Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Tuesday - April 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-3 $14.30 $8.30 138%
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-3-4 $28.80 $22.80 380%
TDN-4   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $9.20 $5.20 130%
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00  3-6 $15.50 $11.50 288%
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00  3-6-5 $19.60 $15.60 390%
TDN-5   EXA (2/3/6/7)-(2/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-6 $13.00 $1.00 8%
    PK3 (3/4)-(5/3)-(2/3/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-3-2 $23.00 $7.00 44%
TDN-7   EXA (1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-7 $14.50 $2.50 21%
    TRI (1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00  2-7-3 $55.20 $31.20 130%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :464 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WARHORSE WEST 6 1 1nk 11   14 15¼ (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 1.80 46% 1.20 1.40 W
  (by WEST COAST out of HIDDEN MYSTERY by HIDDEN CAPITAL)
3  ATILANO 3 2 43½ 46   45½ 25¼ (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 10.00 11% 7.80 7.20 P
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of YOU CHEATED by COLONEL JOHN)
4  AURA OF GOLD 4 3 33 33½   24 35¾ (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 2.00 15% 5.80 1.30 S
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SWEET HALORY by HOLD ME BACK)
5  TWELVE MINUS ONE 5 6 55 57   58 410¾ (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 4.00 6.10  
  (by MOSLER out of MATTY'S SENSATION by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
1  ELUSIVE QUESTION 1 5 2nk 21   34 512 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 118 8.00 12.10  
  (by ELUSIVE HOUR out of PERFECT QUESTION by PERFECT CIRCLE)
2  STREET TRAFFIC 2 4 610 613   612 616¼ (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 118 5.00 21.80  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of STREET SUCCESS by STREET CRY (IRE))
 
TDN-2   04/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DR. ZARNETT 4 2 45½ 43   22 11 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 121 6.00 1.20  
1  OHIO MUNNY 1 5 1nk 1½   12 21 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 119 3.00 16% 5.10 1.90 P
5  PRIVATE DRIVE 5 1 2nk 2½   32 34 (romero osca)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 10.00 13.30  
6  KID RUSSELL 6 3 33½ 31½   43½ 44½ (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 119 8.00 14% 5.90 18.40  
2  RIDING IN THE WIND 2 6 69 67   55 55 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 30.30  
3  ROSCO P. COLTRANE 3 4 57 55½   65¼ 68 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.00 24% 3.10 2.50  
SCR  DOUGS MORNING PICK               (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 2.50 16% 5.10    
 
TDN-3   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :48 1:00     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DANZING CHICK 3 3 2nk 1nk   14 12¼ (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 118 1.60 44% 1.30 0.20 W
  (by DANZING CANDY out of TRUE CHICK by YES IT'S TRUE)
1  SISTER CODE 1 6 55¼ 57½   35 22¼ (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 113 8.00 9.00  
  (by DOSIFICADO out of SIERRA TARAHUMARA by RECAP)
7  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 6 2 34 32½   24 33¾ (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 6.00 13.70  
  (by UNCLE VINNY out of HINES FARLEY RULES by KING OF KINGS (IRE)
5  FULL TIME STRUTIN 5 1 44¼ 45½   45½ 44½ (gonzalez don)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 15.00 56.70  
  (by TATHQEEF out of PART TIME MODEL by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  CAJUN HEIR 2 4 1nk 2nk   57 514½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 12.00 ★ 9.00  
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of ELITE HEIR by WILDCAT HEIR)
4  TOP HAT TIGRESS 4 5 67¼ 69½   613 619¼ (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 118 2.50 30% 2.40 5.60  
  (by SMILING TIGER out of STARS COLLIDE by JAVA GOLD)
SCR  SMARTY PANTS               (norr)SALAZAR VICTOR 118 4.00 ★    
  (by BAL A BALI out of SMART AND FANCY by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
TDN-4   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :471 :59     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SOMUCHSUGAR 3 6 51¼ 42½   4¼ 11¾ (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.00 19% 4.40 3.60 W
6  FLOWZANO 6 2 3.2 3½   2nk 21¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.50 ★ 4.20 P
5  CANDLELIGHT HOURS 5 1 2nk 2½   3.2 33¾ (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 56% 0.80 0.40 S
2  MYRRH 2 3 1nk 1½   1nk 45½ (poole c)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 18.40  
1  DONYA'S MAGIC 1 5 41¼ 52¾   52¼ 510¼ (poole c)BRACHO A 119 12.00 26.70  
4  GOLDEN NOLE 4 4 65¼ 67¾   614¼ 6100 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00 20.60  
 
TDN-5   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:221 :461 :58     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RIVERBOAT GAMBLER 2 5 43½ 43   21 13½ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 3.00 28% 2.60 1.80 W
6  AMIGO'S AFFAIR 6 1 1nk 1nk   11 23½ (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 17% 4.90 3.30 P
5  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK 5 2 54½ 54½   53¾ 34¼ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 119 4.50 2.50  
3  SHADOW TRACER 3 4 31½ 31   31 47¾ (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 21% 3.80 4.20  
4  MAKING ME CRAZY 4 6 66 66½   66¾ 58½ (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 5.00 15.20  
1  MON CAMO 1 3 2nk 2nk   41¼ 69¾ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 8.40  
SCR  MAS CHIKILIN               (murillo ro)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 13% 6.70    
 
