Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Finger Lakes
Wednesday - July 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $9.30 $3.30 55%
FL-2   DD (5/6/4)-(3/6/1/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-7 $35.20 $11.20 47%
FL-3   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $26.80 $20.80 347%
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-6 $151.50 $139.50 1163%
    DD (3/6/1/7)-(2/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-2 $96.00 $72.00 300%
FL-4   WIN (3/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $9.30 $1.30 16%
    EXA (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-4 $36.20 $12.20 51%
    TRI (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-4-3 $41.25 $29.25 244%
    DD (2/6/3)-(3/4/2/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-7 $183.50 $159.50 665%
    PK3 (3/6/1/7)-(2/6/3)-(3/4/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00  7-2-7 $259.00 $235.00 979%
    PK4 (5/6/4)-(3/6/1/7)-(2/6/3)-(3/4/2/7) 144 $0.50 $72.00  6-7-2-7 $1363 $1291 1794%
FL-5   WIN (3/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $9.40 $1.40 18%
    DD (3/4/2/7)-(3/1/5/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00  7-3 $48.40 $16.40 51%
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(3/4/2/7)-(3/1/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00  2-7-3 $266.25 $242.25 1009%
FL-6   EXA (5/1/4/8)-(5/1/4/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-4 $72.50 $48.50 202%
    TRI (5/1/4/8)-(5/1/4/8)-(5/1/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-4-1 $42.00 $30.00 250%
    DD (3/1/5/6)-(5/1/4/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00  3-5 $40.80 $8.80 28%
    PK3 (3/4/2/7)-(3/1/5/6)-(5/1/4/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00  7-3-5 $50.12 $18.12 57%
FL-7   WIN (7/4/5/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $13.60 $3.60 36%
    DD (5/1/4/8)-(7/4/5/9/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00  5-5 $85.00 $45.00 113%
FL-8   WIN (2/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $13.60 $5.60 70%
    DD (7/4/5/9/6)-(2/6/8/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00  5-6 $168.00 $128.00 320%
    PK6 (2/6/3)-(3/4/2/7)-(3/1/5/6)-(5/1/4/8)-(7/4/5/9/6)-(2/6/8/3) 3840 $1.00 $3840  2-7-3-5-5-6 $6564 $2724 71%
FL-9   EXA (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-1 $27.40 $3.40 14%
    TRI (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-1-2 $24.37 $12.37 103%
    DD (2/6/8/3)-(6/2/1/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00  6-6 $73.00 $41.00 128%
    PK3 (7/4/5/9/6)-(2/6/8/3)-(6/2/1/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00  5-6-6 $203.75 $163.75 409%
    PK4 (5/1/4/8)-(7/4/5/9/6)-(2/6/8/3)-(6/2/1/5) 320 $0.50 $160  5-5-6-6 $663.25 $503.25 315%
    PK5 (3/1/5/6)-(5/1/4/8)-(7/4/5/9/6)-(2/6/8/3)-(6/2/1/5) 1280 $0.50 $640  3-5-5-6-6 $4376 $3736 584%

Simulator Race results

 
FL-1   07/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSING FORTUNE 6 2 21 1½   13 17 (saul dana)COA J 122 3.00 18% 4.70 3.65 W
SHESAWILDJOKER 3 3 42 42   35 27 (bartlett)DAVIS A 122 3.50 2.50  
THIN LEGS 4 1 11 2½   23 37 (acq)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00 16% 5.20 12.20 S
PRINCESS SONYA 5 6 5 3   4 410 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 2.50 35% 1.90 1.10  
LOCKBOX 2 4 32 53   5 512¾ (d'alessandr)PAREDES JHOVANY 111 4.00 5.40  
SWEET INVASION 1 5 6 66   610 614½ (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 122 6.00 52.75  
 
FL-2   07/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:221 :46 :59     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE EMPRESS 7 6 5 43   2nk 1 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 3.00 7% 14.40 2.10 W
FLATTERY'S MUSIC 4 3 33 32   3.2 2 (sabine t)GOMEZ O 122 10.00 33.00  
MONGOLIAN PANTHER 3 7 7 5   4 3 (jac)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.50 30% 2.40 1.50 S
QUEENS DANCER 1 4 2nk 1½   1nk 4 (dixon li)DAVIS A 122 5.00 12% 7.10 3.35  
LEFT LEANING LUCY 5 5 6 6   6 5 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 3.50 12.40  
A MAIZE ZING DOTIE 2 2 1nk 2½   5 610½ (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 5.00 23.90  
BUSTED CREDIT 6 1 4 7   7 710¾ (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00 20% 3.90 6.40  
 
FL-3   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:22 :444 :573     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETA 2 2 5 4   33 1¼ (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 2.00 28% 2.60 12.40 W
FLYING EMPEROR 6 1 4¾ 2½   23 2¼ (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 124 5.00 27% 2.70 2.90 P
DISCO DEANO 1 5 1½ 1½   13 3¾ (ferraro anth)COA J 124 3.00 10.60  
LADY'S GOLDEN GUY 3 3 3½ 5   44 4 (breed a)GOMEZ O 121 4.50 13% 6.80 1.60  
DR BLARNEY 4 6 6 6   66 5 (grusmark)DAVIS A 124 4.00 5.00  
CHATEAU 5 4 2½ 31   5 6 (jac)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 6.00 2.90  
 
