Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Thursday - June 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-1   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $22.54 $16.54 276%
ELP-2   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $4.52 $0.52 13%
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1-3 $8.44 $4.44 111%
    DD (3/4/2)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-1 $38.03 $32.03 534%
ELP-7   WIN (3/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $24.62 $16.62 208%
    EXA (3/2/5/4)-(3/2/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-3 $143.56 $119.56 498%
    TRI (3/2/5/4)-(3/2/5/4)-(3/2/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-3-2 $81.40 $69.40 578%
ELP-8   EXA (6/5/9/8/4)-(6/5/9/8/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00  5-9 $46.42 $6.42 16%
    TRI (6/5/9/8/4)-(6/5/9/8/4)-(6/5/9/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00  5-9-6 $58.05 $28.05 94%
    DD (3/2/5/4)-(6/5/9/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-5 $58.72 $38.72 194%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   06/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:223 :46       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MARKET STREET 2 1 12½ 11½   12 13¾ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 5.00 5% 17.70 10.27 W
  (by STREET SENSE out of QUALITY WAY by QUALITY ROAD)
6  GOTTANEEDFORSPEED 6 2 22½ 32½   22 23¾ (mccarthy micha)CHUAN MARTIN 119 4.00 4.60  
  (by ACCELERATE out of HEALTHY ADDICTION by BOSTON HARBOR)
5  CAN GROUP 5 3 45 58½   58½ 34½ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 2.48  
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of BLUE GALLINA by STREET SENSE)
4  OZONE 4 6 33 21½   32 46¼ (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 17% 4.90 1.27  
  (by MITOLE out of JERSEY JULES by SCAT DADDY)
1  THANKS FRANK 1 4 67 47   47 57¼ (von don)GARCIA MARTIN 119 5.00 9.55  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SYDNEY FREEMAN by TIZWAY)
3  MAGICAL MONARCH 3 5 56½ 68½   610½ 616½ (casse mar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 2.50 41% 1.40 7.14  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of MECANIQUE by MARIA'S MON)
 
ELP-2   06/29/2023 5940ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:241 :471 1:111 1:37   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PADDINGTON 1 1 11½ 11 12½ 18 119½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 34% 1.90 1.26 W
3  GO CATS 2 3 21½ 31½ 33 28 219½ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 41% 1.50 1.62 P
4  LUNA VIEJA 3 2 41¾ 41½ 22½ 38 320¼ (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.50 2.44  
6  SANT' ANTIMO 4 4 31½ 21 48 420 440¼ (hiles je)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 8.93  
SCR  CROSSING               (lauer michael)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
SCR  FIGHT'N READY               (stewart dalla)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50    
 
ELP-3   06/29/2023 6600ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:14 1:392   2:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PRETTY PROVOCATIVE 2 32½ 32 43 32 1½ 11¾ (molloy thoma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 20.00 16.80  
  (by UNION RAGS out of PRETTY PROLIFIC by LION HEART)
1  SRI LANKA 1 11½ 11 11 11 2½ 21¾ (walsh brenda)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.60 69% 0.50 0.54 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  SOUTHAMPTON DOCK 5 21½ 21 21 21 32½ 35¼ (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 111 6.00 8% 11.50 5.07 S
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of VALSEUSE by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  DIXIE SUPREME 3 64½ 54½ 54 57 510½ 420¾ (murphy co)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 6.50  
  (by UNION RAGS out of CODETTA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  SPUN OATS 4 43 42½ 32 43½ 48½ 521½ (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 5% 19.00 9.54  
  (by HARD SPUN out of MORE OATS PLEASE by SMART STRIKE)
9  ROBIN SAGE 6 53 65½ 69 614 618½ 641¼ (medina robe)PETERSON FERRIN 118 10.00 7.65  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of GAME FAIR by QUIET AMERICAN)
SCR  DOWHATEVERITTAKES               (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CAT ON A TIN ROOF by CATIENUS)
SCR  FRACING ALLSTAR               (reed eric )CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of DANCING ALLSTAR by MILLENNIUM ALLSTAR)
SCR  OKAY FINE               (lynch bria)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
ELP-4   06/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:221 :45 :564     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GOOD HEART 3 2 12½ 13   12 11½ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.60 41% 1.50 0.76 W
4  SUPREMELY 4 1 22½ 23   22 21½ (foley greg)LANERIE J 123 3.50 8.77  
1  RIDER'S SPECIAL 1 3 43 44   33½ 32¾ (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00 4.13  
5  MISSIN CURFEW 5 4 32½ 33   45½ 48¾ (diodoro )SANTANA JR 118 5.00 5% 19.00 7.94  
2  CONSTITUTIONAL LAW 2 6 65 55   57½ 59¼ (cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 5.00 32% 2.10 8.60  
6  VALE 6 5 54½ 67½   612½ 623¾ (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 123 12.00 6.56  
 
ELP-5   06/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:22 :443 1:091     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  APPEAL DENIED 3 2 11½ 1½   11 1nk (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.00 1.95  
6  RAM 6 1 32½ 31   31½ 2nk (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 2.50 36% 1.80 3.96 P
4  LEAGUE OF LEGENDS 4 3 59 57   55½ 31 (fires h)COURT K 123 6.00 8% 11.00 8.91 S
1  MIDASWELLRUN 1 6 43 42   21 41½ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 123 6.00 6.39  
2  AMANI'S EAGLE 2 4 21½ 2½   41½ 53 (barkley jaso)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 8.00 4.26  
5  EMPERADOR 5 5 610 68   69 69¾ (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 125 3.00 32% 2.10 3.07  
 
