Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Wednesday - July 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(3/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-2   WIN (3/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/1/7)-(2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/7)-(2/6/3)-(3/4/2/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-3   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(3/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(3/4/2/7)-(3/1/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-4   WIN (3/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/7)-(3/1/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/7)-(3/1/5/6)-(5/1/4/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
FL-5   WIN (3/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/6)-(1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/5/6)-(5/1/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-6   WIN (5/1/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/8)-(5/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/8)-(5/1/4/8)-(5/1/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/4/8)-(7/4/5/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-7   WIN (7/4/5/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/9/6)-(7/4/5/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/9/6)-(7/4/5/9/6)-(7/4/5/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/4/5/9/6)-(2/6/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/9/6)-(2/6/8/3)-(6/2/1/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
FL-8   WIN (2/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/8/3)-(2/6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/8/3)-(2/6/8/3)-(2/6/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/8/3)-(6/2/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-9   WIN (6/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   07/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET INVASION Nov02 Oct05 Sep12 Aug24 Aug03 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 122 6.00    
2  LOCKBOX Jul04 Jun21 May22 May08 Apr24 (d'alessandr)PAREDES JHOVANY 111 4.00    
3  SHESAWILDJOKER Jun21 May31 Nov02 Oct10 Sep16 (bartlett)DAVIS A 122 3.50    
4  THIN LEGS May17 Apr25 Oct31 Feb25 Jan22 (acq)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
5  PRINCESS SONYA Jun06 May22 Apr30 Mar12 Dec29 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
6  MISSING FORTUNE Jun21 May31 Sep14 Aug23 Jul25 (saul dana)COA J 122 3.00 18% 4.70    
 
FL-2   07/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEENS DANCER May29 May09 Nov02 Oct03 Sep19 (dixon li)DAVIS A 122 5.00 12% 7.10    
2  A MAIZE ZING DOTIE Jun19 May09 Apr25 Dec11 Nov19 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 5.00    
3  MONGOLIAN PANTHER May06 Apr02 Mar18 Feb17 Nov27 (jac)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.50 30% 2.40    
4  FLATTERY'S MUSIC Jun13 May22 May08 Apr25 Nov23 (sabine t)GOMEZ O 122 10.00    
5  LEFT LEANING LUCY Jun19 May09 Apr13 Mar24 Mar05 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 3.50    
6  BUSTED CREDIT Oct10 Aug29 Aug15 Jul06 May30 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00 20% 3.90    
7  TRUE EMPRESS Jun27 May20 Apr28 Mar31 Feb20 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 3.00 7% 14.40    
 
FL-3   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISCO DEANO May29 Oct10 Sep20 Aug24 Aug08 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 3.00    
2  BETA Jun26 Jun13 Nov16 Oct24 Jun28 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
3  LADY'S GOLDEN GUY Jun26 May29 Apr24 Nov07 Oct10 (breed a)GOMEZ O 121 4.50 13% 6.80    
4  DR BLARNEY Jun19 May15 Apr24 Nov25 Nov07 (grusmark)DAVIS A 124 4.00    
5  CHATEAU Jul02 May04 Apr23 Apr13 Mar04 (jac)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 6.00    
6  FLYING EMPEROR Jun13 May29 May15 Sep20 Sep06 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
 
FL-4   07/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BENCH WALK Jun28 Jun12 May17 May02 Nov14 (huertas )DAVIS A 122 4.50    
1A  STORM ALFEET Jun20 May17 May02 Oct31 Oct20 (huertas nir)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 4.50    
2  MO DANCIN Jun20 May24 May15 Nov14 Nov01 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 122 5.00 7% 12.90    
3  TRISAETUM Jun20 May24 Nov21 Nov01 Oct18 (acquila)NAVARRO J 122 4.00 59% 0.70    
4  EIGHT WEEKS LONG Apr22 Mar31 Mar17 Feb19 Jan29 (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 115 2.50 13% 6.90    
5  ROBIN'S EMPIRE May31 May09 Apr10 Mar05 Feb20 (smith troy)COA J 124 3.50    
6  TAKE THE EDGE Jun26 Jun13 May24 Nov14 Oct25 (babcock edwa)BARBOSA CARLOS 112 8.00    
7  JACOBA Jun28 Jun14 May30 May17 Nov14 (pettine jam)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-5   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EROS'S GIRL May30 Nov15 Oct19 Sep19 Aug18 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 3.50 15% 5.50    
1A  QUEEN ARELLA Jun26 Sep20 Jul22 May09   (ferraro )DAVIS A 124 3.50 ★    
2  TIMED OUT Jun14 May31 May22 Apr25 Apr14 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00    
3  GONE AND FORGOTTEN Jun14 Nov08 Oct30 Oct03 Aug15 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 1.20 28% 2.50    
4  TIVOLI GARDENS Nov21 Nov07 Sep26 Aug09   (ferraro michael)DIAZ J 115 5.00    
5  NO CHALK Jun14 May22 May09 Mar15 Sep02 (iorio jr)GOMEZ O 124 4.00 15% 5.70    
6  LANFRANKOPHILE May18 May06 Apr03 Mar01 Feb08 (luc)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 10.00 12% 7.20    
 
