Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Wednesday - July 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-2   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $13.40 $7.40 123%
    DD (3/1/4)-(4/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-3 $18.00 $9.00 100%
SAR-3   TRI (7/9/10/8/6)-(7/9/10/8/6)-(7/9/10/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00  7-9-6 $96.62 $66.62 222%
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(4/3/7)-(7/9/10/8/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00  1-3-7 $47.75 $2.75 6%
SAR-5   WIN (1/9/12/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  12 $21.00 $11.00 110%
    EXA (1/9/12/4/5)-(1/9/12/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  12-1 $39.00 $19.00 95%
    TRI (1/9/12/4/5)-(1/9/12/4/5)-(1/9/12/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00  12-1-9 $53.12 $23.12 77%
    DD (1/2)-(1/9/12/4/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00  1-12 $16.40 $6.40 64%
SAR-6   DD (1/9/12/4/5)-(7/1/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  12-1 $36.00 $16.00 80%
    PK5 (4/3/7)-(7/9/10/8/6)-(1/2)-(1/9/12/4/5)-(7/1/6/4) 600 $0.50 $300  3-1/7/12/13-1-12-1 $336.50 $36.50 12%
SAR-9   EXA (1/7/4/11/9)-(1/7/4/11/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-11 $40.50 $20.50 103%
    TRI (1/7/4/11/9)-(1/7/4/11/9)-(1/7/4/11/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-11-1 $82.87 $52.87 176%
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   07/26/2023 10890ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
3:472         3:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  L'IMPERATOR (FR) 6 517½ 518 411½ 310½ 11½ 18¾ (kingsley a)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 156 2.00 23% 3.30 1.60 W
6  BEAT LE BON (FR) 5 115 115 110 19 21½ 28¾ (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 156 4.00 2.30  
3  HOFFMAN (IRE) 2 215 215 210 29 311½ 322½ (young f)DUNNE ROBERT 150 1.80 45% 1.20 2.75 S
1  MODUS OPERANDI (IRE) 4 618 418 515½ 520½ 428½ 445¼ (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 152 2.00 ★ 1.60  
4  MR. CONNECTICUT 3 316 316 311 412½ 536½ 577¾ (hendriks r)BESWICK HARRISON 156 10.00 5% 17.30 6.50  
2  SALVINO (IRE) 1 417½ 6100 6100 6100 6100 6100 (neville patrick)FOLEY BARRY 152 8.00 7.90  
SCR  GOLD (FR)               (fout dougl)DALTON BERNARD 152 12.00    
SCR  TOP BRASS (GB)               (young leslie)MCGIVERN COREY 152 8.00    
 
SAR-2   07/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:104     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LAFITTE'S FLEET 2 6 43 42½   3½ 13¾ (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 22% 3.60 5.70 W
2  RAM 1 5 21½ 2nk   2nk 23¾ (lukas wayne)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 15.80  
5  JAKE ROCKS 4 2 11½ 1nk   1nk 33¾ (schettino dominic)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00 3.95  
7  FLINT RIDGE 6 3 31½ 3½   41 49½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00 20% 4.10 1.35  
6  BEAVER HAT 5 4 63¾ 63¼   59 525¾ (barkley )SANTANA JR 118 15.00 27.00  
4  SILK TRADE 3 1 53¼ 52¾   614 648 (diodoro rober)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 27% 2.70 2.00  
SCR  LASTCHANCEATGLORY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 1.60    
 
