Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mountaineer Park
Sunday - April 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
MNR-1   04/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:223 :463       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CON ON THE RUN 6 1 14 1   15 1 (barker)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.60 45% 1.20 0.30 W
OLA QUE TAL 5 3 5 58   3 2 (weymes v)VEGA L 120 10.00 29.40  
TEN TWENTY NINE 3 7 710½ 612   69 3 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 6.00 6.80  
QIAN B C 7 6 6 47   4 410¼ (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 115 5.00 11% 7.80 10.40  
SHIELD OF FAITH 4 4 24 2   25 511¼ (clouston ed)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 6.00 16% 5.30 6.90  
OUT FOR JUSTICE 2 2 3 3   58 612 (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00 25.70  
OLD MOUNTAIN LANE 1 5 4 712½   716 720 (knowle)ENRIQUEZ JR 120 20.00 24.70  
SCR  GET HAMMERED               (murillo rodr)LUNA ELEMANIEL 115 8.00    
SCR  SOUL OF DISCRETION               (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 8.00    
 
MNR-2   04/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:223 :463       :60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS NUCKOLS 1 1 13 14   14 1 (godsey marshal)AVILES YAN 120 3.00 1.50  
PAYNT THE KITTY 7 7 23 24   36 2 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 3.50 55% 0.80 1.90 P
MARIMBA 6 6 33 34   24 35 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 120 6.00 13.20  
THATS ALL SHEWROTE 5 2 4 46   48 4 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 115 4.00 5.50  
MY BRIDGET VERDOT 2 3 7 712   515 513¾ (ewell )ENRIQUEZ JR 120 30.00 51.90  
SPEEDY FIRE 3 4 6 812½   617 614 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 6.00 7% 12.80 7.70  
MADS HOPE 4 8 5 611½   717½ 718¾ (treharne )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 6.00 9% 9.50 17.70  
VERMONT HOLIDAY 8 5 8 511   819 820 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
SCR  GREGS POSSE               (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 30.00    
 
MNR-3   04/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:151     1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AYY LADIES 2 3 32 3 2nk 1½ 12 (west m)AVILES YAN 116 0.60 56% 0.80 0.30 W
NELL'S BELLS 6 4 55 67 4 46 22 (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 120 5.00 10% 9.40 4.80 P
SHE AINT NO JOKE 5 1 11 1½ 1nk 2½ 33 (ceccato sharon)DIAZ I 120 6.00 9% 9.90 7.00 S
IRON WILMA 4 2 21 2½ 3½ 3 4 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00 25.10  
GRAND VENUS 3 5 43 4 5 515 513½ (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 12.00 18.10  
ON STRIKE 1 6 65 5 6 617 620½ (barker)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 12.30  
SCR  SHESAHUMBLEHUSTLER               (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 8.00    
 
MNR-4   04/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($6.5K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:231 :471       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAUL DRAKE 4 1 1½     1½ 13 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 38% 1.60 0.70 W
PERFECT SPLIT 8 4 2½     2½ 23 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 12.00 13.10  
SOUTHERN SENSE 1 5 5     4 3 (barker james )CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.00 8% 11.90 2.40 S
HOLLYWOOD PRINCE 2 2 31     3 47 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 2.00 34% 1.90 5.80  
HICKORY BILL 5 7 7     7 510¾ (meeks karl)PAUCAR E 123 20.00 45.80  
BUSTER BURNS 7 8 88     8 611 (william)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 5.00 19.60  
BLACK BULL 6 6 44     5 711¼ (knowles luci)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 20.00 60.70  
TRUST FUND ROBBER 3 3 66     6 812 (lopez e)VEGA L 123 8.00 5% 19.00 21.90  
 
MNR-5   04/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:00     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO STELLAIRE 1 8 8 7   54 1 (vickers richa)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 30.00 12.00  
LILAC LACE 8 5 4 3½   2nk 2 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 115 8.00 7% 13.50 6.70 P
ORBIT MARS 7 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 3 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.50 18% 4.50 2.70 S
SWEET BELEN 5 7 5 4¾   4 43 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 10.00 9% 10.20 8.90  
VINTAGE SPARKLE 4 3 7 8   6 5 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00 36.30  
AMAAZA 6 6 3½ 2nk   31 6 (silva pab)DIAZ I 120 1.40 39% 1.60 1.40  
MARIPOSA D'ORO 2 4 6 5   7 711¼ (inirio carlos)CCAMAQUE M 120 20.00 29.70  
LADY VALENTINA 3 2 2nk 6   86 816 (treharne )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 2.50 5.20  
 
MNR-6   04/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:221 :461       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEAK YOUR MIND 3 1 12     14 1 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 120 0.80 34% 1.90 0.70 W
ACCOLADES GALORE 4 6 617     512 2 (walker charle)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 12.00 6.90  
COASTAL RUN 5 2 22     24 3 (silva juan )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 5.00 25% 2.90 2.50 S
SHOW ME THE BEST 2 3 34     36 44 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 19% 4.30 5.10  
SEMIRAMIS 1 5 514     617 512½ (corde)MONSERRATE A 120 30.00 30.20  
FLAT OUT APPEALING 6 4 46     411 614¼ (knowle)ENRIQUEZ JR 120 30.00 43.80  
SCR  CASTLE LIGHTS               (brown ronn)RIVERA R 120 6.00    
SCR  GRANDIOSELY               (jones m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00    
SCR  MISS WAVE               (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
 
MNR-7   04/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
See original race card.
:221 :453       :514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIEF RANDEL 6 3 2nk     2nk 1½ (crago terry)HOUGHTON D 120 20.00 27.50  
WILLISTON WAY 1 5 7     6 2½ (acevedo israe)CEDILLO MAURO 115 4.00 14% 6.30 4.80 P
PRIMAL DESTINY 7 2 1nk     1nk 31 (patter)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00 29% 2.40 2.70 S
STORM BOARDER (CHI) 3 6 32     3½ 41 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 3.50 31% 2.30 1.30  
FREE DANCER 4 4 5     4 5 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 120 4.50 10.20  
EMPEROROFTHEDARK 2 1 4     5 6 (treharne )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 6.00 23.40  
JAZZ HANDS 5 7 6     710¾ 710½ (silva juan )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 4.00 4.70  
 
MNR-8   04/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:23 :473       :542   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MS. P'S BELLA 8 3 21     1nk 1 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 115 10.00 15.70  
11  SWEET VALERIA 9 6 4     42 2 (clouston edward)RIVERA R 120 4.50 14% 6.30 4.20 P
PREMIER WISH 4 4 5     3 3 (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 120 2.00 42% 1.40 1.70 S
LITTLE MISS CAT 6 7 7     74 4 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 6.00 23% 3.40 2.10  
RED ROCKET GIRL 7 1 11     2nk 5 (meeks karl)PAUCAR E 120 6.00 11.80  
COACH MACHEN 2 5 6     53 6 (ewell devan)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 15.00 5% 19.00 37.90  
AWESOME WONDER 1 9 8     86 7 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 120 10.00 6.50  
MY PINK BABY BIRD 3 2 3     6 88 (vickers richa)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 20.00 40.50  
MILLIE (CHI) 5 8 913¼     912 911 (snatchko pau)GONZALEZ KEVIN null   49.70  
SCR  CAPTIVATING ART               (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 4.00    
SCR  COTIA               (caramori caio)DIAZ I 120 10.00    
SCR  SEA MONSTER               (sullivan elliot)VEGA L 120 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.