Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - March 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/5/7)-(3/1/5/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/1)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(6/1/2)-(3/1/7/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(3/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(3/1/7/5)-(3/8/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-3   WIN (3/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/7/5)-(3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7/5)-(3/8/6)-(7/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (3/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/6)-(3/8/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/6)-(3/8/6/7)-(3/8/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/8/6)-(7/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/8/6)-(7/6/2)-(3/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-5   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/2/3/8)-(7/6/2/3/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/6/2)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2)-(3/2/4)-(4/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-6   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CELTIC REVIVAL Mar08 Feb19 Feb03 Dec21 Nov27 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 121 4.00 8% 11.30    
2  MADELINE'S GROGU Mar08 Dec12 Sep10 Aug21 Jul08 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 119 10.00    
3  ATHENA BEACH Feb23         (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 64% 0.60    
SCR  NEWSDLEY Mar10 Feb23       (sinnefia paulina)AGUILAR M 123 6.00    
5  MO CO GOLD Mar08 Feb22 Jan28 Jan07 Dec17 (farrior anth)GONZALEZ EDWIN 119 2.50 ★    
6  CREATIVE COPY Mar06 Jan24 Dec12 Nov29 Nov01 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 3.50    
7  I CAME TO DANCE Mar08 Feb10 Jan20 Dec14 Nov25 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 119 12.00 ★    
 
PEN-2   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3 F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT FUDGE WARRIOR Mar10 Nov08 Oct14 Sep01 Aug11 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.50 17% 4.90    
2  FOREVER FIFI Mar08 Feb10 Dec02     (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 123 8.00 12% 7.60    
3  DISCREETLIN JONES Mar10 Jan17       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 123 3.00    
4  ME DARLIN KATHLEEN Feb18 Jan27 Jan15 Dec29 Dec02 (farrior anth)GONZALEZ EDWIN 123 2.00    
5  TELL ME IM AWESOME Feb15 Feb08 Jan04 Dec12   (velazquez daniel)CASTILLO A 123 12.00    
6  AKELA Jan18 Dec07 Nov06     (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.00 41% 1.40    
 
PEN-3   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  W W SPRINGTIME Nov03 Oct07 Aug31 Jun30 May30 (allen f)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 17% 4.90    
2  KIKKERLAND Mar03 Feb02 Dec19 Nov28 Nov07 (brooks e)VEGA L 120 8.00    
3  ALL TIME CLASSIC Mar16 Feb16 Feb02 Jan19 Dec04 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 32% 2.10    
4  MY DEVILS CHILD Mar09 Feb08 Jan19 Dec30 Nov23 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00    
5  I SEE THE STARS Mar03 Feb15 Jan20 Jan07 Nov15 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 5.00 11% 7.80    
6  BOURBON MISSION Mar06 Feb20 Feb01 Jan20 Dec21 (taylor joseph)BOWMAN ADAM 120 15.00    
7  MAD GENIUS Jan21 Jan01 Dec10 Nov24 Nov07 (farrior anth)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 2.50 16% 5.40    
 
PEN-4   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Jan25 Dec28 Dec07 Nov09 Oct25 (stites w)FLORES E 120 6.00    
2  TUCKERTON BAY Mar09 Feb09 Jan18 Dec13 Nov22 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
3  CASH IN A FLASH Mar09 Feb01 Jan01 Nov19 Oct08 (kreiser timo)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 2.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  KEEPING IT COUNTRY Feb17 Jan20 Dec20 Nov15 Oct14 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
5  SPOOKY ONE Mar09 Feb17 Jan25 Dec28 Dec07 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00    
6  BRODIX Feb23 Jan31       (hendriks )HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 16% 5.10    
7  MIZZEN MONEY Feb16 Jan25 Dec28 Aug11 Aug03 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 12.00 ★    
8  COUSIN BOB Mar16 Feb15 Jan09 Dec21 Oct30 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
 
PEN-5   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCAPTURED GRACE Mar09 Feb24 Feb16 Jan27 Nov12 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00    
2  AUTOMATED TELLER Mar10 Oct26 Oct04 Sep08 Aug31 (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  ANOTHERWORLDINSIDE Mar18 Jul27 Jul04 Jun27 Jun14 (brooks geral)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 3.00 ★    
4  THEFABULOUS MOOLAH Mar15 Feb24 Jan27 Dec13 Dec06 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00    
5  LOIS'S CAUSE Mar10 Feb24 Feb09 Jan27 Dec27 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 122 15.00    
6  SPUNKY ZOEY Feb24 Feb08 Jan26 Dec30 Dec09 (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 4.00 30% 2.40    
7  SUNSHINE LINDA Feb24 Feb01 Jan13 Dec27 Nov23 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 4.50 34% 2.00    
8  LOVELY MELAYRA Dec07 Oct11 Aug23 Jul27 Jul09 (johnston )HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 ★    
9  TILTED TIARA Mar09 Feb22 Feb08 Dec28 Nov21 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00    
10  FUELED UP Mar09 Feb22 Jan19 Nov30 Nov16 (moreno-ba)VARGAS L 122 15.00    
 
PEN-6   03/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR BOLDACIOUS Mar02 Feb17 Jan26 Dec28 Dec02 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 8.00    
2  WHAT SAY YOU Mar05 Jan21 Jan01 Dec11 Nov04 (shuman ma)RODRIGUEZ R 118 3.00 14% 6.30    
3  FORECLOSURE Mar15 Jan13 Dec28 Dec09 Nov25 (houghton )VARGAS L 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
4  PRATT Mar16 Feb22 Jan26 Dec28 Dec13 (stites will)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 3.50 10% 9.30    
5  INSTANT CHAOS Mar02 Jan31 Jan16 Dec05 Nov14 (hayes kir)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00    
6  INNUENDO (IRE) Mar02 Jan26 Dec28 Nov29 Nov16 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00    
 
PEN-7   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUST BUNNY Mar09 Feb17 Feb01 Jan13 Dec27 (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 3.50 9% 9.90    
2  LET'S GO MO Mar17 Feb17 Feb01 Jan13 Dec14 (miller ma)VARGAS L 124 15.00    
3  WIN FOR LAILA Mar15 Feb10 Jan26 Jan11 Dec20 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  SCOREBOARD LILY Mar09 Feb01 Jan13 Oct05 Sep16 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  LORDHEARMYPRAYER Mar08 Feb10 Feb01 Jan13 Jan01 (maroun dougl)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 3.00 16% 5.30    
6  LIL BOSS Mar17 Feb25 Feb04 Dec27   (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00    
7  PERSWAYMEAGAIN Feb11         (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.