Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Ellis Park
Thursday - June 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-2   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
ELP-3   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-4   Win (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-5   Win (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-6   Win (8/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-7   Win (3/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-8   Win (6/5/9/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-9   Win (12/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ELP-1   06/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THANKS FRANK         (von donni)GARCIA MARTIN 119 5.00    
2  MARKET STREET         (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 5.00 5% 17.70    
3  MAGICAL MONARCH         (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 2.50 41% 1.40    
4  OZONE         (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 17% 4.90    
5  CAN GROUP         (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50    
6  GOTTANEEDFORSPEED         (mccarthy michael)CHUAN MARTIN 119 4.00    
 
ELP-2   06/29/2023 5940ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PADDINGTON May27         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  CROSSING May26 May11 Mar12 Jan27 Jan01 (lauer michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 5.00    
3  GO CATS Apr22 Mar11       (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 41% 1.50    
4  LUNA VIEJA Jun02 Apr14 Jan28 Dec31   (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.50    
SCR  FIGHT'N READY Jun02 Apr14 Feb18 Jan21 Dec08 (stewart dallas)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50    
6  SANT' ANTIMO         (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 118 10.00    
 
ELP-3   06/29/2023 6600ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SRI LANKA May29 Jan29 Dec11     (walsh brendan )GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.60 69% 0.50    
2  PRETTY PROVOCATIVE May29 Jan22       (molloy thomas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 20.00    
SCR  FRACING ALLSTAR Feb15         (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
4  DIXIE SUPREME May29 May18 Mar09     (murphy cono)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
5  SPUN OATS Jun08 May22 Mar24 Mar10 Feb12 (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SOUTHAMPTON DOCK Jun08 Dec03 Oct04 Sep10   (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 111 6.00 8% 11.50    
SCR  DOWHATEVERITTAKES Mar31         (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
SCR  OKAY FINE May13 Apr19 Feb12 Jan05 Nov26 (lynch brian )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50    
9  ROBIN SAGE May24 May03 Apr07 Feb22 Jan13 (medina robert)PETERSON FERRIN 118 10.00    
 
ELP-4   06/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIDER'S SPECIAL Jun10 May21 Apr29 Apr01 Jun04 (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00    
2  CONSTITUTIONAL LAW May28 Feb21 Dec23 Dec04 Oct20 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 5.00 32% 2.10    
3  GOOD HEART Jun15 Apr28 Mar04 Nov26 Oct08 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.60 41% 1.50    
4  SUPREMELY Jun10 May19 Apr21 Mar22 Feb11 (foley greg)LANERIE J 123 3.50    
5  MISSIN CURFEW Apr28 Apr07 Mar12 Jan15 Jun26 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  VALE May21 Mar18 Feb12 Jan13 Nov23 (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 123 12.00    
 
ELP-5   06/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDASWELLRUN Jun10 May19 Nov19 Oct19 Sep01 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 123 6.00    
2  AMANI'S EAGLE May26 May12 Apr13 Nov12 Oct22 (barkley jason)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 8.00    
3  APPEAL DENIED May21 Apr21 Feb12 Nov25 Nov04 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.00    
4  LEAGUE OF LEGENDS Apr28 Apr16 Apr02 Mar19 Feb18 (fires h)COURT K 123 6.00 8% 11.00    
5  EMPERADOR Jun04 Jan06 Oct14 Jan22   (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 125 3.00 32% 2.10    
6  RAM Jun01 May13 Apr16 Mar31 Mar17 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
ELP-6   06/29/2023 7920ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MONJID May19 Apr27 Mar01 Jan22 Nov30 (mckeever andre)GEROUX FLORENT 124 10.00    
2  ALWAYS ABOVE May13 Apr19 Nov04 Oct09 Sep05 (nihei michel)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 10.00 7% 13.40    
3  IDRATHERBEBLESSED Jun11 May28 Apr26 Mar12 Jan29 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00    
4  O CAPTAIN May11 Apr01 Mar04 May07 Apr02 (delgado gus)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  FOWLER BLUE May13 Mar25 Jul09 May30 May08 (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 124 20.00    
SCR  TRENDING May13 Mar30 Mar05 Jun30 Jun03 (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.50    
7  EL AHIJADO May20 Apr19 Mar30 Mar04 Dec30 (guerrero sal)NAVAS YOEL 117 30.00    
8  JARREAU May13 Apr12 Sep05 Jul27 Jun18 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 67% 0.50    
SCR  KING CURLIN May28 Apr27 Mar25 Dec31 Dec03 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 124 10.00    
SCR  MOUNT RUNDLE May20 Apr19 Mar10 Oct26 Sep05 (nihei mich)RODRIGUEZ A 119 2.50    
SCR  MOON CAT May17 Apr21 Mar11 Feb04 Jan07 (davis christop)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00    
 
