Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - April 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/6)-(7/5/2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(7/5/2/4)-(4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-2   WIN (7/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/2/4)-(4/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/4)-(4/1)-(4/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(4/2/6)-(4/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-4   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/5)-(4/2/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(4/5/1)-(1/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-5   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(1/2/6)-(7/8/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(7/8/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (7/8/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/5/4)-(7/8/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/5/4)-(7/8/5/4)-(7/8/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   04/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATE'S GOLDEN DUDE Mar15 Mar02 Jan27 Jan02 Nov28 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 3.00 34% 1.90    
2  SPIKES SHIRL Mar23 Feb24 Feb08 Jan11 Dec30 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00 ★    
3  ANNAMATED MOON Mar29 Mar16 Dec06 Nov08 Sep16 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 ★    
4  AGGRANDIZE Apr11 Mar24 Mar09 Feb16 Jan13 (caban carl)SANCHEZ J 120 8.00    
5  APACHE Mar30 Feb15 Jan04 Dec12 Nov21 (simone michae)OCASIO M 120 6.00    
6  NICK THE CARDSHARK Apr18 Mar07 Feb20 Jan25 Jan11 (bravo-estrada )ADORNO ABNER 120 4.00 29% 2.40    
7  FLAT OUT FLASHY Mar03 Feb08 Jan27 Dec30 Nov30 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00    
 
PEN-2   04/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSE VALLEY Sep23 Aug24       (beattie tod)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.50    
2  DISCREETLIN JONES Mar30 Mar10 Jan17     (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 3.50 11% 8.20    
3  LUCKY BREEZE Apr10 Mar09 Jan24 Dec20 Dec07 (arce josue)RUIZ ELISEO 114 3.00    
4  WIN FOR LAILA Mar30 Mar15 Feb10 Jan26 Jan11 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 124 8.00 7% 12.70    
5  WARRIOR'S MISS         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00 26% 2.90    
6  CEREAL I D Mar29 Mar15 Mar09 Feb08 Jan26 (boyer jr)BAKER J 122 15.00    
7  FAIRVIEW Mar10 Feb09 Nov15 Oct20   (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 121 2.50 30% 2.40    
 
PEN-3   04/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLIND SIGHT Dec21 Nov05 Sep11 Aug13 Jul23 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  BEACH BANKER Mar22 Feb17 Apr07 Feb19   (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 17% 4.80    
3  TILTED TIARA Mar30 Mar09 Feb22 Feb08 Dec28 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 5.00    
4  PLATINUM PROMISE Mar29 Mar01 Feb08 Jan12 Dec06 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 52% 0.90    
5  SHANIA SEA Apr07 Mar16 Mar01 Feb01 Dec20 (o'callahan ca)ROJAS MARTINA 110 10.00    
6  UNION RALLY Mar29 Feb17 Feb01 Jan11 Jul01 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 8.00    
 
PEN-4   04/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEEPIN HARD Mar16 Feb22 Jan26 Dec13 Nov04 (jacklin theo)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00    
2  FED CHAIR Mar17 Feb15 Jan13 Dec07 Oct04 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 22% 3.50    
3  BLUEBERRY MASH Mar24 Mar03 Feb01 Jan18 Dec16 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00    
4  COUSIN BOB Apr13 Mar30 Mar16 Feb15 Jan09 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 30% 2.30    
5  FORECLOSURE Mar30 Mar15 Jan13 Dec28 Dec09 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 ★    
6  MR BOLDACIOUS Mar30 Mar02 Feb17 Jan26 Dec28 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 15% 5.70    
7  PRATT Mar30 Mar16 Feb22 Jan26 Dec28 (stites will)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 10.00    
 
PEN-5   04/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOLE'S NOTION Apr13 Jan16 Dec13 Oct20 Oct01 (pickett c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 3.00 15% 5.90    
2  TUCKERTON BAY Mar30 Mar09 Feb09 Jan18 Dec13 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00    
3  STRAWBERRY TREAT Mar29 Nov29 Nov02 Oct18 Sep22 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 117 12.00    
4  OVER AND THUNDER Mar15 Feb22 Jan13 Dec13 Nov02 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 37% 1.70    
5  UNCLE YUDI Mar03 Feb10 Jan19 Dec13 Nov22 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
6  EGOT A POKER FACE Mar31 Mar10 Feb17 Apr11 Feb08 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00    
7  OUR MARK STEVEN Mar24 Mar01 Feb02 Dec21   (houghton )VARGAS L 117 10.00 ★    
SCR  JUMP FOR THE WIN Mar23 Feb23 Feb15 Dec19 Dec09 (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00 ★    
9  TURNS Mar31 Mar16 Feb22 Feb06 Jan18 (boyer jr)CORA D 120 12.00    
 
PEN-6   04/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVELY MELAYRA Mar30 Dec07 Oct11 Aug23 Jul27 (johnston )HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
2  HOPEFULLY ICU Mar15 Feb10 Jan27     (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 2.00 13% 6.50    
3  FUELED UP Mar30 Mar09 Feb22 Jan19 Nov30 (moreno-barb)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 10.00    
4  BO RUNKLE Mar15 Feb24 Jan27 Jan12 Dec16 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 3.00    
5  BOUND BY TRUTH Mar23 Jun16 May25 May12 Apr21 (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 4.00    
6  LOIS'S CAUSE Mar30 Mar10 Feb24 Feb09 Jan27 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 122 10.00 13% 6.60    
 
PEN-7   04/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEPING IT COUNTRY Feb17 Jan20 Dec20 Nov15 Oct14 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00    
2  BOX OF JOE Mar24 Feb23 Feb02 Jan25 Nov20 (cooper stacey)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00    
3  CALLYOURIGHTBACK Mar09 Feb23 Feb09 Oct14 Sep23 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 50.00    
4  DREAMERS REWARD Apr01 Mar09 Feb23 Feb09 Jan20 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.50 9% 10.10    
5  TIZ HANDSOME Mar24 Mar09 Feb09 Dec09 Nov09 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 14% 6.10    
6  BUSTER BRUNO Apr10 Mar08 Feb20 Feb01 Jan13 (bentley fenneka)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00    
7  DIXIE CANNONBALL Mar24 Mar09 Feb23 Feb02 Jan13 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 30% 2.30    
8  MYSTIC POINT Mar24 Feb23 Jan20 Dec30 Nov11 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.