Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - April 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-1   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(3/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(3/6/1/2)-(5/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-2   WIN (3/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/2)-(3/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/2)-(3/6/1/2)-(3/6/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/1/2)-(5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/2)-(5/4/7)-(4/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-3   WIN (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/7)-(5/4/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/7)-(5/4/7/1)-(5/4/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/7)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7)-(4/1/3)-(2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-4   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(2/8)-(5/3/9/6/4) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
TUP-5   WIN (2/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/8)-(2/8/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8)-(2/8/3/5)-(2/8/3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/8)-(5/3/9/6/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/8)-(5/3/9/6/4)-(8/4/3) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
TUP-6   WIN (5/3/9/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/9/6/4)-(5/3/9/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/9/6/4)-(5/3/9/6/4)-(5/3/9/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/3/9/6/4)-(8/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/3/9/6/4)-(8/4/3)-(5/1/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TUP-7   WIN (8/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/3)-(8/4/3/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/3)-(8/4/3/7/9)-(8/4/3/7/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/4/3)-(5/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TUP-8   WIN (5/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/8)-(5/1/8/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/8)-(5/1/8/2/9)-(5/1/8/2/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   04/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH KNIGHT Mar28 Mar01 Jan10 Dec19 Nov29 (lucarelli fr)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 3.00    
2  TRINNI VALANTINE Mar28 Mar07 Feb11 Sep02 Aug20 (fearon john)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00    
3  KOVACS Mar25 Jan23 Jan05 Nov30 Nov08 (silva rodri)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 15% 5.50    
4  FRISCO KID Mar15 Feb28 Feb19 Feb04 Dec11 (villamar can)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 3.50    
5  ANDY BOBBY Mar20 Feb18 Feb08 Jan10 Dec22 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 51% 1.00    
6  ROYAL TAP Apr02 Mar26 Mar18 Mar05 Feb19 (torres-casas)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 6.00 8% 12.10    
 
TUP-2   04/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE SKYE JADE Apr05 Mar21 Feb04 Jan19 Jan02 (willia)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 6.00 11% 8.30    
2  BIG CITY BANE Apr02 Mar25 Mar11 Feb11 Jan27 (van debbie)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 7% 12.50    
3  BLESSED JOURNEY Feb28 Feb04 Jan12 Dec26 Dec10 (silva jose )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
4  EL NOBLE Mar18 Feb15 Jan23 Oct29 Sep24 (palma milton)CORBETT W 122 4.00    
5  CAPTAIN RED Mar19 Feb13 Jun03 May03 Apr25 (simpson sha)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00    
6  UNLEASH THE BEAST Mar06 Feb04 Jan25 Dec13 Nov26 (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 2.50 14% 6.00    
SCR  BUHM'S CANDY BOY Jul24 Jun26 Jun05 May02 Apr14 (ortega joe)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
 
TUP-3   04/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANTERBURY GOLD Apr03 Mar26 Mar06 Feb14 Jan14 (birdwell ten)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 4.50 ★    
2  MISCHIEF MAMA Mar29 Feb26 Feb18 Feb06 Jan17 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50    
SCR  LUCKY STEPPER Apr01 Mar19 Feb21 Nov14 Sep19 (weaver gord)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00    
4  BAD KARMA Apr01 Mar25 Mar18 Oct30 Oct23 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 32% 2.10    
5  AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN Apr03 Mar19 Feb22 Feb07 Sep26 (schnell don)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
6  STREAMER Mar26 Mar06 Feb26 Jan31 Dec27 (sanderson)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00    
7  PIPER ROSE Mar26 Mar12 Feb14 Feb06 Jan14 (woolle)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 6.00 8% 11.50    
 
TUP-4   04/18/2023 4950ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AND I KNOW Apr01 Mar19 Feb21 Feb14 Jan14 (me)DA FAUSTO 122 4.50 18% 4.70    
2  SEVEN POINTS Mar26 Mar12 Feb25 Feb14 Jan14 (peacock sha)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00    
3  SHESAHEATWAVE Apr08 Feb21 Feb09 Jan19 Dec26 (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 122 3.50 16% 5.10    
4  BELLS AND WHISTLES Mar29 Jan17 Jan02 Dec21 Oct28 (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 22% 3.70    
5  BIG AL'S PRINCESS Mar21 Mar06 Feb21 Feb06 Jan24 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00    
6  HEART RIVER Mar19 Feb16 May21 Apr20 Apr06 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 3.00    
 
