The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Mountaineer Park
Sunday - April 30, 2023

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MNR-1   04/30/2023 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
:223 :463       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CON ON THE RUN 6 1 14 1   15 1(barker j)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.60 26% 2.80 0.30 W
OLA QUE TAL 5 3 5 58   32(weymes v)VEGA L 120 10.00 29.40  
TEN TWENTY NINE 3 7 710½ 612   69 3(clouston )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 6.00 17% 5.00 6.80 S
QIAN B C 7 6 6 47   4410¼ (robillard julie)CEDILLO MAURO 115 5.00 17% 4.80 10.40  
SHIELD OF FAITH 4 4 24 2   25 511¼ (clouston edwa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 6.00 17% 5.00 6.90  
OUT FOR JUSTICE 2 2 3 3   58 612 (logston christ)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00 25.70  
OLD MOUNTAIN LANE 1 5 4 712½   716 720 (knowles )ENRIQUEZ JR 120 20.00 24.70  
SCR  GET HAMMERED               (murillo rodrig)LUNA ELEMANIEL 115 8.00    
SCR  SOUL OF DISCRETION               (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 8.00    
 
MNR-2   04/30/2023 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
:223 :463       :60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS NUCKOLS 1 1 13 14   14 1(godsey marshall)AVILES YAN 120 3.00 1.50  
PAYNT THE KITTY 7 7 23 24   36 2(silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 3.50 43% 1.30 1.90 P
MARIMBA 6 6 33 34   24 35 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 120 6.00 13.20  
THATS ALL SHEWROTE 5 2 4 46   48 4(robillard julie)CEDILLO MAURO 115 4.00 12% 7.50 5.50  
MY BRIDGET VERDOT 2 3 7 712   515 513¾ (ewell de)ENRIQUEZ JR 120 30.00 51.90  
SPEEDY FIRE 3 4 6 812½   617 614 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 6.00 9% 10.00 7.70  
MADS HOPE 4 8 5 611½   717½ 718¾ (treharne da)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 6.00 11% 8.10 17.70  
VERMONT HOLIDAY 8 5 8 511   819 820 (robillar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 12.60  
SCR  GREGS POSSE               (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 30.00    
 
MNR-3   04/30/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
:244 :49 1:151     1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AYY LADIES 2 3 32 3 2nk 1½ 12 (west m)AVILES YAN 116 0.60 50% 1.00 0.30 W
NELL'S BELLS 6 4 55 67 4 46 22 (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 120 5.00 4.80 P
SHE AINT NO JOKE 5 1 11 1½ 1nk 2½ 33 (ceccato sharon)DIAZ I 120 6.00 11% 7.90 7.00 S
IRON WILMA 4 2 21 2½ 3½ 34(fiesman robert)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00 25.10  
GRAND VENUS 3 5 43 4 5 515 513½ (gotera ju)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 12.00 18.10  
ON STRIKE 1 6 65 5 6 617 620½ (barker j)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 12.30  
SCR  SHESAHUMBLEHUSTLER               (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 8.00 11% 8.10    
 
MNR-4   04/30/2023 2970ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($6.5K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
:231 :471       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAUL DRAKE 4 1 1½     1½ 13 (clouston)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 29% 2.50 0.70 W
PERFECT SPLIT 8 4 2½     2½ 23 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 12.00 13.10  
SOUTHERN SENSE 1 5 5     43(barker r)CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.00 7% 13.80 2.40 S
HOLLYWOOD PRINCE 2 2 31     347 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 2.00 43% 1.30 5.80  
HICKORY BILL 5 7 7     7510¾ (meeks karl)PAUCAR E 123 20.00 45.80  
BUSTER BURNS 7 8 88     8611 (williams )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 5.00 19.60  
BLACK BULL 6 6 44     5711¼ (knowles lucind)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 20.00 60.70  
TRUST FUND ROBBER 3 3 66     6812 (lopez e)VEGA L 123 8.00 21.90  
 
