Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Monday - April 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-1   Win (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
TUP-2   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
TUP-3   Win (8/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
TUP-4   Win (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
TUP-5   Win (7/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
TUP-6   Win (4/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $13.40 $13.40 5.40
TUP-7   Win (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
TUP-8   Win (5/3/7/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $11.40 $11.40 1.40

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   04/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:22 :442 :553     1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSCZECH 6 1 3 1nk   14 1 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 20% 3.90 0.20 W
MS PARKSIDE 4 5 5 4   24 2 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.50 36% 1.80 3.20 P
WE ALL AGREE 3 3 2½ 2nk   36 310¼ (alcoverde erne)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 6.00 15.30  
HOLY TUTTA BELLA 1 6 4 52   511½ 417¾ (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00 12.80  
YATAHEY 5 2 65 67   612½ 521½ (gale bryce)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 12.00 52.30  
J T'S LA NENA 2 4 1½ 31   411½ 622½ (torres-casas alex)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 17% 5.00 12.10  
SCR  WHERE'S FRANKIE               (silva jo)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 2.50    
 
TUP-2   04/10/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:233 :461 1:11 1:241   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOPY 3 1 2 2nk 1 1 1hd (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 4.00 32% 2.10 0.90 W
PRANCE 5 3 3 33 3 2 2hd (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 5.00 6.40  
ALICESHOUSEOFHEART 4 4 4 4 4 3 32 (essex charles)ANAYA V 122 2.50 34% 1.90 4.20 S
DADDY'S GIRL 2 5 513 510½ 5 4 4 (grissom w)ZUNINO L 122 4.50 4.20  
SASSY CAT 1 2 1 1nk 2 57 510½ (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 6.00 3.10  
SCR  LADY LANA               (vitali m)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 3.50    
 
TUP-3   04/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:223 :461       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEAFARING WILDCAT 8 1 11 1½   11 1 (gleason m)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 1.40 32% 2.10 0.80 W
SUPER INTENSE 2 6 54 44   44 2 (o'brien danny)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 10.00 6.30  
GOOD BOY ROY 6 2 21 31   21 3 (lawrence heath)DEONAUTH P 124 4.00 31% 2.30 2.20 S
ROBIN'S EMPIRE 3 5 44 56   6 44 (axmaker w)VALDES ALEXIS 124 12.00 51.30  
WESTERN CHARM 1 3 3 2½   34 5 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 8.70  
MIDNIGHT DADDY 7 8 8 8   5 6 (baze robert)ANAYA V 124 8.00 13.50  
REFUSE TO TESTIFY 5 7 76 6   7 77 (oberholtzer k)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 11% 8.30 16.30  
PRIVATE TRAX 4 4 6 7   8 810½ (dennis clif)IRONEYES R 124 10.00 6% 14.50 24.20  
 
TUP-4   04/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3 F PT- 5:52
See original race card.
:222 :443       :564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLESSED ANGEL 5 1 2nk 1   16 110¼ (belvoir )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 2.50 24% 3.20 0.50 W
STAR SO FAR 1 3 3 34   26 210¼ (morgan dan)VERGARA P 121 4.00 3.10 P
BOUGIE LIKE NATTY 3 2 1nk 2   3 316½ (george cynthia)ENRIQUEZ D 121 5.00 6.70 S
STAY BY THE BEACH 4 5 46 411   517½ 420½ (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.50 4.00  
THRILL TOWN 2 4 5 511½   417½ 521¼ (mccartney jack)CORBETT W 121 10.00 19.30  
SCR  ABOVE THE STARS               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  PRINCESS JAYLEEN               (torres-casas alex)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00    
 
TUP-5   04/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:221 :451 :573     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTY'S BAR 7 1 31 21   1nk 1 (martinez esteban)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 33% 2.10 0.50 W
GHOST OF GENEVIEVE 2 3 11 11   2nk 2 (silva rodrigu)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 4.00 11% 8.30 8.10 P
ASK THE KING 1 4 5 4   3 3 (lucarelli frank)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.50 17% 5.10 4.50 S
PLUM ROSE 6 7 7 6   46 4 (gleason m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 19% 4.20 3.60  
DRAMADORA 8 5 4 5   59 510¾ (barrio sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 10.00 36.30  
R HAPPY PLACE 5 6 6 7   711 615¼ (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 15.00 77.10  
SHES A KILLA QUEEN 3 2 21 32   6 716 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 118 5.00 16.20  
GIROLAMO LUCY 4 8 812¾ 811¾   814 817½ (dennis clif)IRONEYES R 119 20.00 74.90  
 
TUP-6   04/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:48
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:113 1:24   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAD LUTHER 6 2 3½ 2½ 1nk 11 1 (matt l)CORBETT W 124 3.00 15% 5.90 5.70 W
BOTTLE OF SMOKE 2 4 5 5 31 21 2 (ferguson)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 5.00 1.50  
PROVOST 5 1 2nk 1½ 2nk 31 3 (alvarez sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00 12.20  
SPIRE 1 6 7 6 66 5 4 (rycroft riley)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 5.00 8% 11.00 5.20  
GALLANT OAK 7 7 41 4 4 47 512¼ (brown jared)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 13.20  
CHEF 4 5 63 7 7 6 616¾ (tate mary)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 10.00 3.50  
BIG BARREL 3 3 1nk 3½ 55 713¾ 721¼ (mcfarlane dan)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 8.00 10% 8.60 4.10  
SCR  SHOTGUN RIDER               (leaney patricia)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 34% 1.90    
 
TUP-7   04/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:16
See original race card.
:222 :442 1:092     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AKASI 7 1 5 5   32 1½ (troiani nicco)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 10% 9.40 1.60 W
ENSLEYS DREAM 6 6 7 6   2 2½ (brown jared)CORBETT W 122 4.00 17% 4.80 8.60 P
CHIC SAMARAI 5 2 4¾ 1½   1 3 (essex charles)VERGARA P 124 4.50 48% 1.10 1.20 S
UNSINKABLE MOLLY B 8 4 6 7   5 48 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00 7.10  
K P HARRY KITTY 1 8 8 85   67 510¾ (martinez a)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 15.00 37.50  
SIGNATURE COLORS 3 5 1nk 2½   710 615 (toye joe)ANAYA V 122 6.00 23.90  
NAUGHTY EVELYN 4 7 2nk 3½   811 715¾ (martinez)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 5.00 15.60  
JUSABOXACHOCOLATES 2 3 3½ 4¾   4 816¾ (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 10.20  
 
TUP-8   04/10/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:44
See original race card.
:241 :471 1:111 1:23   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HYPERFOCUS 1 4 55 53 4¾ 2½ 1 (rycroft riley)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 4.70 W
MY INDY 3 1 2 2½ 1nk 1½ 2 (vanwinkle dav)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 19% 4.30 1.10 P
HAPI HAPI 4 5 33 3 3.2 3½ 32 (metz jeffrey)CORBETT W 124 3.50 24% 3.20 5.00 S
MOOGIE SON 2 3 44 4 5 41 4 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.50 11.50  
NORTHCUT 5 2 1 1½ 2nk 5 5 (silva jr)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00 4.70  
MONGOLIAN MEMORY 6 6 610 69 6 6 6 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 10.00 13% 6.50 3.60  
SCR  COURAGEOUS               (hop mike)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
SCR  THIRD WHEEL               (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  THIRTY SECONDS OUT               (brown ja)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.