Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - April 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-3   WIN (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  8 $5.40 $1.40 35%
    TRI (8/6)-(8/6/7/1)-(8/6/7/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00  8-6-1 $7.70 $1.70 28%
TAM-4   DD (8/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  8-6 $9.70 $3.70 62%
TAM-5   WIN (6/8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $12.20 $4.20 53%
    EXA (6/8/4/2)-(6/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-8 $44.50 $32.50 271%
    TRI (6/8/4/2)-(6/8/4/2)-(6/8/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-8-6 $77.95 $65.95 550%
    DD (4/1/6)-(6/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-2 $27.50 $15.50 129%
    PK3 (8/6)-(4/1/6)-(6/8/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  8-6-2 $30.00 $18.00 150%
TAM-6   TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1/5)-(2/7/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00  7-2-1 $9.75 $0.75 8%
    DD (6/8/4/2)-(2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-7 $27.90 $15.90 133%
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(6/8/4/2)-(2/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00  6-2-7 $39.70 $21.70 121%
TAM-8   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $25.00 $19.00 317%
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/10/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-4 $51.70 $39.70 331%
TAM-9   EXA (2/1/9/4)-(2/1/9/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00  2-9 $20.60 $4.60 29%
    DD (1/4/3)-(2/1/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-2 $53.80 $41.80 348%
Simulator Race results
 
TAM-1   04/22/2023 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-12:18
See original race card.
:243 :474 1:132 1:394   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  IT'S ME AGAIN 3 4 2½ 33 31 1nk 14¼ (santillana fr)MARTIN MATTIE 119 6.00 10.00  
4  HEAVY WEIGHT 4 1 1½ 21 1½ 2nk 24¼ (negrete javier)FERRER C 124 5.00 ★ 5.30 P
6  HIGHJUMP CHARLIE 6 3 53½ 44½ 42 52½ 35¼ (werneth ro)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 126 2.00 40% 1.50 2.50 S
1  KALINBA 1 5 42½ 55½ 52 31 46¾ (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 126 4.50 5.00  
5  CORPORATE AFFAIR 5 2 3½ 11 2½ 42 57 (lutchman pad)ARROYO S 126 1.40 35% 1.90 1.10  
2  RED JET 2 6 65½ 68½ 67 610½ 620½ (barrett grantl)MARIN SAMUEL 126 20.00 19.60  
 
TAM-2   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT-12:48
See original race card.
:224 :46 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  EXCELLENT MARK 5 2 42½ 43   21 1¼ (yanez moises)MENESES MARCOS 123 2.00 2.20  
2  ABE HONESTLY 2 1 11½ 11   11 2¼ (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 3.00 27% 2.70 1.60 P
3  SIDNEY'S BID 3 4 32½ 33   31½ 32 (mcgoey monica)SOSA LAUREANO 116 1.40 28% 2.60 3.00 S
1  DUN RIGHT 1 5 21½ 21   42½ 45 (wismer glenn)ALENCAR WALBER 123 20.00 6% 15.30 10.90  
6  TEDDY'S HONOR 6 3 55 56   54½ 55¼ (wasiluk peter)ALICEA JEREMY 116 8.00 6.60  
4  R D BLESSING 4 6 67 610   610½ 611¼ (drake robert)FERRER C 118 12.00 15.90  
 
TAM-3   04/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:114 1:353   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CARRONADE 8 7 21 22 21 1½ 13½ (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 121 1.00 53% 0.90 1.70 W
6  NORTH CAROLINA 6 5 11 12 11 2½ 23½ (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 121 2.00 20% 4.10 1.50 P
1  MAGICAL ADVENTURE 1 2 52½ 43 34 33½ 34¾ (manning dennis)MARIN SAMUEL 121 10.00 ★ 6.10 S
4  GENERAL COMMAND 4 4 42½ 53¼ 44 58 411½ (bennett gera)MENESES MARCOS 121 10.00 4.90  
3  MAGIC BOMB 3 3 31½ 32 54½ 47½ 512¼ (lorito mario)JIMENEZ MANNY 121 20.00 58.10  
5  SKY TRAVELER 5 6 62¾ 64¼ 67 69½ 613¼ (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 114 20.00 42.80  
2  FORMAL TREASURE 2 1 73¾ 76¼ 710 713½ 715¼ (parra hernan)ARROYO S 121 15.00 64.00  
7  AMBUSHED 7 8 87¾ 89¼ 815 819½ 822 (guciardo kathy)FERRER C 121 10.00 ★ 12.40  
 
