Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Thursday - May 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-2   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-3   Win (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-4   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-5   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-6   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-7   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   05/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS JUNEBUG Dec07 Nov23 Oct28 Oct11 Mar29 (albright geor)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 3.00 17% 4.90    
BLEZNIATKA Mar31 Mar01 Sep16 Sep02 Aug12 (lovato patricia)CORA D 120 15.00    
MI YAYIS Apr27 Apr07 Mar16 Feb17 Jan28 (pickett crysta)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 5.00 20% 3.90    
FALSE RULING May04 Mar15 Mar01 Feb02 Jan18 (martinez joseph)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00    
SHOYYOOKH May04 Mar22 Mar01 Jan27 Jan12 (carpio erin)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50    
DIAMONDS N DENIM Apr07 Mar18 Mar01 Feb04 Dec08 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
PEN-2   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAB THE GOLD Apr28 Mar16 Feb17 Jan11 Dec13 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00    
DON'T LOSEMYMONEY Apr28 May19 Apr27 Mar25 Mar08 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 26% 2.80    
DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN Apr27 Mar18 Mar01 Jan26 Dec09 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 26% 2.90    
TRIBAL NOTION Dec28 Nov23 Nov04 Oct18 Sep09 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 6.00    
PICTOR Mar10 Feb16 Jan27 Dec13 Aug04 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.60 8% 11.00    
MEET ME AT MUNDIS Mar10 Dec27 May19 Apr27 Mar02 (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 120 4.00    
 
PEN-3   05/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HASHTAG LUCKY May05 Apr15 Mar10 Feb19 Jan27 (sanchez-salomon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 5.00    
SCR  HALO CITY Apr03 Nov11 Oct27 Oct01 Sep04 (lynch natal)VARGAS A 120 8.00    
ATHENA BEACH Mar30 Feb23       (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 117 2.50 45% 1.20    
ONE MORE KELLY Apr27 Mar24 Feb22 Feb07 Nov30 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00    
SCR  NEWSDLEY May06 Mar10 Feb23     (sinnefia paulina)TORRES JOMAR 117 12.00    
ELEGANT TASTE Mar31 Mar10 Feb08 Jan11 Dec27 (mcclellan e)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
LANFRANKOPHILE May06 Apr03 Mar01 Feb08 Jan19 (salinas jose)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 21% 3.90    
 
PEN-4   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEPING THE PEACE May10 Apr19 Apr11 Mar03 Feb08 (velazquez dan)OCASIO JONATHAN 124 4.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  CALCULATED THINKIN Apr28 Mar16 Feb23 Feb15 Jan20 (moreno-barban)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 1.80    
SCR  E T'S SUPER STAR Apr19 Mar16 Feb14 Jan25 Jan13 (fields kevin)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00    
MYSTIC POINT Apr26 Mar24 Feb23 Jan20 Dec30 (stites flint )INIRIO J 124 4.50    
ANNAMATED MOON Apr26 Mar29 Mar16 Dec06 Nov08 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 51% 1.00    
MAD GENIUS Apr28 Mar30 Jan21 Jan01 Dec10 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00    
 
PEN-5   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 ALL PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVER THE BORDER Feb17 Jan27 Jan08 Dec13 Nov27 (allen f)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 8.00    
GREATEST WARRIOR Mar31 Mar09 Feb16 Jan25   (stites willia)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 20.00    
ZEALOUS LEGACY Mar18 Feb02       (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 123 1.60 44% 1.20    
SCR  BEAR OR BULL May03         (crane clovi)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.00 17% 5.00    
MISCHIEF WARRIOR         (kulp brandon )INIRIO J 123 6.00    
BULLET BREEZE         (murillo a)CORA D 123 10.00 7% 12.90    
ZOOMSTER Apr29 Jan07 Sep05     (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 123 2.50    
 
PEN-6   05/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOREBOARD LILY May06 Mar30 Mar09 Feb01 Jan13 (salinas jos)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
HOWMUCHAREYOUWORTH May09 Apr19 Mar29 Mar13 Jan10 (wyner harold)OCASIO M 117 6.00 15% 5.80    
HOPEFULLY ICU Apr26 Mar15 Feb10 Jan27   (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 11% 8.10    
ROSE VALLEY Apr26 Sep23 Aug24     (beattie todd )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.00    
SCR  RAIN LILLY Mar23 Feb16 Feb08 Dec28 Dec02 (moreno tito)ROJAS MARTINA 112 3.50    
LET'SGOSHAGDANCIN Mar31 Mar10 Feb10 Jan20 Dec27 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 119 12.00    
 
PEN-7   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SON OF A BEAST May04 Apr21 Feb13 Jan31 Jan10 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.00 9% 10.50    
NEON SIGN May06 Mar29 Mar01 Jan25 Dec16 (salinas jos)RODRIGUEZ R 117 3.50 64% 0.60    
MIZZEN MONEY Apr28 Mar30 Feb16 Jan25 Dec28 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 4.00    
BRODIX Mar30 Feb23 Jan31     (hendriks mc)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50    
ECLIPTICALS BEAR Apr28 Mar30 Jan25 Dec28 Dec07 (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 120 10.00    
FREEDOM'S START Apr28 Mar22 Feb23 Feb15 Dec30 (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 8.00    
MY BLUE EYES May04 Mar29 Feb15 Jan21 Dec16 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 117 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.