Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Friday - July 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 1.60
SAR-2   Win (3/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $2.70 $2.70  
SAR-3   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 1.40
SAR-4   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $4.60  
SAR-5   Win (9/10/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $6.40 $6.40  
SAR-6   Win (2/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $5.30 $5.30 1.30
SAR-7   Win (3/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $20.00 $20.00 12.00
SAR-8   Win (3/4/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $42.20  
SAR-9   Win (9/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 0 $7.50  
SAR-10   Win (13/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 15 1 0 $5.70  
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   07/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CONCERTI 2 2 11 11   13 13¼ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 41% 1.40 2.80 W
4  BOOK OF WISDOM 4 1 21 21   23 23¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 4.10  
1  RUN FOR YOUR HONEY 1 3 31½ 32½   36 36½ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 16% 5.10 1.65 S
6  AWESOME CZECH 5 4 42 45   412 411 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 2.30  
3  ASTORIA PARK 3 5 53 56½   513 515¾ (chichakly amira)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 7% 12.40 14.60  
SCR  POSEIDON'S MIST               (david a)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00    
SCR  SHE TAKES CASH               (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
SCR  STORMY DISCO               (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
 
SAR-2   07/14/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:13 1:372   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DREAMLIKE 3 4 42 42½ 52 13 16¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 0.60 56% 0.80 0.35 W
5  MOORE'S LAW 5 5 76½ 710½ 713 56 26¾ (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 12.30  
2  MOUNT CRAIG 2 7 63½ 53 31½ 33 38¼ (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 6% 16.90 9.40 S
1  HERO'S MEDAL 1 3 1½ 11 1½ 23 48¼ (stall albert)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 19.80 DQ↓6
7  EXUDE 7 2 31½ 32 41½ 66¼ 59¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00 19.30  
4  OCASEK 4 1 2½ 21 2½ 43½ 612¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 15% 5.50 6.10  
6  RIDE UP 6 6 53½ 64 68 713¼ 722½ (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 18.70  
 
SAR-3   07/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($149.5K) 3 F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:122 1:252   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIFELOVENLAUGHTER 1 1 2nk 2nk 11 14 12¾ (trombetta michae)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 38% 1.60 1.70 W
2  MODERN LOVE 2 3 42 42 33½ 24 22¾ (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00 29% 2.40 3.40 P
7  QUARREL 3 2 1nk 1nk 21 34 37 (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 1.05  
8  STEPHANIE'S CHARM 4 4 31½ 31½ 49½ 416 421½ (jimenez jose )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 20.00 7.60  
SCR  ROYALTY INTEREST (FR)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00    
SCR  G LAURIE               (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00    
SCR  BOLIVIE (IRE)               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
SCR  VENENCIA (FR)               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE)               (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00    
 
SAR-4   07/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Wilton Purse ($135K) 3 F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:111 1:232   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RANDOMIZED 4 1 11½ 11 11 12 11½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 1.40 1.30  
1  JUST KATHERINE 1 4 44 31½ 31½ 22 21½ (jimenez l)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00 8% 12.20 8.70 P
2  UNSUNG MELODY 2 2 21½ 21 21 34½ 311½ (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 3.50  
4  ACCEDE 3 3 33 42½ 43½ 47½ 423¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.60 55% 0.80 1.25  
SCR  SACRED WISH               (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.50    
 
SAR-5   07/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:221 :454 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  EMPIRE SKY 7 7 53½ 52½   53¾ 11 (crook-demasi kath)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.50 59% 0.70 2.20 W
5  RUSSI 3 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 21 (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 4.50  
2  HENSON 1 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 31 (monserrate marisa)CRUZ JOEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 25.00 S
10  SCHERZANDO 8 3 31 3½   32½ 43 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 4.50 13% 6.80 4.90  
4  STREET ROD 2 4 64 63½   43½ 55 (de horac)RIVERA R 114 6.00 8.60  
7  WHISKEY AND WINE 5 8 42 41½   64¾ 610 (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 4.50  
8  KID KREESA 6 6 74¼ 77   711¼ 714 (dixon k)TORRES A 114 20.00 5% 19.00 42.50  
6  CHARMING JIM 4 5 85¼ 88½   816¼ 826½ (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 4.40  
SCR  FUOCO               (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00    
SCR  HOLLA AT YOUR BOY               (brion keri)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
 
