Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Thursday - May 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-3   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $4.60 $0.60 15%
PEN-4   DD (3/7)-(5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3-5 $9.20 $1.20 15%
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(3/7)-(5/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00  5-2/3/5-2/3/5 $7.80 $1.80 30%
PEN-6   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.60 $1.60 27%

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   05/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:223 :463 :593     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMONDS N DENIM 6 3 2nk 1nk   1 13 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 2.00 33% 2.00 0.50 W
SHOYYOOKH 5 1 1nk 2nk   2 23 (carpio erin)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 4.40  
BLEZNIATKA 2 2 5 6   4 3 (lovato patricia)CORA D 120 15.00 63.00  
MI YAYIS 3 4 3 33   5 410½ (pickett crys)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 5.00 20% 3.90 9.70  
MISS JUNEBUG 1 5 6 5   6 511¾ (albright ge)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 3.00 17% 4.90 3.50  
FALSE RULING 4 6 43 4   37 614¾ (martinez jo)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00 28.60  
 
PEN-2   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:22 :443       1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICTOR 5 1 11 1   1 1¼ (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.60 8% 11.00 1.30 W
MEET ME AT MUNDIS 6 2 3 2   2 2¼ (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 120 4.00 4.90  
DON'T LOSEMYMONEY 2 3 21 3   3 3 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 26% 2.80 5.80 S
TRIBAL NOTION 4 5 6 43   45 43 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 6.00 13.70  
DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN 3 6 4 5   57 5 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 26% 2.90 1.70  
GRAB THE GOLD 1 4 53 6   6 610 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 34.20  
 
PEN-3   05/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:132 1:26   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATHENA BEACH 2 2 12 12 1½ 11 1½ (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 117 2.50 45% 1.20 1.30 W
ONE MORE KELLY 3 3 3 34 2½ 21 2½ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 1.70  
HASHTAG LUCKY 1 4 22 22 3 39 312¾ (sanchez-salomo)CEDENO CAROL 120 5.00 3.10 S
ELEGANT TASTE 4 1 44 46 410½ 416 427¾ (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 9.90  
LANFRANKOPHILE 5 5 5 57 511½ 519 550¾ (salinas jose)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 21% 3.90 12.30  
SCR  HALO CITY               (lynch nat)VARGAS A 120 8.00    
SCR  NEWSDLEY               (sinnefia pauli)TORRES JOMAR 117 12.00    
 
PEN-4   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:222 :46 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNAMATED MOON 3 2 31 1½   14 1 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 51% 1.00 0.60 W
MAD GENIUS 4 1 1½ 2½   24 2 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 3.70  
KEEPING THE PEACE 1 4 46 44   37 3 (velazquez d)OCASIO JONATHAN 124 4.00 22% 3.50 3.20 S
MYSTIC POINT 2 3 2½ 3   4 415½ (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 4.50 6.20  
SCR  CALCULATED THINKIN               (moreno-barb)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 1.80    
SCR  E T'S SUPER STAR               (fields kevin)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00    
 
PEN-5   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:221 :454 :583     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZOOMSTER 6 1 2nk 17   1 1 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 123 2.50 1.50  
OVER THE BORDER 1 6 6 5   3 2 (allen ferris)BEATO INOEL 123 8.00 10.60  
MISCHIEF WARRIOR 4 3 3 27   2 312¼ (kulp brando)INIRIO J 123 6.00 6.80 S
BULLET BREEZE 5 5 4 48   412½ 422¼ (murillo a)CORA D 123 10.00 7% 12.90 5.00  
ZEALOUS LEGACY 3 2 1nk 37   517½ 535 (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 123 1.60 44% 1.20 1.40  
GREATEST WARRIOR 2 4 5 623½   628½ 640½ (stites will)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 20.00 37.40  
SCR  BEAR OR BULL               (crane clo)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.00 17% 5.00    
 
PEN-6   05/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:002     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOWMUCHAREYOUWORTH 2 5 5 58   4¾ 1 (wyner harold)OCASIO M 117 6.00 15% 5.80 2.80 W
ROSE VALLEY 4 4 3 3   2½ 2 (beattie tod)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.00 0.80  
HOPEFULLY ICU 3 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 34 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 11% 8.10 7.00 S
SCOREBOARD LILY 1 2 2nk 2nk   3½ 410 (salinas j)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 42% 1.40 3.00  
LET'SGOSHAGDANCIN 5 3 4 46   5 511 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 119 12.00 22.90  
SCR  RAIN LILLY               (moreno tito)ROJAS MARTINA 112 3.50    
 
PEN-7   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:22 :452 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BLUE EYES 7 1 2½ 2   2nk 13 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 117 6.00 1.60  
SON OF A BEAST 1 3 1½ 1   1nk 23 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.00 9% 10.50 3.20 P
BRODIX 4 4 4 44   32 3 (hendriks )HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 2.70 S
NEON SIGN 2 5 3 3   4 4 (salinas j)RODRIGUEZ R 117 3.50 64% 0.60 7.60  
FREEDOM'S START 6 2 6 78   7 59 (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 9.50  
MIZZEN MONEY 3 7 77 68   69 610½ (shea lydee)CORA D 120 4.00 11.10  
ECLIPTICALS BEAR 5 6 56 5   5 712¼ (stites flin)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 10.00 31.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.