Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Thursday - April 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (4/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $7.40 $7.40  
TDN-2   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $7.20  
TDN-3   Win (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 8 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 2.60
TDN-4   Win (3/9/1/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 0 $60.80  
TDN-5   Win (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 1.60
TDN-6   Win (2/8/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $6.40 $6.40  
TDN-7   Win (10/11/3/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $11.00 $11.00 1.00
TDN-8   Win (3/10/8/12/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   04/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:14     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUDGE HEAD 4 1 2nk 2nk 1nk 1½ 1 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 8.00 24% 3.20 2.70 W
HANSENATION 5 3 1nk 1nk 2nk 2½ 2 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 123 4.00 6.90  
BLACKTIEANDTUX 7 6 43 4 55 7 3 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 5.00 17% 4.80 8.60 S
OFTEN ENOUGH 3 4 5 53 6 4 4 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 6.00 22% 3.50 7.30  
DEER CREEK ROAD 8 2 32 31 3 3 54 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 10.00 15.60  
STONE COLD CAT 6 5 6 8 7 5 64 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 15% 5.70 3.10  
NAMBITI 1 8 7 6 4 6 7 (tumblin andr)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00 18.60  
SAMMY DA BULL 2 7 8 7 8 8 8 (faulkner rodne)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 2.50 2.90  
 
TDN-2   04/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:231 :48 1:01     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PENNIESANDDIMES 5 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 1nk (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 2.60  
PATTI LOU 4 3 63 5   43 2nk (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 22% 3.50 2.70 P
MISS ELLIE 2 4 1½ 1nk   2nk 31 (doering )BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.50 37% 1.70 4.00 S
BUSYBEING FABULOUS 6 1 3 31   32 4 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 2.40  
SHANGHAI ROYALTY 3 6 52 4   5 53 (pappada j)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 121 3.00 13% 6.50 9.00  
BONNIE'S BEST 1 5 42 6   6 610¼ (fletcher jeff)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 5.00 10.10  
 
TDN-3   04/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:222 :47 :594     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOMELY INSPIRED 8 1 31 2½   1½ 11 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 6.00 16% 5.10 2.30 W
PLAYING FOR KEEPS 1 5 2nk 32   3 21 (ruberto v)CEDILLO MAURO 114 3.00 52% 0.90 2.00 P
FLAG RAISER 6 2 1nk 1½   2½ 33 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 117 2.50 4.70  
PRIMITIVO 2 4 46 48   4 4 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 115 8.00 4.50  
PLAYING BALL 7 3 57 58   5 5 (suarez javier)TORREALBA JG 114 15.00 19.10  
CONTROLLER 3 8 69 610½   6 6 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.00 10.40  
MARCH MAGIC 4 6 811¼ 812¼   813¾ 713½ (brown glenro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50 17.20  
HAPPY TAKEOVER 5 7 7 710¾   713½ 816¾ (campbell antho)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 20.00 19.80  
 
TDN-4   04/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:222 :453 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENORA PANQUEQUES 4 4 53 4   3 1¾ (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 29.40  
GOODNESS SAKES 8 9 9 95   4 2¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 6.90  
DIAMONDS N DEW 10 3 31 2½   1nk 3 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 5.00 12% 7.40 10.30 S
RUNLIKEJACKIEO 3 7 8 7   5 4 (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 119 3.50 28% 2.60 1.90  
SORORITY SISTER 1 8 64 6   7 5 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 8.00 7% 12.90 14.40  
EMERSON JONES 2 6 4 53   85 6 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 115 4.00 10% 9.50 1.60  
1A  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS 7 1 1½ 1½   2nk 7 (skerrett)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 4.00 1.60  
HOSANNA 9 2 2½ 3½   6 8 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 114 15.00 15.10  
10  LUCKY PENNY ROSE 11 10 1012½ 1013   1014½ 913½ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 20.00 68.10  
HITCH CITY 6 5 7 8   99 1014½ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 10.00 9.00  
CAN I GO TOO 5 11 1129½ 1128   1128½ 1125¼ (murillo r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00 9% 10.20 66.90  
 
