Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Monday - April 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-5   SFT (7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2) 24 $0.10 $2.40  7-2-1-6 $3.50 $1.10 46%
TUP-6   WIN (4/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $13.40 $5.40 68%
TUP-7   EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00  7-6 $15.50 $6.50 72%
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00  7-6-5 $18.15 $9.15 102%
    DD (4/7/3/1)-(5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-7 $17.10 $5.10 43%
TUP-8   WIN (5/3/7/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $11.40 $1.40 14%
    TRI (5/3/7/4/1)-(5/3/7/4/1)-(5/3/7/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00  1-3-5 $34.65 $4.65 16%
    DD (5/6/7)-(5/3/7/4/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00  7-1 $19.70 $4.70 31%
    PK3 (4/7/3/1)-(5/6/7)-(5/3/7/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00  7-7-1 $50.90 $20.90 70%
    PK5 (7/6)-(7/6/1/2)-(4/7/3/1)-(5/6/7)-(5/3/7/4/1) 480 $0.50 $240  3/6/7-7-7-7-1 $438.40 $198.40 83%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-1   04/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:22 :442 :553     1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MISSCZECH 6 1 31½ 1nk   14 13½ (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 20% 3.90 0.20 W
5  MS PARKSIDE 4 5 52½ 41½   24 23½ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.50 36% 1.80 3.20 P
4  WE ALL AGREE 3 3 2½ 2nk   36 310¼ (alcoverde er)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 6.00 15.30  
1  HOLY TUTTA BELLA 1 6 41½ 52   511½ 417¾ (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00 12.80  
6  YATAHEY 5 2 65 67   612½ 521½ (gale bryce)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 12.00 52.30  
3  J T'S LA NENA 2 4 1½ 31   411½ 622½ (torres-casas al)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 17% 5.00 12.10  
SCR  WHERE'S FRANKIE               (silva )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 2.50 ★    
 
TUP-2   04/10/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:233 :461 1:11 1:241   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LOOPY 3 1 21½ 2nk 12½ 12½ 1hd (si)DA FAUSTO 122 4.00 32% 2.10 0.90 W
6  PRANCE 5 3 35½ 33 32½ 22½ 2hd (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 5.00 6.40  
5  ALICESHOUSEOFHEART 4 4 48½ 47½ 44½ 34½ 32 (essex charles)ANAYA V 122 2.50 34% 1.90 4.20 S
3  DADDY'S GIRL 2 5 513 510½ 58½ 44½ 42½ (grissom roberta )ZUNINO L 122 4.50 4.20  
1  SASSY CAT 1 2 11½ 1nk 22½ 57 510½ (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 6.00 3.10  
SCR  LADY LANA               (vitali)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 3.50 ★    
 
TUP-3   04/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:223 :461       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SEAFARING WILDCAT 8 1 11 1½   11 13½ (gleason m)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 1.40 32% 2.10 0.80 W
2  SUPER INTENSE 2 6 54 44   44 23½ (o'brien dann)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 10.00 6.30  
6  GOOD BOY ROY 6 2 21 31   21 33¾ (lawrence heath)DEONAUTH P 124 4.00 31% 2.30 2.20 S
3  ROBIN'S EMPIRE 3 5 44 56   65¾ 44 (axmaker cody )VALDES ALEXIS 124 12.00 51.30  
1  WESTERN CHARM 1 3 31½ 2½   34 54½ (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 8.70  
7  MIDNIGHT DADDY 7 8 87½ 87¾   55½ 66¾ (baze robert)ANAYA V 124 8.00 13.50  
5  REFUSE TO TESTIFY 5 7 76 67½   76¼ 77 (oberholtzer)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 11% 8.30 16.30  
4  PRIVATE TRAX 4 4 65½ 77½   88¾ 810½ (dennis cl)IRONEYES R 124 10.00 6% 14.50 24.20  
 
TUP-4   04/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3 F PT- 5:52
See original race card.
:222 :443       :564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BLESSED ANGEL 5 1 2nk 12½   16 110¼ (belvoi)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 2.50 24% 3.20 0.50 W
1  STAR SO FAR 1 3 32½ 34   26 210¼ (morgan dan)VERGARA P 121 4.00 ★ 3.10 P
4  BOUGIE LIKE NATTY 3 2 1nk 22½   36½ 316½ (george cynthia)ENRIQUEZ D 121 5.00 ★ 6.70 S
5  STAY BY THE BEACH 4 5 46 411   517½ 420½ (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.50 4.00  
2  THRILL TOWN 2 4 56½ 511½   417½ 521¼ (mccartney jack)CORBETT W 121 10.00 19.30  
SCR  ABOVE THE STARS               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  PRINCESS JAYLEEN               (torres-casas al)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00    
 
