Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - April 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/5)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(3/2/1)-(8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-2   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(8/6)-(4/1/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-3   WIN (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/6)-(8/6/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6)-(8/6/7/1)-(8/6/7/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/6)-(4/1/6)-(6/8/4/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-4   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(6/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(6/8/4/2)-(2/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-5   WIN (6/8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/4/2)-(6/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/4/2)-(6/8/4/2)-(6/8/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/4/2)-(2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/4/2)-(2/7/1)-(2/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-6   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1/5)-(2/7/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/1)-(2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1)-(2/4/5)-(1/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-7   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5/3)-(2/4/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(1/4/3)-(2/1/9/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-8   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/10/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/10/7)-(1/4/3/10/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(2/1/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-9   WIN (2/1/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/9/4)-(2/1/9/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/9/4)-(2/1/9/4/3)-(2/1/9/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/22/2023 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-12:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KALINBA Apr08 Mar12 Feb26 Feb15 Jan20 (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 126 4.50    
2  RED JET Apr05 Mar04 Feb12 Jan29 Jan19 (barrett grantl)MARIN SAMUEL 126 20.00    
3  IT'S ME AGAIN Mar24 Feb22 Jan22 Jan18 Dec31 (santillana fr)MARTIN MATTIE 119 6.00    
4  HEAVY WEIGHT Apr08 Mar29 Mar04 Feb18 Feb08 (negrete javier)FERRER C 124 5.00 ★    
5  CORPORATE AFFAIR Mar23 Feb26 Feb01 Dec29 Dec18 (lutchman pad)ARROYO S 126 1.40 35% 1.90    
6  HIGHJUMP CHARLIE Apr05 Mar12 Feb26 Feb12 Nov05 (werneth ro)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 126 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
TAM-2   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT-12:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUN RIGHT Mar26 Mar11 Feb11 Jan15 Dec31 (wismer glenn)ALENCAR WALBER 123 20.00 6% 15.30    
2  ABE HONESTLY Mar11 Feb19 Oct03 Aug16 Aug02 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 3.00 27% 2.70    
3  SIDNEY'S BID Apr07 Mar24 Mar10 Feb22 Feb12 (mcgoey monica)SOSA LAUREANO 116 1.40 28% 2.60    
4  R D BLESSING Apr15 Jan27 Jan01 Dec23 Dec14 (drake robert)FERRER C 118 12.00    
5  EXCELLENT MARK Mar26 Mar11 Feb11 Jan15 Dec23 (yanez moises)MENESES MARCOS 123 2.00    
6  TEDDY'S HONOR Feb17 Jan28 Jan15 Dec07 Nov23 (wasiluk peter)ALICEA JEREMY 116 8.00    
 
TAM-3   04/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGICAL ADVENTURE Mar24 Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 Jan06 (manning dennis)MARIN SAMUEL 121 10.00 ★    
2  FORMAL TREASURE Mar03 May21 Apr29     (parra hernan)ARROYO S 121 15.00    
3  MAGIC BOMB Mar15 Feb26 Nov05 Sep10 Aug07 (lorito mario)JIMENEZ MANNY 121 20.00    
4  GENERAL COMMAND Apr12 Mar15 Jan27 Sep11 Aug29 (bennett gera)MENESES MARCOS 121 10.00    
5  SKY TRAVELER Apr12 Mar19 Feb26 Feb12 Jan20 (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 114 20.00    
6  NORTH CAROLINA Feb10 Jan06 Oct19 Sep14 Jul25 (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 121 2.00 20% 4.10    
7  AMBUSHED Mar24 Feb15 Jan20 Dec28 Jul11 (guciardo kathy)FERRER C 121 10.00 ★    
8  CARRONADE Mar18 Feb26 Jan29 Jan20 Dec16 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 121 1.00 53% 0.90    
 
TAM-4   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVRA WARRIOR Mar18 Sep15 Jul26     (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 111 4.50 26% 2.90    
2  PRINCESS CHESSIE Sep02 Jul23       (galvan baltazar)LOPEZ E 118 10.00    
3  WISHIN N KISSIN Apr08 Feb26 Feb08 Jan29   (ubide max)FERRER C 118 15.00    
4  DREAM CONCERT Mar26 Mar11       (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 0.80 34% 1.90    
5  BELMAR SUMMER Mar22 Mar01 Feb10 Jan01 Dec17 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 118 10.00    
6  PRETTY'N AWESOME Mar26 Mar08 Feb18 Jan22 Dec22 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 3.00 18% 4.50    
 
TAM-5   04/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLD THE SPICE Mar26 Feb25 Jan15 Dec28 Nov25 (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 8.00    
2  EXACTING Feb10 Jan14 Dec17 Nov30 Oct26 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 119 6.00 9% 10.40    
3  MR. SARCASTIC Apr08 Mar26 Mar10 Feb24 Feb11 (richards r)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 12.00    
4  CHESS'S DREAM Apr08 Mar26 Feb08 Jan25 Dec28 (mcgoe)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 2.50 13% 6.90    
5  MISTA DONZELLA Apr08 Mar26 Mar10 Feb22 Feb01 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 123 10.00    
6  WAR CROSS Mar08 Feb10 Jan21 Dec31 Dec09 (gatis chris)MENESES MARCOS 119 3.50 36% 1.80    
7  MARQUET MALICE Mar08 Nov30 Oct12 Sep23 Sep02 (cascallare)ORDONEZ R 119 10.00    
8  SAVVY LAYLA Apr08 Mar08 Feb15 Feb01 Jan20 (bennett gera)BATISTA A 119 3.00 15% 5.60    
 
