The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Penn National
Thursday - May 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -3.00
    Exacta (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-5 2 0 $7.60 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-5-2 3 0 $35.70 $0.00 -6.00
PEN-2   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
    Exacta (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-6 2 0 $19.60 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-6-2 3 0 $31.60 $0.00 -6.00
    Daily Double (1/3/6)-(2/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 6-5 2 1 $8.60 $8.60 -9.40
PEN-3   Win (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 0.60
    Exacta (3/7)-(1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3-4 2 0 $9.00 $0.00 -8.00
    Trifecta (3/7)-(1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 3-4-1 3 0 $9.20 $0.00 -4.00
    Daily Double (2/3/5)-(3/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-3 2 1 $11.80 $11.80 -0.20
    Pick Three (1/3/6)-(2/3/5)-(3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 6-5-2/3/5 3 1 $5.75 $5.75 -3.25
PEN-4   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -0.80
    Exacta (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5-6 2 0 $13.20 $0.00 -4.00
    Daily Double (3/7)-(1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3-5 2 1 $9.20 $9.20 1.20
    Pick Three (2/3/5)-(3/7)-(1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 5-2/3/5-2/3/5 3 1 $7.80 $7.80 1.80
PEN-5   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 0 $5.00 $0.00 -4.00
    Exacta (3/6)-(3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7-1 2 0 $37.20 $0.00 -8.00
    Trifecta (3/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 7-1-5 3 0 $55.50 $0.00 -4.00
    Daily Double (1/5)-(3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5-4 2 0 $2.60 $0.00 -8.00
    Pick Three (3/7)-(1/5)-(3/6) 8 $0.50 $4.00 2/3/5-2/3/5-7 3 0 $9.45 $0.00 -4.00
PEN-6   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 1.60
    Exacta (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-4 2 0 $18.00 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-4-3 3 0 $22.10 $0.00 -6.00
    Daily Double (3/6)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 7-2 2 0 $32.40 $0.00 -12.00
    Pick Three (1/5)-(3/6)-(1/2/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 2/3/5-7-2 3 0 $18.10 $0.00 -6.00
PEN-7   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 0 $5.20 $0.00 -4.00
    Exacta (1/2)-(1/2/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 7-1 2 0 $17.00 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/2)-(1/2/3/4)-(1/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-1-4 3 0 $29.60 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/2/3)-(1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-7 2 0 $29.40 $0.00 -12.00
    Pick Three (3/6)-(1/2/3)-(1/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 7-2-7 3 0 $20.65 $0.00 -6.00

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   05/18/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
:223 :463 :593     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMONDS N DENIM 6 3 2nk 1nk   113 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 2.00 33% 2.00 0.50 W
SHOYYOOKH 5 1 1nk 2nk   223 (carpio erin)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 4.40  
BLEZNIATKA 2 2 5 6   43(lovato patricia)CORA D 120 15.00 63.00  
MI YAYIS 3 4 3 33   5410½ (pickett crysta)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 5.00 20% 3.90 9.70  
MISS JUNEBUG 1 5 6 5   6511¾ (albright geor)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 3.00 17% 4.90 3.50  
FALSE RULING 4 6 43 4   37 614¾ (martinez jose)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00 28.60  
 
PEN-2   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
:22 :443       1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICTOR 5 1 11 1   11¼ (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.60 8% 11.00 1.30 W
MEET ME AT MUNDIS 6 2 3 2   22¼ (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 120 4.00 4.90  
DON'T LOSEMYMONEY 2 3 21 3   33(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 26% 2.80 5.80 S
TRIBAL NOTION 4 5 6 43   45 43 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 6.00 13.70  
DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN 3 6 4 5   57 5(kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 26% 2.90 1.70  
GRAB THE GOLD 1 4 53 6   6610 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 34.20  
 
PEN-3   05/18/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
:24 :473 1:132 1:26   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATHENA BEACH 2 2 12 12 1½ 11 1½ (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 117 2.50 45% 1.20 1.30 W
ONE MORE KELLY 3 3 3 34 2½ 21 2½ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 1.70  
HASHTAG LUCKY 1 4 22 22 3 39 312¾ (sanchez-salomon )CEDENO CAROL 120 5.00 3.10 S
ELEGANT TASTE 4 1 44 46 410½ 416 427¾ (mcclellan e)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 9.90  
LANFRANKOPHILE 5 5 5 57 511½ 519 550¾ (salinas jose)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 21% 3.90 12.30  
SCR  HALO CITY               (lynch natal)VARGAS A 120 8.00    
SCR  NEWSDLEY               (sinnefia paulina)TORRES JOMAR 117 12.00    
 
PEN-4   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
:222 :46 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNAMATED MOON 3 2 31 1½   14 1(stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 51% 1.00 0.60 W
MAD GENIUS 4 1 1½ 2½   24 2(kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 3.70  
KEEPING THE PEACE 1 4 46 44   37 3(velazquez dan)OCASIO JONATHAN 124 4.00 22% 3.50 3.20 S
MYSTIC POINT 2 3 2½ 3   4415½ (stites flint )INIRIO J 124 4.50 6.20  
SCR  CALCULATED THINKIN               (moreno-barban)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 1.80    
SCR  E T'S SUPER STAR               (fields kevin)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00    
 
PEN-5   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 ALL PT- 7:49
:221 :454 :583     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZOOMSTER 6 1 2nk 17   11(salinas jose)AGUILAR M 123 2.50 1.50  
OVER THE BORDER 1 6 6 5   32(allen ferris)BEATO INOEL 123 8.00 10.60  
MISCHIEF WARRIOR 4 3 3 27   2312¼ (kulp brandon )INIRIO J 123 6.00 6.80 S
BULLET BREEZE 5 5 4 48   412½ 422¼ (murillo a)CORA D 123 10.00 7% 12.90 5.00  
ZEALOUS LEGACY 3 2 1nk 37   517½ 535 (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 123 1.60 44% 1.20 1.40  
GREATEST WARRIOR 2 4 5 623½   628½ 640½ (stites willia)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 20.00 37.40  
SCR  BEAR OR BULL               (crane clovi)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.00 17% 5.00    
 
PEN-6   05/18/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
:224 :472 1:002     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOWMUCHAREYOUWORTH 2 5 5 58   4¾ 1(wyner harold)OCASIO M 117 6.00 15% 5.80 2.80 W
ROSE VALLEY 4 4 3 3   2½ 2(beattie todd )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.00 0.80  
HOPEFULLY ICU 3 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 34 (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 11% 8.10 7.00 S
SCOREBOARD LILY 1 2 2nk 2nk   3½ 410 (salinas jos)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 42% 1.40 3.00  
LET'SGOSHAGDANCIN 5 3 4 46   5511 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 119 12.00 22.90  
SCR  RAIN LILLY               (moreno tito)ROJAS MARTINA 112 3.50    
 
PEN-7   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
:22 :452 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BLUE EYES 7 1 2½ 2   2nk 13 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 117 6.00 1.60  
SON OF A BEAST 1 3 1½ 1   1nk 23 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.00 9% 10.50 3.20 P
BRODIX 4 4 4 44   32 3(hendriks mc)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 2.70 S
NEON SIGN 2 5 3 3   44(salinas jos)RODRIGUEZ R 117 3.50 64% 0.60 7.60  
FREEDOM'S START 6 2 6 78   759 (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 9.50  
MIZZEN MONEY 3 7 77 68   69 610½ (shea lydee)CORA D 120 4.00 11.10  
ECLIPTICALS BEAR 5 6 56 5   5712¼ (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 120 10.00 31.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.