The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Penn National
Wednesday - April 26, 2023

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PEN-1   04/26/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:22 :444 :57     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATE'S GOLDEN DUDE 1 2 1½ 11   11(moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 3.00 34% 1.90 0.60 W
APACHE 5 5 7 68   58 2(simone v)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 7.70  
NICK THE CARDSHARK 6 4 43 55   47 3(bravo-estrada)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 29% 2.40 9.00 S
AGGRANDIZE 4 1 3½ 21   249 (caban ca)GONZALEZ JR 120 8.00 28.20  
ANNAMATED MOON 3 7 5 4   3512¼ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 5.00  
FLAT OUT FLASHY 7 6 64 7   611½ 616¼ (beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 8.20  
SPIKES SHIRL 2 3 2½ 3   712 720¼ (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00 15.70  
 
PEN-2   04/26/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
:224 :463 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSE VALLEY 1 7 31 11   11(beattie todd )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.50 4.70  
WARRIOR'S MISS 5 3 2½ 3   22(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00 26% 2.90 2.60 P
FAIRVIEW 7 6 64 6   3311¼ (kreiser timot)INIRIO J 121 2.50 30% 2.40 3.30 S
LUCKY BREEZE 3 4 41 5   4413¼ (arce josue)RUIZ ELISEO 114 3.00 4.10  
WIN FOR LAILA 4 5 53 4   68 516½ (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 124 8.00 7% 12.70 7.90  
CEREAL I D 6 1 7 7   79 618¼ (boyer jr)BAKER J 122 15.00 34.90  
DISCREETLIN JONES 2 2 1½ 21   5718¼ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 3.50 11% 8.20 4.10  
 
PEN-3   04/26/2023 3630ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
:214 :463 :591     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TILTED TIARA 2 4 45 34   22 1nk (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 5.00 11.30  
PLATINUM PROMISE 3 2 2 2   12 2nk (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 52% 0.90 0.20 P
BLIND SIGHT 1 5 510 5   47 3(lucas bonnie)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 8% 12.30 3.70 S
UNION RALLY 5 3 35 44   35 4(wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 8.00 13.40  
SHANIA SEA 4 1 1 1   5520¾ (o'callahan carl)AGUILAR M 110 10.00 16.40  
SCR  BEACH BANKER               (synnefias d)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 17% 4.80    
 
PEN-4   04/26/2023 5490ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
:234 :474 1:131 1:401   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FED CHAIR 2 1 1½ 11 1 11 1¾ (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 22% 3.50 1.50 W
MR BOLDACIOUS 6 3 2½ 21 2 21 2¾ (lucas bonnie)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 15% 5.70 6.40 P
FORECLOSURE 5 7 4 42 43 33 3(graci a)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 11.40 S
SWEEPIN HARD 1 6 7 7 7 54(jacklin theodo)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00 25.70  
BLUEBERRY MASH 3 4 6 5 54 65(stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 1.50  
COUSIN BOB 4 2 32 32 3 465 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 30% 2.30 5.70  
PRATT 7 5 54 6 64 7714½ (stites willia)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 10.00 44.30  
 
PEN-5   04/26/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
:231 :473 1:13 1:392   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EGOT A POKER FACE 6 5 3 3 2 11 1¾ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 5.00  
FOLE'S NOTION 1 7 710 68 4 21 2¾ (pickett cry)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 3.00 15% 5.90 1.80 P
OUR MARK STEVEN 7 2 21 2 32 43(houghton th)VARGAS L 117 10.00 20.60 S
OVER AND THUNDER 4 4 11 1 1 34(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 37% 1.70 2.20  
TUCKERTON BAY 2 3 68 5 55 57 510 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 28.10  
TURNS 8 6 4 4 68 610 612¾ (boyer jr)CORA D 120 12.00 44.50  
UNCLE YUDI 5 8 811½ 8 711 714 720¼ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 3.50 24% 3.10 4.40  
STRAWBERRY TREAT 3 1 5 78 812 816 825 (zalalas mic)HERNANDEZ A 117 12.00 10.50  
SCR  JUMP FOR THE WIN               (kreiser timot)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00    
 
PEN-6   04/26/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
:224 :462 :59     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOUND BY TRUTH 5 1 1 14   16 14 (stites flint )INIRIO J 122 4.00 1.90  
LOVELY MELAYRA 1 6 6 6   37 24 (johnston ro)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 43% 1.30 1.70 P
FUELED UP 3 2 2 24   26 3(moreno-barban)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 10.00 33.60  
HOPEFULLY ICU 2 4 5 4   4410 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 2.00 13% 6.50 4.30  
LOIS'S CAUSE 6 3 4 3   5511¼ (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 122 10.00 13% 6.60 12.20  
BO RUNKLE 4 5 3 55   6614¾ (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 3.00 3.70  
 
PEN-7   04/26/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
:222 :46 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTIC POINT 8 5 64 4   21 11 (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 3.50 18% 4.60 1.40 W
DIXIE CANNONBALL 7 3 32 1½   11 21 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 30% 2.30 8.30 P
KEEPING IT COUNTRY 1 4 4 5   33(o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 6.10  
TIZ HANDSOME 5 2 2½ 2½   44(albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 14% 6.10 3.40  
BOX OF JOE 2 6 53 6   65(cooper stacey)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 7.70  
DREAMERS REWARD 4 1 1½ 3½   566 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.50 9% 10.10 7.80  
CALLYOURIGHTBACK 3 8 74 7   711¼ 715¼ (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 50.00 64.10  
BUSTER BRUNO 6 7 88 810¾   816¼ 826½ (bentley fenneka)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00 10.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.