Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - May 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (7/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/8)-(7/3/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/8)-(7/3/8/1)-(7/3/8/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (7/3/8)-(1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/8)-(1/2/6)-(7/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(7/2)-(6/5/3/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-3   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2)-(7/2/3/1)-(7/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2)-(6/5/3/8)-(9/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-4   WIN (6/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/8)-(6/5/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/8)-(6/5/3/8)-(6/5/3/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3/8)-(9/5/7)-(2/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-5   WIN (9/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/5/7)-(9/5/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/7)-(9/5/7/4/1)-(9/5/7/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    PK3 (9/5/7)-(2/4/7)-(2/7/4/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7)-(2/7/4/8)-(4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-7   WIN (2/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/8)-(2/7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/8)-(2/7/4/8)-(2/7/4/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/4/8)-(4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
TDN-8   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/3) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  V K STAR Apr10 Mar27 Feb27 Jan24 Jan02 (bracho jose)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 121 5.00 ★    
2  FREE TO RUN Apr26 Mar28 Mar14 Feb23 Feb14 (brown t)CULP BRIANNE 119 20.00    
3  HERO'S DAUGHTER Apr26 Apr06 Mar22 Mar13 Feb20 (morales m)TORREALBA JG 116 4.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  MEET THE BEAUTY Mar22 Feb22 Dec21 Nov27 Oct29 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 1.80    
5  O K BABY Feb27 Oct26 Sep26 Aug23 Aug10 (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
6  AWESOME WONDER Apr30 Mar28 Feb28 Jan31 Jan05 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00    
7  MIRACLE DRUG (IRE) Apr26 Mar28 Jan21 Jan06 Dec04 (la)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
8  VOODOOISM Apr24 Mar22 Mar09 Feb27 Sep06 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 8.00 8% 11.40    
 
TDN-2   05/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD N SILVER May02 Apr13 Mar06 Jan16 Dec08 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 121 1.80 52% 0.90    
2  VISUAL MISSION May08 Mar20 Mar09 Feb23 Jan09 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00 21% 3.80    
3  PRIVATE DRIVE May09 Apr25 Mar22 Mar09 Feb21 (guidry terranc)TORREALBA JG 114 4.50    
4  HANSENATION Apr27 Apr11 Mar22 Mar09 Feb20 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 121 8.00    
5  SAMMY DA BULL Apr27 Mar27 Feb20 Feb09 Jan11 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00    
6  NEBULOSA May09 Apr26 Mar27 Feb13 Jan28 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 2.50 6% 16.20    
 
TDN-3   05/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COSTUME JEWELRY May06 Dec27 Dec12 Nov28 Nov12 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 12.00 ★    
2  PATTI LOU Apr27 Apr03 Mar08 Feb13 Jan23 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00 21% 3.80    
3  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ May06 Mar21 Feb23 Jan23 Dec12 (yoder d)TORREALBA JG 114 6.00 ★    
4  WELLOILEDCAT Dec19 Oct24 Sep27 Aug22 Aug10 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
5  STARLITESLEW May06 Apr05 Mar20 Oct25 Sep26 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50    
6  SHANGHAI ROYALTY Apr27 Apr03 Mar16 Feb15 Jan26 (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
7  SEEKING THE MONEY Apr24 Mar20 Feb16 Feb01 Jan18 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 52% 0.90    
8  BUSYBEING FABULOUS Apr27 Apr03 Mar08 Feb13 Jan24 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 4.50    
 
