The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - April 18, 2023
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
TUP-1   04/18/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
:222 :45 :564     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KOVACS 3 4 32 21   12½ 11½ (silva rodrigu)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 15% 5.50 4.20 W
4  FRISCO KID 4 2 43 44   32½ 21½ (villamar cande)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 3.50 5.80  
5  ANDY BOBBY 5 5 69 67   55¼ 33½ (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 51% 1.00 1.40 S
1  IRISH KNIGHT 1 6 58½ 54   42¾ 44¾ (lucarelli frank)ANAYA V 122 3.00 2.80  
6  ROYAL TAP 6 1 21½ 32½   65¼ 511¾ (torres-casas a)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 6.00 8% 12.10 4.90  
2  TRINNI VALANTINE 2 3 11½ 11   22½ 614¼ (fearon johnat)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 9.40  
 
TUP-2   04/18/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:52
:224 :452 1:101 1:232   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BLESSED JOURNEY 3 3 34 34 3½ 2nk 1hd (silva jr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 42% 1.40 0.30 W
1  BLUE SKYE JADE 1 1 2nk 1nk 1½ 1nk 2hd (williams)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 6.00 11% 8.30 8.10 P
4  EL NOBLE 4 2 45 46½ 44 35 35 (palma milton)CORBETT W 122 4.00 11.00  
2  BIG CITY BANE 2 6 611¾ 612¾ 68¾ 47½ 48½ (van debbie)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 7% 12.50 10.50  
5  CAPTAIN RED 5 5 55¼ 56¾ 58½ 612½ 519¼ (simpson shann)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00 29.90  
6  UNLEASH THE BEAST 6 4 1nk 2nk 2½ 59½ 620¾ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.50 14% 6.00 4.40  
SCR  BUHM'S CANDY BOY               (ortega joe)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
 
TUP-3   04/18/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:20
:233 :47 1:123 1:252   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN 4 2 22 21 11½ 15 15¾ (schnell don)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 35% 1.90 0.30 W
4  BAD KARMA 3 3 12 11 21½ 25 25¾ (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 32% 2.10 4.30 P
7  PIPER ROSE 6 5 64¼ 63¼ 54½ 36½ 36¾ (woolley )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 6.00 8% 11.50 16.30 S
6  STREAMER 5 4 53¼ 53 44 47½ 49½ (sanderson b)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 15.00  
2  MISCHIEF MAMA 2 1 43 31 33 57½ 510¾ (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 7.30  
1  CANTERBURY GOLD 1 6 33 41½ 69 614½ 621 (birdwell tena)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 4.50 ★ 7.20  
SCR  LUCKY STEPPER               (weaver gordon)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00    
 
TUP-4   04/18/2023 4950ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:50
:243 :482 1:143     1:323   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SHESAHEATWAVE 3 1 34 34   1nk 12½ (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 122 3.50 16% 5.10 2.40 W
1  AND I KNOW 1 3 46½ 45½   32 22½ (mend)DA FAUSTO 122 4.50 18% 4.70 1.40 P
5  BIG AL'S PRINCESS 5 2 1½ 12½   2nk 33 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00 9.50  
6  HEART RIVER 6 6 612 610   53½ 43¾ (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 3.00 3.00  
2  SEVEN POINTS 2 4 59½ 58   42½ 55½ (peacock shane)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 7.60  
4  BELLS AND WHISTLES 4 5 2½ 22½   66 613 (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 22% 3.70 8.80  
 