TDN-5   04/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:22 :451 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINE ME UP BABY 6 1 12 13   1 1 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 19% 4.30 2.80 W
PASSIONFORTREASURE 2 4 6 5   2 2 (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 123 10.00 4.80  
PULPIT'S PURRFECT 1 5 22 23   3 3 (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 15% 5.70 2.50 S
KINGSTON TIME 5 6 55 6   612½ 414 (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 5.00 23.90  
PURITY 7 2 32 3   411 517½ (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 2.00 42% 1.40 2.00  
GIRLINTHEFIREPLACE 3 7 712 712½   713½ 618¼ (flick julia)DIAZ I 123 12.00 29.70  
SHE'S PURE SILVER 4 3 44 4   512 720¼ (bailey ricardo)FELICIANO R 123 10.00 7.50  
 
TDN-6   04/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMIN'UNCLEJACK 8 2 31 2nk   1½ 1 (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 3.00 20% 4.00 2.20 W
R CARDINAL PRINCE 2 7 4 4   5 2 (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.50 34% 2.00 2.60 P
AGNELLO'S DREAM 6 4 2½ 1nk   2½ 3 (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 115 8.00 5.80 S
ONEMORANDTHECHECK 5 1 1½ 32   33 4 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 10.00 11.10  
CENTSOFWANDER 1 5 6 75   65 5 (huffman m)RIVERA R 119 4.00 20% 4.00 5.20  
GOLD HERITAGE 3 9 85 54   43 6 (fadlovich meg)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 5.00 7.50  
BAD LITTLE BEAST 4 8 9 86   78 7 (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00 5% 18.60 10.00  
ON HIS TOES 7 3 75 9   910½ 810¾ (londono j)TORREALBA JG 114 15.00 42.60  
GRAND DEAL 9 6 54 6   810 911¾ (schuster)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 52.60  
 
TDN-7   04/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Dr. Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :46 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  KICHI KITSU 11 2 13 14   1½ 1½ (ruberto v)FELICIANO R 121 3.50 14% 6.20 4.50 W
10  NEAR PERFECT 10 4 33 34   2½ 2½ (gorham m)DIAZ I 117 3.00 31% 2.30 2.20 P
PERFECTINGTHEVIEW 1 11 8 910¾   66 35 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 15.00 14.60  
12  NICEASAKITTENSEYES 12 3 7 56   44 4 (atala jo)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 12.00 38.00  
MOBIL LADY 5 5 23 24   32 5 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 6.00 16.40  
DANCIN' ROSIE 9 1 4 7   7 68 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 117 10.00 9% 10.10 10.80  
DIVA POWER 4 8 5 69   5 78 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 117 20.00 8% 12.00 48.80  
BOSSY LADY 8 6 10 8   8 811¼ (radosevich jeff)GONZALEZ A 121 15.00 63.70  
STAR RULES 6 7 119 1113¾   912½ 912¼ (huffman g)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 14.60  
KERRI'S MIRACLE 2 10 97 1012¼   1016½ 1018½ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 121 15.00 51.50  
CHLOES ANGEL 7 12 1211½ 1216¾   1117½ 1124½ (romero oscar)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 30.00 84.10  
EDGE OF NIGHT 3 9 6 4   12100 12100 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 14% 6.30 1.60  
 
TDN-8   04/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:221 :452 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICON 3 9 76 44   1½ 1 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 8.00 36% 1.80 1.60 W
12  K P SILVER BULLET 11 3 6 7   5 2 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 5% 19.00 15.20 P
THE WILD FLYER 1 10 9 9   9 37 (bracho j)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 30.00 ######  
VALHALLA AIR BASE 7 4 4 5   7 4 (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 20.00 6.90  
JOE BRRRR 8 8 1011 1112¼   10 5 (sullivan)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 7% 13.50 4.10  
SMUDGE THE CAT 6 6 31 3   42 6 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.50 8.40  
10  EL CARDINAL 9 2 1nk 1nk   2½ 78 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 4.50 24% 3.10 15.20  
11  TWICE AS SMART 10 1 2nk 2nk   3½ 88 (zielinski richard)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 13.90  
UPTOWN GUY 2 7 8 8   8 9 (manning richard)CEDILLO MAURO 114 12.00 9.50  
PERFECT PICTURE 4 5 53 6   63 10 (reed r)BRACHO A 119 20.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
JOYFUL CANDY 5 11 1112½ 1012¼   11 1111 (brinsfiel)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 15.00 16.10  
SCR  GET ALONG               (buhrow d)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.