Handicappers' Racing Form

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Saratoga
Friday - July 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-2   Win (3/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-3   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-4   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-5   Win (9/10/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-6   Win (2/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-7   Win (3/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-8   Win (3/4/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (9/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-10   Win (13/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SAR-1   07/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN FOR YOUR HONEY Jun15         (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 16% 5.10    
CONCERTI         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 41% 1.40    
ASTORIA PARK         (chichakly amira)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 7% 12.40    
BOOK OF WISDOM         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
SCR  STORMY DISCO         (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
AWESOME CZECH         (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50    
SCR  SHE TAKES CASH         (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
SCR  POSEIDON'S MIST         (david a)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00    
 
SAR-2   07/14/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERO'S MEDAL Jun25 May02 Mar26     (stall albert)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00    
MOUNT CRAIG May02 Mar23 Mar02 Feb04 Nov27 (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 6% 16.90    
DREAMLIKE Apr08 Mar11 Feb11     (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 0.60 56% 0.80    
OCASEK May20 Mar26       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 15% 5.50    
MOORE'S LAW Mar25 Feb11       (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
RIDE UP Jun17 May20 Apr22 Mar25 Mar11 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
EXUDE May20 Apr22 Mar03     (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00    
 
SAR-3   07/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($149.5K) 3 F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIFELOVENLAUGHTER Jun22 May20 Nov27 Oct28 Sep09 (trombetta michae)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 38% 1.60    
MODERN LOVE Mar08 Jan14 Nov20     (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) Apr08 Mar11 Feb05 Dec09 Aug14 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00    
SCR  G LAURIE Dec30 Sep17 Aug23     (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00    
SCR  BOLIVIE (IRE) May12 Mar25       (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
SCR  ROYALTY INTEREST (FR) Jun02 Mar11       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00    
QUARREL Jun22 May27 Nov19 Oct27 Sep22 (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00    
STEPHANIE'S CHARM Jun22 May13 Mar11 Feb04 Jan07 (jimenez jose )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 20.00    
SCR  VENENCIA (FR) Jun11 Apr27       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00    
 
SAR-4   07/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Wilton Purse ($135K) 3 F PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST KATHERINE Jun16 Apr01 Mar04 Jan15 Nov18 (jimenez l)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00 8% 12.20    
UNSUNG MELODY Jun18 May05 Mar11 Feb11 Jan21 (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00    
SCR  SACRED WISH Jun16 May19 Apr01 Mar05 Feb11 (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.50    
ACCEDE Jun09 May05 Mar16     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.60 55% 0.80    
RANDOMIZED Jun09 Mar31 Jul24     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 1.40    
 
SAR-5   07/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOLLA AT YOUR BOY Jun15 Jun01 May06     (brion keri)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
HENSON         (monserrate marisa)CRUZ JOEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FUOCO Nov18 Aug27 Jul30 Jun10   (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00    
STREET ROD         (de horac)RIVERA R 114 6.00    
RUSSI Apr27 Mar04 Jan07     (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
CHARMING JIM         (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
WHISKEY AND WINE Feb25 Nov12       (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
KID KREESA         (dixon k)TORRES A 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
EMPIRE SKY Jun18 Mar17 Jan12 Nov18 Sep25 (crook-demasi kath)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.50 59% 0.70    
10  SCHERZANDO Jun25 May29 May05 Apr07 Mar17 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 4.50 13% 6.80    
 
SAR-6   07/14/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DANZIGWITHTHESTARS Jun17 May27 Nov19 Oct22 Sep24 (schettino dominick )SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00    
BLUE DEVIL Jun24 Jun01 Feb17 Jan06 Dec14 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 125 10.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  BATTLE OF NORMANDY May19 Apr21 Nov04 Oct02 Aug31 (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00    
SCR  TIZ A GIANT May19 Dec01 Oct28 Sep02 Aug10 (trombetta michae)ROSARIO JOEL 125 20.00    
SCR  AL'S ROCKET Jun17 May04 Nov20 Oct26 Sep24 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00    
SCR  FIGHTER IN THE WIN Jun24 May27 May04 Nov27 Oct21 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 125 8.00    
SCR  SHUTTERS Jun17 Apr07 Sep15 Jul16   (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 125 2.50    
OGLETHORPE May21 Apr15 Mar17 Jul22 Jun03 (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00    
SCR  OUSTER May29 Apr14 Mar18 Feb19 Jan05 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 125 1.20    
SCR  THE PRINCE'S SPUR Jun10 May11 Oct22 Oct01 Aug24 (bauer a)VELAZQUEZ R 123 2.00    
11  ALFIO Jul02 Jun10 May16 Apr26 Apr05 (quartarolo ant)CASTELLANO J 125 12.00 13% 6.90    
 