SAR-6   07/14/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:133 1:374   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BLUE DEVIL 1 1 11½ 11 11 14 112 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 125 10.00 45% 1.20 1.65 W
8  OGLETHORPE 2 2 21½ 21 21 24 212 (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00 0.85  
11  ALFIO 3 3 32½ 31½ 33 37½ 316½ (quartarolo ant)CASTELLANO J 125 12.00 13% 6.90 2.55 S
SCR  FIGHTER IN THE WIN               (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 125 8.00    
SCR  OUSTER               (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 125 1.20    
SCR  SHUTTERS               (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 125 2.50    
SCR  THE PRINCE'S SPUR               (bauer a)VELAZQUEZ R 123 2.00    
SCR  TIZ A GIANT               (trombetta michae)ROSARIO JOEL 125 20.00    
SCR  BATTLE OF NORMANDY               (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00    
SCR  AL'S ROCKET               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00    
SCR  DANZIGWITHTHESTARS               (schettino dominick )SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00    
 
SAR-7   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:222 :451 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BUSTIN SHOUT 1 2 42½ 41   1nk 13 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 13% 6.60 9.00 W
7  HEIR PORT 5 1 1½ 1½   2nk 23 (rodriguez r)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 3.15  
4  HIGH TONE 3 5 53½ 52½   53 33 (diodoro robert)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 5% 19.00 24.75 S
3  NO MORE TALK 2 4 31½ 3½   31½ 43½ (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 123 2.00 46% 1.20 1.30 DH
6  FIRST DEPUTY 4 7 78 64½   64½ 43½ (begg bentle)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 10% 9.00 8.10 DH
10  STRIKING SPEED 7 3 2½ 2½   42½ 613½ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 4.20  
1A  GANDY DANCING 6 6 64 75½   79 731¾ (rodriguez gustavo)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00 10.70  
SCR  CASH NOW               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  POPPY'S PRIDE               (rodriguez gustav)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
SCR  PRINTRACK               (quick patrick )TORRES A 113 20.00    
SCR  TOWING               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 120 6.00    
 
SAR-8   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:23 :46 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THINKABOUTIT 1 3 53 41½   3½ 1½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00 20.10  
3  CEES GET DEGREES 2 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 2½ (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 42% 1.40 2.35 P
4  HAPPY FARM 3 2 31½ 2nk   2nk 31¼ (arriaga antonio)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00 26% 2.90 2.15 S
6  PRIME FACTOR 5 7 42 52   52 42¾ (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 7.60  
5  EMERALD FOREST 4 4 2½ 31   41 54¼ (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 12.00 7% 14.00 9.70  
9  NIFTY 7 6 65 77¼   67 68½ (diodoro robert)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00 5% 19.00 3.55  
7  RAM 6 5 75 67   77¼ 78¾ (lukas wayne)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00 8.50  
SCR  DOT'S DOLLAR               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 1.60    
SCR  JAKE ROCKS               (schettino dominick )SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00    
 
SAR-9   07/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Coronation Cup Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:222 :453 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  UNIFIED ALLIANCE 3 2 11 1½   12 11½ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 120 20.00 2.75  
3  ANNA'S ARABESQUE 1 1 21 31   22 21½ (bauer a)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 24% 3.20 2.25 P
9  L STREET LADY 4 3 31½ 2½   35 38¼ (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 52% 0.90 0.95 S
6  WILDHAWK 2 4 41½ 42   410 414 (albertrani thomas)CARMOUCHE K 118 30.00 7.30  
SCR  MY SWEET AFFAIR               (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
SCR  LOVE REIGNS (IRE)               (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.40    
SCR  LOVE APPEALS               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00    
SCR  VIOLET GIBSON (IRE)               (joseph a)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
SCR  BOSSERATI               (russell brit)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
 
SAR-10   07/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
15  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT 4 1 12½ 1½ 11 15 111¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 1.85  
8  OUR COUNTRY 2 4 45½ 56 45½ 48 211¼ (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 10.00 12% 7.60 6.70 P
13  MORE THAN WORK 3 2 33 2½ 21 25 311½ (martin f)FRANCO MANUEL 125 10.00 35% 1.90 3.70 S
7  INVISIBLE WAR 1 5 57 45½ 34½ 37½ 412 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 125 15.00 8% 11.00 4.20  
16  VALENZAN DAY 5 3 22½ 33 56½ 516 540¼ (barrera s)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 2.20  
SCR  K P ALL SYSTEMS GO               (englehart jef)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 15.00    
SCR  MY ROMEO LIMA               (camejo m)ORTIZ L 123 4.00    
SCR  PENNER ASH (IRE)               (martin carlos )CASTELLANO J 125 8.00    
SCR  SPLENDID SUMMER               (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 125 8.00    
SCR  TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE               (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 8.00    
SCR  HILLIARD               (maker j)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50    
SCR  HE'S GOT IT               (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 123 30.00    
SCR  TRUEBELIEVE               (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 123 20.00    
SCR  ARRIO               (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00    
SCR  AMANI'S EAGLE               (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 123 10.00    
SCR  ENCOURAGE               (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 123 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.