Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Friday - July 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-1   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.60 $1.60 27%
SAR-3   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $5.40 $1.40 35%
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00  1-2 $8.90 $6.90 345%
SAR-6   WIN (2/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $5.30 $1.30 33%
    DD (9/10/2/8)-(2/11) 8 $1.00 $8.00  9-2 $10.00 $2.00 25%
SAR-7   WIN (3/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $20.00 $12.00 150%
    DD (2/11)-(3/2/6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00  2-2 $32.00 $24.00 300%
    PK3 (9/10/2/8)-(2/11)-(3/2/6/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00  9-2-2 $56.25 $24.25 76%
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   07/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CONCERTI 2 2 11 11   13 13¼ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 41% 1.40 2.80 W
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of QUEENARDINI by BERNARDINI)
4  BOOK OF WISDOM 4 1 21 21   23 23¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 4.10  
  (by SOLOMINI out of TAPPIN'AT THE DOOR by TAPIT)
1  RUN FOR YOUR HONEY 1 3 31½ 32½   36 36½ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 16% 5.10 1.65 S
  (by TAPIZAR out of GRACEFUL RAGE by TIZNOW)
6  AWESOME CZECH 5 4 42 45   412 411 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 2.30  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MARVELOUS MARTINA by AWESOME AGAIN)
3  ASTORIA PARK 3 5 53 56½   513 515¾ (chichakly amira)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 7% 12.40 14.60  
  (by DESTIN out of BLOSSOMED IN TIME by FLOWER ALLEY)
SCR  POSEIDON'S MIST               (david carlos)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00    
  (by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR out of MY COUNTRY by BELONG TO ME)
SCR  SHE TAKES CASH               (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of RESOUNDINGLY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  STORMY DISCO               (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of SCATCAPADE by SCAT DADDY)
 
SAR-2   07/14/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:13 1:372   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DREAMLIKE 3 4 42 42½ 52 13 16¾ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 0.60 56% 0.80 0.35 W
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TIME TO TAP by TAPIT)
5  MOORE'S LAW 5 5 76½ 710½ 713 56 26¾ (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 12.30  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of BELLA'S WAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  MOUNT CRAIG 2 7 63½ 53 31½ 33 38¼ (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 6% 16.90 9.40 S
  (by ARROGATE out of FLASH FORWARD by SCROLL)
1  HERO'S MEDAL 1 3 1½ 11 1½ 23 48¼ (stall albe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 19.80 DQ↓6
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MAGICAL MOON by MALIBU MOON)
7  EXUDE 7 2 31½ 32 41½ 66¼ 59¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00 19.30  
  (by TAPIT out of FAITHFULLY by SMART STRIKE)
4  OCASEK 4 1 2½ 21 2½ 43½ 612¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 15% 5.50 6.10  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of SHANANIES SONG by ELTISH)
6  RIDE UP 6 6 53½ 64 68 713¼ 722½ (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 18.70  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of WALKWITHAPURPOSE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
SAR-3   07/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($149.5K) 3 F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:122 1:252   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIFELOVENLAUGHTER 1 1 2nk 2nk 11 14 12¾ (trombetta mich)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 38% 1.60 1.70 W
2  MODERN LOVE 2 3 42 42 33½ 24 22¾ (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00 29% 2.40 3.40 P
7  QUARREL 3 2 1nk 1nk 21 34 37 (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 1.05  
8  STEPHANIE'S CHARM 4 4 31½ 31½ 49½ 416 421½ (jimenez jos)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 20.00 7.60  
SCR  ROYALTY INTEREST (FR)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00    
SCR  G LAURIE               (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00    
SCR  BOLIVIE (IRE)               (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
SCR  VENENCIA (FR)               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE)               (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00    
 