ELP-6   06/29/2023 7920ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:251 :493 1:143 1:391 2:033 2:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FOWLER BLUE 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 1nk 11½ 12 (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 124 20.00 10.00  
4  O CAPTAIN 3 41½ 32 32 3½ 21½ 22 (delgado g)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 1.51 P
3  IDRATHERBEBLESSED 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 2nk 35½ 312½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 11.18  
8  JARREAU 6 53 63¾ 64 53½ 511 421½ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 67% 0.50 1.61  
2  ALWAYS ABOVE 1 63½ 53½ 54 42½ 611¼ 522 (nihei michell)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 10.00 7% 13.40 3.31  
7  EL AHIJADO 5 31 42 42½ 64 411 623 (guerrero sal)NAVAS YOEL 117 30.00 34.95  
SCR  KING CURLIN               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 124 10.00    
SCR  MONJID               (mckeever and)GEROUX FLORENT 124 10.00    
SCR  MOON CAT               (davis christ)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00    
SCR  MOUNT RUNDLE               (nihei mi)RODRIGUEZ A 119 2.50    
SCR  TRENDING               (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 124 3.50    
 
ELP-7   06/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:102 1:224   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CAN'T HUSH THIS 4 1 12½ 13 13 14½ 13 (morse l)CHUAN MARTIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 11.31 W
3  DEPUTY CONNECT 3 2 32½ 34½ 34 24½ 23 (cox brad)SANTANA JR 124 2.00 42% 1.40 6.36 P
2  WHAT'S UP DOC 2 4 710¼ 710½ 79½ 47½ 36½ (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 126 2.50 34% 2.00 1.12 S
1  SECRET POCKET 1 3 66¼ 67 69½ 510½ 49¼ (peitz dan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 10.55  
6  JUDO 6 5 22½ 23 23 36 510¼ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 8.35  
5  I RUN 5 6 54¼ 55 58 712½ 618½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 5% 19.00 3.52  
7  DUAL MONARCHY 7 7 44 44½ 47 612½ 718¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 8.09  
 
ELP-8   06/29/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:12 1:364   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SHE'S LOOKIN LUCKY 5 2 2nk 1½ 1nk 12½ 17 (shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 24% 3.10 2.74 W
9  BRU NA BOINNE 9 3 1nk 2½ 2nk 22½ 27 (calhoun w)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 15% 5.70 8.52 P
6  PEAK POPULARITY 6 5 85¾ 86½ 76¼ 68½ 311 (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 28% 2.60 9.10 S
2  SHOPLIFTER 2 1 73¾ 74½ 53¾ 36½ 412½ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 8.00 11.92  
1  MUSTANG LADY 1 4 41½ 31½ 41¾ 46½ 513¾ (newton troy)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 9.19  
4  MAGIC BUBBLES 4 8 51¾ 41½ 31½ 57 623½ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 5% 19.00 1.91  
10  NOMADIC PRIDE 10 12 1212¼ 1011 88¾ 712½ 724¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 61.16  
8  UNSTABLE PRINCESS 8 9 98¾ 1214½ 1215¼ 817½ 829½ (santamaria carlos)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 14.39  
3  EMBRACE ME 3 10 1111¼ 1114 1115¼ 918½ 931½ (catalano wayn)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00 29.88  
7  DEMI 7 11 109¾ 98½ 99¾ 1018¾ 1033¼ (stuart she)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 45.31  
11  TITUBA 11 6 31 52 64¼ 1121¾ 1150 (pletcher)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 22.19  
12  DESERT TEMPEST 12 7 62¾ 64 1010¼ 1231¾ 1299¾ (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00 21.42  
SCR  STELLAR LADY               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
 
ELP-9   06/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:222 :451 :58     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  ANNA'S ARABESQUE 7 6 2nk 1nk   1½ 12¼ (bauer philip)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.40 73% 0.40 0.74 W
  (by MUNNINGS out of CLASSY MUSIC by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
4  PROUD MARY 2 7 45½ 35   33½ 22¼ (thomas jonat)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.70 P
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of ABSOLUTE CRACKERS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  RUBY TAP 6 2 1nk 2nk   2½ 34¾ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 4.88  
  (by TAPIT out of MAJESTIC JEWEL by CINDAGO)
7  SWEET CURALINA 4 5 69 59½   48 46¼ (wilkes ia)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 12.91  
  (by CURLIN out of SWEET TAPPER by TAPIT)
2  SHESASMALLTOWNGIRL 1 1 34½ 47½   59½ 58 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 4.24  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of MY PAIGE'S JEWEL by FOREST WILDCAT)
8  STEEL RACER 5 4 56½ 610½   611½ 612¼ (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 5% 19.00 12.88  
  (by GIRVIN out of SILVER TO GOLD by ZENSATIONAL)
5  GOLD TICKET 3 3 79¼ 713   713½ 717¼ (peitz dan )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 30.74  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of NO JOKE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  ALL I WANT IS YOU               (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 3.50    
  (by THE FACTOR out of CANDY SIOUX by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  BOPPY               (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 2.00    
  (by BLAME out of DARING DANCER by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  CANDY BAR               (calhoun w)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SUGAR BABE by QUIET AMERICAN)
SCR  CRIMALDI               (foley greg)LANERIE J 124 15.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of JOSAKA by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  MIRUS               (catalano wayn)GILLIGAN JACK 118 15.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of FARRELL by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  MY LILY MAE               (kinmon keith)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 3.50    
  (by SKY MESA out of ABSOLUTELY CINDY by ARCH)
SCR  SCATLIE               (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CANA by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.