Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Sunday - April 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (8/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/9)-(8/5/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (8/5/9)-(7/4/3/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-2   WIN (7/4/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/8)-(7/4/3/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/8)-(7/4/3/8)-(7/4/3/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/4/3/8)-(2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3/8)-(2/7/6)-(4/2/1/3) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-3   WIN (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/7/6)-(4/2/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (4/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/3)-(4/2/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/3)-(4/2/1/3)-(4/2/1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/2/1/3)-(6/7/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MNR-5   WIN (6/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/8)-(6/7/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/8)-(6/7/5/8)-(6/7/5/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MNR-6   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(3/7/1)-(6/8/11/2) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-7   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/7/1)-(6/8/11/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-8   WIN (6/8/11/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/11/2)-(6/8/11/2/10) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (6/8/11/2)-(6/8/11/2/10)-(6/8/11/2/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   04/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLD MOUNTAIN LANE Nov16 Oct26 Oct16 Oct03 Aug30 (knowle)ENRIQUEZ JR 120 20.00    
SCR  GET HAMMERED Apr10 Mar22 Mar09 Feb21 Feb02 (murillo rodr)LUNA ELEMANIEL 115 8.00    
3  OUT FOR JUSTICE Mar09 Feb07 Dec21 Dec14 Nov27 (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00    
4  TEN TWENTY NINE Jan24 Jan05 Dec14 Dec04 Nov21 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 6.00    
5  SHIELD OF FAITH Dec12 Nov27 Nov14 Oct29 Oct06 (clouston ed)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 6.00 16% 5.30    
6  OLA QUE TAL Oct23 Sep04 Aug28 Aug07 Jul20 (weymes v)VEGA L 120 10.00    
SCR  SOUL OF DISCRETION Dec14 Dec05 Nov21 Oct24 Oct11 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 8.00    
8  CON ON THE RUN Jan18 Dec28 Dec13 Jun09 Feb19 (barker)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.60 45% 1.20    
9  QIAN B C Apr03 Mar15 Mar02 Jan19 Jan02 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 115 5.00 11% 7.80    
 
MNR-2   04/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS NUCKOLS Jan27 Jan05 Nov28 Oct10 Aug23 (godsey marshal)AVILES YAN 120 3.00    
2  MY BRIDGET VERDOT Jan05 Dec12 Oct30 Oct17 Oct04 (ewell )ENRIQUEZ JR 120 30.00    
3  SPEEDY FIRE Apr05 Mar27 Mar13 Jan24 Jan02 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 6.00 7% 12.80    
4  MADS HOPE Jun29 Jun22       (treharne )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 6.00 9% 9.50    
5  THATS ALL SHEWROTE Mar25 Mar10 Feb25 Feb01 Jan11 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 115 4.00    
6  MARIMBA Apr24 Apr10 Mar27 Feb27 Feb14 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 120 6.00    
7  PAYNT THE KITTY Feb07 Jan24 Jan09 Dec14 Nov29 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 3.50 55% 0.80    
8  VERMONT HOLIDAY Jan02 Dec05 Nov22 Oct26 Oct11 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GREGS POSSE Apr05 Feb27 Feb01 Jan02 Nov28 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 30.00    
 
MNR-3   04/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON STRIKE Jan13 Sep27 Aug18 Jul19   (barker)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00    
2  AYY LADIES Apr11 Mar23 Feb28 Jan19 Aug24 (west m)AVILES YAN 116 0.60 56% 0.80    
3  GRAND VENUS Feb01 Dec11 Nov28 Nov06 Oct25 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 12.00    
4  IRON WILMA Apr06 Mar27 Mar13 Feb22 Feb06 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00    
SCR  SHESAHUMBLEHUSTLER Mar31 Mar10 Mar04 Jan25 Jan04 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 8.00    
6  SHE AINT NO JOKE Nov15 Nov01 Oct11 Sep27 Sep12 (ceccato sharon)DIAZ I 120 6.00 9% 9.90    
7  NELL'S BELLS Apr06 Mar22 Mar09 Feb07 Dec11 (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 120 5.00 10% 9.40    
 
MNR-4   04/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($6.5K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTHERN SENSE Mar15 Feb04 Jan01 Dec22 Nov19 (barker james )CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.00 8% 11.90    
2  HOLLYWOOD PRINCE Mar19 Feb19 Jan15 Dec12 Dec01 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 2.00 34% 1.90    
3  TRUST FUND ROBBER Dec28 Dec07 Nov14 Oct06 Sep22 (lopez e)VEGA L 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  PAUL DRAKE Aug07 May29 May17 May08 Apr19 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 38% 1.60    
5  HICKORY BILL Oct13 Sep09       (meeks karl)PAUCAR E 123 20.00    
6  BLACK BULL Dec07 Nov22 Nov09 Oct31   (knowles luci)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 20.00    
7  BUSTER BURNS Mar28 Mar19 Feb19 Feb01 Jan24 (william)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 5.00    
8  PERFECT SPLIT Feb14 Jan12 Jan02 Dec05 Nov09 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 12.00    
 