FL-4   07/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:252 :504 1:151 1:412   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACOBA 7 4 5 2nk 1nk 1 19 (pettine jam)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 10.00 5% 19.00 3.65 W
EIGHT WEEKS LONG 3 6 3 5 4 2 29 (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 115 2.50 13% 6.90 2.35 P
TRISAETUM 2 3 21 4¼ 5 48 39 (acquila)NAVARRO J 122 4.00 59% 0.70 7.10 S
TAKE THE EDGE 6 1 4 72 66 6 4 (babcock edwa)BARBOSA CARLOS 112 8.00 8.30  
MO DANCIN 1 2 11 1nk 2nk 36 511 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 122 5.00 7% 12.90 4.40  
BENCH WALK 5 5 6 3.2 32 5 611¼ (huertas )DAVIS A 122 4.50 3.55  
1A  STORM ALFEET 8 8 89 86 813 817½ 718½ (huertas nir)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 4.50 3.55  
ROBIN'S EMPIRE 4 7 74 6 79 716½ 825½ (smith troy)COA J 124 3.50 12.00  
 
FL-5   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
See original race card.
:224 :46 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GONE AND FORGOTTEN 2 1 3 3   3½ 1¾ (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 1.20 28% 2.50 3.70 W
TIMED OUT 1 6 12 1½   2nk 2¾ (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00 11.70  
EROS'S GIRL 4 5 53 54   5 3 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 3.50 15% 5.50 1.50  
1A  QUEEN ARELLA 7 2 22 2½   1nk 4 (ferraro )DAVIS A 124 3.50 1.50  
NO CHALK 5 3 4 42   4 5 (iorio jr)GOMEZ O 124 4.00 15% 5.70 1.30  
LANFRANKOPHILE 6 4 6 6   6 65 (luc)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 10.00 12% 7.20 17.50  
TIVOLI GARDENS 3 7 7 7   711½ 710¾ (ferraro mich)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 5.00 19.30  
 
FL-6   07/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:143     1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNSHINE GIRL 5 1 21 2½ 21 1½ 1 (ficarella bro)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 2.00 43% 1.30 2.60 W
T'S DOUBLE TROUBLE 4 3 42 3 34 3 2 (falk jacquel)HARKIE K 124 8.00 14% 6.10 16.70 P
DON'T ANNOY ME 1 2 11 1½ 11 2½ 3 (dun)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 5.00 20% 4.10 0.50 S
ALARRA 3 4 5 4 46 4 410½ (clarke dylan)FRET STEVEN 124 3.50 7.50  
MY LITTLE ONE 7 5 32 5 518 522½ 531 (babcock ed)DE EMANUEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00 63.00  
WOWSPELLEDBACKWARD 6 6 7 711½ 723½ 731½ 641½ (lopez rober)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 20.00 79.25  
DO WAR DIDDY DIDDY 2 7 6 6 618½ 630½ 752¼ (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 3.00 9.80  
SCR  BARBARA'S SPIRIT               (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 113 10.00    
 
FL-7   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
See original race card.
:224 :46 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIERY HEART 5 7 6 44   4 13 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 10.00 8% 12.00 5.80 W
NUMBER ONE DILLON 1 3 31 1nk   1 23 (huertas )DAVIS A 120 4.00 3.05  
CONFORMIST 4 1 21 3½   3 33 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 3.00 27% 2.70 2.00 S
FORWARD MOTION 8 2 11 2nk   2 44 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 5.00 6.80  
OLD MAN WINTER 7 4 5 57   5 5 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 120 3.50 37% 1.70 3.10  
MIAMI CHROME 6 6 42 68   7 611¼ (loaiza )NAVARRO J 124 10.00 5% 19.00 29.00  
BLUES CITY 3 5 75 7   6 712 (dominguez car)DAVILA A 120 20.00 73.25  
O K GAME ON 9 8 914 916¼   812¼ 813¾ (huertas nir)PAREDES JHOVANY 110 8.00 5% 19.00 30.50  
PREPARE FOR GLORY 2 9 89 814¼   913¼ 915¾ (lec)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 15.00 18.60  
 
FL-8   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE MADDY BROWN 5 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 1 (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 122 15.00 5% 19.00 5.80 W
BREAKING STONES 4 5 63 41   2nk 2 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 4.00 3.25  
N Y ANTHEM 1 7 2½ 3½   3 3 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 3.00 66% 0.50 1.10 S
QUICKFLASH 2 6 7 74   5 4 (sells ra)DAVIS A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 8.70  
THE INSTITUTE 3 3 3½ 2nk   4 5 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 5.00 3.85  
VICTORY BUILT 7 4 4 6   6 610 (englehart jef)IORIO MELISSA 115 8.00 5% 19.00 21.50  
TOMMY THE TORCH 6 2 52 53   7 712 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 122 12.00 44.50  
SCR  HORN OF PLENTY               (jac)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.50    
 
FL-9   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:07
See original race card.
:222 :462       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBLE JOURNEY 6 1 2 22   1nk 1¼ (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 2.50 42% 1.40 3.15 W
NORTH COAST (IRE) 1 4 3 3   2nk 2¼ (ferraro anth)COA J 124 5.00 8% 11.40 1.00 P
CLINGMAN 2 8 814 710   5 3 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00 28% 2.50 7.50 S
HOT ROD LINCOLN 7 3 56 4   33 4 (huertas )DAVIS A 116 10.00 13.60  
SEATIGER 3 6 68 68   45 5 (grabowski jo)HARKIE K 124 12.00 28.75  
RED FORTRESS 4 7 713 811   6 67 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 3.50 12.10  
COACH P 5 5 44 5   813½ 725 (torelli stacy)ALVARADO R 124 8.00 5% 19.00 15.60  
GONNA BE DANCING 8 2 1 12   710½ 828½ (breed jr)GOMEZ O 124 6.00 6.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.