Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Saturday - June 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $8.48 $8.48 2.48
ELP-2   Win (9/11/6/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $4.62 $4.62  
ELP-3   Win (6/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $4.26  
ELP-4   Win (7/6/1/11/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $4.02 $4.02  
ELP-5   Win (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.88 $5.88  
ELP-6   Win (8/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $13.98  
ELP-7   Win (3/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $31.80  
ELP-8   Win (4/5/10/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 0 $17.22  
ELP-9   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.38 $6.38 0.38
ELP-10   Win (10/8/7/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $11.92  
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   06/24/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:123 1:37   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOREVER AFTER ALL 1 2 11½ 11 1nk 12½ 16¼ (stall m)LANERIE J 125 3.00 27% 2.70 3.24 W
4  LITTLE PRANKSTER 3 5 21½ 21 2nk 22½ 26¼ (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.80 34% 1.90 0.93 P
3  MEDAGLIA FOREVER 2 3 32½ 32½ 31½ 35½ 39 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 3.40  
6  INSENSITIVE 5 1 43 53½ 53½ 46½ 49¼ (anderson do)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 25.78  
5  METHODOLOGY 4 4 54 43½ 42 56½ 510¾ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 11% 8.10 4.15  
SCR  LADY SAMARITAN               (correas iv)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
 
ELP-2   06/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:224 :46 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  LET'S GO MARK 8 1 1½ 11½   11½ 12½ (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 46% 1.20 1.31 W
11  ASTRONOMICO 10 3 3½ 31½   21½ 22½ (gutierrez f)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 21% 3.90 5.37 P
6  IN A JAM 5 5 2½ 21½   33 36 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 7% 13.70 4.04 S
2  COULDITBEMAJIC 2 10 87¼ 68   45 46 (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 37.15  
7  TIZ MY HERO 6 2 54½ 46   55 56¼ (vance d)LANERIE J 119 12.00 17.59  
3  MUGATU 3 7 1010¼ 912   810¾ 615¼ (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 5.00 7% 13.70 5.23  
4  LEGEND OF THE NILE 4 4 43 56½   68 717½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 30.73  
10  BAYTOWN CHATTERBOX 9 6 75¼ 78½   710½ 820¼ (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 119 12.00 28.61  
1  BOLD FORCE 1 9 98¼ 1012½   912¾ 922¾ (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 14.54  
8  LUCKY PAL 7 8 65 810½   1017¾ 1045 (winebaugh ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 16.30  
SCR  WEST SARATOGA               (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119 4.00    
 
ELP-3   06/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROJA LIGERA 1 3 11½ 13   13½ 17¼ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 1.13  
2  HALO OF FIRE 2 5 43½ 33½   23½ 27¼ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 16% 5.40 8.43 P
3  KALL KAT 3 7 66½ 56½   58 39 (gowan william)ROCCO S 120 5.00 11.27  
6  SHIP IT 6 4 53½ 45   36 410¾ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 30% 2.30 2.48  
4  SHES A SECRET 4 2 21½ 23   46½ 513¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 10.13  
7  FLORIS 7 6 78½ 710½   613 623¼ (duvall willi)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 15.00 5% 19.00 43.56  
5  SOCIAL MANDATE 5 1 32 66½   715 734 (hancock a)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.00 27% 2.70 5.29  
SCR  MONOCACY               (king l)CASTANON L 122 15.00    
 
ELP-4   06/24/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:122 1:362   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SAHLABIYA 6 6 11½ 11 1½ 1½ 1¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 2.00 53% 0.90 1.01 W
2  LEMON BOMB 2 1 53¼ 54 42½ 31½ 2¼ (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 6.50 P
6  CALLIE'S GRIT 5 3 31½ 31½ 2½ 2½ 31¼ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 23% 3.40 2.12 S
3  STAY LOST 3 5 64¾ 65 64½ 44½ 44½ (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 14.31  
1  NO GUILT 1 2 86¼ 76 76 56 58¼ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00 28.86  
9  FROTHY 8 10 108¾ 109 97½ 68 69¾ (devaux cherie)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 21.29  
8  RETROSPECT 7 9 96¾ 97 87 79½ 79¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 32.35  
4  RESOURCE 4 4 75¼ 87 108½ 911½ 812½ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 26.20  
11  PAINT ME PERFECT 10 8 21½ 21 32 810½ 917½ (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 118 12.00 5% 19.00 25.91  
10  GLAMOUR ANNA 9 7 43 43½ 53½ 1014 1023 (navarrete anna)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 65.94  
SCR  AGENT               (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00    
SCR  HOLA GATA               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
SCR  HOLY FOLEY               (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 10.00    
SCR  MILIEU               (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
 
ELP-5   06/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:112 1:24   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PIGALLE 2 4 53½ 52½ 1nk 11½ 13¼ (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.00 16% 5.10 1.94 W
3  LUNA MOTH 3 3 42 41 52¼ 53 23¼ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 118 2.00 40% 1.50 3.00 P
1  SHELL SHOCK 1 1 11½ 1½ 2nk 21½ 34¾ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 2.50 2.27  
5  FORTUNE BOUND 4 2 21½ 3½ 41¾ 43 45 (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00 12% 7.20 12.20  
6  GRAY FROST 5 5 32 2½ 3.2 32½ 57 (hess b)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 3.12  
SCR  I'MHEREFORTHEPARTY               (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00    
 