MNR-5   04/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO STELLAIRE Mar29 Mar07 Feb16 Feb09 Dec28 (vickers richa)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 30.00    
2  MARIPOSA D'ORO Dec05 Nov21 Oct31 Oct25 Oct03 (inirio carlos)CCAMAQUE M 120 20.00    
3  LADY VALENTINA Nov30 Nov14 Nov01 Oct04 Sep20 (treharne )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 2.50    
4  VINTAGE SPARKLE Apr10 Jul19 Jul13 Jun13 May30 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00    
5  SWEET BELEN Mar07 Feb09 Jan02 Nov30 Oct25 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 10.00 9% 10.20    
6  AMAAZA Apr11 Mar04 Feb09 Feb01 Jan23 (silva pab)DIAZ I 120 1.40 39% 1.60    
7  ORBIT MARS Mar22 Mar01 Feb06 Dec30 Dec08 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
8  LILAC LACE Mar22 Feb22 Feb07 Jan11 Dec28 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 115 8.00 7% 13.50    
 
MNR-6   04/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEMIRAMIS Dec09 Nov18 Oct22 Oct01 Sep10 (corde)MONSERRATE A 120 30.00    
2  SHOW ME THE BEST Nov28 Nov06 Oct17 Sep14 Aug24 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 19% 4.30    
3  SPEAK YOUR MIND Mar11 Feb10 Jan07 Dec10 Oct29 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 120 0.80 34% 1.90    
SCR  MISS WAVE Apr13 Feb24 Feb01 Jan21 Jan07 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
5  ACCOLADES GALORE Jan09 Dec06 Nov01 Oct18 Sep13 (walker charle)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 12.00    
6  COASTAL RUN Mar04 Feb19 Feb07 Jan30 Jan11 (silva juan )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 5.00 25% 2.90    
SCR  GRANDIOSELY Mar01 Feb15 Feb04 Jan25 Nov04 (jones m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00    
SCR  CASTLE LIGHTS Feb25 Feb04 Jan14 Dec07 Nov09 (brown ronn)RIVERA R 120 6.00    
9  FLAT OUT APPEALING Dec11 Dec04 Nov27 Nov08 Oct18 (knowle)ENRIQUEZ JR 120 30.00    
 
MNR-7   04/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLISTON WAY Nov29 Nov13 Oct26 Oct04 Aug23 (acevedo israe)CEDILLO MAURO 115 4.00 14% 6.30    
2  EMPEROROFTHEDARK Mar27 Feb23 Dec07 Nov24 Nov02 (treharne )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 6.00    
3  STORM BOARDER (CHI) Apr06 Mar10 Jan21 Oct12 Sep14 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 3.50 31% 2.30    
4  FREE DANCER Apr06 Mar04 Feb02 Jan14 Dec17 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 120 4.50    
5  JAZZ HANDS Mar21 Mar11 Feb28 Feb18 Feb08 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 4.00    
6  CHIEF RANDEL Apr15 Apr04 Mar20 Mar13 Feb23 (crago terry)HOUGHTON D 120 20.00    
7  PRIMAL DESTINY Apr06 Feb23 Dec16 Dec01 Nov02 (patter)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
 
MNR-8   04/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME WONDER Mar28 Feb28 Jan31 Jan05 Nov22 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 120 10.00    
2  COACH MACHEN Dec04 Sep27 Sep11 Aug24 Jul11 (ewell devan)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MY PINK BABY BIRD Apr15 Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 Feb07 (vickers richa)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 20.00    
SCR  COTIA Sep26 Jul26 Jun13 May17 Mar17 (caramori caio)DIAZ I 120 10.00    
SCR  SEA MONSTER Mar13 Feb22 Jan27 Jan06 Oct08 (sullivan elliot)VEGA L 120 3.00    
6  PREMIER WISH Nov23 Nov08 Oct12 Feb27 Jan15 (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
7  MILLIE (CHI) Dec07 Nov29 Nov22 Nov08 Oct30 (snatchko pau)GONZALEZ KEVIN null      
8  LITTLE MISS CAT Oct12 Sep21 Sep11 May21 Jan26 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
9  RED ROCKET GIRL Dec12 Nov30 Nov11 Oct10 Sep19 (meeks karl)PAUCAR E 120 6.00    
10  MS. P'S BELLA Nov03 Oct10 Sep27 Aug22 Aug02 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 115 10.00 ★    
11  SWEET VALERIA Mar14 Feb27 Feb01 Jan21 Dec02 (clouston edward)RIVERA R 120 4.50 14% 6.30    
SCR  CAPTIVATING ART Mar14 Feb28 Feb20 Feb01 Aug19 (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.