TUP-5   04/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:221 :451 :573     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BETTY'S BAR 7 1 31 21   1nk 12¼ (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 33% 2.10 0.50 W
2  GHOST OF GENEVIEVE 2 3 11 11   2nk 22¼ (silva rodri)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 4.00 11% 8.30 8.10 P
1  ASK THE KING 1 4 52¾ 43½   34½ 34½ (lucarelli fra)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.50 17% 5.10 4.50 S
6  PLUM ROSE 6 7 76¾ 66½   46 45½ (gleason tim)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 19% 4.20 3.60  
8  DRAMADORA 8 5 42½ 53½   59 510¾ (barrio sergi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 10.00 36.30  
5  R HAPPY PLACE 5 6 64¼ 76¾   711 615¼ (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 15.00 77.10  
3  SHES A KILLA QUEEN 3 2 21 32   69½ 716 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 118 5.00 16.20  
4  GIROLAMO LUCY 4 8 812¾ 811¾   814 817½ (dennis cl)IRONEYES R 119 20.00 74.90  
 
TUP-6   04/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:48
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:113 1:24   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MAD LUTHER 6 2 3½ 2½ 1nk 11 11¼ (matt l)CORBETT W 124 3.00 15% 5.90 5.70 W
2  BOTTLE OF SMOKE 2 4 51½ 51¾ 31 21 21¼ (fergus)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 5.00 1.50  
6  PROVOST 5 1 2nk 1½ 2nk 31 35½ (alvarez serg)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00 12.20  
1  SPIRE 1 6 74½ 64¾ 66 57¼ 49½ (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 5.00 8% 11.00 5.20  
8  GALLANT OAK 7 7 41 41½ 43½ 47 512¼ (brown jared)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 13.20  
5  CHEF 4 5 63 74¾ 76½ 69¾ 616¾ (tate mary)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 10.00 3.50  
3  BIG BARREL 3 3 1nk 3½ 55 713¾ 721¼ (mcfarlane d)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 8.00 10% 8.60 4.10  
SCR  SHOTGUN RIDER               (leaney patric)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 34% 1.90    
 
TUP-7   04/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:16
See original race card.
:222 :442 1:092     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  AKASI 7 1 52¼ 51¾   32 1½ (troiani nic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 10% 9.40 1.60 W
6  ENSLEYS DREAM 6 6 73¼ 61¾   21½ 2½ (brown jared)CORBETT W 122 4.00 17% 4.80 8.60 P
5  CHIC SAMARAI 5 2 4¾ 1½   11½ 31½ (essex charles)VERGARA P 124 4.50 48% 1.10 1.20 S
8  UNSINKABLE MOLLY B 8 4 62¾ 74¾   56½ 48 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00 7.10  
1  K P HARRY KITTY 1 8 87¼ 85   67 510¾ (martinez o )MARTI ALEXANDER 124 15.00 ★ 37.50  
3  SIGNATURE COLORS 3 5 1nk 2½   710 615 (toye joe)ANAYA V 122 6.00 23.90  
4  NAUGHTY EVELYN 4 7 2nk 3½   811 715¾ (martin)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 5.00 15.60  
2  JUSABOXACHOCOLATES 2 3 3½ 4¾   46½ 816¾ (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 10.20  
 
TUP-8   04/10/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:44
See original race card.
:241 :471 1:111 1:23   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HYPERFOCUS 1 4 55 53 4¾ 2½ 11¼ (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 4.70 W
3  MY INDY 3 1 21½ 2½ 1nk 1½ 21¼ (vanwinkle d)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 19% 4.30 1.10 P
5  HAPI HAPI 4 5 33 31½ 3.2 3½ 32 (metz jeffrey)CORBETT W 124 3.50 24% 3.20 5.00 S
2  MOOGIE SON 2 3 44 42½ 51¾ 41 43¼ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.50 11.50  
6  NORTHCUT 5 2 11½ 1½ 2nk 51½ 55¼ (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00 4.70  
7  MONGOLIAN MEMORY 6 6 610 69 63¾ 63½ 66¼ (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 10.00 13% 6.50 3.60  
SCR  COURAGEOUS               (hop mike)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
SCR  THIRD WHEEL               (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  THIRTY SECONDS OUT               (brown )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.