MNR-5   04/30/2023 3630ft DIRT GOOD Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
:223 :47 1:00     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO STELLAIRE 1 8 8 7   54 1(vickers richard)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 30.00 12.00  
LILAC LACE 8 5 4 3½   2nk 2(yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 115 8.00 9% 9.60 6.70 P
ORBIT MARS 7 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 3(clouston)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.50 20% 4.00 2.70 S
SWEET BELEN 5 7 5 4¾   443 (murillo r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 10.00 13% 6.60 8.90  
VINTAGE SPARKLE 4 3 7 8   65(poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00 36.30  
AMAAZA 6 6 3½ 2nk   31 6(silva pablo)DIAZ I 120 1.40 31% 2.30 1.40  
MARIPOSA D'ORO 2 4 6 5   7711¼ (inirio carlos)CCAMAQUE M 120 20.00 29.70  
LADY VALENTINA 3 2 2nk 6   86 816 (treharne da)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 2.50 5.20  
 
MNR-6   04/30/2023 2970ft DIRT GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
:221 :461       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEAK YOUR MIND 3 1 12     14 1(farrior anthony)RIVERA R 120 0.80 36% 1.80 0.70 W
ACCOLADES GALORE 4 6 617     512 2(walker charles )GONZALEZ ALEX 120 12.00 6.90  
COASTAL RUN 5 2 22     24 3(silva pa)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 5.00 21% 3.80 2.50 S
SHOW ME THE BEST 2 3 34     36 44 (acevedo )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 14% 6.20 5.10  
SEMIRAMIS 1 5 514     617 512½ (cordero)MONSERRATE A 120 30.00 30.20  
FLAT OUT APPEALING 6 4 46     411 614¼ (knowles )ENRIQUEZ JR 120 30.00 43.80  
SCR  CASTLE LIGHTS               (brown ronney)RIVERA R 120 6.00    
SCR  GRANDIOSELY               (jones mic)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00 6% 14.60    
SCR  MISS WAVE               (hillegass alexand)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
 
MNR-7   04/30/2023 2970ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($28.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
:221 :453       :514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIEF RANDEL 6 3 2nk     2nk 1½ (crago terry)HOUGHTON D 120 20.00 27.50  
WILLISTON WAY 1 5 7     62½ (acevedo israel)CEDILLO MAURO 115 4.00 40% 1.50 4.80 P
PRIMAL DESTINY 7 2 1nk     1nk 31 (patterso)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00 17% 4.90 2.70 S
STORM BOARDER (CHI) 3 6 32     3½ 41 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 3.50 17% 4.80 1.30  
FREE DANCER 4 4 5     45(farrior anthony)RIVERA R 120 4.50 10.20  
EMPEROROFTHEDARK 2 1 4     56(treharne da)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 6.00 23.40  
JAZZ HANDS 5 7 6     710¾ 710½ (silva pa)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 4.00 5% 17.70 4.70  
 
MNR-8   04/30/2023 2970ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
:23 :473       :542   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MS. P'S BELLA 8 3 21     1nk 1(robillard julie)CEDILLO MAURO 115 10.00 15.70  
11  SWEET VALERIA 9 6 4     42 2(clouston edward)RIVERA R 120 4.50 12% 7.60 4.20 P
PREMIER WISH 4 4 5     33(godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 120 2.00 6% 16.10 1.70 S
LITTLE MISS CAT 6 7 7     74 4(clouston)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 6.00 50% 1.00 2.10  
RED ROCKET GIRL 7 1 11     2nk 5(meeks karl)PAUCAR E 120 6.00 11.80  
COACH MACHEN 2 5 6     53 6(ewell s)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 15.00 37.90  
AWESOME WONDER 1 9 8     86 7(dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 120 10.00 6.50  
MY PINK BABY BIRD 3 2 3     688 (vickers richard)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 20.00 40.50  
MILLIE 5 8 913¼     912 911 (snatchko paul )GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 30.00 49.70  
SCR  CAPTIVATING ART               (robillard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COTIA               (caramori caio)DIAZ I 120 10.00    
SCR  SEA MONSTER               (sullivan elliott)VEGA L 120 3.00 6% 15.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.