU Jul16 Jun29 May13 Apr12 Sep05 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00    
11  SKATE TO HEAVEN Jul08 Jun10 Jul04 Apr16 Mar19 (walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TULCHAN Jul15 Jun09 May06 Mar24   (delacour arnaud)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 5.00    
13  SOUTH STREET Jul01 Jun02 May06 May15 Apr16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.80 28% 2.60    
14  CHILENO Jul13 May28 Apr19 Mar11 Feb10 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 28% 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.