Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Horse Racing Picks, Tips and Handicapping"
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
Ellis Park
Saturday - June 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-2   Win (9/11/3/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-3   Win (6/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-4   Win (7/6/1/11/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-5   Win (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-6   Win (8/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-7   Win (3/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-8   Win (4/5/10/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-9   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-10   Win (10/8/7/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ELP-1   06/24/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOREVER AFTER ALL May27 May05 Apr21 Oct15 Sep25 (stall m)LANERIE J 125 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  LADY SAMARITAN May27 May05 Apr07     (correas iv)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
3  MEDAGLIA FOREVER Apr29 Mar25 Jan29 Nov26   (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50    
4  LITTLE PRANKSTER Jun03 May02       (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.80 34% 1.90    
5  METHODOLOGY Jun03         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 11% 8.10    
6  INSENSITIVE May27 Apr22 Apr02 Feb10 Jan21 (anderson do)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
 
ELP-2   06/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD FORCE         (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
2  COULDITBEMAJIC         (brennan ter)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MUGATU         (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 5.00 7% 13.70    
4  LEGEND OF THE NILE         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
SCR  WEST SARATOGA Jun04 May11 Apr07     (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119 4.00    
6  IN A JAM         (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 7% 13.70    
7  TIZ MY HERO Jun04         (vance d)LANERIE J 119 12.00    
8  LUCKY PAL         (winebaugh ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00    
9  LET'S GO MARK May03 Apr13       (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 46% 1.20    
10  BAYTOWN CHATTERBOX May29         (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 119 12.00    
11  ASTRONOMICO Jun04         (gutierrez fa)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 21% 3.90    
 
ELP-3   06/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROJA LIGERA May19 Mar24 Jul31 Jul01   (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00    
2  HALO OF FIRE May20 Apr08 Jan25 Mar17 Feb23 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 16% 5.40    
3  KALL KAT May26 Apr19 Mar18     (gowan william)ROCCO S 120 5.00    
4  SHES A SECRET Jun02 Sep21 Aug06     (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50    
5  SOCIAL MANDATE May27 Apr27 Apr08 Feb22 Jan18 (hancock a)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
6  SHIP IT May27 Apr21 Feb12 Jan01 Nov25 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
7  FLORIS May18 May26 May03 Apr10   (duvall willi)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MONOCACY May27 Jan05 Dec16 Nov25 Nov18 (king l)CASTANON L 122 15.00    
 
ELP-4   06/24/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO GUILT Jun03 May05 Mar17 Feb24 Feb03 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  LEMON BOMB Oct30 Oct08       (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  STAY LOST May13 Apr19 Nov26 Oct16 Sep08 (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00    
4  RESOURCE         (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
SCR  MILIEU Apr27 Mar16 Jan29 Dec11 Oct22 (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
6  CALLIE'S GRIT May20 Apr19 Sep03 Jul31   (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 23% 3.40    
7  SAHLABIYA Apr28 Mar12 Jul24 Jun17 May01 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 2.00 53% 0.90    
8  RETROSPECT         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
9  FROTHY         (devaux cheri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00    
10  GLAMOUR ANNA May13 Apr23       (navarrete anna)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
11  PAINT ME PERFECT Apr19 Feb26 Jan16 Oct14 Sep18 (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HOLA GATA Nov05 Aug21 Jul24     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
SCR  AGENT May24 Apr23       (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00    
SCR  HOLY FOLEY May29 May03 Apr01 Feb16 Nov10 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 10.00    
 
ELP-5   06/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHELL SHOCK Jun03 Mar04 Feb19 Jan15 Nov27 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 2.50    
2  PIGALLE Jun01 Mar16 Feb16 Jan18   (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.00 16% 5.10    
3  LUNA MOTH May25 May02 Apr19 Mar09 Feb22 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 118 2.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  I'MHEREFORTHEPARTY May02 Apr19 Feb23 Aug10   (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00    
5  FORTUNE BOUND Apr19 Mar25 Feb15 Jan20 Dec21 (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00 12% 7.20    
6  GRAY FROST May19 Apr19 Mar23 Feb02 Dec03 (hess b)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
 