TAM-6   04/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OMATI Mar19 Mar04 Feb05 Dec30 Nov05 (arriagada jua)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 5.00 15% 5.80    
2  SAN COSTANTINO Apr01 Mar15 Mar05 Feb17 Jan29 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 1.60 40% 1.50    
3  TONY SMALL Mar05 Feb19 Feb03 May22 May04 (ward dennis)FERRER C 118 8.00    
4  FIERCE WARRIOR Mar26 Mar19 Feb25 Feb19 Jan21 (nunn douglas)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00    
5  SAVAGE (BRZ) Apr05 Mar25 Feb25 Feb11 Jan04 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 15.00 ★    
6  UNFLAPPABLE MAX Mar10 Feb15 Jan21 Jan06 Nov07 (ferraro )GALLARDO A 118 10.00    
7  KING CAIRO Mar05 Feb19 Jan28 Jan06 Nov25 (rigattieri j)BATISTA A 118 2.50 22% 3.60    
 
TAM-7   04/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAIRO WINNER Apr05 Mar05 Feb17 Jan21 Nov25 (barbo)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 1.60    
2  GLORIOUS WAVE Apr01         (dini mike)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 3.50 44% 1.30    
3  EMPIRE GIRL Apr05 Mar05 Feb17 Jan21 Oct24 (sanchez jose)BATISTA A 120 2.50 ★    
4  HOLY SKULL         (barboza vict)MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00 28% 2.50    
5  BANK BUSTER Apr12 Mar10 Feb17 Feb03 Jan29 (ryan derek)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  ITRIEDSELLINGHER Apr05 Mar17       (o'connell kat)SOSA LAUREANO 113 12.00    
7  EMPTY ENVELOPE Nov16 Oct23 Oct05 Sep16   (rice kevin)ALLEN D 120 30.00    
8  WICKLOW GAL Feb17 Feb03 Jan13 Dec14 Dec03 (miller c)FERRER C 120 20.00    
 
TAM-8   04/22/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND PLAYER Feb03 Jan13 Dec23 Oct13 Sep03 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 124 4.50 46% 1.20    
2  DON H Mar24 Feb22 Jan20     (cascallares n)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 30.00    
3  LORD DARNLEY Apr07 Jul30 Jul09 Jun17 May29 (machado an)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  LIVEFORTHESONG Mar31 Mar19 Feb15 Jan13 Dec02 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 4.00 23% 3.30    
5  SWIFT KID Apr02 Mar24 Mar04 Feb17 Jan13 (macha)DIAZ RAFAEL 126 10.00    
6  HAD RIGHT Mar31 Mar18 Mar03 Feb17 Feb03 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 124 10.00    
7  EIGHT WEEKS LONG Mar31 Mar17 Feb19 Jan29 Aug24 (ferraro ant)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 12.00 ★    
SCR  REINER Apr02 Mar18 Feb17 Jan27 Jan13 (ferraro )GALLARDO A 124 6.00    
9  COMMANDER KEITH Mar25 Feb15 Jan27 Jul01 Jun19 (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 124 20.00    
10  MUNDO MIX Mar22 Jan25 Dec29 Dec16 Nov10 (delgado jo)ORDONEZ R 124 3.00 ★    
 
TAM-9   04/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE BEST DISTANCE Mar24 Feb25 Jan13 Dec03 Aug31 (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 123 3.50 7% 13.40    
2  THE SKIPSTER Apr02 Mar05 Feb19 Jan27 Jan06 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 119 3.00 63% 0.60    
3  HEREBY Apr02 Mar05 Feb15 Jan29 Jan11 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 119 8.00 ★    
4  KING OF CHAOS Apr02 Mar17 Feb19 Feb01 Jan13 (nunn douglas)COTTO L 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  REBEL EMPIRE Mar05 Jan15 Oct15 Sep29 May30 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 119 15.00    
6  BATTLE CREEK Mar17 Feb22 May13 Mar19 Feb25 (granitz antho)SOSA LAUREANO 112 8.00    
7  FAST PAYDAY Mar22 Mar03 Jan13 Dec09 Sep07 (manning dennis)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00    
8  IN HONOR OF ARTIE Apr02 Mar17 Feb22 Feb01 Dec09 (dominguez lui)ALICEA JEREMY 112 20.00    
9  SHIMMERING LEROID Apr02 Mar17 Mar03 Feb15 Jan27 (mccarthy brenda )FERRER C 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
10  MIDNIGHT TEQUILA Mar17 Feb22 Feb01 Dec21 Nov21 (chain pearl)SUAREZ JESUS 119 20.00    
SCR  EDEN PARADISE Mar24 Feb26 Feb15 Feb04 Dec26 (james gerald)FUENTES MARIO 119 10.00    
SCR  ASSERT DOMINANCE Mar31 Mar17 Feb22 Feb11 May21 (mcgoey monic)GARCIA GEOVANY 119 15.00    
SCR  CREATIVE CHOICE Apr07 Dec09 Nov30 Oct19 Oct03 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 119 20.00    
SCR  LUIS TWO GUNS Feb22 Sep15 Aug30 Aug10 Jul21 (lorito mario)ARROYO S 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.