Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - April 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-1   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/3)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3)-(5/4)-(8/6/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-2   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(8/6/5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(8/6/5/4)-(6) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
TUP-3   WIN (8/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/5/4)-(8/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/5/4)-(8/6/5/4)-(8/6/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/5/4)-(6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (8/6/5/4)-(6)-(7/6/1/2) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TUP-4   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (6)-(7/6/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6)-(7/6/1/2)-(7/3/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-5   WIN (7/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/1/2)-(7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1/2)-(7/3/1)-(5/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-6   WIN (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/1)-(7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/1)-(5/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1)-(5/6/7)-(5/3/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-7   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/7)-(5/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TUP-8   WIN (5/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/1)-(5/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/1)-(5/3/7/1)-(5/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   04/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLY TUTTA BELLA Mar18 Jan25 Jan12 Nov27 Sep12 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00    
SCR  WHERE'S FRANKIE Mar18 Feb22 Feb07 Dec17 Nov24 (silva )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 2.50 ★    
3  J T'S LA NENA Mar18 Mar08 Feb16 Feb04 Dec14 (torres-casas al)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 17% 5.00    
4  WE ALL AGREE Mar19 Mar12 Feb25 Feb12 Dec17 (alcoverde er)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 6.00    
5  MS PARKSIDE Mar04 Feb07 Jan04 Dec15 Aug07 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
6  YATAHEY Jan02 Dec15 Sep18 Aug28 Aug07 (gale bryce)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 12.00    
7  MISSCZECH Mar19 Mar01 Feb07 Jan25 Jan09 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 20% 3.90    
 
TUP-2   04/10/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY CAT Mar19 Feb26 Feb07 Dec14 Nov30 (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 6.00    
SCR  LADY LANA Mar15 Feb20 Jan11 Nov26 Oct18 (vitali)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 3.50 ★    
3  DADDY'S GIRL Mar26 Mar11 Feb08 Jan18 May02 (grissom roberta )ZUNINO L 122 4.50    
4  LOOPY Apr01 Jan28 Dec21 Dec08 Nov26 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 4.00 32% 2.10    
5  ALICESHOUSEOFHEART Mar14 Feb06 Jan07 Dec20 Nov15 (essex charles)ANAYA V 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
6  PRANCE Mar14 Feb26 Jan18 Dec26 Dec13 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
 
TUP-3   04/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTERN CHARM Mar19 Mar05 Feb08 Dec09 Nov25 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00    
2  SUPER INTENSE Mar19 Feb26 Feb13 Jan24 Jan07 (o'brien dann)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 10.00    
3  ROBIN'S EMPIRE Mar05 Feb20 Jan24 Dec26 Dec01 (axmaker cody )VALDES ALEXIS 124 12.00    
4  PRIVATE TRAX         (dennis clift)BEVERLY JR 124 10.00 6% 14.50    
5  REFUSE TO TESTIFY Mar19 Mar04       (oberholtzer)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 11% 8.30    
6  GOOD BOY ROY         (lawrence heath)DEONAUTH P 124 4.00 31% 2.30    
7  MIDNIGHT DADDY Mar19 Feb18       (baze robert)ANAYA V 124 8.00    
8  SEAFARING WILDCAT Mar05 Feb13 Dec20 Nov12   (gleason)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 1.40 32% 2.10    
 
TUP-4   04/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3 F PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR SO FAR         (morgan dan)VERGARA P 121 4.00 ★    
2  THRILL TOWN Mar25         (mccartney jack)CORBETT W 121 10.00    
SCR  PRINCESS JAYLEEN Mar27 Mar12 Feb20 Jan28 Jan17 (torres-casas al)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00    
4  BOUGIE LIKE NATTY         (george cynthia)ENRIQUEZ D 121 5.00 ★    
5  STAY BY THE BEACH         (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.50    
6  BLESSED ANGEL Mar27 Mar12 Sep07 Jul16   (belvoi)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 2.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  ABOVE THE STARS Mar12 Jan16 Dec26     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.00 48% 1.10    
 