ELP-7   06/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET POCKET Jun02 Apr29 Mar24 Feb01 Nov19 (peitz c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00    
2  WHAT'S UP DOC Jun18 Jun04 Jul16 Jun17   (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 126 2.50 34% 2.00    
3  DEPUTY CONNECT Mar02 Jan27 May03 Mar13 Feb12 (cox h)SANTANA JR 124 2.00 42% 1.40    
4  CAN'T HUSH THIS Jun10 Jan08 Dec11 Nov23 Oct27 (morse l)CHUAN MARTIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  I RUN May26         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  JUDO May20 Apr16 Mar09 Jan14 Sep16 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50    
7  DUAL MONARCHY May14 Apr08 Mar04 Feb02 Jan05 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50    
 
ELP-8   06/29/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSTANG LADY May12 Apr07 Jan12 Nov27 Oct07 (newton troy)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
2  SHOPLIFTER May29 Apr16 Feb25 Nov04 Sep17 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 8.00    
3  EMBRACE ME May29 Apr14 Feb10 Dec22 Nov19 (catalano wayne)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00    
4  MAGIC BUBBLES Jun02 Apr29 Apr07 Mar17 Feb24 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  SHE'S LOOKIN LUCKY Jun02 Apr01 Mar05 Feb09 Dec31 (shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 24% 3.10    
6  PEAK POPULARITY Apr29 Mar26 Aug21     (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 28% 2.60    
7  DEMI May12 Feb11 Jan20 Dec17 Nov19 (stuart shea)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
8  UNSTABLE PRINCESS May12 Apr22 Apr07 Mar17 Feb24 (santamaria carlos)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  BRU NA BOINNE Mar25 Feb17 Jan28 Dec23 Nov26 (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 15% 5.70    
10  NOMADIC PRIDE May29 Mar25 Feb24 Dec01 Oct30 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
11  TITUBA Apr28 Mar12 Jan29 Nov24   (pletcher t)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
12  DESERT TEMPEST Jun02 Apr27 Mar18 Feb05 Oct15 (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
SCR  STELLAR LADY Jun06 May05 Mar25 Mar05 Feb04 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
 
ELP-9   06/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIRUS Jun03 May20 Aug07     (catalano wayne )GILLIGAN JACK 118 15.00    
2  SHESASMALLTOWNGIRL Jun02 May13 Apr21 Mar11 Feb11 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00    
SCR  CRIMALDI May14 Mar16 Feb16 Nov18   (foley greg)LANERIE J 124 15.00    
4  PROUD MARY         (thomas jonatha)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  GOLD TICKET Apr22 Mar11       (peitz c)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00    
SCR  MY LILY MAE May24 Mar31 Mar11 Aug14 Jul29 (kinmon keith)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 3.50    
7  SWEET CURALINA Mar12 Feb12 Jan21 Nov25   (wilkes ian )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  STEEL RACER Jun11 Sep29       (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  RUBY TAP May20         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
SCR  BOPPY May29 Mar25       (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 2.00    
SCR  SCATLIE Jun02         (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00    
12  ANNA'S ARABESQUE Jun02 May03 Mar08     (bauer a)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.40 73% 0.40    
SCR  ALL I WANT IS YOU Apr23         (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 3.50    
SCR  CANDY BAR         (calhoun wil)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.