SAR-3   07/26/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 2:19
See original race card.
:22 :451 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GRAM 6 4 53 42½   2½ 1¾ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00 40% 1.50 0.85 W
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of VINDICTIVE WAYS by BROKEN VOW)
9  HEAVENLY GIRL 8 2 41½ 52½   1½ 2¾ (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 30% 2.40 7.60 P
  (by WAR DANCER out of BRAZO DE ORO by FIRST DUDE)
6  BAREFOOT DISCO 5 5 77½ 79   64 33½ (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00 41.00 S
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of SHOELESS ANGEL by WILDCAT SHOES)
5  FOLLOW YOUR ARROW 4 1 1½ 1½   31 45¼ (summers ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 7.70  
  (by BAL A BALI out of COYOTE PRETTY by UNION RAGS)
4  BEING BETTY 3 10 912 912½   85 56¼ (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 10.90  
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of LADY JOAN by COURAGEOUS CAT)
3  MEL'S ANGEL 2 7 64 63½   53 67¼ (giddings)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 37.25  
  (by LEOFRIC out of ANGEL WAVE by MALIBU MOON)
10  INCA MUMMY 9 3 2½ 31   74 710 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 8% 11.20 4.30  
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of HONOR MAMA by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
11  NEEDED 10 8 3½ 2½   41½ 811¾ (morley thom)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 29.50  
  (by BRETHREN out of NECESSARY by STROLL)
8  SARATOGA SMOKESHOW 7 9 88 810   99 911¾ (martin carl)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 5% 19.00 36.50  
  (by DESTIN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  LOVE THYSELF 1 6 10100 10100   10100 10100 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 21.00  
  (by SOLOMINI out of MISS NARCISSIST by FREUD)
SCR  BEAUTIFUL THIEF               (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of COURAGEOUS ANGEL by CAPTAIN COURAGEOUS (IRE))
SCR  DORTH'S SOL DANCER               (ferraro anth)COA J 119 15.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of SECRET CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  MASTERY'S SECRET               (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 119 20.00    
  (by MASTERY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
SAR-4   07/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC13 FAST Honorable Miss Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:22 :442 :561     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ECHO ZULU 1 2 1½ 1½   15 17¼ (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 123 0.80 50% 1.00 0.40 W
  (by GUN RUNNER out of LETGOMYECHO by MENIFEE)
4  DR B 4 1 33½ 35   36½ 27¼ (reid e)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 8.50  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BOLEYN by PROUD CITIZEN)
2  FRANK'S ROCKETTE 2 3 2½ 2½   25 39¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 1.60 19% 4.20 3.40 S
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ROCKET TWENTYONE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  MARYQUITECONTRARY 3 4 45 48   411½ 411¾ (mcgaughey claud)PANICI LUCA 122 4.50 5.20  
  (by FIRST DUDE out of MARY KATE 'N KELLY by MECKE)
 
SAR-5   07/26/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:122 1:354   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  RELATE 10 1 11½ 1½ 12 12 11¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00 11% 8.30 9.50 W
1  QUALITY G 1 3 21½ 51¾ 32 22 21¾ (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 36% 1.70 3.65 P
9  ST. JOE LOUIS (GB) 8 2 42 41½ 53¼ 34 33½ (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.00 32% 2.20 2.90 S
10  BILLY'S GOT ISSUES 9 8 97¼ 96¼ 96½ 66½ 44 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 6.30  
4  ENDOWED 3 7 84¾ 73¾ 64¾ 45½ 55 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 12.00 5% 19.00 16.50  
2  DON'T LET ME DOWN 2 4 63¼ 62¼ 74¾ 55½ 68¼ (englehart ch)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 23.90  
6  ADDICTED TO YOU 5 6 74¼ 84¼ 86¼ 76¾ 78¾ (sciacca gary)CARMOUCHE K 125 20.00 47.75  
5  MAMA BANNED ME 4 10 107¼ 107¼ 108½ 87¾ 810¼ (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 120 30.00 5% 19.00 46.50  
8  MOON WATCH (IRE) 7 9 53 31½ 43 98¼ 921¾ (thomas jonatha)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 2.40  
7  LIL BRO COOP 6 5 31½ 2½ 22 108¾ 1026¾ (camejo m)ORTIZ JR 125 5.00 15.20  
SCR  I RUN               (sharp joe)RIDER TBA 120 8.00    
SCR  MORNING CUP               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.00    
SCR  STJAMES               (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 125 20.00    
SCR  WATASHA               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
 
SAR-6   07/26/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:14 1:40   1:541   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICHIBAN 1 3 31½ 42 42½ 34 1nk (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 29% 2.50 1.10 W
2  APRIL ANTICS 2 4 52½ 31 3½ 13½ 2nk (kantarmaci mer)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00 15.70  
7  ATHENA BEACH 7 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 23½ 33¾ (synnefias d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50 36% 1.80 3.70 S
3  DUCKPHAT 3 6 76 712 713 66½ 44 (winney m)SANTANA JR 125 20.00 35.25  
4  SHESASCOLDASICE 4 5 63½ 64 65 56 57¼ (ferraro anth)COA J 125 10.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
6  DANSEUR D'ORO 6 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 46 612¾ (morey willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50 12% 7.60 11.80  
5  BIG HAZEL 5 7 42 52½ 53 710 715¼ (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 2.65  
 
SAR-7   07/26/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:214 :441 :553     1:013   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  OUR SHOT 2 4 2½ 21   1nk 1nk (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 126 3.50 31% 2.20 2.10 W
8  ARREST ME RED 8 1 31½ 31   2nk 2nk (ward a)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 25% 3.00 2.50 P
1  BRING ME A CHECK 1 6 42 52   51¼ 3.15 (abreu fern)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 12.00 24.50  
9  OUTLAW KID 9 3 52½ 41½   4¼ 41½ (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 124 4.00 3.00  
5  THIN WHITE DUKE 5 5 64 63   62¼ 51½ (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 8.50  
7  COPPOLA 7 2 1½ 11   3.2 61½ (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00 5% 19.00 14.00  
3  ARZAK 3 9 98½ 97¼   73¾ 72½ (trombetta mich)ORTIZ L 122 12.00 22% 3.60 13.90  
6  CHEWING GUM 6 7 87 86¼   84¾ 85 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 24.50  
4  MAXWELL ESQUIRE 4 8 77 76   95¼ 97¾ (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 122 15.00 5% 19.00 46.50  
SCR  DOT'S DOLLAR               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 1.80    
SCR  PROVOCATEUR               (mott i)RIDER TBA 122 3.00    
 
