Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - April 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (1/6)-(3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(3/2)-(3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-2   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(3/1/5)-(5/1/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(5/1/7)-(1/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-4   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/7)-(5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7)-(1/6/5)-(6/5/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-5   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(6/5/2/4)-(8/4/7/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-6   WIN (6/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/4)-(6/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/4)-(6/5/2/4)-(6/5/2/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2/4)-(8/4/7/5)-(1/8/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-7   WIN (8/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/7/5)-(8/4/7/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/7/5)-(8/4/7/5/2)-(8/4/7/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (8/4/7/5)-(1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/6)-(1/8/6/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/6)-(1/8/6/3/10)-(1/8/6/3/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   04/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIRACLE DRUG (IRE) Mar28 Jan21 Jan06 Dec04 Oct22 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  SEA MONSTER Mar13 Feb22 Jan27 Jan06 Oct08 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.50    
2  DREAM TO WIN Mar28 Jan18 Jul12 Jun13 May26 (brown glenroy)TORREALBA JG 114 15.00    
3  TALK DIRTY Apr10 Mar28 Mar14 Feb28 Feb09 (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 ★    
4  FREE TO RUN Mar28 Mar14 Feb23 Feb14 Jan31 (brown t)VELEZ J 119 12.00    
SCR  VIVE EL MOMENTO Mar20 Mar01 Feb18 Jan28 Jan06 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 ★    
6  HERO'S DAUGHTER Apr06 Mar22 Mar13 Feb20 Feb01 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 4.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  LATER DAYS Apr12 Mar25 Feb25 Feb06 Jan04 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 119 5.00 ★    
8  TEAM GOLD DIGGER Mar14 Feb14 Jan24 Dec12 Nov23 (ramgeet tina)RIVERA R 119 8.00    
 
TDN-2   04/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASCABRIA Apr15 Feb21 Jan10 Dec20 Dec13 (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 10.00    
2  ROMANTIC JEWEL Apr15 Apr10 Mar29 Mar13 Feb21 (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 6% 15.40    
3  BISCOTTINI Nov29 Oct03 Sep06 Jul26 Jun27 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  BAD KARMA Apr18 Apr01 Mar25 Mar18 Oct30 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 1.80 23% 3.30    
SCR  TAPALONG Mar29 Mar13 Feb02 Jan28 Oct05 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 8.00    
6  W H LITTLE MISS GO Oct06 Sep21 Jul10 Jun19 May23 (cady khalil)DIAZ I 123 15.00    
 
TDN-3   04/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXACTITUDE Mar29 Mar08 Feb13 Jan23 Dec27 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 1.60 23% 3.40    
2  DANCING GRACE Sep06 Jul20 Jun27 Jun06 May24 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50    
3  LARSA Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 Aug13 Jul27 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.00 47% 1.10    
4  CEE CEE'S GOT THIS Mar29 Jun27 Mar18 Feb28   (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 12.00    
5  SASSY POWER Apr13 Feb07 Dec07 Nov19 Oct24 (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 119 6.00 8% 11.90    
6  EASTER PRIDE Apr15 Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 Feb07 (schust)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00    
 
TDN-4   04/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEBULOSA Mar27 Feb13 Jan28 Jan17 Dec22 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.50 10% 8.70    
2  SHOW SLIDING HOME Apr06 Mar22 Feb21 Jan10 Dec03 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 5.00    
SCR  REINVESTEDINTEREST Feb13 Jan30 Dec27 Nov28 Nov07 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 119 2.50 7% 12.50    
4  RECKLESS L J Mar09 Feb13 Jan17 Dec27 Oct11 (radosevich justi)RIVERA R 119 3.00    
5  MANNFORD Feb02 Jan16 Dec27 Nov07 Sep01 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 48% 1.10    
6  CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED Sep15 Sep01 Aug02 Jun16 May18 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00    
7  SPIN DOCTOR Nov19 Nov12 Oct12 Sep27 Sep15 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00 5% 17.30    
 