SAR-4   07/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Wilton Purse ($135K) 3 F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:111 1:232   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RANDOMIZED 4 1 11½ 11 11 12 11½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 1.40 1.30  
  (by NYQUIST out of FRENCH PASSPORT by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
1  JUST KATHERINE 1 4 44 31½ 31½ 22 21½ (jimenez jose)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00 8% 12.20 8.70 P
  (by JUSTIFY out of REVE ENCHANTE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  UNSUNG MELODY 2 2 21½ 21 21 34½ 311½ (ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 3.50  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of NARROW SEA by BODEMEISTER)
4  ACCEDE 3 3 33 42½ 43½ 47½ 423¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.60 55% 0.80 1.25  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of JIBBOOM by MIZZEN MAST)
SCR  SACRED WISH               (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of INDIAN WISH by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
SAR-5   07/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:221 :454 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  EMPIRE SKY 7 7 53½ 52½   53¾ 11 (crook-demasi ka)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.50 59% 0.70 2.20 W
  (by KLIMT out of ILLUSIONAL SKY by SKY MESA)
5  RUSSI 3 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 21 (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 4.50  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of RISERVA by DIXIE BRASS)
2  HENSON 1 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 31 (monserrate marisa)CRUZ JOEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 25.00 S
  (by VERRAZANO out of UNSHACKLED ROUGE by SIR SHACKLETON)
10  SCHERZANDO 8 3 31 3½   32½ 43 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 4.50 13% 6.80 4.90  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of FLEET STREAK by MORE THAN READY)
4  STREET ROD 2 4 64 63½   43½ 55 (de hor)RIVERA R 114 6.00 8.60  
  (by WAR DANCER out of SPECTACULAR ME by CATIENUS)
7  WHISKEY AND WINE 5 8 42 41½   64¾ 610 (mcgaughey )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 4.50  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BRANDY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
8  KID KREESA 6 6 74¼ 77   711¼ 714 (dixon linda )TORRES A 114 20.00 5% 19.00 42.50  
  (by BIG BROWN out of LADY KREESA by STONESIDER)
6  CHARMING JIM 4 5 85¼ 88½   816¼ 826½ (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 4.40  
  (by UNIFIED out of VALENTINES ROMANCE by ARCH)
SCR  FUOCO               (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00    
  (by ARTIE SCHILLER out of WILLSHEFIRE by WILLIAMSTOWN)
SCR  HOLLA AT YOUR BOY               (brion ke)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of BROOKLYN BITES by GRAYDAR)
 
SAR-6   07/14/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:133 1:374   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BLUE DEVIL 1 1 11½ 11 11 14 112 (hiles je)SANTANA JR 125 10.00 45% 1.20 1.65 W
8  OGLETHORPE 2 2 21½ 21 21 24 212 (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00 0.85  
11  ALFIO 3 3 32½ 31½ 33 37½ 316½ (quartarolo a)CASTELLANO J 125 12.00 13% 6.90 2.55 S
SCR  FIGHTER IN THE WIN               (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 125 8.00    
SCR  OUSTER               (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 125 1.20    
SCR  SHUTTERS               (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 125 2.50    
SCR  THE PRINCE'S SPUR               (bauer philip )VELAZQUEZ R 123 2.00    
SCR  TIZ A GIANT               (trombetta mich)ROSARIO JOEL 125 20.00    
SCR  BATTLE OF NORMANDY               (mcgaughey )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00    
SCR  AL'S ROCKET               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00    
SCR  DANZIGWITHTHESTARS               (schettino dominic)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00    
 
SAR-7   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:222 :451 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BUSTIN SHOUT 1 2 42½ 41   1nk 13 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 13% 6.60 9.00 W
7  HEIR PORT 5 1 1½ 1½   2nk 23 (rodriguez rudy)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 3.15  
4  HIGH TONE 3 5 53½ 52½   53 33 (diodoro robe)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 5% 19.00 24.75 S
3  NO MORE TALK 2 4 31½ 3½   31½ 43½ (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 123 2.00 46% 1.20 1.30 DH
6  FIRST DEPUTY 4 7 78 64½   64½ 43½ (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 10% 9.00 8.10 DH
10  STRIKING SPEED 7 3 2½ 2½   42½ 613½ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 4.20  
1A  GANDY DANCING 6 6 64 75½   79 731¾ (rodriguez gustavo)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00 10.70  
SCR  CASH NOW               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  POPPY'S PRIDE               (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
SCR  PRINTRACK               (quick patric)TORRES A 113 20.00    
SCR  TOWING               (casse no)SANTANA JR 120 6.00    
 
