Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Finger Lakes
Tuesday - July 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-2   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $9.10 $3.10 52%
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-1 $58.50 $46.50 388%
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00  3-1-6 $88.50 $85.50 2850%
    DD (2/5/6)-(3/1/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00  6-3 $20.60 $2.60 14%
FL-3   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $12.20 $6.20 103%
    DD (3/1/6)-(2/6/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-4 $86.00 $68.00 378%
FL-8   EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-6 $33.60 $21.60 180%
FL-9   WIN (1/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $11.40 $3.40 43%
    EXA (1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-1 $52.00 $28.00 117%
    TRI (1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-1-7 $52.50 $40.50 338%
    DD (1/2/6)-(1/2/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-3 $48.80 $24.80 103%
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-1-3 $23.50 $5.50 31%

Simulator Race results

 
FL-1   07/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:23 :471 :594     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REGAL REBEL 5 1 1 1   14 15 (grabowski john)COA J 124 2.50 20% 3.90 0.85 W
MA MI JO DREAMS 4 2 2 2   24 25 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 120 2.00 26% 2.90 2.30 P
SUNSHINE GIRL 2 3 55 4   38 3 (ficarella bro)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 4.50 3.95  
INDE SYMPHONY 1 5 3 3   49 420¼ (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 3.50 32% 2.10 5.30  
PAULIES ANGEL 3 4 4 5   521 529¼ (bond br)NAVARRO J 120 12.00 41.00  
SCR  FRANKIE C               (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 6.00    
 
FL-2   07/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:232 :472 :593     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISAWA 3 5 21 2½   1 1 (chamberlin tina)FRATES D 124 2.50 50% 1.00 3.55 W
SMART STORM 1 3 31 31   2 2 (gutterson ka)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 3.50 26% 2.80 1.90 P
BUMBLE MONSTER 6 6 4 41   4 36 (grusmark karl)IORIO MELISSA 117 5.00 5% 19.00 7.50 S
BRODY'S WAR 2 4 11 1½   3 4 (acquila)NAVARRO J 120 2.00 2.85  
THUNDERING MARCH 4 1 6 54   54 5 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 124 8.00 9.40  
BANCO MEDICI 5 2 5 67   67 612 (sparling wayne )ROHENA JR 124 6.00 4.20  
 
FL-3   07/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:252 :502 1:142 1:411   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REINER 4 2 21 2nk 1nk 1 1½ (ferraro )DAVIS A 120 5.00 5% 19.00 5.10 W
HONORABLE AVENUE 3 1 11 1nk 2nk 2 2½ (tasso mark)CRUZ JOEL 122 2.50 6.30  
FULL MOON FEVER 2 4 32 3 34 3 31 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 122 1.80 40% 1.50 0.35 S
MAKE IT IN NY 1 3 43 4 5 58 4 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 3.50 13.20  
KINGFISH 5 5 54 55 48 4 5 (grabowski john)COA J 122 8.00 33% 2.00 6.30  
SCR  R BOY CHEEKUM               (thompson ma)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 8.00    
 
FL-4   07/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:001     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR. CERFOLIO 3 1 11 11   1 1 (acquilano jame)COA J 124 2.00 2.95  
RILEY BEE 2 4 3 3   2 2 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 6.00 18% 4.50 5.10 P
HARDLY WORKING 4 3 4 43   4 3 (lopez rober)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 8.00 13.90  
UP FOR ADVENTURE 6 6 6 69   6 4 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 1.60 43% 1.30 0.85  
MAGIC PRO 1 5 5 54   5 5 (lopez arcadi)HARKIE K 124 20.00 41.25  
TWO COLOR MAP 5 2 21 21   3 6 (clarke dylan)DAVILA A 124 4.00 15% 5.70 4.30  
 