TUP-5   04/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASK THE KING Mar20 Mar07 Feb14 Jan09 Aug21 (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 17% 5.10    
2  GHOST OF GENEVIEVE Mar05 Nov21 Aug25 Aug14 Jul09 (silva rodri)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 4.00 11% 8.30    
3  SHES A KILLA QUEEN Mar18 Mar05 Feb04 Dec14 Oct15 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 118 5.00    
4  GIROLAMO LUCY Mar13 Feb20 Feb13 Jan26 Oct08 (dennis cl)IRONEYES R 119 20.00    
5  R HAPPY PLACE Mar18 Feb07 Jan09 Sep04 Aug21 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 15.00    
6  PLUM ROSE Mar18 Feb19 Jan11 Dec22 Apr01 (gleason tim)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 19% 4.20    
7  BETTY'S BAR Mar13 Feb27 Feb15 Jan30 Sep08 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 33% 2.10    
8  DRAMADORA Mar20 Nov12 Aug17 Jun20 Jun12 (barrio sergi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 10.00    
 
TUP-6   04/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRE Mar13 Mar04 Feb19 Feb09 Jan25 (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 5.00 8% 11.00    
2  BOTTLE OF SMOKE Mar17 Mar03 Feb10 Feb04 Nov11 (fergus)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 5.00    
3  BIG BARREL Mar27 Feb28 Feb09 Jan10   (mcfarlane d)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 8.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  SHOTGUN RIDER Mar13 Feb09 Jan31 Jan18 Jan04 (leaney patric)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 34% 1.90    
5  CHEF Mar11 Feb22 Feb14 Jan25 Jan10 (tate mary)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 10.00    
6  PROVOST Mar07 Feb19 Jan31 Dec10 Nov21 (alvarez serg)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00    
7  MAD LUTHER Mar28 Mar04 Feb19 Jan18 Jan07 (matt l)CORBETT W 124 3.00 15% 5.90    
8  GALLANT OAK Mar07 Feb16 Jan28 Jan14 Dec21 (brown jared)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00    
 
TUP-7   04/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  K P HARRY KITTY Mar15 Mar07 Jan28 Dec13 Nov08 (martinez o )MARTI ALEXANDER 124 15.00 ★    
2  JUSABOXACHOCOLATES Mar03         (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
3  SIGNATURE COLORS Mar18 Feb28 Feb06 Jan09 Dec14 (toye joe)ANAYA V 122 6.00    
4  NAUGHTY EVELYN Mar12 Jan27 Mar25 Jan22   (martin)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 5.00    
5  CHIC SAMARAI Mar11         (essex charles)VERGARA P 124 4.50 48% 1.10    
6  ENSLEYS DREAM Mar28 Mar03 Dec17 Oct28 Sep24 (brown jared)CORBETT W 122 4.00 17% 4.80    
7  AKASI Mar28 Mar13 Feb02 Jan12 Dec22 (troiani nic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 10% 9.40    
8  UNSINKABLE MOLLY B Mar28 Mar06 Feb20 Jan25 Sep18 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00    
 
TUP-8   04/10/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HYPERFOCUS Feb21 Feb08 Dec11 Nov25 Nov04 (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  MOOGIE SON Mar13 Feb19 Jan30 Jan11 Dec20 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.50    
3  MY INDY Mar07 Feb11 Jan12 Dec19 Nov26 (vanwinkle d)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  THIRD WHEEL Mar25 Feb26 Apr04 Mar02 Jan20 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 10% 8.60    
5  HAPI HAPI Mar18 Feb15 Jan31 Jan04 Dec19 (metz jeffrey)CORBETT W 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
6  NORTHCUT Mar12 Feb20 Feb11 Jan25 Dec27 (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00    
7  MONGOLIAN MEMORY Mar07 Feb11 Jan13 Mar11 Feb18 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 10.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  COURAGEOUS Mar11 Feb07 Jan12 Dec19 Dec08 (hop mik)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 20.00    
SCR  THIRTY SECONDS OUT Mar28 Feb28 Feb09 Jan19 Nov28 (brown )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.