TDN-5   04/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUTINY Mar20 Jan30 Jan11 Dec20 Nov29 (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 119 3.50 33% 2.00    
2  EL MARRO Mar30 Mar13 Feb20 Jan26 Jan10 (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
3  MIDNIGHT WARSHIP Mar28 Feb13 Nov29 Oct25 Oct10 (cowans willia)BRACHO A 119 2.00    
4  GUN LAP Aug18 Aug09 Jul11 May22 Mar24 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 4.00    
5  DECEITFUL ANTHONY Apr15 Feb20 Feb07 Jan18 Dec28 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 10.00 17% 4.80    
6  THE COACHMAN Apr04 Mar20 Mar07 Feb07 Jan30 (urieta johan)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 2.50 19% 4.30    
 
TDN-6   04/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PENNY SHOTS Mar08 Feb16 Jan28 Dec30 Dec13 (faul)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 12.00    
1A  QUEEN AIR Feb23 Dec30 Nov23 Nov10 Oct25 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00    
2  CAT'S RHYTHM Mar06 Feb08 Jan26 Jan16 Jan05 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 121 3.50 7% 12.60    
3  SUSHI Q Mar16 Feb28 Feb06 Jan17 Jan03 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 10.00    
4  GAIL'S DANCER Mar06 Feb16 Jan28 Jan05 Dec21 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 7% 14.40    
5  BOOGIE BOOGEE Mar27 Mar08 Feb16 Jan28 Jan05 (calderon ivan)RIVERA R 123 4.50 13% 6.50    
6  RAINBOW SHIP Apr10 Mar08 Feb16 Jan16 Dec30 (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 121 5.00 23% 3.40    
7  AUJARA Mar16 Feb22 Feb08 Jan18 Dec30 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
8  BISCAYNE BAY Apr12 Mar27 Mar08 Feb16 Jan28 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 8.00    
SCR  PANAMANIAC Oct05 Sep13 Aug29 Aug13 Aug01 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 29% 2.50    
 
TDN-7   04/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWELTER Apr04 Feb09 Dec30 Dec07 Oct11 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 12.00    
2  MODUS Mar15 Jan22 Dec28 Nov26   (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 ★    
3  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Apr08 Mar12 Feb25 Jan08 Feb19 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 3.00    
4  LED TASSO Mar01 Nov25 Nov19 Oct22 Sep22 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 4.50 24% 3.10    
5  TIMESATAPPIN Apr05 Mar22 Mar01     (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 12.00 9% 9.70    
6  GIACOMETTI Apr10 Mar31 Mar17 Feb24 Oct07 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 110 6.00    
7  ALFIO Apr05 Mar06 Feb16 Feb01 Jan19 (vecchio caryn)TORREALBA JG 114 10.00 10% 9.20    
8  TONKAWA SPRINGS Apr13 Mar28 Mar06 Feb09 Feb02 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00 35% 1.90    
9  RED COMET Oct29 Sep26 Aug03     (bailey ricar)TERRAZA GERMAN 110 8.00    
 
TDN-8   04/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELLIOT THE DRAGON Jan28 Jan11 Dec06 Nov01 Oct13 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 66% 0.50    
1A  COWTOWN BOSS Apr03 Mar06 Jan05 Dec06 Nov22 (ibarra mar)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.50    
2  CHOCOLATE PHILLING Mar20 Mar06 Feb13 Nov17 Oct06 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 15.00    
3  STUNT MAN Mar28 Sep06 Jun25 Jun08 May30 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 3.50 ★    
4  TIDE RISING Apr04 Mar08 Feb13 Jan28 Dec29 (maha)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 20.00    
5  KEEPING SCORE Mar28 Feb13 Jan28 Dec29 Dec06 (castro raquel )GONZALEZ A 119 20.00    
6  MOESTER Feb28 Feb13 Jan28 Dec20 Nov22 (brown g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.00 6% 15.90    
7  RUMBLE STRIP RON Apr13 Mar28 Mar06 Feb01 Dec29 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 12.00    
8  LUCKY STREAK Apr13 Mar28 Aug02 Jun20 Jun02 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 6% 15.40    
9  SERENDIPITOUS Apr06 Mar22 Mar02 Feb15 Jan17 (hamm timothy)DIAZ R 119 10.00    
10  ZAKARIA Mar28 Oct25 Oct03 Aug30 Aug08 (yoder lori )SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.