ELP-6   06/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:243 :48 1:12 1:241   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SPRINKLEHEAD 2 2 2nk 2nk 21 11 11¼ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 126 8.00 5.99  
5  SMOKIN' HOT 4 3 1nk 1nk 11 21 21¼ (wong jonathan)NAVAS YOEL 111 4.50 11% 8.10 5.93 P
2  BODOCK 1 4 52¾ 52 62¾ 33½ 34¾ (cano munoz)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 8.00 13% 6.80 5.55 S
8  LONG CROW 7 6 41¼ 31 42 43½ 44¾ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 28% 2.50 2.26  
6  JOB SECURITY 5 5 74¾ 73½ 74¼ 65¾ 57 (pessin l)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 4.00 9.03  
7  MADISON LUVS DUKE 6 7 62¾ 62½ 32 55½ 612 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 124 3.50 21% 3.70 1.96  
4  CRIMINAL DEFENSE 3 1 31 41½ 52¼ 76¼ 712¾ (barnett c)LANERIE J 124 20.00 33.81  
SCR  RIVER BOY               (claire alex)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
 
ELP-7   06/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:214 :442 1:10     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MAGICAL LUTE 2 8 812 810¾   42 13¼ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 14.90  
3  MO TOWN MAYHEM 3 6 68 66¼   31½ 23¼ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 52% 0.90 3.37 P
1  IN COLOR 1 5 44½ 43   21 34¼ (d'amato philip)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 20.23  
8  MISS PEABODY 8 4 56½ 56   53 45½ (newton troy)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 21.45  
4  GRAND LOVE 4 2 1½ 11   11 58½ (asmussen steven )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 13% 6.40 0.67  
6  ERVADEAN 6 3 32½ 33   63½ 611¼ (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 118 6.00 16.94  
5  CHARRIERE 5 1 2½ 21   74½ 721 (mckeever andrew)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.07  
7  BENNYKAYANDSUZYTOO 7 7 711 79¾   89 827 (vance d)LANERIE J 118 10.00 7% 13.70 18.61  
SCR  WILLOW BEND               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00    
 
ELP-8   06/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:243 :472 1:111 1:231   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  POLICY OPTION 7 8 97¾ 98¼ 75¼ 3½ 1¼ (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 8.00 7.61  
10  BLUE DEVIL 10 5 2½ 2½ 2nk 1½ 2¼ (hiles jeff )HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 8% 12.10 8.60 P
5  LINCOLN HIGHWAY 5 10 109¾ 109¾ 85¾ 84¼ 31½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 5.00 29% 2.40 7.20 S
6  DUNEDIN 6 3 42½ 42½ 42¼ 41 41¾ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 9.99  
2  TAKING CANDY 2 9 76½ 66½ 64¾ 63 52 (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 2.22  
1  GAMER 1 2 54½ 54½ 53¼ 73¼ 63½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00 5.05  
4  PRINCIPE D'ORO 4 4 32 32½ 32 51½ 73¾ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50 39% 1.60 3.52  
3  WAKE SURF 3 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 2½ 84½ (arnold george )LANDEROS CHRIS 124 10.00 5% 19.00 26.56  
8  IM A MODEST MAN 8 7 66½ 76¾ 96¾ 97¼ 910¼ (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 111 20.00 73.59  
9  MOONSTRIKE (GB) 9 6 87½ 88¼ 108¼ 108¾ 1022 (engler jeff)LANERIE J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 29.01  
SCR  MAASAI WARRIOR               (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 124 12.00    
SCR  SOLID COUNTRY GOLD               (catalano wayne )CANNON DECLAN 124 12.00    
 
ELP-9   06/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC12 FAST Chicago Purse ($225K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:221 :442 1:081     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SOCIETY 5 2 1½ 12   16 110¾ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 29% 2.50 2.19 W
6  DRIFAROS 6 1 2½ 22   26 210¾ (pompay terri)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 5% 18.50 16.05 P
2  MATAREYA 2 3 33 34   36 312 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 0.80 45% 1.20 0.59 S
3  BE LIKE WATER 3 5 611 612½   510 413¾ (oliver victo)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 36.72  
1  HIDDEN CONNECTION 1 4 44½ 46   49½ 513¾ (calhoun bre)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 5.18  
4  STELLA NOIR 4 6 59½ 511   611 618½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 36.70  
 
ELP-10   06/24/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:212 :45 :562     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KIGALI 3 2 11 12   13 12¾ (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.50 4.96  
6  BE THERE 6 6 76 76¾   55½ 22¾ (zito p)BEJARANO R 124 10.00 9.08  
10  LIQUID ADDICTION (IRE) 9 1 21 22   23 34 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 53% 0.90 2.20 S
5  ZAPHOD 5 4 44½ 44½   45½ 45½ (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 5% 19.00 16.29  
7  BRAZILIAN FURY 7 5 32½ 33½   34½ 56 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 118 4.00 9% 9.80 2.65  
4  YOUNGDUMBANDBROKE 4 7 911 911¾   89½ 68 (tomlinson a)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 21.38  
8  ETERNAL BLISS 8 3 54½ 54½   67 79¾ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.00 16% 5.10 4.35  
1  HOME RUN HANK 1 8 810 810¾   99¾ 810 (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 19.97  
2  HOLY MOLY ABRAHAM 2 9 65½ 66½   79 912¼ (lovell dennis)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 20.00 43.47  
SCR  CUORE SACRO               (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 6.00    
SCR  JOINT VENTURE               (flint bernard )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
SCR  METALLURGIC               (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.