TUP-5   04/18/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
:222 :443       1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PAULINA'S STAR 6 1 42½ 61¾   42 1¾ (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00 11.00  
8  BEAUTIFUL MESS 7 3 52¾ 4¼   11½ 2¾ (vanwinkle david)LOPEZ KARLO 118 8.00 38% 1.70 4.30 P
3  JERUSALEMA (IRE) 3 6 77¾ 73¼   54½ 32¼ (silva jo)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 4.50 ★ 2.70 S
1  BOOSICAL LADY 1 5 2nk 2nk   31½ 43¼ (mcca)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00 5.60  
2  I'LL TAKE THE SOUP 2 4 1nk 1nk   21½ 54 (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 39% 1.60 1.60  
9  AMAZING FLYER 8 2 31 3.2   65 66¾ (dillenbeck br)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 12.00 19.20  
5  WHAT A WAY TO GO 4 8 811¼ 89¼   87 79 (whitehouse wilt)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 ★ 11.00  
6  MAMALONA 5 7 65¼ 5¾   76½ 89¾ (soto antonio)NEGRON LUIS 124 12.00 16.20  
SCR  HERSABIGGIRL               (chambers mike)CORBETT W 118 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-6   04/18/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
:211 :433 :563     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HER PERFECT VISION 3 1 1½ 12½   17 16 (howe)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 12% 7.30 1.10 W
4  PLUM ROSE 4 5 57½ 47½   47½ 26 (gleason m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 7% 13.60 7.00 P
1  TECATE GOLD 1 2 2½ 22½   27 37½ (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 118 4.00 15.50  
9  GHOST OF GENEVIEVE 9 9 78¾ 78¼   37½ 48¼ (silva rodrigu)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00 9% 9.80 2.20  
8  KEEP IT ROLLIN 8 6 67¾ 68   69¼ 58¾ (buechler simon)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00 33.70  
5  LILY PAD LAKE 5 7 910¼ 99¾   711¼ 69¾ (van debbie)ZUNINO L 118 5.00 38% 1.70 12.60  
6  LOVELY LOLA 6 8 88¾ 88¼   812¼ 710 (simpson shann)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 8% 12.30 6.10  
7  MISCHIEVOUS EMMA 7 3 45½ 36½   59 810 (williams dewey)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 10.00 31.90  
2  PRECIOUS ONE 2 4 35½ 57½   913¼ 916½ (morales guillerm)ANAYA V 124 8.00 21.70  
 
TUP-7   04/18/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:18
:232 :463 1:104 1:234   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ASTRONOMICAL 8 5 3.2 1nk 11½ 13½ 12½ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 49% 1.00 1.10 W
6  WESTPHAL 6 6 42¾ 33 55½ 33½ 22½ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00 6.00  
9  EAST RAND 9 9 74¼ 53¼ 34 53¾ 33 (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 ★ 8.10 S
5  GRAVES MILL ROAD 5 8 84¾ 85½ 65¾ 43¾ 43 (eikl)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 23.20  
3  STEAL HOME 3 2 2nk 2nk 21½ 23½ 54½ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50 12% 7.10 4.00  
7  NEW EAGLE 7 4 63¼ 43¼ 44 64 68 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00 ★ 8.10  
4  UNBROKEN STAR 4 7 98¼ 75¼ 76¼ 77 79 (brown jared)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 14% 6.20 14.70  
1  TAP THE BRAKES 1 3 1nk 63¾ 810¼ 811½ 816½ (gleason m)CORBETT W 124 10.00 8.00  
2  THE BEAT 2 1 52¾ 97 912¾ 914½ 923¼ (oberholtzer kevin)ZUNINO L 124 15.00 45.90  
 
TUP-8   04/18/2023 4950ft TURF FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 ALL PT- 7:47
:24 :473 1:124     1:314   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GLENDALE 3 5 65 63¼   3½ 1¼ (martinez este)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 1.10  
2  MONGOLIAN APPLE 2 3 42½ 32   2½ 2¼ (vanwinkle david)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 ★ 6.30 P
5  BARON'S SONG 5 2 53½ 53   53 33½ (zimmerman p)ANAYA V 121 3.00 34% 1.90 7.30 S
6  CAPIAT 6 7 2½ 2½   42 44½ (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 121 6.00 12.60  
7  YANKEE TEA PARTY 7 1 1½ 1½   1½ 56¼ (vitali j)NEGRON LUIS 121 5.00 3.30  
4  WESTERBERG 4 4 79½ 77¾   66 68¼ (alvarez sergio)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 8.00 19.50  
9  ALCAZABA (IRE) 9 9 812 89¾   88¾ 710 (bonn randy)VALENZUELA A 121 4.50 ★ 7.10  
8  THE RONALD 8 8 31 42   78½ 812¾ (barraza rafael )ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00 11% 8.10 19.70  
1  BURNIN VERNON 1 6 914 910¾   911¼ 916½ (belvoir )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 12.00 31% 2.20 36.30  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.