Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turf Paradise
Tuesday - April 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-1   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $10.40 $4.40 73%
TUP-3   TRI (5/4/7)-(5/4/7/1)-(5/4/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00  5-4-7 $9.75 $0.75 8%
TUP-4   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-1 $7.30 $1.30 22%

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   04/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:222 :45 :564     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOVACS 3 4 32 21   1 1 (silva rodri)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 15% 5.50 4.20 W
FRISCO KID 4 2 43 44   3 2 (villamar can)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 3.50 5.80  
ANDY BOBBY 5 5 69 67   5 3 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 51% 1.00 1.40 S
IRISH KNIGHT 1 6 5 54   4 4 (lucarelli fran)ANAYA V 122 3.00 2.80  
ROYAL TAP 6 1 2 3   6 511¾ (torres-casas)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 6.00 8% 12.10 4.90  
TRINNI VALANTINE 2 3 1 11   2 614¼ (fearon john)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 9.40  
 
TUP-2   04/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:101 1:232   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLESSED JOURNEY 3 3 34 34 3½ 2nk 1hd (silva jose )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 42% 1.40 0.30 W
BLUE SKYE JADE 1 1 2nk 1nk 1½ 1nk 2hd (willia)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 6.00 11% 8.30 8.10 P
EL NOBLE 4 2 45 4 44 35 35 (palma milton)CORBETT W 122 4.00 11.00  
BIG CITY BANE 2 6 611¾ 612¾ 6 4 4 (van debbie)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 7% 12.50 10.50  
CAPTAIN RED 5 5 5 5 5 612½ 519¼ (simpson sha)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00 29.90  
UNLEASH THE BEAST 6 4 1nk 2nk 2½ 5 620¾ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.50 14% 6.00 4.40  
SCR  BUHM'S CANDY BOY               (ortega joe)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
 
TUP-3   04/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:123 1:252   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN 4 2 22 21 1 15 1 (schnell don)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 35% 1.90 0.30 W
BAD KARMA 3 3 12 11 2 25 2 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 32% 2.10 4.30 P
PIPER ROSE 6 5 6 6 5 3 3 (woolle)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 6.00 8% 11.50 16.30 S
STREAMER 5 4 5 53 44 4 4 (sanderson)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 15.00  
MISCHIEF MAMA 2 1 43 31 33 5 510¾ (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 7.30  
CANTERBURY GOLD 1 6 33 4 69 614½ 621 (birdwell ten)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 4.50 7.20  
SCR  LUCKY STEPPER               (weaver gord)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00    
 
TUP-4   04/18/2023 4950ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:143     1:323   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHESAHEATWAVE 3 1 34 34   1nk 1 (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 122 3.50 16% 5.10 2.40 W
AND I KNOW 1 3 4 4   32 2 (me)DA FAUSTO 122 4.50 18% 4.70 1.40 P
BIG AL'S PRINCESS 5 2 1½ 1   2nk 33 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00 9.50  
HEART RIVER 6 6 612 610   5 4 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 3.00 3.00  
SEVEN POINTS 2 4 5 58   4 5 (peacock sha)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 7.60  
BELLS AND WHISTLES 4 5 2½ 2   66 613 (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 22% 3.70 8.80  
 
TUP-5   04/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:222 :443       1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAULINA'S STAR 6 1 4 6   42 1¾ (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00 11.00  
BEAUTIFUL MESS 7 3 5 4¼   1 2¾ (vanwinkle david)LOPEZ KARLO 118 8.00 38% 1.70 4.30 P
JERUSALEMA (IRE) 3 6 7 7   5 3 (silva )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 4.50 2.70 S
BOOSICAL LADY 1 5 2nk 2nk   3 4 (mc)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00 5.60  
I'LL TAKE THE SOUP 2 4 1nk 1nk   2 54 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 39% 1.60 1.60  
AMAZING FLYER 8 2 31 3.2   65 6 (dillenbeck )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 12.00 19.20  
WHAT A WAY TO GO 4 8 811¼ 8   87 79 (whitehouse wi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 11.00  
MAMALONA 5 7 6 5¾   7 8 (soto antonio)NEGRON LUIS 124 12.00 16.20  
SCR  HERSABIGGIRL               (chambers mike)CORBETT W 118 4.00    
 
TUP-6   04/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
See original race card.
:211 :433 :563     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HER PERFECT VISION 3 1 1½ 1   17 16 (ho)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 12% 7.30 1.10 W
PLUM ROSE 4 5 5 4   4 26 (gleason tim)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 7% 13.60 7.00 P
TECATE GOLD 1 2 2½ 2   27 3 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 118 4.00 15.50  
GHOST OF GENEVIEVE 9 9 7 7   3 4 (silva rodri)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00 9% 9.80 2.20  
KEEP IT ROLLIN 8 6 6 68   6 5 (buechler sim)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00 33.70  
LILY PAD LAKE 5 7 910¼ 9   711¼ 6 (van debbie)ZUNINO L 118 5.00 38% 1.70 12.60  
LOVELY LOLA 6 8 8 8   812¼ 710 (simpson sha)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 8% 12.30 6.10  
MISCHIEVOUS EMMA 7 3 4 3   59 810 (williams dew)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 10.00 31.90  
PRECIOUS ONE 2 4 3 5   913¼ 916½ (morales guille)ANAYA V 124 8.00 21.70  
 
TUP-7   04/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:104 1:234   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASTRONOMICAL 8 5 3.2 1nk 1 1 1 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 49% 1.00 1.10 W
WESTPHAL 6 6 4 33 5 3 2 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00 6.00  
EAST RAND 9 9 7 5 34 5 33 (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 8.10 S
GRAVES MILL ROAD 5 8 8 8 6 4 43 (ei)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 23.20  
STEAL HOME 3 2 2nk 2nk 2 2 5 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50 12% 7.10 4.00  
NEW EAGLE 7 4 6 4 44 64 68 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00 8.10  
UNBROKEN STAR 4 7 9 7 7 77 79 (brown jared)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 14% 6.20 14.70  
TAP THE BRAKES 1 3 1nk 6 810¼ 811½ 816½ (gleason m)CORBETT W 124 10.00 8.00  
THE BEAT 2 1 5 97 912¾ 914½ 923¼ (oberholtzer kevi)ZUNINO L 124 15.00 45.90  
 
TUP-8   04/18/2023 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 ALL PT- 7:47
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:124     1:314   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLENDALE 3 5 65 6   3½ 1¼ (martinez es)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 1.10  
MONGOLIAN APPLE 2 3 4 32   2½ 2¼ (vanwinkle david)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 6.30 P
BARON'S SONG 5 2 5 53   53 3 (zimmerman jon )ANAYA V 121 3.00 34% 1.90 7.30 S
CAPIAT 6 7 2½ 2½   42 4 (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 121 6.00 12.60  
YANKEE TEA PARTY 7 1 1½ 1½   1½ 5 (vitali j)NEGRON LUIS 121 5.00 3.30  
WESTERBERG 4 4 7 7   66 6 (alvarez sergi)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 8.00 19.50  
ALCAZABA (IRE) 9 9 812 8   8 710 (bonn rand)VALENZUELA A 121 4.50 7.10  
THE RONALD 8 8 31 42   7 812¾ (barraza rafae)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00 11% 8.10 19.70  
BURNIN VERNON 1 6 914 910¾   911¼ 916½ (belvoi)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 12.00 31% 2.20 36.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.