TAM-4   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 1:55
See original race card.
:221 :451 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PRETTY'N AWESOME 6 1 21 21   21 1¼ (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 3.00 18% 4.50 1.30 W
4  DREAM CONCERT 4 2 11 11   11 2¼ (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 0.80 34% 1.90 1.10 P
5  BELMAR SUMMER 5 3 52 42½   46 38¾ (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 118 10.00 15.50  
2  PRINCESS CHESSIE 2 5 31 31½   36 49¼ (galvan baltazar)LOPEZ E 118 10.00 11.40  
1  DEVRA WARRIOR 1 4 41½ 53½   59 516¼ (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 111 4.50 26% 2.90 6.90  
3  WISHIN N KISSIN 3 6 67 69½   617 622¾ (ubide max)FERRER C 118 15.00 24.90  
 
TAM-5   04/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:29
See original race card.
:251 :502 1:134 1:251   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  EXACTING 2 1 11 11 1½ 11 11 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 119 6.00 9% 10.40 5.10 W
8  SAVVY LAYLA 8 4 21 21 2½ 21 21 (bennett gera)BATISTA A 119 3.00 15% 5.60 4.60 P
6  WAR CROSS 6 5 52¼ 63 63¾ 66 34¾ (gatis chris)MENESES MARCOS 119 3.50 36% 1.80 1.70 S
5  MISTA DONZELLA 5 3 62¾ 83¾ 85¾ 55½ 45½ (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 123 10.00 8.90  
4  CHESS'S DREAM 4 2 31 32 52¾ 35 56½ (mcgoe)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 2.50 13% 6.90 4.20  
3  MR. SARCASTIC 3 6 73¾ 73½ 73¾ 78 67 (richards r)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 12.00 14.10  
7  MARQUET MALICE 7 7 42 42½ 42½ 45½ 77 (cascallare)ORDONEZ R 119 10.00 18.80  
1  HOLD THE SPICE 1 8 83¾ 53 32½ 89 811 (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 8.00 9.50  
 
TAM-6   04/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:221 :444 1:10     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KING CAIRO 7 4 4¾ 41½   1nk 11 (rigattieri j)BATISTA A 118 2.50 22% 3.60 2.20 W
2  SAN COSTANTINO 2 7 65¾ 52½   4¾ 21 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 1.60 40% 1.50 1.00 P
1  OMATI 1 3 1½ 1½   2nk 31½ (arriagada jua)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 5.00 15% 5.80 5.30 S
6  UNFLAPPABLE MAX 6 5 3½ 3½   3.2 42¼ (ferraro an)ALENCAR WALBER 118 10.00 11.80  
3  TONY SMALL 3 6 75¾ 76½   63¾ 53¾ (ward dennis)FERRER C 118 8.00 14.20  
5  SAVAGE (BRZ) 5 2 2½ 2½   51¼ 67½ (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 15.00 ★ 26.90  
4  FIERCE WARRIOR 4 1 52¾ 64   74¼ 79 (nunn douglas)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00 11.20  
 
