Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - April 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(3/1/6)-(3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(3/4)-(5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-3   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(5/3)-(2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-4   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(2/3/6)-(3/5/10) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(3/5/10)-(1/7/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/5/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/10)-(3/5/10/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/10)-(3/5/10/1/2)-(3/5/10/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    PK3 (3/5/10)-(1/7/3/2)-(1/12/4/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-7   WIN (1/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/3/2)-(1/12/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/12/4/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/12/4/10)-(12/4/10/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/12/4/10)-(12/4/10/11)-(12/4/10/11) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELUSIVE QUESTION Apr10         (spiess m)YARANGA Y 118 8.00    
  (by ELUSIVE HOUR out of PERFECT QUESTION by PERFECT CIRCLE)
2  STREET TRAFFIC Jul14 Jun29       (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 118 5.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of STREET SUCCESS by STREET CRY (IRE))
3  ATILANO Apr10 Aug23       (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 10.00 11% 7.80    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of YOU CHEATED by COLONEL JOHN)
4  AURA OF GOLD Mar22 Feb22 Feb08 Jan11 Dec30 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 2.00 15% 5.80    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SWEET HALORY by HOLD ME BACK)
5  TWELVE MINUS ONE Apr10         (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 4.00    
  (by MOSLER out of MATTY'S SENSATION by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
6  WARHORSE WEST Apr10 Mar22 Mar01 Feb14 Dec30 (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 1.80 46% 1.20    
  (by WEST COAST out of HIDDEN MYSTERY by HIDDEN CAPITAL)
 
TDN-2   04/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OHIO MUNNY Mar22 Feb13 Jan23 Dec06 Oct12 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 119 3.00 16% 5.10    
2  RIDING IN THE WIND Sep30 Sep16 Aug23 Aug04 May25 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
3  ROSCO P. COLTRANE Apr06 Mar22 Mar09 Feb02 Jan26 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.00 24% 3.10    
4  DR. ZARNETT Mar23 Feb20 Jan26 Dec21 Dec12 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 121 6.00    
5  PRIVATE DRIVE Mar22 Mar09 Feb21 Feb02 Jan10 (romero osca)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 10.00    
6  KID RUSSELL Apr13 Feb21 Jan26 Dec29 Dec12 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 119 8.00 14% 5.90    
SCR  DOUGS MORNING PICK Mar22 Mar08 Jan28 Dec12 Nov10 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 2.50 16% 5.10    
 
TDN-3   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SISTER CODE Mar16 Feb27 Feb09 Jan24 Jan09 (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 113 8.00    
  (by DOSIFICADO out of SIERRA TARAHUMARA by RECAP)
2  CAJUN HEIR Apr06         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 12.00 ★    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of ELITE HEIR by WILDCAT HEIR)
3  DANZING CHICK Apr06 Mar21 Feb27 Feb09 Jan24 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 118 1.60 44% 1.30    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of TRUE CHICK by YES IT'S TRUE)
4  TOP HAT TIGRESS Mar05 Feb21 Jan25 Jan03 Dec26 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 118 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of STARS COLLIDE by JAVA GOLD)
5  FULL TIME STRUTIN Apr13 Mar29 Mar21 Mar08 Feb20 (gonzalez don)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 15.00    
  (by TATHQEEF out of PART TIME MODEL by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  SMARTY PANTS Apr06 Mar21 Feb09     (norr)SALAZAR VICTOR 118 4.00 ★    
  (by BAL A BALI out of SMART AND FANCY by NOT FOR LOVE)
7  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Apr06 Mar21 Feb27 Feb09 Jan24 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 6.00    
  (by UNCLE VINNY out of HINES FARLEY RULES by KING OF KINGS (IRE)
 
TDN-4   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONYA'S MAGIC Mar17 Jan25 Jan07 Nov25 Oct21 (poole c)BRACHO A 119 12.00    
2  MYRRH Apr15 Mar30 Mar14 Feb27 Jan31 (poole c)AVILES YAN 119 10.00    
3  SOMUCHSUGAR Apr10 Mar16 Feb06 Jan19 Jan03 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.00 19% 4.40    
4  GOLDEN NOLE Aug25 Aug02 Jul19 Jun29 Jun08 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
5  CANDLELIGHT HOURS Sep27 Aug13 Jul19 Jun30 Jun03 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 56% 0.80    
6  FLOWZANO Apr10 Mar15 Feb22 Feb06 Jan19 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.50 ★    
 
