Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Tuesday - April 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
TDN-2   Win (3/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $4.40  
TDN-3   Win (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
TDN-4   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 5.20
TDN-5   Win (2/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  
TDN-6   Win (3/5/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 0 $57.20  
TDN-7   Win (1/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
TDN-8   Win (1/12/4/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :464 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARHORSE WEST 6 1 1nk 11   14 1 (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 1.80 46% 1.20 1.40 W
ATILANO 3 2 4 46   4 2 (lopez jacinto)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 10.00 11% 7.80 7.20 P
AURA OF GOLD 4 3 33 3   24 3 (madr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 2.00 15% 5.80 1.30 S
TWELVE MINUS ONE 5 6 55 57   58 410¾ (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 4.00 6.10  
ELUSIVE QUESTION 1 5 2nk 21   34 512 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 118 8.00 12.10  
STREET TRAFFIC 2 4 610 613   612 616¼ (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 118 5.00 21.80  
 
TDN-2   04/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR. ZARNETT 4 2 4 43   22 11 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 121 6.00 1.20  
OHIO MUNNY 1 5 1nk 1½   12 21 (galloway khadeem)DIAZ I 119 3.00 16% 5.10 1.90 P
PRIVATE DRIVE 5 1 2nk 2½   32 34 (romero oscar)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 10.00 13.30  
KID RUSSELL 6 3 3 3   4 4 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 119 8.00 14% 5.90 18.40  
RIDING IN THE WIND 2 6 69 67   55 55 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 30.30  
ROSCO P. COLTRANE 3 4 57 5   6 68 (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.00 24% 3.10 2.50  
SCR  DOUGS MORNING PICK               (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 2.50 16% 5.10    
 
TDN-3   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :48 1:00     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANZING CHICK 3 3 2nk 1nk   14 1 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 118 1.60 44% 1.30 0.20 W
SISTER CODE 1 6 5 5   35 2 (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 113 8.00 9.00  
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 6 2 34 3   24 3 (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 6.00 13.70  
FULL TIME STRUTIN 5 1 4 4   4 4 (gonzalez donac)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 15.00 56.70  
CAJUN HEIR 2 4 1nk 2nk   57 514½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 12.00 9.00  
TOP HAT TIGRESS 4 5 6 6   613 619¼ (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 118 2.50 30% 2.40 5.60  
SCR  SMARTY PANTS               (norris)SALAZAR VICTOR 118 4.00    
 
TDN-4   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :471 :59     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOMUCHSUGAR 3 6 5 4   4¼ 1 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.00 19% 4.40 3.60 W
FLOWZANO 6 2 3.2 3½   2nk 2 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.50 4.20 P
CANDLELIGHT HOURS 5 1 2nk 2½   3.2 3 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 56% 0.80 0.40 S
MYRRH 2 3 1nk 1½   1nk 4 (poole c)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 18.40  
DONYA'S MAGIC 1 5 4 5   5 510¼ (poole c)BRACHO A 119 12.00 26.70  
GOLDEN NOLE 4 4 6 6   614¼ 6100 (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00 20.60  
 
TDN-5   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:221 :461 :58     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVERBOAT GAMBLER 2 5 4 43   21 1 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 3.00 28% 2.60 1.80 W
AMIGO'S AFFAIR 6 1 1nk 1nk   11 2 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 17% 4.90 3.30 P
TRAGICALLY QUEWICK 5 2 5 5   5 3 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 119 4.50 2.50  
SHADOW TRACER 3 4 3 31   31 4 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 21% 3.80 4.20  
MAKING ME CRAZY 4 6 66 6   6 5 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 5.00 15.20  
MON CAMO 1 3 2nk 2nk   4 6 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 8.40  
SCR  MAS CHIKILIN               (murillo rodr)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 13% 6.70    
 
TDN-6   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :471 :593     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST AS FAST CAN B 10 1 14 15   15 11 (guidry terrance)TORREALBA JG 118 8.00 27.60  
TIER ONE 1 10 7 7   3 21 (fletcher jeff)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 5.00 5.00 P
RAY'S EMPIRE 2 8 56 47   4 3 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 41% 1.50 2.10 S
GOOD MUSIC 8 7 6 5   5 4 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 12.00 11.80  
1A  MAN'S CHOICE 5 5 34 25   25 5 (zielinski richar)DIAZ I 119 5.00 3.10  
10  SYNERGISTIC 11 2 8 810¾   7 6 (lopez jacinto)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 20.00 7% 14.10 34.60  
LEWIS AND CLARK 4 9 10 1014¼   8 7 (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 123 20.00 91.10  
PAYMASTER GENERAL 7 11 1111¼ 1114¾   1011¼ 88 (schuster robin)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00 48.90  
SHOWTIME BOY 3 4 24 35   6 9 (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00 3.10  
EL CONDOR CAZA 9 3 9 912¼   1111¾ 10 (dubie kat)PILARES P 123 3.50 4.10  
JOSH'N 6 6 4 6   910¼ 11 (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 123 6.00 28% 2.60 6.30  
 
TDN-7   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :472 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS BETTY 2 6 43 3   2nk 1 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 6.00 7% 13.10 1.50 W
ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS 6 1 1nk 1   1nk 2 (langley joshua)RIVERA R 119 2.50 19% 4.20 6.30 P
WICKED WONDER 3 5 54 4   34 3 (fadlovich megan)CEDILLO MAURO 114 5.00 7% 13.10 6.10 S
TWILIGHT VISION 4 3 2nk 2   4 46 (jackson james )TERRAZA GERMAN 114 4.00 5.90  
LADY GIULIANA 5 2 32 5   5 510 (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 15.00 16.60  
SEACHROME 1 4 6 66   610¾ 610¾ (west m)AVILES YAN 115 2.00 45% 1.20 1.80  
SCR  LOVE'S TAVITO               (tumblin andre)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 10.00    
 
TDN-8   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:231 :482 1:01     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE'S MY NUMBER 3 12 94 9   6 1½ (cowans william )BRACHO A 123 4.00 5% 19.00 1.80 W
MY PINK BUNNY TALE 4 6 21 2   2 2½ (cline c)YARANGA Y 119 8.00 14.30  
12  SUGAR LOVES IT 12 10 73 64   34 3 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 25% 2.90 9.80 S
10  DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT 10 1 8 10   10 43 (gorham m)DIAZ I 119 5.00 5% 19.00 4.00  
1A  STEALTH MODE 6 2 31 3   4 5 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.50 46% 1.20 2.40  
DOMINUS O'S ME 1 7 104 8   5 6 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 10.00 28.50  
VILLAGE CAT 5 5 11 1   1 7 (jackson r)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00 14.20  
OUTPOST GIRL 7 8 6 7   77 8 (schu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 20.00 61.80  
DEE'S KY WILDCAT 2 11 12 11   9 9 (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 15.00 27.70  
OH EYE SEE 8 3 5 43   8 10 (maddox rachael)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 30.00 69.00  
LIVIE ANNE 9 4 4 53   1110¾ 1111¼ (tumblin andre)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 30.00 99.40  
11  JUPITER ECLIPSE 11 9 116 1210¼   1214¾ 1214¼ (treharne)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00 18.00  
SCR  LA CORONA               (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.