TDN-6   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :471 :593     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  FAST AS FAST CAN B 10 1 14 15   15 11 (guidry terranc)TORREALBA JG 118 8.00 27.60  
  (by CAN THE MAN out of THEANA by UNCLE MO)
2  TIER ONE 1 10 76¾ 78¾   36½ 21 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 5.00 ★ 5.00 P
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MILITARY MAMA by INCLUDE)
3  RAY'S EMPIRE 2 8 56 47   46½ 32¼ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 41% 1.50 2.10 S
  (by BODEMEISTER out of CARGO JET by DISCREET CAT)
7  GOOD MUSIC 8 7 66¼ 57¼   56¾ 42½ (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 12.00 11.80  
  (by ALTERNATION out of MY MANCITA by MR. GREELEY)
1A  MAN'S CHOICE 5 5 34 25   25 52½ (zielinski rich)DIAZ I 119 5.00 3.10  
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ROLLIN LIKE SHOBIZ by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
10  SYNERGISTIC 11 2 88¾ 810¾   77¾ 63½ (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 20.00 7% 14.10 34.60  
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of LIMPOPO by LION HEART)
4  LEWIS AND CLARK 4 9 109¾ 1014¼   88¾ 75¼ (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 123 20.00 91.10  
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of ESPIRITU CHIJULLA by MALIBU MOON)
6  PAYMASTER GENERAL 7 11 1111¼ 1114¾   1011¼ 88 (schuster robi)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00 48.90  
  (by FORT LARNED out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
1  SHOWTIME BOY 3 4 24 35   66¾ 98¼ (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00 ★ 3.10  
  (by UNCLE LINO out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
8  EL CONDOR CAZA 9 3 99¾ 912¼   1111¾ 109¾ (dubie k)PILARES P 123 3.50 4.10  
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of UNBRIDLED ELLA by PLEASANT TAP)
5  JOSH'N 6 6 45½ 67¼   910¼ 119¾ (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 123 6.00 28% 2.60 6.30  
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of LACEY'S RACEY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
 
TDN-7   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :472 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MISS BETTY 2 6 43 31½   2nk 11¼ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 6.00 7% 13.10 1.50 W
7  ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS 6 1 1nk 11½   1nk 21¼ (langley joshua)RIVERA R 119 2.50 19% 4.20 6.30 P
3  WICKED WONDER 3 5 54 42½   34 32¼ (fadlovich meg)CEDILLO MAURO 114 5.00 7% 13.10 6.10 S
4  TWILIGHT VISION 4 3 2nk 21½   44¼ 46 (jackson jame)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 4.00 5.90  
6  LADY GIULIANA 5 2 32 54½   58¾ 510 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 15.00 16.60  
1  SEACHROME 1 4 64½ 66   610¾ 610¾ (west m)AVILES YAN 115 2.00 45% 1.20 1.80  
SCR  LOVE'S TAVITO               (tumblin and)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 10.00    
 
TDN-8   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:231 :482 1:01     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HERE'S MY NUMBER 3 12 94 95¼   65½ 1½ (cowans willia)BRACHO A 123 4.00 5% 19.00 1.80 W
  (by DIALED IN out of SIMONETTA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5  MY PINK BUNNY TALE 4 6 21 21½   21½ 2½ (cline c)YARANGA Y 119 8.00 14.30  
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of MY PINK EASTERBABY by STRAIGHT MAN)
12  SUGAR LOVES IT 12 10 73 64   34 31½ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 25% 2.90 9.80 S
  (by OVERANALYZE out of VAN GOGO GIRL by VAN NISTELROOY)
10  DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT 10 1 83½ 107¼   109¾ 43 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 5.00 5% 19.00 4.00  
  (by DOMINUS out of NOCTURNE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
1A  STEALTH MODE 6 2 31 32½   44½ 53½ (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.50 46% 1.20 2.40  
  (by COMMISSIONER out of SOUTHERN SILENCE by DIXIE UNION)
2  DOMINUS O'S ME 1 7 104 84¼   54½ 64½ (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 10.00 28.50  
  (by DOMINUS out of NEIGH O ME by HALF OURS)
6  VILLAGE CAT 5 5 11 11½   11½ 74½ (jackson james )GONZALEZ A 119 12.00 14.20  
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HITCH VILLAGE by OLD TRIESTE)
7  OUTPOST GIRL 7 8 62¾ 74¼   77 85¼ (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 20.00 61.80  
  (by FORT LARNED out of GOOSE SKYWALKER by STRATEGIC MISSION)
3  DEE'S KY WILDCAT 2 11 127½ 118¾   99½ 95½ (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 15.00 27.70  
  (by WILDCAT RED out of DEE'S RIB by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS)
8  OH EYE SEE 8 3 51¼ 43   88½ 109½ (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 30.00 69.00  
  (by FIRING LINE out of OUR JEWEL by SOUVENIR COPY)
9  LIVIE ANNE 9 4 41¼ 53   1110¾ 1111¼ (tumblin and)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 30.00 99.40  
  (by EVEN THE SCORE out of CELESTE by GOLDEN SOUVENIR)
11  JUPITER ECLIPSE 11 9 116 1210¼   1214¾ 1214¼ (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00 ★ 18.00  
  (by PADDY O'PRADO out of FASTEEL by MAGNA GRADUATE)
SCR  LA CORONA               (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.50 ★    
  (by PAYNTER out of SPRING WATER by SPRING AT LAST)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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