Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Wednesday - April 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $9.60  
TDN-2   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $13.80  
TDN-3   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
TDN-4   Win (5/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $12.00 $12.00 4.00
TDN-5   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $6.00  
TDN-6   Win (9/6/5/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
TDN-7   Win (8/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $29.80 $29.80 21.80
TDN-8   Win (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 0.80

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   04/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :461 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALK DIRTY 2 4 4 31   2½ 1 (bird)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 3.80  
DREAM TO WIN 1 6 6 55   57 2 (brown glenroy)TORREALBA JG 114 15.00 22.70  
MIRACLE DRUG (IRE) 4 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 3 (sullivan)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 52% 0.90 0.80 S
TEAM GOLD DIGGER 6 3 2nk 2nk   3 4 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 8.00 3.20  
HERO'S DAUGHTER 5 2 31 4   4 5 (morale)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 4.00 22% 3.50 4.90  
FREE TO RUN 3 5 5 66   611½ 616½ (brown t)VELEZ J 119 12.00 32.10  
SCR  LATER DAYS               (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 119 5.00    
SCR  SEA MONSTER               (sullivan)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.50    
SCR  VIVE EL MOMENTO               (gotera ju)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00    
 
TDN-2   04/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:231 :473 :594     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASCABRIA 1 4 2nk 1   13 1 (skerrett jeffr)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 10.00 5.90  
ROMANTIC JEWEL 2 2 1nk 2   3 2 (bird)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 6% 15.40 0.50 P
BISCOTTINI 3 3 4 46   23 33 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 50% 1.00 1.70 S
W H LITTLE MISS GO 4 1 3.2 33   4 415½ (cady khalil)DIAZ I 123 15.00 12.50  
SCR  BAD KARMA               (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 1.80 23% 3.30    
SCR  TAPALONG               (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 8.00    
 
TDN-3   04/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :464 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXACTITUDE 1 1 11 11   1 1 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 1.60 23% 3.40 0.70 W
LARSA 3 3 21 31   2 2 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.00 47% 1.10 1.60 P
DANCING GRACE 2 2 3 21   34 3 (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 17.70  
EASTER PRIDE 6 4 5 4   47 4 (schuster)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 12.90  
CEE CEE'S GOT THIS 4 6 6 6   58 5 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 12.00 39.10  
SASSY POWER 5 5 4 54   69 612½ (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 119 6.00 8% 11.90 7.40  
 
TDN-4   04/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:221 :462 :581     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEBULOSA 1 4 14 1   14 1 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.50 10% 8.70 5.00 W
MANNFORD 4 3 3 2   24 2 (murillo r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 48% 1.10 2.30 P
RECKLESS L J 3 2 24 3   47 35 (radosevich justin)RIVERA R 119 3.00 0.80  
SHOW SLIDING HOME 2 5 4 45   3 45 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 5.00 6.80  
CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED 5 1 56 5   5 516½ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00 21.10  
SPIN DOCTOR 6 6 610 612½   619½ 645 (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00 5% 17.30 22.00  
SCR  REINVESTEDINTEREST               (wolochuk david)BRACHO A 119 2.50 7% 12.50    
 
TDN-5   04/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :463 :583     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT WARSHIP 3 6 6 6   1nk 13 (cowans william )BRACHO A 119 2.00 2.00  
THE COACHMAN 6 1 32 4   2nk 23 (urieta johanna)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 2.50 19% 4.30 2.80 P
GUN LAP 4 5 42 31   3.2 3 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 6.60  
DECEITFUL ANTHONY 5 4 2½ 2nk   5 4 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 10.00 17% 4.80 2.90  
MUTINY 1 2 1½ 1nk   4¼ 5 (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 119 3.50 33% 2.00 4.10  
EL MARRO 2 3 5 5   6 6 (schu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 16.70  
 
TDN-6   04/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:23 :463 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAT'S RHYTHM 1 6 41 5¾   2½ 1 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 121 3.50 7% 12.60 1.50 W
BOOGIE BOOGEE 4 1 2nk 1nk   1½ 2 (calderon ivan)RIVERA R 123 4.50 13% 6.50 3.50 P
PENNY SHOTS 8 4 7 8   7 3 (faulkn)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 12.00 12.40  
BISCAYNE BAY 7 5 82 7   5 4 (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 8.00 13.00  
AUJARA 6 9 6 4¼   4 57 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 15.00 5.20  
GAIL'S DANCER 3 3 1nk 3.2   32 67 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 7% 14.40 16.30  
RAINBOW SHIP 5 7 94 9   97 710½ (diehl candac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 121 5.00 23% 3.40 4.80  
SUSHI Q 2 8 5 6   83 810¾ (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 14.40  
1A  QUEEN AIR 9 2 3½ 2nk   6 914 (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00 12.40  
SCR  PANAMANIAC               (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 29% 2.50    
 
TDN-7   04/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:13     1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALFIO 7 5 3 3 1nk 13 1 (vecchio caryn)TORREALBA JG 114 10.00 10% 9.20 13.90 W
DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR 3 7 75 45 3.2 23 2 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 121 3.00 7.30  
TIMESATAPPIN 5 8 89 913¼ 5 39 3 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 12.00 9% 9.70 3.20 S
MODUS 2 9 912 811¾ 8 511 413¾ (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 5.60  
TONKAWA SPRINGS 8 1 5 5 7 612 517 (vecchio cary)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00 35% 1.90 2.20  
LED TASSO 4 4 2nk 2nk 2nk 49 618¼ (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 4.50 24% 3.10 17.00  
SWELTER 1 2 43 6 6 712¼ 720 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 12.00 31.70  
GIACOMETTI 6 3 1nk 1nk 4 814¼ 828¾ (urieta joha)BRICENO M 110 6.00 3.60  
RED COMET 9 6 64 710¼ 913½ 926¼ 943½ (bailey ricardo)TERRAZA GERMAN 110 8.00 20.70  
 
TDN-8   04/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:223 :452 :58     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY STREAK 9 5 3 22   2 1nk (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 6% 15.40 2.40 W
ELLIOT THE DRAGON 2 7 6 45   44 2nk (ibarra m)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 66% 0.50 1.20 P
1A  COWTOWN BOSS 6 2 21 3   32 31 (ibarra marco)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.50 1.20  
MOESTER 7 11 11 87   7 4 (brown gle)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.00 6% 15.90 10.40  
10  ZAKARIA 11 1 11 12   1 52 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 6.10  
STUNT MAN 3 9 53 5   56 6 (gorham m)DIAZ I 119 3.50 7.90  
TIDE RISING 4 10 10 9   8 7 (mahan )SALAZAR VICTOR 119 20.00 74.30  
SERENDIPITOUS 10 4 9 1110   11 8 (hamm timothy)DIAZ R 119 10.00 24.50  
KEEPING SCORE 5 6 8 76   66 9 (castro a)GONZALEZ A 119 20.00 60.60  
CHOCOLATE PHILLING 1 8 7 108   9 107 (maddox rachael)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 15.00 65.20  
RUMBLE STRIP RON 8 3 4 66   10 11 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 12.00 15.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.