SAR-7   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  GANDY DANCING Jun11 May07 Apr01 Mar11 Mar03 (rodriguez gustavo)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
SCR  POPPY'S PRIDE May26 May07 Mar25 Mar03 Feb09 (rodriguez gustav)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
BUSTIN SHOUT Jun13 May14 Aug21 Jul28 Jul04 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 13% 6.60    
NO MORE TALK Jul02 Jun03 May26 May15 Apr28 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 123 2.00 46% 1.20    
HIGH TONE Jul03 May19 May04 Apr19 Feb21 (diodoro robert)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CASH NOW May14 Apr15 Jan29 Jan21 Jan01 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
FIRST DEPUTY Jul02 Jun03 Apr30 Apr07 Mar12 (begg bentle)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 10% 9.00    
HEIR PORT Jun03 May13 Apr20 Mar26 Mar03 (rodriguez r)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
SCR  PRINTRACK Jun24 Jun04 May07 Mar25 Feb12 (quick patrick )TORRES A 113 20.00    
SCR  TOWING May26 May03 Nov12 Oct19   (casse norm)SANTANA JR 120 6.00    
10  STRIKING SPEED May26 Apr20 Mar03 Feb12 Feb02 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00    
 
SAR-8   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THINKABOUTIT Jun04 May21 Apr27 Mar24 Feb26 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
SCR  DOT'S DOLLAR Jul08 Jun09 Apr28 Apr21 Oct08 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 1.60    
CEES GET DEGREES Jun22 May19 Apr28 Mar18 Mar05 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 42% 1.40    
HAPPY FARM Jun15 May27 Apr23 Mar30 Mar05 (arriaga antonio)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00 26% 2.90    
EMERALD FOREST Jun15 Apr01 Feb04 Jan12 Nov26 (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 12.00 7% 14.00    
PRIME FACTOR May29 Dec17 Oct27 Aug10 May15 (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
RAM Jun29 Jun01 May13 Apr16 Mar31 (lukas wayne)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
SCR  JAKE ROCKS Apr27 Apr01 Mar04 Feb05 Jan14 (schettino dominick )SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00    
NIFTY May12 Apr20 Mar24 Feb18   (diodoro robert)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-9   07/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Coronation Cup Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY SWEET AFFAIR Jun18 May03 Apr14 Mar05   (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
SCR  LOVE APPEALS Apr27 Apr01 Feb16     (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00    
ANNA'S ARABESQUE Jun29 Jun02 May03 Mar08   (bauer a)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  LOVE REIGNS (IRE) Apr14 Nov04 Aug21 Apr29   (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.40    
SCR  VIOLET GIBSON (IRE) Jun24 May06 Mar11     (joseph a)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
WILDHAWK Jun11 Apr30 Mar26 Feb05   (albertrani thomas)CARMOUCHE K 118 30.00    
UNIFIED ALLIANCE Jun11 Apr29 Apr03 Mar03 Jan24 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 120 20.00    
SCR  BOSSERATI Jun18 Jun02 May12 Jan28 Jan07 (russell brit)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
L STREET LADY Jun11 May19 Feb18 Jan21 Dec04 (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 52% 0.90    
 
SAR-10   07/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMANI'S EAGLE Jun29 May26 May12 Apr13 Nov12 (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 123 10.00    
SCR  PENNER ASH (IRE) Jun04 May26 Apr22 Oct12 Sep08 (martin carlos )CASTELLANO J 125 8.00    
SCR  HILLIARD Jun22 Mar30 Feb22 Nov20 Nov05 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50    
SCR  ARRIO Jun22 May29 Nov12 Oct09 Sep24 (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00    
SCR  TRUEBELIEVE Jun02 Oct13 Aug18 Jul17 Jun30 (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 123 20.00    
SCR  K P ALL SYSTEMS GO Jun22 May28 Nov11 Oct09 Sep11 (englehart jef)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 15.00    
INVISIBLE WAR Jun17 May13 Apr19 Mar26 Mar09 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 125 15.00 8% 11.00    
OUR COUNTRY May11 Mar09 Feb09 Jan12 Nov19 (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 10.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  SPLENDID SUMMER Jun22 May14 Apr22 Aug07 Jul10 (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 125 8.00    
SCR  HE'S GOT IT Jun02 Jan04 Nov28 Nov11 Oct20 (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 123 30.00    
SCR  ENCOURAGE May19 Apr23 Oct21 Oct01 Sep05 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 123 5.00    
SCR  MY ROMEO LIMA May28 Apr15 Mar09 Feb11 Dec17 (camejo m)ORTIZ L 123 4.00    
13  MORE THAN WORK Jul01 Jun04 May21 Apr22 Feb03 (martin f)FRANCO MANUEL 125 10.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE Feb04 Dec23 Sep05 Aug07 Jul02 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 8.00    
15  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Apr15 Mar09 Feb12 Jun03 Apr08 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.50    
16  VALENZAN DAY Jul03 Apr23 Mar19 Mar05 Jan07 (barrera s)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.