TAM-7   04/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:123 1:38   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  WICKLOW GAL 8 6 14 15 1nk 1nk 1¾ (miller c)FERRER C 120 20.00 15.00  
2  GLORIOUS WAVE 2 1 24 25 2nk 2nk 2¾ (dini mike)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 3.50 44% 1.30 2.10 P
7  EMPTY ENVELOPE 7 7 67½ 612 63¼ 32 31¼ (rice kevin)ALLEN D 120 30.00 28.30  
6  ITRIEDSELLINGHER 6 8 711½ 715½ 77¼ 74¾ 45½ (o'connell kat)SOSA LAUREANO 113 12.00 17.00  
1  CAIRO WINNER 1 2 45½ 48 41¼ 43 56 (barbo)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 1.60 2.50  
5  BANK BUSTER 5 3 35 38 31 54 66¼ (ryan derek)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00 5% 19.00 10.70  
3  EMPIRE GIRL 3 4 55½ 510 52¼ 64½ 76¼ (sanchez jose)BATISTA A 120 2.50 ★ 4.40  
4  HOLY SKULL 4 5 813½ 821½ 822¼ 834¾ 8100 (barboza vict)MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00 28% 2.50 4.40  
 
TAM-8   04/22/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:121 1:381   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LORD DARNLEY 3 3 54 54¼ 11 11½ 14¾ (machado an)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 126 5.00 5% 19.00 11.50 W
4  LIVEFORTHESONG 4 6 33 44¼ 21 21½ 24¾ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 4.00 23% 3.30 3.90 P
6  HAD RIGHT 6 2 98¼ 99 62¼ 54 38½ (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 124 10.00 8.40  
9  COMMANDER KEITH 8 1 76 76½ 72¾ 64 49¼ (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 124 20.00 45.70  
7  EIGHT WEEKS LONG 7 8 66 66¼ 31½ 43 59½ (ferraro ant)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 12.00 ★ 4.20  
1  GRAND PLAYER 1 9 43½ 34 51¾ 32½ 611¾ (barboza vict)BATISTA A 124 4.50 46% 1.20 6.00  
5  SWIFT KID 5 4 86¼ 86½ 83¾ 79 718¾ (macha)DIAZ RAFAEL 126 10.00 24.80  
10  MUNDO MIX 9 7 12 14 41½ 815 836 (delgado jo)ORDONEZ R 124 3.00 ★ 1.40  
2  DON H 2 5 22 24 98¾ 920 937¼ (cascallares n)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 30.00 54.50  
SCR  REINER               (ferraro an)ALENCAR WALBER 124 6.00    
 
TAM-9   04/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:39
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:113 1:24   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  THE SKIPSTER 2 1 1½ 3.2 3.2 1½ 1¼ (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 119 3.00 63% 0.60 2.60 W
9  SHIMMERING LEROID 9 5 42 42¼ 41¼ 2½ 2¼ (mccarthy brenda )FERRER C 121 4.00 5% 19.00 4.50 P
8  IN HONOR OF ARTIE 8 8 85½ 84¾ 74¾ 74¾ 34¼ (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 112 20.00 36.80  
7  FAST PAYDAY 7 6 64 62¾ 52¾ 54 44¼ (manning dennis)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00 9.60  
4  KING OF CHAOS 4 10 107¼ 95¼ 96¾ 64¼ 54½ (nunn douglas)COTTO L 119 10.00 5% 19.00 10.70  
1  THE BEST DISTANCE 1 2 32 52¾ 64¼ 84¾ 67 (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 123 3.50 7% 13.40 2.60  
3  HEREBY 3 4 53½ 2nk 1nk 33½ 78 (rodriguez dar)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 8.00 ★ 13.50  
6  BATTLE CREEK 6 7 95¾ 106¼ 107¾ 95¾ 88¼ (granitz antho)SOSA LAUREANO 112 8.00 11.70  
10  MIDNIGHT TEQUILA 10 9 75 73¼ 84¾ 107¾ 910½ (chain pearl)SUAREZ JESUS 119 20.00 47.20  
5  REBEL EMPIRE 5 3 2½ 1nk 2nk 44 1011 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 119 15.00 8.10  
SCR  ASSERT DOMINANCE               (mcgoey monic)GARCIA GEOVANY 119 15.00    
SCR  CREATIVE CHOICE               (allen lisa)ALLEN M 119 20.00    
SCR  EDEN PARADISE               (james gerald)FUENTES MARIO 119 10.00    
SCR  LUIS TWO GUNS               (lorito mario)ARROYO S 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.