Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Wednesday - May 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $10.20 $4.20 70%
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-6 $19.60 $13.60 227%
TDN-3   TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-1-5 $9.60 $3.60 60%
TDN-6   EXA (7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-2 $19.50 $7.50 63%
    TRI (7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00  7-2-3 $59.90 $35.90 150%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   05/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:154     1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  I MATTER 5 5 68½ 65¼ 45 23 11½ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 121 3.00 21% 3.80 4.10 W
6  UNDERCOVER LADY 6 1 11½ 12½ 11½ 13 21½ (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 8.00 10% 8.90 4.50 P
2  CONDUTTORE 2 3 21½ 22½ 21½ 34½ 33 (faul)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 12.00 12.10  
1  MAY BEAU 1 4 43½ 43½ 65½ 47½ 46 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 2.60  
4  PLAYFUL SUMMER 4 6 55½ 53¾ 34½ 511½ 514½ (flores chris)KEISER CHELSEY 119 4.00 11.10  
3  WHAT KNOT 3 2 32 32½ 55½ 617½ 626¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 47% 1.10 1.40  
 
TDN-2   05/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  KEYED ON TOP 5 2 31 2½   1½ 12½ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 2.00 2.80  
2  THE DRAKE 2 5 59¼ 59   46½ 22½ (flores christi)DIAZ I 123 8.00 19% 4.40 2.50 P
3  JOHNNY U 3 3 11 1½   2½ 33¼ (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 1.80 37% 1.70 2.40 S
1  O CIGANO 1 4 21 43   35½ 45¼ (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 123 3.50 5.00  
4  GUCCISSIMO 4 6 611¼ 611   611 510¾ (bailey ricar)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 12.00 40.00  
6  COLONEL MIKE 6 1 41¼ 33   57 610¾ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 8% 10.90 4.00  
 
TDN-3   05/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:002     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  VICTORY DIVISION 5 2 54 43½   22 11½ (gorham robert)BRACHO A 119 2.00 28% 2.50 1.50 W
1  TWINSPIREDJOEY 1 5 11 11½   12 21½ (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 4.00 14% 6.10 2.10 P
5  ACCURATE 4 3 33 21½   33½ 34¾ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 18% 4.60 1.60 S
2  THANKSDAD 2 4 21 32   45 47¼ (poole m)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 8.00 9.30  
4  BIG STOCK WINNER 3 1 43 512½   523 549 (iniri)MONSERRATE A 119 12.00 23.10  
SCR  WILDCAT BILL               (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50    
 
TDN-4   05/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :47 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LEXY ANNA 7 1 21 1nk   14 13¼ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 ★ 3.20  
7  DOUBLE EDGED 8 2 42½ 32   24 23¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.00 50% 1.00 1.30 P
1  J J'S FANCY 2 7 52½ 52¼   37½ 35¾ (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 8.00 5.90  
3  CATABOUT 3 8 77 75¾   610 47 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 ★ 4.40  
4  MOBIL MEISTER 5 4 65 64¼   710¼ 57¾ (faulkner rod)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 10.00 14.40  
5  CITY SIGNS 6 6 88½ 87¾   810¾ 69 (murillo rodr)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 3.50 24% 3.20 12.30  
2  NOT A WILD BRAT 1 5 32 42¼   49½ 711 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 15.00 9.40  
1A  REBEL POWER 4 3 11 2nk   510 819¼ (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 5.90  
 
TDN-5   05/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ROCK ON KITTEN 5 2 2½ 22   22½ 11¼ (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 12.00 3.50  
1  CALL WEST 1 5 66¾ 65½   34½ 21¼ (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 123 4.00 5.40  
6  LEOMBRUNO 6 1 1½ 12   12½ 31½ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 42% 1.40 2.10 S
4  KING ANDRES 4 4 42½ 33½   45½ 42½ (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 123 2.50 22% 3.60 2.80  
2  GOLDEN READY 2 3 52¾ 44½   58½ 510¼ (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.50 15% 5.70 4.90  
3  GALTERO 3 6 32½ 55   612½ 611½ (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 6.00 9.00  
 
TDN-6   05/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:002     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  EXACTITUDE 6 6 3½ 2nk   14½ 13½ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 2.50 23% 3.30 0.80 W
2  SO GO MY LUCEILLE 1 5 41½ 43   46 23½ (brown joh)BRICENO M 114 15.00 10% 9.10 15.10 P
3  PROPHETESS 2 7 63½ 65   57½ 33½ (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 3.50 20% 4.00 6.90 S
8  WHERETHERE'SSMOKE 7 2 1nk 1nk   24½ 44½ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 6.40  
4  KIST 3 3 74½ 76½   711 56½ (miller arizona)AVILES YAN 114 8.00 7.00  
5  SCARLETT'S AWISH 4 1 2nk 3½   35½ 66¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.50 8.40  
6  PROPER ETIQUETTE 5 4 52½ 54   610½ 77¾ (poole m)BRACHO A 119 8.00 13% 6.70 7.50  
SCR  CONGRATS JENSEN               (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 6.00    
 
TDN-7   05/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  AMIGO'S AFFAIR 6 1 1½ 12   12 12 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 1.80 30% 2.30 0.30 W
5  FIRST HOMESTEAD 5 2 32 22   22 22 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 4.50 26% 2.90 10.50 P
2  LAST DROP OF WINE 2 3 2½ 32   32 35½ (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 6.00 9.80  
1  EXONERATED PREZ 1 4 42 44   45½ 48¼ (genovese richard)AVILES YAN 123 12.00 35.00  
4  LUCKY ANDY 4 5 54½ 55½   58 510¼ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50 8.40  
3  NICHOLAS JAMES 3 6 64¾ 68   612 610½ (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 123 2.50 15% 5.60 4.50  
 
TDN-8   05/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:152     1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDYMONIUM 1 5 11 21 1½ 12½ 18¾ (skerrett jeffre)FELICIANO R 123 2.00 23% 3.40 0.30 W
  (by CANDY RIDE out of BROWN EYED MARY by PULPIT)
6  ICY RAIN 5 3 66½ 67 45 36½ 28¾ (ratliff gobel)YARANGA Y 123 10.00 20.60  
  (by UNKNOWN out of THMORUPLATHLESUPAY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  SOLDAT TEMPTATION 6 1 31½ 11 2½ 22½ 310¾ (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 7.00  
  (by SOLDAT out of ADELIA by FOREST DANGER)
4  LORDHEARMYPRAYER 3 2 21 32½ 33 47 413½ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 10% 9.00 3.50  
  (by TAPITURE out of HELLO GYPSY by QUIET AMERICAN)
5  FREEDOM'S ALLURE 4 6 52½ 43½ 55 511½ 527 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 8.00 ★ 13.10  
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of MAJESTIC ROSETTE by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
2  DANCING FOR MONEY 2 4 42½ 55 610 619½ 642 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 123 15.00 44.80  
  (by IN SUMMATION out of DANCEFOURSEVEN by VICTORY GALLOP)
SCR  KODA KALANI               (parker hill)AVILES YAN 123 3.50 38% 1.60    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of MOUNT NEVIS by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.