TDN-5   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MON CAMO Sep21 Sep01 Aug01 Jul04 May23 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
2  RIVERBOAT GAMBLER Mar28 Feb20 Jan09 Dec20 Dec05 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 3.00 28% 2.60    
3  SHADOW TRACER Sep01 Aug16 Jul28 Jul06 May30 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 21% 3.80    
4  MAKING ME CRAZY Mar28 Mar09 Feb20 Feb08 Dec20 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 5.00    
5  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Feb20 Jan23 Jan09 Nov28 Nov09 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 119 4.50    
6  AMIGO'S AFFAIR Mar28 Feb20 Jan18 Dec28 Oct10 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  MAS CHIKILIN Mar27 Mar02 Feb07 Jan09 Nov07 (murillo ro)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 13% 6.70    
 
TDN-6   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOWTIME BOY Apr13         (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00 ★    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
1A  MAN'S CHOICE Apr13 Mar09 Feb21 Feb09 Jan26 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ROLLIN LIKE SHOBIZ by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
2  TIER ONE Mar09 Feb21 Jan26 Jan19 Jan04 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 5.00 ★    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MILITARY MAMA by INCLUDE)
3  RAY'S EMPIRE Apr13 Mar01 Jan19 Jan04   (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 41% 1.50    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of CARGO JET by DISCREET CAT)
4  LEWIS AND CLARK Apr13 Feb09 Aug21 Aug01   (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 123 20.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of ESPIRITU CHIJULLA by MALIBU MOON)
5  JOSH'N Apr13         (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 123 6.00 28% 2.60    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of LACEY'S RACEY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
6  PAYMASTER GENERAL Mar09 Feb21 Jan04     (schuster robi)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
7  GOOD MUSIC Mar09 Nov01 Oct12 Sep26 Sep06 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 12.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of MY MANCITA by MR. GREELEY)
8  EL CONDOR CAZA Jan26 Dec12 Nov10 Oct06 Sep20 (dubie k)PILARES P 123 3.50    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of UNBRIDLED ELLA by PLEASANT TAP)
9  FAST AS FAST CAN B Mar21 Mar01 Jan26 Jan04 Dec12 (guidry terranc)TORREALBA JG 118 8.00    
  (by CAN THE MAN out of THEANA by UNCLE MO)
10  SYNERGISTIC         (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 20.00 7% 14.10    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of LIMPOPO by LION HEART)
 
TDN-7   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEACHROME Jan23 May11 Apr10     (west m)AVILES YAN 115 2.00 45% 1.20    
2  MISS BETTY Sep15 Aug25 Jul27 Jun18   (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 6.00 7% 13.10    
3  WICKED WONDER Apr03 Feb04 Jan20 Jan05 Nov25 (fadlovich meg)CEDILLO MAURO 114 5.00 7% 13.10    
4  TWILIGHT VISION Oct05 Sep13 Aug24 Aug10 Jul20 (jackson jame)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 4.00    
SCR  LOVE'S TAVITO Apr03 Mar13 Feb22 Feb07 Jan19 (tumblin and)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 10.00    
6  LADY GIULIANA Mar23 Mar07 Feb22 Jan23 Jan02 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 15.00    
7  ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS Apr06 Mar21 Dec07 Nov21 Nov07 (langley joshua)RIVERA R 119 2.50 19% 4.20    
 
TDN-8   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  STEALTH MODE Jul08 Jun22 May27     (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.50 46% 1.20    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of SOUTHERN SILENCE by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  LA CORONA Aug01 Jul07       (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.50 ★    
  (by PAYNTER out of SPRING WATER by SPRING AT LAST)
2  DOMINUS O'S ME Nov15 Oct29 Oct13     (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of NEIGH O ME by HALF OURS)
3  DEE'S KY WILDCAT Apr10 Mar30 Mar16 Feb15 Jan24 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 15.00    
  (by WILDCAT RED out of DEE'S RIB by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS)
4  HERE'S MY NUMBER         (cowans willia)BRACHO A 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of SIMONETTA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5  MY PINK BUNNY TALE Mar30 Mar08 Jan16     (cline c)YARANGA Y 119 8.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of MY PINK EASTERBABY by STRAIGHT MAN)
6  VILLAGE CAT         (jackson james )GONZALEZ A 119 12.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HITCH VILLAGE by OLD TRIESTE)
7  OUTPOST GIRL Apr10         (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 20.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of GOOSE SKYWALKER by STRATEGIC MISSION)
8  OH EYE SEE Mar30 Jan24 Jan10 Dec19 Nov16 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 30.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of OUR JEWEL by SOUVENIR COPY)
9  LIVIE ANNE Apr10         (tumblin and)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 30.00    
  (by EVEN THE SCORE out of CELESTE by GOLDEN SOUVENIR)
10  DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT Apr10 Mar30 Mar08 Oct05 Sep01 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of NOCTURNE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
11  JUPITER ECLIPSE Aug13 Aug01 Jul05 Jun13   (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00 ★    
  (by PADDY O'PRADO out of FASTEEL by MAGNA GRADUATE)
12  SUGAR LOVES IT Oct05         (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 25% 2.90    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of VAN GOGO GIRL by VAN NISTELROOY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.