SAR-8   07/26/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:14 1:39   1:523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  AMANDA'S FOLLY 1 2 11 1½ 1½ 1½ 1¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 1.80 0.85  
5  SWEET MYSTERY 4 4 32½ 31 2½ 2½ 2¼ (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.50 47% 1.10 2.25 P
4  OK HONEY 3 3 43 41½ 44½ 46½ 36½ (chic)HUAYAS (JASON) 117 8.00 15.70  
3  EROS'S GIRL 2 1 21 2½ 3½ 35½ 46½ (ferraro anth)COA J 122 8.00 8% 11.80 9.40  
6  B B'S BUSTED 5 5 54 52½ 55 57 58 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 126 4.00 19% 4.30 4.10  
SCR  AMITY ISLAND               (goberdhan chan)BROWN DALTON 122 20.00    
SCR  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE               (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00    
 
SAR-9   07/26/2023 7260ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:244 :503 1:171 1:411 2:05 2:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SIEMPRE ELEGANTE 3 74¾ 85 94½ 94 31½ 11½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 125 5.00 13% 6.50 3.00 W
11  ANATOLIAN 10 42 42½ 32 41½ 1nk 21½ (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 9% 10.80 11.90 P
1  AVENUE NIEL (IRE) 4 95¼ 95¼ 52½ 2nk 2nk 34 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 125 2.50 31% 2.30 3.95 S
3  RHOMBIQUE 2 53½ 54 84 62½ 52½ 44½ (ribaudo rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00 16.00  
7  ELLE EST FORTE 7 84¾ 74½ 73½ 73 62¾ 56½ (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.00 14% 6.00 4.50  
5  EMBRACE ME 5 106¾ 107¼ 105 106 94 67½ (albertrani t)CASTELLANO J 120 20.00 33.50  
9  SISTER BRIDGET (IRE) 8 11 11 11 1nk 42 79½ (johnson cle)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00 7% 12.90 12.90  
2  OUT OF SIGHT 1 32 32 42 52 83¾ 810 (donk david)LEZCANO JOSE 125 12.00 22.20  
6  SUCH SOUNDS 6 63¾ 64 63 83½ 108½ 911 (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 125 6.00 6.50  
10  I'M SO SORRY 9 21 21 21 3½ 73¾ 1012 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 6.00 5.70  
SCR  LULLABY LAND               (abrams jack)DAVIS DYLAN 123 15.00    
SCR  OLKOVSKHA (FR)               (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50    
SCR  PEAK POPULARITY               (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.20    
 
SAR-10   07/26/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:104 1:353   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDIAN MISCHIEF 10 1 2½ 2nk 2nk 11 11½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5.10  
6  HE'S A LUCKY GUY 5 6 43 46 43 31 21½ (brion keri)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 20.70 P
3  VINCE THE PRINCE 2 7 1½ 1nk 1nk 21 33 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 ★ 4.10 S
8  CONQUIST 7 5 32½ 32 31½ 43½ 43¼ (kimmel c)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.50 28% 2.60 3.30  
4  ENGLISH STORM 3 11 88½ 813¼ 88¼ 75¾ 53¼ (giangiulio mi)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00 21.90  
11  YOUR MISSION 11 8 76½ 68 66½ 65¼ 63¾ (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.00 48% 1.10 3.55  
5  AULA 4 4 66 78¼ 76¾ 55 75¾ (clement chri)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 21.00  
12  WAFLR 12 2 1011 1016¾ 109¾ 87¾ 86¼ (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00 11.10  
10  SHARP PLAY BOY 9 3 54 56½ 55½ 99¾ 912¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 48.75  
2  DRUID 1 12 98½ 913¾ 99¼ 1012¾ 1014 (goodwin ga)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 117 30.00 68.25  
9  WAYWARD GHOST 8 10 1219½ 1126¾ 1124¾ 1137¾ 1152 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 8.90  
7  CONTROL ALT DELETE 6 9 1118 1227¼ 1226¾ 1240¾ 1255¾ (englehart je)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 30.25  
SCR  IN MY SHADOW               (fisher linda)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 20.00    
SCR  STRATEGYFORYOU               (summers chad)CARMOUCHE K 124 15.00    
SCR  UNCLE MARTY               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 118 8.00    
SCR  ZAPRUDER               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.