SAR-8   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:23 :46 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THINKABOUTIT 1 3 53 41½   3½ 1½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00 20.10  
3  CEES GET DEGREES 2 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 2½ (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 42% 1.40 2.35 P
4  HAPPY FARM 3 2 31½ 2nk   2nk 31¼ (arriaga antoni)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00 26% 2.90 2.15 S
6  PRIME FACTOR 5 7 42 52   52 42¾ (devaux che)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 7.60  
5  EMERALD FOREST 4 4 2½ 31   41 54¼ (kantarmaci )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 12.00 7% 14.00 9.70  
9  NIFTY 7 6 65 77¼   67 68½ (diodoro robe)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00 5% 19.00 3.55  
7  RAM 6 5 75 67   77¼ 78¾ (lukas wayne)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00 8.50  
SCR  DOT'S DOLLAR               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 1.60    
SCR  JAKE ROCKS               (schettino dominic)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00    
 
SAR-9   07/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Coronation Cup Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:222 :453 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  UNIFIED ALLIANCE 3 2 11 1½   12 11½ (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 120 20.00 2.75  
  (by UNIFIED out of STAR POWER by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  ANNA'S ARABESQUE 1 1 21 31   22 21½ (bauer philip)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 24% 3.20 2.25 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of CLASSY MUSIC by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
9  L STREET LADY 4 3 31½ 2½   35 38¼ (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 52% 0.90 0.95 S
  (by MUNNINGS out of LADY GAYLE by SCAT DADDY)
6  WILDHAWK 2 4 41½ 42   410 414 (albertrani thom)CARMOUCHE K 118 30.00 7.30  
  (by HELMET (AUS) out of WADIA by CAMPANOLOGIST)
SCR  MY SWEET AFFAIR               (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of ILLICIT AFFAIR by ROMANTICO)
SCR  LOVE REIGNS (IRE)               (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.40    
  (by U S NAVY FLAG out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  LOVE APPEALS               (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of GIOIA STELLA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  VIOLET GIBSON (IRE)               (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
  (by EXPERT EYE out of SOUL OF HOUDINI by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
SCR  BOSSERATI               (russell br)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of CANDY STRIPER by TWIRLING CANDY)
 
SAR-10   07/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
15  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT 4 1 12½ 1½ 11 15 111¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 1.85  
8  OUR COUNTRY 2 4 45½ 56 45½ 48 211¼ (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 10.00 12% 7.60 6.70 P
13  MORE THAN WORK 3 2 33 2½ 21 25 311½ (martin carlos)FRANCO MANUEL 125 10.00 35% 1.90 3.70 S
7  INVISIBLE WAR 1 5 57 45½ 34½ 37½ 412 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 125 15.00 8% 11.00 4.20  
16  VALENZAN DAY 5 3 22½ 33 56½ 516 540¼ (barrera oscar)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 2.20  
SCR  K P ALL SYSTEMS GO               (englehart j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 15.00    
SCR  MY ROMEO LIMA               (camejo m)ORTIZ L 123 4.00    
SCR  PENNER ASH (IRE)               (martin carlo)CASTELLANO J 125 8.00    
SCR  SPLENDID SUMMER               (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 125 8.00    
SCR  TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE               (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 8.00    
SCR  HILLIARD               (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50    
SCR  HE'S GOT IT               (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 123 30.00    
SCR  TRUEBELIEVE               (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 123 20.00    
SCR  ARRIO               (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00    
SCR  AMANI'S EAGLE               (barkley )SANTANA JR 123 10.00    
SCR  ENCOURAGE               (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 123 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.