TUP-5   04/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOSICAL LADY Mar27 Mar07 Jan30 May02 Apr21 (mc)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00    
2  I'LL TAKE THE SOUP Feb25 Feb14 Jan23 Dec14 Jun11 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 39% 1.60    
3  JERUSALEMA (IRE) Mar19 Feb25 Jan28 Jan07 Dec30 (silva )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 4.50 ★    
SCR  HERSABIGGIRL Mar27 Mar12 Feb13 Aug20   (chambers mike)CORBETT W 118 4.00 ★    
5  WHAT A WAY TO GO Mar27 Mar07 Jan30 Jan08 Dec14 (whitehouse wi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 ★    
6  MAMALONA Apr01 Mar20 Feb16 Feb04 Jan25 (soto antonio)NEGRON LUIS 124 12.00    
7  PAULINA'S STAR Mar27 Mar07 Feb25 Jun10 May02 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
8  BEAUTIFUL MESS Mar27 Mar12 Jan23 Jan03 Dec08 (vanwinkle david)LOPEZ KARLO 118 8.00 38% 1.70    
9  AMAZING FLYER Mar27 Dec26       (dillenbeck )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 12.00    
 
TUP-6   04/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TECATE GOLD Mar18 Feb20 Jan23     (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 118 4.00    
2  PRECIOUS ONE Mar18 Feb20 Jan17 Nov15 Sep12 (morales guil)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00    
3  HER PERFECT VISION Mar26 Dec20 Nov18 Aug07 Jul15 (ho)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 12% 7.30    
4  PLUM ROSE Apr10 Mar18 Feb19 Jan11 Dec22 (gleason tim)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 7% 13.60    
5  LILY PAD LAKE Mar25 Mar18 Mar11 Feb26 Feb20 (van debbie)ZUNINO L 118 5.00 38% 1.70    
6  LOVELY LOLA Apr02 Feb27 Feb12 Feb08 Jan30 (simpson sha)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 8% 12.30    
7  MISCHIEVOUS EMMA Apr05 Jan17 Jan09 Apr25   (williams dew)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 10.00    
8  KEEP IT ROLLIN Mar18 Feb13 Jan24 Jan04 Dec13 (buechler sim)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00    
9  GHOST OF GENEVIEVE Apr10 Mar05 Nov21 Aug25 Aug14 (silva rodri)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00 9% 9.80    
 
TUP-7   04/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP THE BRAKES Apr01 Mar20 Dec10 Dec01 Nov18 (gleason m)CORBETT W 124 10.00    
2  THE BEAT Mar26 Mar11 Feb21 Feb02 Jan04 (oberholtzer kevi)ZUNINO L 124 15.00    
3  STEAL HOME Mar28 Mar20 Mar11 Feb15 Jan26 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50 12% 7.10    
4  UNBROKEN STAR Mar26 Mar08 Feb21 Feb04 Jan03 (brown jared)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 14% 6.20    
5  GRAVES MILL ROAD Mar14 Feb15 Feb02 Jan19 Dec13 (ei)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00    
6  WESTPHAL Mar26 Mar14 Feb25 Jan07 Nov28 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00    
7  NEW EAGLE Mar28 Mar11 Feb21 Feb09 Jan23 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00 ★    
8  ASTRONOMICAL Mar28 Feb27 Nov15 Sep24 Aug21 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 49% 1.00    
9  EAST RAND Apr08 Mar05 Feb11 Jan22 Dec09 (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-8   04/18/2023 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 ALL PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BURNIN VERNON Apr05 Mar06 Jan05     (belvoi)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 12.00 31% 2.20    
2  MONGOLIAN APPLE Mar21 Feb26 Feb14 Jan18 Jan05 (vanwinkle david)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 ★    
3  GLENDALE Mar29 Mar11 Feb17 Jan15 Dec26 (martinez es)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00    
4  WESTERBERG Mar21 Mar12 Feb14 Jan31 Dec20 (alvarez serg)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 8.00    
5  BARON'S SONG Mar21 Mar06 Feb20 Feb02 Jan14 (zimmerman jon )ANAYA V 121 3.00 34% 1.90    
6  CAPIAT Apr04 Mar21 Mar06 Jan05   (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 121 6.00    
7  YANKEE TEA PARTY Mar18 Feb26       (vitali j)NEGRON LUIS 121 5.00    
8  THE RONALD Mar12 Feb20 Jan05 Nov07   (barraza rafae)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00 11% 8.10    
9  ALCAZABA (IRE) Apr03 Sep17 Aug21 Jul01 Jun09 (bonn rand)VALENZUELA A 121 4.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.