ELP-6   06/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RIVER BOY Jun15 Apr13 Mar16 Jan29 Dec19 (claire alex)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
2  BODOCK May19 Apr18 Mar18 Feb25 May21 (cano munoz)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 8.00 13% 6.80    
3  SPRINKLEHEAD May25 Apr29 Apr01 Mar04 Feb24 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 126 8.00    
4  CRIMINAL DEFENSE Mar22 Feb26 Feb03 Dec19 Nov19 (barnett c)LANERIE J 124 20.00    
5  SMOKIN' HOT Mar31 Feb18 Jan21 Dec30 Dec03 (wong jonathan)NAVAS YOEL 111 4.50 11% 8.10    
6  JOB SECURITY May26 Apr23 Feb11 Nov24   (pessin l)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 4.00    
7  MADISON LUVS DUKE Jun02 May12 Apr26 Mar01 Jan29 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
8  LONG CROW May26 May11 Apr08 Mar03 Apr23 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 28% 2.50    
 
ELP-7   06/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN COLOR May12 Mar31 Mar05 Dec21 Nov23 (d'amato philip)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
2  MAGICAL LUTE Jun02 Apr21 Sep16 Jul04   (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
3  MO TOWN MAYHEM May28 Apr01       (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 52% 0.90    
4  GRAND LOVE May05 Apr01 Feb25 Nov04 Sep17 (asmussen steven )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 13% 6.40    
5  CHARRIERE May27 Feb17 Jan14 Dec19   (mckeever andrew)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  ERVADEAN May27 May05 Mar25     (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 118 6.00    
7  BENNYKAYANDSUZYTOO May04 Apr08 Feb18 Jan28 Dec31 (vance d)LANERIE J 118 10.00 7% 13.70    
8  MISS PEABODY Jun02 Apr27 Mar04 Feb03 Jan11 (newton troy)BEJARANO R 118 5.00    
SCR  WILLOW BEND May17 Apr01 Mar10 Feb03 Nov27 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00    
 
ELP-8   06/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAMER Jun01 Apr26 Mar25 Mar02 Feb11 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00    
2  TAKING CANDY May21 Aug20       (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50    
3  WAKE SURF May13 Dec15 Oct26 Oct12 Sep08 (arnold george )LANDEROS CHRIS 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  PRINCIPE D'ORO May11 Apr15 Feb25 Apr02 Jan15 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50 39% 1.60    
5  LINCOLN HIGHWAY May28 Apr08       (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 5.00 29% 2.40    
6  DUNEDIN May17 Apr28 Apr01 Oct09 Sep08 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00    
7  POLICY OPTION Jun01 May13 Apr26 Apr12 Mar10 (cano mu)CORRALES GERARDO 124 8.00    
8  IM A MODEST MAN May16 Apr14 Mar25 Mar10 Feb16 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 111 20.00    
9  MOONSTRIKE (GB) May20 Apr28 Mar25 Feb24   (engler jeff)LANERIE J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  BLUE DEVIL Jun01 Feb17 Jan06 Dec14 Nov30 (hiles jeff )HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  SOLID COUNTRY GOLD Jun01 Apr12 Mar02 Jan28 Dec22 (catalano wayne )CANNON DECLAN 124 12.00    
SCR  MAASAI WARRIOR Jun01 Apr29 Mar02 Jan22 Jan01 (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 124 12.00    
 
ELP-9   06/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC12 FAST Chicago Purse ($225K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIDDEN CONNECTION Jun03 Apr21 Mar11 Jan28 Dec16 (calhoun bre)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00    
2  MATAREYA May06 Mar31 Aug06 Jun11 May06 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 0.80 45% 1.20    
3  BE LIKE WATER Apr14 Mar11 Nov06 Oct09 Sep16 (oliver victo)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
4  STELLA NOIR May12 Mar25 Feb18 Jan13 Oct29 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
5  SOCIETY May05 Apr08 Nov05 Sep24 Aug26 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 29% 2.50    
6  DRIFAROS Mar11 Feb11 Jan22 Jul09 Jun19 (pompay terri)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 5% 18.50    
 
ELP-10   06/24/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOME RUN HANK Apr08         (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
2  HOLY MOLY ABRAHAM May21         (lovell dennis)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 20.00    
3  KIGALI May04 Mar25 Feb18 Jan21 Jun09 (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.50    
4  YOUNGDUMBANDBROKE Mar11         (tomlinson a)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  ZAPHOD Jun04         (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  BE THERE Aug28 Jul21 Apr02 Mar13   (zito p)BEJARANO R 124 10.00    
7  BRAZILIAN FURY May23         (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 118 4.00 9% 9.80    
8  ETERNAL BLISS Mar19         (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  JOINT VENTURE Apr20 Feb25 Dec26 Oct15 Sep24 (flint bernard )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
10  LIQUID ADDICTION (IRE) Apr26 Mar25       (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  METALLURGIC         (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00    
SCR  CUORE SACRO May21 Aug19       (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.