FL-5   07/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO STONE UNTURNED 4 1 1 14   16 1 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 3.50 31% 2.30 1.30 W
2B  OUCH THAT HURT 6 2 2 24   26 2 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 3.50 1.30  
MAKEAJOYFULNOISE 5 7 5 35   38 3 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 122 2.00 43% 1.30 1.65 S
LA CAFETERA 1 5 7 610   4 4 (loaiza ilmar)BARBOSA CARLOS 112 15.00 5% 19.00 12.30  
TRIPP ROAD 7 3 6 712   712¼ 5 (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 3.00 5.90  
1A  STABILIZE 2 6 43 5   512 613 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 2.50 4.90  
BETTY RUBBLE 3 4 3 47   612 717 (bond br)NAVARRO J 124 12.00 5% 19.00 30.50  
SCR  INVESTMENT GRADE               (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 122 2.50    
 
FL-6   07/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:141 1:403   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMAWAYSEVEN 6 4 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 1¾ (englehart chr)DAVILA R 118 2.50 1.20  
SILENT INVASION 1 1 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 2¾ (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 6.00 2.80  
RUSSIARUSSIARUSSIA 3 6 4 33 3 31 3 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 3.50 14% 6.30 4.80 S
SARATOGA KISSES 4 2 5 54 5 46 4 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 4.00 15% 5.50 9.60  
CROSS ISLAND 2 5 32 43 4 5 5 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 2.00 35% 1.80 3.85  
MISTY GALE 5 3 64 6 6 610½ 615¼ (falk jacqueli)DAVILA A 122 12.00 21.50  
 
FL-7   07/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
See original race card.
:221 :461 :592     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARTAPPED 2 1 1½ 11   1 1 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 3.50 62% 0.60 0.80 W
GEORGIE'S LADIES 3 4 33 32   2 2 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 4.00 3.65  
WABAUNSEE 5 6 57 57   47 3 (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 10.00 11.00  
BECKY'S MISSION 6 5 610 611   58 4 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 15.00 26.00  
MISSION CAT 4 2 2½ 21   3 58 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 5.00 14% 6.10 3.20  
COLBY GIRL 1 3 45 47   6 612¼ (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 124 10.00 5% 19.00 9.50  
SCR  KILBRITTAIN'S RED               (farrior anthon)COA J 120 3.00    
SCR  ROLL'OVA               (pro)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00    
 
FL-8   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Niagara Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 4:38
See original race card.
:23 :462 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAITWAITDONTTELLME 1 4 31 21   2 1½ (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 118 2.00 35% 1.80 1.35 W
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of YOLIE'S CHOICE by SILVER DEPUTY)
WARSAICHI 6 1 11 11   1 2½ (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 3.00 12% 7.30 5.70 P
  (by WAR DANCER out of SAICHI SWEEPIN by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
LOCKBOX 4 2 21 31   33 3 (d'alessandro )DAVILA A 122 3.50 3.05  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of BARRIER TO ENTRY by CITY ZIP)
FANCYPANTS JULIANA 2 6 5 44   412 415¼ (bartlett william )BAEZ JOSE 118 5.00 32% 2.20 6.80  
  (by MO TOWN out of ALL TALK by TACTICAL ADVANTAGE)
TUMBLES 3 5 6 6   512½ 518½ (iorio jr)GOMEZ O 118 6.00 18.70  
  (by BOYS AT TOSCONOVA out of EPONYMOUS by UTOPIA (JPN))
ISABEL LUVS GOLD 5 3 4 5   617½ 633¾ (ferraro michae)COA J 118 6.00 3.40  
  (by KLIMT out of SMITTEN BY GOLD by MEDALLIST)
 
FL-9   07/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:07
See original race card.
:224 :462 :591     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYOU MELODY 3 3 2½ 11   1 11 (buckley )DAVIS A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 4.70 W
UNICORN SALLY 1 6 75 56   2 21 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 3.00 29% 2.40 2.40 P
A DAB WILL DO 7 7 86 69   65 3 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 5.00 19% 4.30 4.60 S
DOSAGE AND MIMOSAS 8 1 3½ 32   34 4 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 6.00 9.80  
INOUAINTALKINTOME 5 8 4 44   5 5 (huertas nir)CAMILO D 124 3.50 2.00  
CAT GLASSES KATHY 6 2 6 810   814¼ 614¼ (wright james )DAVILA A 122 20.00 52.75  
DRAW OFF 4 5 5 79   714 715¾ (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00 17.30  
LOST ANCHOR 2 4 1½ 21   4 816 (acq)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.00 22% 3.50 11.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.