Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - May 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(3/2/6)-(6/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-2   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(6/5/1)-(7/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(7/5)-(6/4/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5)-(7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5)-(6/4/2)-(7/3/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-5   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(7/3/6/2)-(6/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (7/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6/2)-(6/5/3)-(1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-7   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAY BEAU Apr07 Mar15 Feb25 Feb10 Jan22 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50    
2  CONDUTTORE Mar22 Mar09 Feb20 Aug06 Jul20 (faul)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 12.00    
3  WHAT KNOT Mar18 Feb19 Dec30 Dec04 Nov12 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 47% 1.10    
4  PLAYFUL SUMMER Apr05 Mar09 Feb20 Jan05 Dec14 (flores chris)KEISER CHELSEY 119 4.00    
5  I MATTER Apr06 Mar22 Mar08 Feb22 Feb06 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 121 3.00 21% 3.80    
6  UNDERCOVER LADY Apr24 Mar13 Feb22 Dec30 Nov20 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00 10% 8.90    
 
TDN-2   05/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  O CIGANO Apr11 Mar20 Mar02 Jan18 Dec21 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 123 3.50    
2  THE DRAKE Apr12 Jan24 Jan05 Dec14 Nov15 (flores christi)DIAZ I 123 8.00 19% 4.40    
3  JOHNNY U Nov22 Oct24 Sep20 Aug22 Aug03 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 1.80 37% 1.70    
4  GUCCISSIMO Aug25 Aug10 Jul18 Jul11 Jun22 (bailey ricar)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 12.00    
5  KEYED ON TOP Apr04 Mar20 Feb15 Jan31 Jan03 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 2.00    
6  COLONEL MIKE Apr04 Oct19 Oct09 Sep13 Aug21 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 8% 10.90    
 
TDN-3   05/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWINSPIREDJOEY Apr24 Apr03 Mar21 Feb27 Jan26 (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 4.00 14% 6.10    
2  THANKSDAD Mar22 Mar02 Jan31 Jan17 Nov15 (poole m)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00    
SCR  WILDCAT BILL Dec06 Nov12 Oct14 Oct03 Aug30 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50    
4  BIG STOCK WINNER Sep08 Aug23 Aug09 Jul06 Jun28 (iniri)MONSERRATE A 119 12.00    
5  ACCURATE Apr06 Mar22 Mar06 Feb01 Aug30 (yoder susa)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00 18% 4.60    
6  VICTORY DIVISION Apr06 Mar14 Mar02 Jan17 Nov22 (gorham robert)BRACHO A 119 2.00 28% 2.50    
 
TDN-4   05/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J J'S FANCY Nov10 Nov01 Oct10 Sep26 Sep08 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 8.00    
1A  REBEL POWER Sep26 Sep01 Aug15 Jul12 Jun16 (morales sa)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
2  NOT A WILD BRAT Apr12 Mar27 Feb08 Dec01 Oct31 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 15.00    
3  CATABOUT Mar06 Feb23 Jan28 Dec30 Nov30 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 ★    
4  MOBIL MEISTER Dec13 Dec01 Nov12 Oct03 Sep23 (faulkner rod)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 10.00    
5  CITY SIGNS Apr13 Mar23 Oct13 Sep07 Jul18 (murillo rodr)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 3.50 24% 3.20    
6  LEXY ANNA Apr13 Feb23 Oct05 Sep07 Aug09 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 ★    
7  DOUBLE EDGED Mar30 Dec21 Nov23 Oct25 Aug22 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.00 50% 1.00    
 
TDN-5   05/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL WEST Apr15 Mar27 Mar15 Mar02 Feb09 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 123 4.00    
2  GOLDEN READY Nov13 Oct06 Sep15 Aug29 Aug17 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.50 15% 5.70    
3  GALTERO Nov07 Oct24 Sep29 Sep19 Sep05 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 6.00    
4  KING ANDRES Apr10 Mar22 Mar07 Feb21 Feb02 (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 123 2.50 22% 3.60    
5  ROCK ON KITTEN Jan31 Jan18 Dec27 Nov08 Oct24 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 12.00    
6  LEOMBRUNO Sep12 Aug08 Jul19 Jun30 Jun07 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 42% 1.40    
 
TDN-6   05/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CONGRATS JENSEN Apr13 Apr04 Mar16 Dec05 Nov01 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 6.00    
2  SO GO MY LUCEILLE Mar16 Feb28 Dec05 Nov17 Oct29 (brown joh)BRICENO M 114 15.00 10% 9.10    
3  PROPHETESS Apr13 Apr04 Mar27 Mar16 Feb28 (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 3.50 20% 4.00    
4  KIST Dec13 Nov23 Nov10 Oct11 Sep22 (miller arizon)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00    
5  SCARLETT'S AWISH Apr13 Dec30 Dec13 Nov23 Nov01 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.50    
6  PROPER ETIQUETTE Mar16 Dec30 Dec07 Nov19 Oct25 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 8.00 13% 6.70    
7  EXACTITUDE Apr26 Mar29 Mar08 Feb13 Jan23 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 2.50 23% 3.30    
8  WHERETHERE'SSMOKE Apr12 Apr04 Feb16 Dec21 Nov08 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00    
 
TDN-7   05/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXONERATED PREZ Mar08 Feb20 Feb01 Jan19 Jan02 (genovese richard)AVILES YAN 123 12.00    
2  LAST DROP OF WINE Nov08 Sep29 Aug16 Jul14 Jun27 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 6.00    
3  NICHOLAS JAMES Apr11 Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 Jan29 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 123 2.50 15% 5.60    
4  LUCKY ANDY Nov29 Oct24 Oct03 Sep12 Aug10 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50    
5  FIRST HOMESTEAD May04 Apr25 Mar24 Feb21 Jan22 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 4.50 26% 2.90    
6  AMIGO'S AFFAIR Apr25 Mar28 Feb20 Jan18 Dec28 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 1.80 30% 2.30    
 
TDN-8   05/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDYMONIUM Apr05 Feb20 Aug14 Jul15   (skerrett jeffre)FELICIANO R 123 2.00 23% 3.40    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of BROWN EYED MARY by PULPIT)
2  DANCING FOR MONEY Mar01 Feb22 Feb06 Jan12 Dec28 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 123 15.00    
  (by IN SUMMATION out of DANCEFOURSEVEN by VICTORY GALLOP)
SCR  KODA KALANI         (parker hill)AVILES YAN 123 3.50 38% 1.60    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of MOUNT NEVIS by EMPIRE MAKER)
4  LORDHEARMYPRAYER Apr13 Apr05 Mar08 Feb10 Feb01 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 10% 9.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of HELLO GYPSY by QUIET AMERICAN)
5  FREEDOM'S ALLURE Aug20 Aug01       (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 8.00 ★    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of MAJESTIC ROSETTE by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
6  ICY RAIN Mar29 Mar21 Mar01 Feb20 Jan12 (ratliff gobel)YARANGA Y 123 10.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of THMORUPLATHLESUPAY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  SOLDAT TEMPTATION Mar29 Nov28 Nov09 Oct24 Oct10 (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00    
  (by SOLDAT out of ADELIA by FOREST DANGER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.