Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Tuesday - May 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (7/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
TDN-2   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
TDN-3   Win (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $10.80  
TDN-4   Win (6/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
TDN-5   Win (9/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $10.40  
TDN-6   Win (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $7.80  
TDN-7   Win (2/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $14.40 $14.40 6.40
TDN-8   Win (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 5 1 0 $2.60  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   05/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:00     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIRACLE DRUG (IRE) 6 3 4 31   1½ 1 (lang)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 42% 1.40 0.80 W
O K BABY 4 2 3.2 1nk   2½ 2 (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 22.30  
V K STAR 1 7 7 7   3 3 (bracho j)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 121 5.00 4.60 S
HERO'S DAUGHTER 3 6 5 5   4 4 (morales m)TORREALBA JG 116 4.50 29% 2.50 4.30  
VOODOOISM 7 1 6 6   6 5 (morale)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 8.00 8% 11.40 5.10  
FREE TO RUN 2 5 2nk 4   5 6 (brown t)CULP BRIANNE 119 20.00 42.10  
AWESOME WONDER 5 4 1nk 2nk   7 713½ (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00 8.90  
SCR  MEET THE BEAUTY               (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 1.80    
 
TDN-2   05/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:133     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VISUAL MISSION 2 4 4 46 3 1nk 1 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00 21% 3.80 2.10 W
GOLD N SILVER 1 2 11 2 2½ 2nk 2 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 121 1.80 52% 0.90 0.70 P
NEBULOSA 6 3 21 1 1½ 3½ 38 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 2.50 6% 16.20 3.50 S
PRIVATE DRIVE 3 1 3 35 44 4 410 (guidry terrance)TORREALBA JG 114 4.50 23.90  
SAMMY DA BULL 5 6 611½ 613 6 6 510¼ (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00 36.90  
HANSENATION 4 5 5 56 5 56 610¾ (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 121 8.00 22.00  
 
TDN-3   05/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:491 1:014     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COSTUME JEWELRY 1 8 7 3½   1nk 1 (morale)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 12.00 4.40  
BUSYBEING FABULOUS 8 1 11 2nk   2nk 2 (johnson l)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 4.50 3.40  
STARLITESLEW 5 2 31 1nk   3.2 34 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 5.90  
SHANGHAI ROYALTY 6 5 4 6   5 4 (huff)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 25.20  
BIRDIE'S CHANTZ 3 7 52 5   4 5 (yoder d)TORREALBA JG 114 6.00 4.90  
PATTI LOU 2 6 6 7   7 6 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00 21% 3.80 2.50  
SEEKING THE MONEY 7 3 21 41   6 7 (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 52% 0.90 5.20  
WELLOILEDCAT 4 4 86 8   8 811 (casalinova tina)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 42.20  
 
TDN-4   05/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:13 1:394   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALFIO 3 3 2 1 14 1 19 (vecchio caryn)TORREALBA JG 118 8.00 12% 7.20 0.90 W
R CARDINAL PRINCE 6 2 3 3 24 2 29 (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 6.00 34% 1.90 4.50 P
AGNELLO'S DREAM 4 6 4 43 36 3 310¼ (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.00 4.10  
BOSS BEAR 5 5 6 6 48 412 416 (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.00 23% 3.30 5.90  
ONEMORANDTHECHECK 7 1 5 54 58 514½ 519 (johnson )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
SEE SPOT RUN 2 4 1 2 610½ 617½ 619 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00 16.10  
HAD RIGHT 1 7 7 79 715 719½ 721½ (huffman candace )DIAZ I 119 5.00 24.10  
SCR  SNOWSCAPE               (waltz brian)AVILES YAN 119 3.50    
 
TDN-5   05/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:144     1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBLE BEHAVIOR 2 1 1 1nk 1½ 12 1¾ (londono j)TORREALBA JG 118 8.00 4.20  
GEH SCHNELL 1 8 8 8 8 7 2¾ (manning richard )HOUGHTON D 123 6.00 13.70 P
RIDING IN THE WIND 8 6 7 73 7 6 3¾ (jackson r)GONZALEZ A 123 12.00 16.30  
KING ANDRES 5 4 3 4 6 5 42 (faulkner c)AVILES YAN 123 1.80 23% 3.40 4.20  
GALTERO 4 3 2 2nk 4¾ 22 5 (morale)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 15.00 12.20  
DUEL FUEL 7 5 5 6 3½ 32 63 (romero o)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 12% 7.50 4.30  
ALGORIX 9 2 6 3.2 2½ 4 7 (vecchio caryn)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 3.00 41% 1.50 1.80  
AULD LANGE SYNE 3 7 4 5 5 84 8 (sondej amy)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 12.00 11.70  
GUCCISSIMO 6 9 9 911½ 915¼ 912 917½ (bailey rica)BRICENO M 118 20.00 44.00  
 
TDN-6   05/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:23 :47 :593     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAT DADDY 1 3 3 3.2   11 1 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 119 4.50 2.90  
DYRDEK 7 5 42 4¼   21 2 (vecchio caryn)REYES FRANK 119 8.00 13% 6.70 5.80 P
TRAGICALLY QUEWICK 3 4 21 2nk   4 3 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 119 5.00 7.20 S
BOURBON WISDOM 5 6 7 5¾   5 43 (skerrett jeffrey)GONZALEZ A 119 15.00 21.90  
LAZARUS PROJECT 6 7 63 6   6 5 (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00 7.10  
AMIGO'S AFFAIR 2 2 11 1nk   31 6 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 35% 1.90 5.10  
RIVERBOAT GAMBLER 4 1 52 7   7 7 (johnson )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.00 26% 2.80 1.60  
 
TDN-7   05/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAISE THE PURSES 7 2 53 5   32 11 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 19% 4.20 6.20 W
KID RUSSELL 8 1 2½ 1½   1 21 (juarez lorenzo)TORREALBA JG 114 20.00 9% 10.60 3.30 P
G T THREE FIFTY 1 4 42 31   2 3 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 2.80  
TURNING PAGES 2 6 3½ 4   43 4 (trevino steph)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 2.50 30% 2.30 2.50  
A PRAYER FOR KIDS 5 7 6 66   69 512½ (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 32.60  
MUCHO PRIMO 3 5 1½ 2½   55 613½ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 3.00 5.80  
RED COMET 4 8 74 77   812 714¼ (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 10.00 14% 5.90 12.20  
SWEET JILL'S JACK 6 3 85 88   711 815½ (campbell antho)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 4.50 17.90  
 
TDN-8   05/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:224 :463 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CYCLONE 4 3 21 1nk   1nk 13 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 0.30  
CHARTED 3 2 11 2nk   2nk 23 (waltz brian)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 59% 0.70 2.60 P
C C'S CLEAR CREEK 2 1 3 3   37 310¼ (flores israel)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.00 6.10 S
MOBOT 1 4 46 4   413 413¾ (murillo r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00 23.30  
SCR  BOURBON ON FIRE               (puhl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00    
SCR  VERITABLE               (waltz brian)AVILES YAN 123 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.