FL-6   07/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T ANNOY ME Jun09 May24 Apr20 Mar01 Jan27 (dun)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 5.00 20% 4.10    
2  DO WAR DIDDY DIDDY Jun26 May30       (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 3.00    
3  ALARRA Jun27 Jun14 May17 Apr25 Sep20 (clarke dylan)FRET STEVEN 124 3.50    
4  T'S DOUBLE TROUBLE Jun27 May31 May16 May02 Oct11 (falk jacquel)HARKIE K 124 8.00 14% 6.10    
5  SUNSHINE GIRL Jul04 Jun26 May29 May16 May08 (ficarella bro)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
6  WOWSPELLEDBACKWARD Jun27 Jun14 May30 May17 Apr25 (lopez rober)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 20.00    
SCR  BARBARA'S SPIRIT Jun14 May16       (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 113 10.00    
8  MY LITTLE ONE Jun27 Jun14 May31 May17 Nov15 (babcock ed)DE EMANUEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-7   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NUMBER ONE DILLON Jun19 May30 May17 Apr25 Nov15 (huertas )DAVIS A 120 4.00    
2  PREPARE FOR GLORY Jun26 May30 Nov07 Oct05 Sep06 (lec)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 15.00    
3  BLUES CITY Jun05 May23 May09 Apr25 Nov23 (dominguez car)DAVILA A 120 20.00    
4  CONFORMIST Jul03 Jun14 May23 Nov16 Jun22 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
5  FIERY HEART Jun21 Jun05 Sep14 Aug14 Jul16 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 10.00 8% 12.00    
6  MIAMI CHROME Jun14 Jan12 Jan05 Dec10 Nov28 (loaiza )NAVARRO J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  OLD MAN WINTER May30 Apr25 Nov15 Nov02 Oct18 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 120 3.50 37% 1.70    
8  FORWARD MOTION Jun21 May30 Mar24 Mar12 Feb08 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 5.00    
9  O K GAME ON Jul03 Jun20 Feb02 Jan18 Dec20 (huertas nir)PAREDES JHOVANY 110 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-8   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HORN OF PLENTY May21 May17 May09 Apr24 Apr04 (jac)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.50    
2  N Y ANTHEM Jun05 May15 Nov21 Nov08 Oct17 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 3.00 66% 0.50    
3  QUICKFLASH Jun05 May22 Apr24 Mar25 Mar12 (sells ra)DAVIS A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  THE INSTITUTE Jun19 Dec11 Nov23 Nov02 Oct05 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 5.00    
5  BREAKING STONES Jun20 May17 Apr07 Feb25 Feb02 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 4.00    
6  LITTLE MADDY BROWN Jun20 Oct24 Aug24 Jul26 Jul16 (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  TOMMY THE TORCH Jul03 Jun13 May16 Apr24 Feb17 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 122 12.00    
8  VICTORY BUILT Jun20 May17 Mar11 Feb10 Nov26 (englehart jef)IORIO MELISSA 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-9   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTH COAST (IRE) Jun26 Nov09 Oct17 Sep27 Sep13 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 5.00 8% 11.40    
2  CLINGMAN Jun12 Nov22 Nov08 Oct18 Sep26 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00 28% 2.50    
3  SEATIGER Jun20 Nov21 Oct25 Sep13 Aug30 (grabowski jo)HARKIE K 124 12.00    
4  RED FORTRESS Jun21 Nov23 Nov14 Oct17 Sep27 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 3.50    
5  COACH P Jun28 Aug31 Aug15 Jul13   (torelli stacy)ALVARADO R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  NOBLE JOURNEY Jun12 May16 Nov14 Oct26 Oct18 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
7  HOT ROD LINCOLN Jun20 May12 May06 Apr23 Mar31 (huertas )DAVIS A 116 10.00    
8  GONNA BE DANCING Jun28 May09 Nov09 Sep26 Aug17 (breed jr)GOMEZ O 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.