TDN-4   05/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAD RIGHT Apr22 Mar31 Mar18 Mar03 Feb17 (huffman candac)DIAZ I 119 5.00    
2  SEE SPOT RUN Feb19 Feb04 Jan08 Dec09 Oct26 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00    
3  ALFIO Apr26 Apr05 Mar06 Feb16 Feb01 (vecchio caryn)TORREALBA JG 118 8.00 12% 7.20    
4  AGNELLO'S DREAM Apr27 Mar28 Feb21 Feb08 Jan05 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.00    
5  BOSS BEAR Oct14 Aug31 Jul13 Jun30 Jun07 (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.00 23% 3.30    
6  R CARDINAL PRINCE Apr27 Apr04 Feb02 Dec22 Oct27 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 6.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  SNOWSCAPE Mar28 Feb02 Jan05 Dec20 Nov10 (waltz brian)AVILES YAN 119 3.50    
8  ONEMORANDTHECHECK Apr27 Mar21 Jan23 Dec22 Dec13 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-5   05/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEH SCHNELL Apr10 Mar22 Mar07 Feb21 Feb01 (manning richar)HOUGHTON D 123 6.00 ★    
2  NOBLE BEHAVIOR May01 Feb27 Feb01 Jan17 Dec29 (londono j)TORREALBA JG 118 8.00    
3  AULD LANGE SYNE Apr13 Mar27 Mar07 Feb27 Dec30 (sondej amy)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 12.00    
4  GALTERO May03 Nov07 Oct24 Sep29 Sep19 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 15.00 ★    
5  KING ANDRES May03 Apr10 Mar22 Mar07 Feb21 (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 123 1.80 23% 3.40    
6  GUCCISSIMO May03 Aug25 Aug10 Jul18 Jul11 (bailey ri)BRICENO M 118 20.00    
7  DUEL FUEL May06 Apr24 Apr13 Mar23 Feb23 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 12% 7.50    
8  RIDING IN THE WIND Apr25 Sep30 Sep16 Aug23 Aug04 (jackson jame)MEJIAS RICARDO 123 12.00    
9  ALGORIX Apr13 Mar14 Feb22 Feb02 Jan17 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 3.00 41% 1.50    
 
TDN-6   05/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAT DADDY May02 Nov28 Nov10 Oct14 Sep27 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 119 4.50    
2  AMIGO'S AFFAIR May03 Apr25 Mar28 Feb20 Jan18 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
3  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Apr25 Feb20 Jan23 Jan09 Nov28 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 119 5.00 ★    
4  RIVERBOAT GAMBLER Apr25 Mar28 Feb20 Jan09 Dec20 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.00 26% 2.80    
5  BOURBON WISDOM Mar21 Feb21 Jan30 Jan10 Dec20 (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 119 15.00    
6  LAZARUS PROJECT May08 Dec05 Nov08 Oct22 Oct10 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00    
7  DYRDEK May02 Mar22 Feb23 Jan23 Dec28 (vecchio caryn)REYES FRANK 119 8.00 13% 6.70    
 
TDN-7   05/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  G T THREE FIFTY Mar04 Feb10 Jan13 Sep29 Sep13 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50    
2  TURNING PAGES Apr04 Mar20 Mar06 Feb15 Jan17 (trevino ste)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 2.50 30% 2.30    
3  MUCHO PRIMO Mar02 Feb15 Jan17 Dec14 Dec06 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 3.00    
4  RED COMET Apr26 Oct29 Sep26 Aug03   (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 10.00 14% 5.90    
5  A PRAYER FOR KIDS Dec01 Nov01 Oct06 Sep20 Sep05 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
6  SWEET JILL'S JACK Apr12 Jan26 Jan12 Dec14 Oct24 (campbell ant)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 4.50    
7  RAISE THE PURSES Dec29 Dec20 Nov22 Nov14 Nov01 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 19% 4.20    
8  KID RUSSELL May09 Apr25 Apr13 Feb21 Jan26 (juarez lorenzo)TORREALBA JG 114 20.00 9% 10.60    
 
TDN-8   05/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOURBON ON FIRE Apr29 Mar24 Mar04 Feb03 Jan14 (pu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of KATNISS THE VICTOR by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
2  MOBOT Oct26 Oct04 Sep24     (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of GINGER MO by UNCLE MO)
3  C C'S CLEAR CREEK May06 Apr05 Mar21 Oct12 Sep27 (flores israel)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.00 ★    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of PUTAH CREEK by CEE'S TIZZY)
4  CHARTED Feb08 Jan18 Nov29     (waltz brian)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 59% 0.70    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of WEAR RED by HENNY HUGHES)
5  CYCLONE Apr01 Mar12 Feb20 Jan27 Jan13 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of PROMISE ME SILVER by SILVER CITY)
SCR  VERITABLE Mar04 Dec21 Oct08 Sep13 Jul22 (waltz brian)AVILES YAN 123 8.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of CALL MARIAH by DIXIE UNION)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.