Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - March 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
PEN-2   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
PEN-3   Win (3/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $56.40  
PEN-4   Win (3/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
PEN-5   Win (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 0 $52.40  
PEN-6   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
PEN-7   Win (4/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:221 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATHENA BEACH 3 1 1½ 1nk   1 1 (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 64% 0.60 0.80 W
MO CO GOLD 4 2 2½ 2nk   2 2 (farrior anthon)GONZALEZ EDWIN 119 2.50 1.50 P
CREATIVE COPY 5 4 42 4   35 3 (mosco robe)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 3.50 6.60  
I CAME TO DANCE 6 3 5 55   4 4 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 119 12.00 25.30  
CELTIC REVIVAL 1 6 64 66   6 510 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 121 4.00 8% 11.30 12.30  
MADELINE'S GROGU 2 5 3 3   5 611¾ (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 119 10.00 26.30  
SCR  NEWSDLEY               (sinnefia paulina)AGUILAR M 123 6.00    
 
PEN-2   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3 F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:223 :464 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT FUDGE WARRIOR 1 1 11 12   1 111¼ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.50 17% 4.90 1.40 W
ME DARLIN KATHLEEN 4 4 44 32   2 211¼ (farrior anthon)GONZALEZ EDWIN 123 2.00 2.20  
TELL ME IM AWESOME 5 6 54 5   57 311½ (velazquez daniel)CASTILLO A 123 12.00 37.10  
FOREVER FIFI 2 5 65 4   4 412 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 123 8.00 12% 7.60 23.60  
AKELA 6 2 21 22   3 518 (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.00 41% 1.40 4.40  
DISCREETLIN JONES 3 3 33 66   611 625¾ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 123 3.00 3.20  
 
PEN-3   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:221 :46 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY DEVILS CHILD 4 6 7 5   43 1¼ (moreno-barban lea)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 27.20  
I SEE THE STARS 5 1 3 3½   1 2¼ (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 5.00 11% 7.80 2.80 P
W W SPRINGTIME 1 3 5 42   2 3½ (allen fer)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 17% 4.90 8.10 S
ALL TIME CLASSIC 3 4 2nk 2nk   3 43 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 32% 2.10 1.20  
MAD GENIUS 7 2 1nk 1nk   56 5 (farrior anthon)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 2.50 16% 5.40 2.40  
BOURBON MISSION 6 7 6 6   69 6 (taylor joseph)BOWMAN ADAM 120 15.00 51.20  
KIKKERLAND 2 5 44 7   712½ 718 (brooks e)VEGA L 120 8.00 20.10  
 
PEN-4   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASH IN A FLASH 3 2 1½ 1nk   1 1 (kreiser timoth)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 2.00 35% 1.90 0.90 W
BRODIX 5 1 2½ 2nk   2 2 (hendriks mc)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 16% 5.10 3.00 P
ECLIPTICALS BEAR 1 6 3 32   33 3 (stites w)FLORES E 120 6.00 22.30  
COUSIN BOB 7 3 6 5   5 4 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 22% 3.60 6.00  
TUCKERTON BAY 2 7 7 7   79 5 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00 8.80  
SPOOKY ONE 4 4 5 4   4 6 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00 12.30 DH
MIZZEN MONEY 6 5 42 6   67 6 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 12.00 10.50 DH
SCR  KEEPING IT COUNTRY               (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
 
PEN-5   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:224 :463 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TILTED TIARA 9 3 32 31   21 1 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00 25.20  
SPUNKY ZOEY 6 2 2nk 1nk   11 2 (stites flint )INIRIO J 122 4.00 30% 2.40 2.80 P
LOVELY MELAYRA 8 9 84 43   44 3 (johnston ro)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 11.00 S
THEFABULOUS MOOLAH 4 8 10 9   7 47 (o'callahan car)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 8.00 14.10  
ANOTHERWORLDINSIDE 3 6 1nk 2nk   3 57 (brooks gerald )GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 3.00 2.10  
AUTOMATED TELLER 2 5 7 107   9 610¼ (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 51.70  
LOIS'S CAUSE 5 7 6 65   88 710½ (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 122 15.00 57.50  
UNCAPTURED GRACE 1 10 95 7   57 812¼ (lucas bonni)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 19.00  
10  FUELED UP 10 1 5 86   1010 914¼ (moreno-barb)VARGAS L 122 15.00 71.40  
SUNSHINE LINDA 7 4 4 5   6 1016 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 4.50 34% 2.00 1.90  
 
PEN-6   03/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:134 1:40   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT SAY YOU 2 1 1 12 1 1 13 (shuman mark)RODRIGUEZ R 118 3.00 14% 6.30 1.00 W
MR BOLDACIOUS 1 2 2 22 2 2 23 (lucas bonnie)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 8.00 4.90  
FORECLOSURE 3 6 3 3 3 37 312½ (houghton th)VARGAS L 124 2.50 44% 1.30 3.80 S
PRATT 4 3 54 54 59 5 417¼ (stites willia)INIRIO J 120 3.50 10% 9.30 17.00  
INSTANT CHAOS 5 4 44 4 47 4 517½ (hayes kirst)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 8.50  
INNUENDO (IRE) 6 5 6 6 611 613½ 626 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00 4.30  
 
PEN-7   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:001     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOREBOARD LILY 4 1 1 1   12 12 (lucas bonni)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 47% 1.10 0.90 W
DUST BUNNY 1 3 2 2   22 22 (stites flint )INIRIO J 124 3.50 9% 9.90 2.80 P
WIN FOR LAILA 3 6 5 4   38 311¾ (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00 18.90 S
LET'S GO MO 2 5 6 58   511 414¼ (miller marl)VARGAS L 124 15.00 20.00  
LIL BOSS 5 4 32 34   411 519 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00 4.80  
PERSWAYMEAGAIN 6 2 42 615   635 662½ (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00 4.60  
SCR  LORDHEARMYPRAYER               (maroun douglas)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 3.00 16% 5.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.